Liveuamap Source (09:09 UTC): Reports Ukrainian forces stopped 33 assaults in the areas of Zelene Pole, Vodyane Druhe, Yelyzavetivka, Promin, Pischane, Udachne, Novooleksandrivka, Andriyivka, and Dachne. Map shows red arrows indicating likely attack vectors, suggesting pressure on these settlements.
Assessment: This indicates intense fighting in the Pokrovsk direction, with Ukrainian forces claiming significant defensive success. The map suggests a potential Russian breakthrough attempt.
Novopavlivka Axis, Clashes Near Kostyantynopil (REPORTED):
Liveuamap Source (09:09 UTC): Reports clashes near Kostyantynopil. Map shows red arrows pointing to Zelenivka, a likely focal point of enemy attacks.
Assessment: Confirms continued fighting in the Novopavlivka direction, with Kostyantynopil and especially Zelenivka as key areas of conflict.
Kursk Region, Conflicting Reports (UNCLEAR):
Liveuamap Source (09:09 UTC): Reports Ukrainian forces repelled 18 Russian assaults in the Kursk region. Map shows red arrows suggesting directions of attacks.
«Варвар» Спецназ Ахмат (09:09 UTC): (Pro-Russian Source) Claims most Ukrainian forces that entered Kursk Oblast in August 2024 have been destroyed. Requires Verification.
Colonelcassad (09:11 UTC): (Pro-Russian Source) Reports ongoing fighting in Kursk Oblast, claiming the recapture of Fanasivka by Russian forces and advances near Cherkasskaya Konopelka. Claims Ukrainian attempts to evacuate wounded and resupply. Requires Verification.
TASS (09:12 UTC): Reports Ukrainian soldiers threw grenades into basements where civilians were hiding during their retreat from Nikolaevo-Daryino, Kursk Oblast. Requires Verification.
ASTRA (09:29 UTC): (Citing Le Figaro) Claims Ukrainian counterattacks are slowing down the Russian offensive. Reports Ukrainian forces have been advancing south of Sudzha. Claims the capture of Kolmakov and Cherkasskaya Konopelka.
Assessment: The situation in Kursk Oblast is extremely unclear, with conflicting reports from Ukrainian and pro-Russian sources. Claims of Ukrainian advances, Russian counterattacks, and the recapture of Fanasivka all require urgent, independent verification. The alleged war crime in Nikolaevo-Daryino also requires immediate investigation. The report of the overall slow-down of the Russian offensive, and the counter-attacks should be investigated.
Chasiv Yar, Drone Strike on Disabled APC (RUSSIAN SOURCE, CONFIRMED):
Сливочный каприз (09:27 UTC): Reports a Russian FPV drone strike on a Ukrainian APC that had been disabled by a mine near Chasiv Yar. Provides coordinates (48.583165, 37.835608). Video.
Assessment: Confirms continued use of FPV drones for targeted strikes in the Chasiv Yar area. The destruction of a disabled vehicle suggests an attempt to deny the enemy any salvageable equipment.
Air Defense Activity (UKRAINIAN SOURCE, CONFIRMED):
Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine (09:29 UTC): Provides video of air defense activity in the area of responsibility of Air Command East.
Assessment: Confirms ongoing Ukrainian air defense operations in the eastern region, successfully intercepting aerial targets.
Rylsk, Kursk Oblast, Shelling (CONFIRMED):
TASS (09:30 UTC): Reports several houses damaged in Rylsk, Kursk Oblast, due to shelling from the Ukrainian side. No casualties reported. Images.
Assessment: Confirms continued cross-border shelling, causing damage to civilian infrastructure.
BTR Spartan Destroyed (RUSSIAN SOURCE, REPORTED):
Воин DV: (09:30 UTC):* Reports the destruction of a Ukrainian Spartan BTR by operators from the 215th Separate Reconnaissance Battalion in the area of Chasiv Yar.
Assessment: Confirms the continued activity of drone strikes.
Bogatyrske Direction Fighting (Reported):
Военкор Котенок: (09:23 UTC):* Reports on fighting in the Bogatyrsk direction. Claims that Russian units are attacking using weather conditions in the direction of Ulakly, as well as Konstantynopol. Claims that the enemy is attempting to break through using artillery. Claims that Dachnoe has been cleared. Claims that fighting continues on the western side of Andreevka.
Assessment: The report indicates fighting in a new location, requiring further investigation.
Updated Situation Summary
Intense Fighting in Pokrovsk and Novopavlivka Directions (CONFIRMED): Ukrainian forces claim to have repelled numerous Russian assaults in the Pokrovsk direction, while fighting continues near Kostyantynopil in the Novopavlivka direction.
Kursk Region Situation Highly Contested and Unclear (UNCLEAR): Conflicting reports make it impossible to determine the actual situation on the ground. Urgent verification is needed.
Continued Drone Warfare (CONFIRMED): FPV drones continue to be used effectively for targeted strikes, particularly in the Chasiv Yar area.
Cross-Border Shelling (CONFIRMED): Shelling of civilian areas in Kursk Oblast continues.
Air Defense Active (CONFIRMED): Ukrainian air defenses are actively engaging targets in the eastern region.
Possible War Crimes: Claims of Ukrainian soldiers throwing grenades at civilians require investigation.
Updated Recommendations
URGENTLY Verify Situation in Kursk Oblast (HIGHEST PRIORITY):
Deploy all available intelligence assets (satellite imagery, signals intelligence, human intelligence) to confirm or refute the conflicting claims of Ukrainian advances, Russian counterattacks, and control of key settlements (Fanasivka, Nikolaevo-Daryino, Kolmakov, Cherkasskaya Konopelka).
Investigate allegations of war crimes in Nikolaevo-Daryino.
Assess and Reinforce Defenses in Pokrovsk and Novopavlivka Directions (HIGH PRIORITY):
Gather intelligence on the scale and direction of Russian attacks in these areas.
Reinforce Ukrainian positions where necessary to prevent potential breakthroughs.
Exploit any vulnerabilities identified in Russian attack patterns.
Maintain Air Defense Readiness (HIGH PRIORITY):
Continue to prioritize air defense due to ongoing threats.
Support Ukrainian Drone Warfare Capabilities (HIGH PRIORITY):
Continue to provide support for Ukrainian drone unit operations and training.
Investigate and Document Potential War Crimes (HIGH PRIORITY):
Gather evidence related to the reported incidents in Kursk Oblast.
All previous recommendations remain in effect, with priorities adjusted as indicated.
The situation remains highly dynamic, with the situation in Kursk Oblast requiring immediate and focused attention. The ongoing fighting in Donetsk Oblast, the continued use of drones, and the potential for war crimes necessitate continuous monitoring and adaptation of strategies.
