Updated Drone Movements (Confirmed):Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine provides critical updates on drone positions:
Drones on the border of Mykolaiv and Kirovohrad regions, heading EAST. (Significant change in direction)
Drones in the northwest of Poltava region, heading west.
Drones in the northeast of Cherkasy region, heading west.
Drones in the north and southwest of Sumy region, heading west/southwest.
Drones in Chernihiv region, heading south/southwest.
Drones in the east of Kyiv region, heading west.
Dnipropetrovsk Oblast: Threat of enemy drone use from the WEST. (New threat vector)
Kyiv: Enemy drone approaching from the SOUTHEAST. (New approach direction)
Zaporizhzhia Oblast Air Raid Alert Lifted (Confirmed):🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 confirms the air raid alert in Zaporizhzhia Oblast has been lifted (00:40 UTC).
Assessment: The drone attack remains WIDESPREAD AND DYNAMIC, with significant shifts in the threat. The eastward movement of drones in the south is unusual and requires close monitoring. The new threat to Dnipropetrovsk from the west and the changed approach to Kyiv from the southeast necessitate IMMEDIATE ADJUSTMENTS to air defense deployments. The lifting of the alert in Zaporizhzhia is positive but doesn't diminish the overall threat.
Guided Aerial Bomb Attacks (Confirmed)
Repeated Guided Aerial Bomb Attacks on Sumy Region (Confirmed):Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine and РБК-Україна confirm repeated launches of guided aerial bombs by Russian tactical aviation targeting Sumy region.
FAB with UMPK (Confirmed):Colonelcassad provides a video, which appears to show a drone strike in a populated area.
Assessment: The continued use of guided aerial bombs adds another layer of threat, particularly to the Sumy region. This confirms the PERSISTENT THREAT of air attacks beyond just drones.
Updated Situation Summary
The most significant changes since the last report are:
Shifting Drone Threat Vectors (EXTREME PRIORITY): The drone attack continues, but with critical changes in direction and approach. The eastward movement in the south, the new threat to Dnipropetrovsk from the west, and the southeastern approach to Kyiv demand immediate attention.
Continued Guided Aerial Bomb Attacks (HIGH PRIORITY): The repeated use of guided aerial bombs against Sumy region adds another dimension to the aerial threat.
Zaporizhzhia Alert Lifted (Minor Positive): While positive, this doesn't significantly alter the overall threat level.
Updated Recommendations (in addition to previous recommendations)
ADJUST AIR DEFENSE DEPLOYMENTS IMMEDIATELY (EXTREME PRIORITY):
Respond to the eastward movement of drones in the Mykolaiv/Kirovohrad region. Investigate the reason for this unusual trajectory.
Deploy air defense assets to Dnipropetrovsk Oblast to address the new threat from the west.
Adjust defenses around Kyiv to counter the approach from the southeast.
Maintain heightened alert in areas with westward-moving drones (Poltava, Cherkasy, Sumy, Chernihiv, Kyiv regions).
Prioritize the defense of Sumy region against guided aerial bomb attacks.
Utilize all available countermeasures, including electronic warfare and any available anti-aircraft systems capable of intercepting guided bombs.
INVESTIGATE EASTWARD DRONE MOVEMENT (HIGH PRIORITY):
Determine the reason for the eastward movement of drones in southern Ukraine. Are they returning to base, targeting new areas, or attempting to evade defenses?
All previous recommendations: All previous recommendations will be followed.
The situation remains highly dynamic and dangerous. The ongoing drone attack, with its shifting threat vectors, and the continued use of guided aerial bombs pose significant challenges. Immediate adjustments to air defense deployments, investigation of unusual drone movements, and countermeasures against guided bombs are critical priorities.
