Дневник Десантника (10:09 UTC): Claims Ukrainian forces are spreading disinformation about entering Kotlyne. Reports Ukrainian forces are entrenched south of Kotlyne, being targeted by Russian artillery and drones. States Ukrainian forces are attacking from Krasnoarmeysk (Pokrovsk) with armored vehicles, including Bradleys, but claims Russian advances despite the difficult situation.
✙DeepState✙🇺🇦 (10:10 UTC): Reports Ukrainian forces have regained positions in two locations in the Pokrovsk sector:
Dachens'ke: Claims 68th Jaeger Brigade successfully repelled Russian forces from part of the settlement.
Vodyane Druhe: Reports clearing of an industrial zone where Russian forces had briefly established a presence, though Russian assaults continue.
NEGATIVE DEVELOPMENT: Confirms Russian forces are consolidating positions at the intersection of the Pokrovsk-Konstantynivka highway near Malynivka (situation being clarified).
Colonelcassad (10:26 UTC): Reports Russian advances south of Ivanivka (Kupyansk-Lyman direction) up to 800m deep. Also claims Russian tactical successes near Verkhnokamyanske (Seversk direction), and ongoing "cleansing" of Toretsk outskirts with fighting near Shcherbynivka. Reports Russian assaults near Baranivka and towards Yelyzavetivka (Pokrovsk direction), with tactical successes in Udachne and Uspenivka, and ongoing intense battles near Kotlyne, Nadezhdynka, and Zaporizhzhia. Claims tactical successes in Andriivka (Konstantynopil direction), assaults in Dachne, and pressure south towards Ulakly, Konstantynopil, and Rozlyv. No significant changes reported on the Velykonovosilkivske direction.
Assessment: The Pokrovsk direction remains a major focal point of the conflict, with intense fighting and conflicting claims. Ukrainian sources report successful counterattacks and regaining some territory, while Russian sources claim continued advances. The confirmed Russian presence at the Pokrovsk-Konstantynivka highway intersection is a negative development for Ukraine, potentially threatening a key supply route. The situation is highly dynamic and requires continuous monitoring. The claims and counter-claims highlight the importance of independent verification.
Air Raid Alert Lifted - Zaporizhzhia Oblast (CONFIRMED):
Zaporizhzhia Regional Military Administration (10:36 UTC): Announced the end of the air raid alert for Zaporizhzhia Oblast.
Assessment: The immediate threat of air attack in Zaporizhzhia Oblast has passed.
High-Speed Aerial Target near Sumy (CONFIRMED):
Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine (10:18 UTC): Reports a high-speed aerial target near the border of Sumy region, heading west.
Assessment: This suggests a significant threat.
Donetsk-Staromykhailivka Bus Route Restored (CONFIRMED, Propaganda/Normalization Effort):
Mash на Донбассе (10:09 UTC): Reports the restoration of bus route #97 between Donetsk and Staromykhailivka for the first time since 2022, following a petition by residents. The report emphasizes the high cost of taxis and the risks faced by the bus driver.
Assessment: This is likely a Russian effort to portray a return to normalcy and improve living conditions in occupied territories. The emphasis on civilian hardship and the driver's bravery serves propaganda purposes.
EU Plans to Seize Russian "Shadow Fleet" Tankers (CONFIRMED):
РБК-Україна: Confirms that European countries plan to start massive detentions of Russian oil tankers in the Baltic Sea.
Drone Warfare Continues (CONFIRMED):
АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА (10:13 UTC) & Старше Эдды (10:17 UTC): Shows drone footage of Russian forces, specifically the 83rd Air Assault Brigade, operating in the Kursk region.
Assessment: This highlights the ongoing significance of drones.
Updated Situation Summary
Intense Fighting in Pokrovsk Direction (CONFIRMED/REPORTED): The most significant battlefield development is the continued intense fighting in the Pokrovsk direction, with conflicting reports of advances and counterattacks. The confirmed Russian presence near the Pokrovsk-Konstantynivka highway is a serious concern.
Aerial threat to Sumy (CONFIRMED): A high-speed target was reported.
EU Threat to Seize Russian Tankers (CONFIRMED): This remains the most significant strategic development, with a high potential for escalation.
Potential Increase in Ukrainian Air Power (REPORTED): Remains unchanged.
Continued Russian Air Strikes (CONFIRMED): Remains unchanged.
Active Air Raid Alerts (ENDED): Air raid alert in Zaporizhzhia has been lifted.
Kursk Region Situation Remains Unclear (UNCLEAR): No significant updates; conflicting reports persist.
Continued Drone Warfare (CONFIRMED): Remains unchanged.
Restoration of bus route (CONFIRMED): Restoration in Donetsk.
Updated Recommendations
VERIFY AND RESPOND TO POKROVSK SITUATION (EXTREME PRIORITY):
Deploy all available intelligence assets to clarify the situation on the ground in the Pokrovsk direction, particularly regarding control of key settlements and the Pokrovsk-Konstantynivka highway.
Reinforce Ukrainian defenses in the area, prioritizing the protection of critical supply routes.
Prepare for potential Russian offensive operations aimed at cutting off Ukrainian forces.
Consider tactical retreats if necessary.
ADDRESS AERIAL THREAT IN SUMY (EXTREME PRIORITY):
Maintain high readiness of air defense systems.
Continue monitoring.
All previous recommendations remain in effect, with priorities adjusted as indicated. This includes:
RESPOND TO EU THREAT TO SEIZE TANKERS (EXTREME PRIORITY).
URGENTLY Verify Situation in Kursk Oblast (HIGHEST PRIORITY).
Assess and Reinforce Defenses in Pokrovsk and Novopavlivka Directions (HIGH PRIORITY).
Maintain Air Defense Readiness (HIGH PRIORITY).
Support Ukrainian Drone Warfare Capabilities (HIGH PRIORITY).
Investigate and Document Potential War Crimes (HIGH PRIORITY).
The situation remains highly dynamic and dangerous. The fighting in the Pokrovsk direction is the most immediate concern, with the potential for significant shifts in territorial control. The EU's threat to seize Russian tankers continues to pose a major risk of escalation. The potential increase in Ukrainian air power and the ongoing aerial threats require constant monitoring and rapid response capabilities.
