Updated Analysis of the Military Situation in Ukraine: February 2, 2025, 09:08 UTC
Major Updates
Donetsk Region
- Pokrovsk: The situation remains extremely precarious. Russian forces are within 2 kilometers of Myrnohrad, engaging in fierce battles near Yelyzavetivka, Vodyane Druhe, and Baranivka. One of the two routes from Krasnoarmiisk (Pokrovsk) to Dnipro is cut off. Intense fighting is reported near Yelyzavetivka and Vodyane Druhe. Russian forces are within 10 kilometers of Pokrovsk and advancing, blocking Ukrainian supply lines near Krasnoarmeysk (Pokrovsk). Positional fighting in the Krasnoarmiisk (Pokrovsk) area. Russian forces advanced 1 km along the railway towards Krasnoarmiisk and occupied new positions. Expansion of the control zone of the Russian Armed Forces on the southern flank of Krasnoarmiisk. Ukrainian forces halted 40 assaults in this area. The Ukrainian General Staff reports that 40 out of 110 combat clashes occurred in the Pokrovsk direction, highlighting the intensity of the fighting in this area. Ukrainian forces have reportedly stopped 40 Russian assaults in the areas of Zelene Pole, Yelyzavetivka, Promin, Zvirove, Udachne, Uspenivka, Novooleksandrivka, Sribne, and Dachne. An "operational cauldron" is forming around Ukrainian forces near Novoyehorivka. With heavy fighting, Russian forces are moving in the Pokrovsk area and have achieved tactical successes. Reuters reports that after the liberation of Pokrovsk, Russia has two main scenarios for developing an offensive: westward into the sparsely populated plains of Dnipropetrovsk Oblast or northward into more densely populated industrial areas to pressure Kramatorsk and Sloviansk.
- Kramatorsk Direction: Russian forces advanced south of Rozlyv and expanded control in the Dachne area, with increased assault activities. A powerful explosion was reported in the industrial zone of Kramatorsk. 13 people were injured due to a Russian attack, including two children. One person was killed in Ivanopil, and another was wounded in Chasiv Yar.
- Chasiv Yar: Russian forces control approximately 20% of the refractory plant and about half of the city's urban area. They have taken a position on a spoil tip on the western outskirts of the Blok-9 mine. The bulk of the Severnyi district is under Russian control. Battles are reported on the southwestern outskirts. Russian forces are advancing towards Chasiv Yar from the southwest. No significant changes in the last 24 hours, but the initiative remains with the Russian forces, who continue the assault on Chasiv Yar. Heavy flamethrower systems TOS-1A "Solntsepek" are used to attack concentrations of militants in Chasiv Yar.
- Kurakhove: Most of the city has been captured. Heavy fighting is reported in the eastern part of Andriivka. West of Kurakhove, Russian troops are advancing in the Dachne and Andriivka areas, with half of the Dachne settlement cleared of enemy forces. The capture of Andriivka is strategically important. Russian troops are attempting to advance in the Dachne and Andriivka areas and are trying to encircle Dachne. The 68th regiment is storming Dachne. Half of the settlement has been cleared of enemy forces.
- Toretsk: Ukrainian defenses are under immense strain, with less than 15% of the city under their control. Battles are ongoing on the northern outskirts and near several mines. Ukrainian forces report battles for the "Toretska" mine, with 90-95% of the city under Russian control. Ukrainian forces have reportedly made advances in the northern part of Toretsk. Russian forces are applying significant pressure around Chasiv Yar, Pokrovsk, and Kurakhove. Krymske has been liberated by Russian forces. Intense fighting is ongoing on the outskirts of Toretsk. The Ukrainian Armed Forces are holding on to the last defense hubs in Dzerzhynsk (Toretsk).
- Siversk - Verkhnokamyanske: Active combat operations continue near Siversk. Russian forces launched an attack towards Verkhnokamyanske, resulting in troops landing in the central part of the settlement. They reportedly advanced 1.5 km in the Siversk direction and occupied new positions in Verkhnokamyanske. Active combat operations are taking place in the area of Siversk. Russian forces launched an attack with a motorized rifle unit towards Verkhnokamyanske, resulting in the landing of troops in the central part of the settlement. Ukrainian positions were assaulted, and a residential area was cleared by a Russian assault group.
- Other Locations: Russian forces are making advances near Uspenivka. Assault groups have advanced to the area of Alekseevka. Fierce fighting is reported in Zelenovka. Further advances are reported near Dachne, Andriivka, Slov'yanka, and Novoandriivka. Solone has reportedly been liberated by Russian forces.
- Deep State Update: Enemy forces are persistently attacking in the Pokrovsk sector, especially near Sribne, south of Nadiivka, south and east of Udachne, west and east near Kotlyne, and southwest of Zverove. Partial successes are reported, with the situation evolving. Advances are reported near Vozdvyzhenka, Kotlyne, and Andriivka. Geolocated footage indicates an advance in the northern outskirts of Nadiivka.
- Horlivka: Ukrainian forces reportedly used FPV drones with cluster munitions. Ten civilians were injured in Horlivka due to shelling. Explosions were reported, with claims of attacks on Russian military positions.
- Novoyeлизаvetovka: The Russian Ministry of Defense has officially declared the liberation of the settlement.
- Vuhledar: Russian sappers discovered mines made with 3D printers, indicating a new development in mine warfare.
- Sukhi Yaly River: Russian artillerymen are targeting Ukrainian forces. Army aviation of the 11th Air Force and Air Defense Army, operating in the area of responsibility of the "East" group, destroyed a bridge across the Sukhi Yaly River, built by the Armed Forces of Ukraine near the settlement of Konstantinopol.
- Dzerzhynsk Direction: Russian forces continue to increase their firepower near Dzerzhynsk and are expanding their control towards Shcherbynivka. Aviation and artillery are targeting Ukrainian strongholds.
- Russian forces report further advances near Dachne, Andriivka, Slov'yanka, and Novoandriivka.
- Russian forces, with an advance near Terniv, have improved their tactical position and destroyed three strongholds, a Western artillery installation, and several Ukrainian vehicles.
Luhansk Region
- Russian forces are making advances near Nadiivka, Petropavlivka, Zakhidne, and Ivanivka, moving towards the western border of the Luhansk People's Republic.
- Borova Direction: Ukrainian forces have established positions northeast and east of Zelenyi Hai. Russian forces are advancing on the western bank of the Zherebets River.
- Zakhidne and Ivanivka have been captured.
- In the direction of Hrekivka, Russian forces are developing an offensive from Makiivka, with a 400m advance.
- Russian forces have approached the northern outskirts of Kupiansk, and the Ukrainian Armed Forces are deploying reinforcements.
- Bohuslavka: Battles have been initiated.
- Russian forces report that they are beginning to storm Kupyansk.
Kursk Region
- The Ukrainian counteroffensive has stalled, with Russian forces regaining territory. Several settlements have been captured, including Nikolaevo-Daryino, Cherkasskoye Porechnoye, and Malaya Loknya. The liberation of Nikolaevo-Daryino is confirmed.
- Heavy fighting continues near Nikolsky.
- Sudzha: Russian forces are bypassing the city from the south. A Ukrainian activist and local media report that a FAB was dropped on the Sudzha boarding school. The Ukrainian General Staff confirmed the airstrike, stating it was a deliberate attack with a guided aerial bomb (KAB). The Russian Ministry of Defense claims the Ukrainian Armed Forces committed a war crime by launching a targeted missile attack on the school, asserting that air defense systems detected enemy missile launches from the Sumy region. The Ukrainian Air Force is attempting to refute its attack on Sudzha by presenting a screenshot from the "Virage-Tablet" system, allegedly showing a "Russian KAB" [FAB with UMPK]. However, images from the "Virage-Tablet" system have been accessible to the Russian side for years and do not correspond to the image presented by the enemy.
- A Ukrainian assault force was destroyed during an attempted landing near Tetkino.
- Reports of significant North Korean casualties.
- Refugees from the Kursk region are protesting and demanding a meeting with the acting governor.
- Since the beginning of hostilities, Ukrainian forces have suffered significant losses: over 52,870 troops, 304 tanks, and numerous other military vehicles and equipment.
- Russian forces are advancing, with battles near Sverdlykove and nearby forested areas.
- Over 100 paratroopers have reportedly been deployed to the Sudzhansky district for a counterattack near Nikolsky.
- Reports indicate that contractors have allegedly embezzled over 3 billion rubles allocated for the construction of fortifications.
- The landing attempt of the Ukrainian Armed Forces on two armored personnel carriers was thwarted in Makhnovka.
- Nikolaevo-Daryino has been cleared.
- Battles are ongoing near Pohrebky.
- Heavy fighting continues near Nikolsky, with Russian forces approaching Malaya Loknya and Ukrainian forces counterattacking.
- Findings on the Front: The "North" group's fighters are increasingly finding Western weapons and ammunition in the territories liberated from the enemy in the Kursk border area.
- Ukrainian forces repelled 7 Russian assaults in the Kursk region.
- In the Kursk region, the enemy delivered up to a company of militants to Nikolsky. After entering the area, the enemy troops tried to attack, our troops repulsed the attack with fire, the enemy suffered losses of up to 50 people. From Nikolsky, they are pressing in the direction of Russkoye Porechnoye to cut off the enemy grouping at Malaya Lokna and to the north. In the northern part of Russkoye Porechnoye, they struck a group of the enemy, resulting in the loss of one AFV and about 20 personnel in the temporary deployment point. Crimean paratroopers are pressing on Sverdlikovo, where the paratroopers' UAV operators also hit an enemy tank. The elimination of Ukrainians from the nearest forest plantations is ongoing.
- The intensity of the fighting is being compared to the battles of Bakhmut and Avdiivka.
- Russian Defence Minister Andrei Belousov inspected the Yug Group of Forces.
- Russian forces are continuing to advance in the region of Sverdlikovo and north of Guevo.
- The Ukrainian Armed Forces have suffered significant losses in the Kursk region, with over 240 troops and two ammunition depots lost in the past 24 hours. Overall losses are reported to exceed 56,000.
- The Ukrainian Armed Forces claim to have destroyed a command post of the "Kursk" troop grouping of the Russian Armed Forces in Rylsk, Kursk region.
- Su-34 fighter-bombers, accompanied by Su-35S, destroyed a stronghold of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in the Kursk region.
- Russian forces targeted Ukrainian positions in the Kursk region with Su-25 aircraft, launching missiles at low altitudes.
- Ukrainian forces from the 73rd Naval Special Operations Center are conducting operations in the Kursk region, collecting data on Russian and North Korean troops.
- Ukrainian forces will attempt to hold their occupied portion of the Kursk region for 100 days.
- Heavy flamethrower systems TOS-1A "Solntsepek" crews reportedly destroyed strongholds of the Ukrainian Armed Forces in a border area of the Kursk region.
Kharkiv Region
- Drone Attacks: Multiple reports of drone attacks and explosions in Kharkiv and surrounding areas. A fire broke out at an energy facility. A drone attack targeted a civilian enterprise in the Novobavarskyi district, causing a large fire. Two drones fell in the Kyivskyi district. In the Rohanska community, a drone attack destroyed a private house and garage, injuring 2 people. In Shestakove, a drone attack caused a fire in a destroyed private house, with no reported casualties. A drone attack on a civilian enterprise in the Slobidskyi district caused a major fire, reportedly involving a "Shahed" or "Geran" drone and targeting a clothing manufacturing facility. The fire covered approximately 2,000 square meters but was contained. In Lyubotin, a man and a woman were injured due to a drone attack.
- Russian Advance: Russian forces have reportedly expanded their bridgehead up to 5 km south of Dvorichna. Russian forces have reportedly liberated Dvorichna.
- Kupiansk: Under renewed heavy shelling.
- Vovchansk: Ukrainian forces successfully repelled a Russian attack.
- Explosions were reported in Kharkiv and Chuhuiv districts. A fire was reported at an energy facility in Kharkiv following a drone attack.
- The Ukrainian Air Force reports launches of guided aerial bombs by enemy tactical aviation in the north of the region.
- The Ukrainian Air Force reports that Kharkiv is under threat from a Russian drone approaching from the northeast. They also report a threat of Russian drone attacks in Donetsk and Kharkiv Oblasts. A drone is reported in the suburbs of Kharkiv. A high-speed target was reported in the region. The Ukrainian Air Force reports a high-speed target moving from Sumy Oblast towards Poltava Oblast.
Zaporizhzhia Region
- An air raid alert has been declared and later lifted, then declared again and canceled.
- At least five people were injured in attacks on Zaporizhzhia, Kupiansk, and the Dnipropetrovsk region.
- Russia attacked the region 401 times overnight.
- Russian forces reportedly destroyed a group of foreign mercenaries near Orikhiv.
- Two people пострадали in result of Russian shelling of Zaporizhzhia and Zaporizhzhia region.
Drone Warfare
- Extensive Drone Activity: Confirmed drone attacks inside Russia, with a massive overnight attack involving over 100 drones targeting central Russia and the south. Most were reportedly intercepted, but some hit their targets, including an oil refinery near Nizhny Novgorod. New reports of drone movements towards Chernihiv, Sumy, Ivano-Frankivsk, Ternopil, Vinnytsia, Kirovohrad, Cherkasy, Poltava, Starokonstantinov, Bereznegovatoye, Pavlograd, Balakleya, Zlatopol, Zhytomyr, Fastov, Boyarka, Mirgorod, Priluki, Nezhin, Vylkove, Izmail, and Odesa Oblast indicate a potential expansion and intensification of the conflict. Confirmed attacks on Odesa and Bryansk resulted in damage to residential buildings and a fire near the "Druzhba" oil pipeline distribution station. The threat of attack drones has been called off across all regions.
- Bryansk (Russia): Two Ukrainian drones were shot down. Reports that drones attacked Mamai, with an explosion near the "Druzhba" oil pipeline distribution station. The region is reportedly under attack, with a series of explosions in the sky above the city. A fire has broken out in one of the districts. The Russian Ministry of Defense claims to have intercepted several Ukrainian drones. 26 drones were destroyed overnight. Five Ukrainian drones were destroyed overnight. Three Ukrainian drones were shot down in the Bryansk region overnight.
- Tver (Russia): A fuel transfer station was reportedly attacked. A drone was shot down.
- Belgorod (Russia): A private house was attacked by a drone. One Ukrainian drone was shot down in the Belgorod region overnight. A man died due to a drone attack in Malinovka.
- Several drones were shot down on the approach to Smolensk.
- A drone was destroyed over Lake Ladoga, with no reported damage or casualties.
- Massive Drone Attack: Over 100 drones attacked central Russia and the south overnight. The Russian Ministry of Defense reports that 104 Ukrainian drones were intercepted and destroyed across multiple regions. The enemy reportedly targeted oil refineries, enterprises, and the Smolensk nuclear power plant. Most attacks were repelled, but some fires broke out. Drones attacked the fourth largest oil refinery near Nizhny Novgorod. Ukrainian sources confirm that at least four drones hit the Kstovo oil refinery, causing a large-scale fire.
- Ukrainian air defenses shot down 14 enemy drones in the Sumy region. All 4 enemy drones were shot down in the Lviv region. Ukrainian forces shot down 37 drones overnight. New groups of enemy drones have been reported in the northeast of Chernihiv region.
- Numerous reports indicate a significant number of drones active across Ukraine, with specific movements noted.
- Ukrainian air defenses shot down 14 enemy drones in the Sumy region. Three drones were shot down in Sumy region overnight. All 4 enemy drones were shot down in the Lviv region.
- Ukrainian forces report destroying over 500 enemy aerial targets in the past week. Ukrainian air defense is actively engaging enemy drones in Kyiv Oblast.
- Explosions in Ivano-Frankivsk Oblast: Media reports indicate explosions during an ongoing drone attack.
- Chernihiv and Sumy: Ukrainian Air Force reports enemy drones moving towards Chernihiv and Sumy from the northeast. The Air Force reports that drones are moving through Sumy towards Chernihiv and Poltava. Drones are moving through Poltava/Chernihiv towards Kyiv Oblast.
- Ivano-Frankivsk Oblast: One drone is flying between Ivano-Frankivsk and Kolomyia.
- Ternopil Oblast: Two drones have moved from Khmelnytskyi Oblast to the south of Ternopil Oblast.
- Vinnytsia Oblast: One drone is in the south of Vinnytsia Oblast.
- Kirovohrad Oblast: Three drones are in Pervomaisk district. Another drone is in the eastern part of the region, moving west.
- Cherkasy Oblast: One drone is circling east of Smila. Two drones are north of Uman, moving west. A drone is reported north of Kamyanske, moving north. Another drone is reported in the north of the region, moving west.
- Chernihiv Oblast: Two drones are in the Nizhyn area. One drone is moving towards Chernihiv from the northeast. Other drones are reported in the west and east of the region, moving west.
- Kyiv Oblast: Drones are reported on the border of Cherkasy and Kyiv Oblasts. Debris from a downed drone fell near a metro station in Kyiv, damaging a building.
- Kirovohrad Oblast: Drones are reported in the south of Kirovohrad Oblast.
- Vinnytsia Oblast: Drones are reported in the northeast and northwest of Vinnytsia Oblast.
- Khmelnytskyi Oblast: Drones are reported in the west of Khmelnytskyi Oblast. One drone is moving north-west.
- Ivano-Frankivsk Oblast: Drones are reported in the center of Ivano-Frankivsk Oblast.
- Mykolaiv Oblast: Drones are reported in the northwest of Mykolaiv Oblast. A drone was detected in the region, changing direction towards the region. A drone reportedly flew over Snihurivka heading south. A drone is approaching Mykolaiv via Voskresenske. A drone flew past Mykolaiv and headed towards Voznesenskyi district. One drone flew past Mykolaiv and moved on to Voznesenskyi district.
- Chernihiv Oblast: Drones are reported in the west and southwest of Chernihiv Oblast. A drone is in the south of Chernihiv Oblast heading towards Kyiv Oblast.
- Poltava Oblast: A drone is reported in the north, constantly changing course. The death toll in Poltava has risen to eleven. The death toll in Poltava has risen to twelve, including two children, with seventeen injured and twenty-two rescued.
- The Ukrainian General Staff reported on the presence of Russian warships and missile carriers in the Black Sea, Sea of Azov, and Mediterranean Sea.
- Ukrainian forces report repelling a drone attack in the Rostov region.
- Ukrainian forces report that Russia launched 100 drones overnight, with 65 shot down by Ukrainian air defenses.
- Russian air defense reportedly continues to shoot down drones launched by Ukrainian forces in multiple regions. Five drones were destroyed over the Smolensk region, two over the Belgorod region, two over the Bryansk region, and one over Crimea. Five Ukrainian drones were destroyed over the Bryansk, Belgorod, and Kursk regions overnight.
- Russian security forces detained a man in Bashkiria who was attempting to join the "Freedom of Russia Legion" (banned in Russia) and cross the border into Ukraine.
- Russian forces report destroying a Ukrainian "Baba Yaga" drone with a sniper rifle in the Kursk region. Another "Baba Yaga" drone was eliminated.
- Ukrainian forces have reportedly transferred a sabotage and reconnaissance group to Belopolye (Sumy Oblast) on armored fighting vehicles, which was detected and destroyed by Russian drone operators.
- "Birds of Magyar" unit reports destroying 4,387 enemy targets in one month, including 1,298 enemy soldiers, 66 tanks, 174 armored combat vehicles, 87 artillery systems, 17 MLRS, 9 EW systems, 506 vehicles, and 205 fortified positions. 100 new drone crews will be trained by the end of March.
- Sumy Oblast: New groups of drones are entering the region. An explosion was heard near Sumy. Seven drones are reported in the north of the region. Russians attacked the Sadivska community at night with a "Shahed" drone. According to preliminary information, there were no casualties.
- Russian forces destroyed a Ukrainian "Kozak" armored vehicle with a "Lancet" loitering munition in the Kursk region.
- Poltava Oblast: A drone is reported over the city. A drone is flying over Zolotonosha towards Dnipropetrovsk Oblast.
- Dnipropetrovsk Oblast: A drone is flying over Zlatopil. Three new drones are heading towards/through Nikopol.
- Chernihiv Oblast: Three drones are reported in the north of the region. A drone is reported near or over Shostka.
- New Developments: In Russia, a ground control station for swarms of drones has been created. It is designed to work with an unlimited number of drones using a single device. The station can put an entire swarm of drones into sleep mode. This was announced by the official representative of the design bureau that developed the new product. The ground station is already being used in the SVO zone. Notably, it is a small box where the Hermes transmitter is inserted. Thus, the operator can control an unlimited number of drones from one console. There is also the possibility to create a swarm. The device can simultaneously put hundreds of drones into hibernation mode. The ground control station allows for unhindered operation in the area of electronic warfare. It operates in parallel on different frequencies, using two to four different communication channels. With the help of one unit, it is possible to use receivers of different performance. Fighters of the 16th Special Forces Brigade destroyed a Ukrainian T-72 tank with three FPV drones in the Novosergievka area.
- Caspian Marines are using drones with fiber optic cables to destroy NATO equipment. The drones are immune to anti-drone rifles and electronic warfare systems. The drone operators change their location after each launch.
- A Russian FPV drone reportedly found and destroyed a Ukrainian vehicle behind the front lines in Pisarevka, Sumy Oblast, 13 kilometers from the line of contact. This demonstrates the increasing reach and effectiveness of Russian drone operations.
- The Ukrainian Navy reported that naval personnel "landed" a Russian "Shahed" drone overnight.
- The Russian Ministry of Defense reports that 104 Ukrainian drones were intercepted and destroyed: 47 over Kursk Oblast, 27 over Bryansk Oblast, 11 over Smolensk Oblast, 7 over Tver Oblast, 4 over Belgorod Oblast, 3 over Nizhny Novgorod Oblast, 3 over Kaluga Oblast, 1 over Rostov Oblast, 1 over Leningrad Oblast.
- The new drone movements include 4 drones heading towards or through Vylkove, 4 drones flying past Vylkove towards Kiliia, 4 drones from the Black Sea towards the Izmail district, 2 drones from Vinnytsia Oblast entering Khmelnytskyi Oblast, 1 drone in the south of Vinnytsia Oblast heading northwest, 2 drones from Zhytomyr Oblast heading towards or through Shepetivka, 1 drone
Military Analysis
The military situation in Ukraine remains critical, with Russian forces making significant advances, particularly in the Donetsk region. The situation in Pokrovsk is especially precarious, with Russian forces nearing Myrnohrad and cutting off a key route to Dnipro. In Chasiv Yar, Russian forces control a significant portion of the city, while in Kurakhove, most of the city has been captured. The situation in Toretsk is dire, with Ukrainian defenses under immense strain.
In the Luhansk region, Russian forces are advancing towards the western border, with battles ongoing near Nadiivka, Petropavlivka, Zakhidne, and Ivanivka. The Ukrainian counteroffensive in the Kursk region has stalled, with Russian forces regaining territory and inflicting heavy casualties on Ukrainian and reportedly North Korean troops.
Drone warfare remains a defining feature of the conflict, with both sides employing UAVs extensively. The scale of the drone attacks, with over 100 drones targeting central Russia and the south, indicates an escalation in this aspect of the conflict. The targeting of oil refineries and other critical infrastructure demonstrates the strategic importance of these attacks.
The Ukrainian Air Force reports significant activity, with the downing of numerous enemy drones and the ongoing threat of guided aerial bombs. The situation in Kharkiv remains tense, with multiple reports of drone attacks and explosions.
The involvement of North Korean soldiers in the Kursk region, as reported, adds another dimension to the conflict, potentially signaling an expansion of external support for Russian operations.
The new developments regarding drone warfare, including the creation of a ground control station for drone swarms in Russia and the use of fiber optic cables by Caspian Marines, highlight the evolving technological landscape of the conflict. These advancements could significantly impact the effectiveness of drone operations and electronic warfare countermeasures.
The extensive use of drones by both sides underscores the importance of electronic warfare capabilities and air defense systems. The ability to detect, track, and neutralize enemy drones will be crucial for both offensive and defensive operations.
The ongoing fighting in the Donetsk and Luhansk regions, coupled with the stalled counteroffensive in Kursk, suggests a shift in momentum towards Russian forces. The capture of key locations like Velyka Novosilka and the advances near Pokrovsk and Kurakhove are significant strategic victories for Russia.
The Ukrainian military is facing significant challenges in maintaining defensive positions and countering Russian advances. The reported losses in personnel and equipment, particularly in the Kursk region, are substantial and will likely impact Ukraine's ability to sustain its war effort.
The international dimension of the conflict remains complex, with the US confirming a 90-day freeze on most foreign aid, including military aid to Ukraine. However, the Biden administration's decision to overturn the suspension of federal grants and financial aid programs may provide some relief.
The ongoing attacks on civilian infrastructure, as seen in the drone attacks on Kharkiv and the shelling in Horlivka and Sudzha, indicate a deliberate strategy to disrupt Ukrainian services, impact civilian morale, and potentially displace populations.
The new reports of drone movements across multiple regions of Ukraine indicate a potential expansion and intensification of the conflict. The confirmed attacks on Odesa and Bryansk resulted in damage to residential buildings and a fire near the "Druzhba" oil pipeline distribution station, highlighting the vulnerability of critical infrastructure.
The Russian Ministry of Defense's report of intercepting 104 Ukrainian drones across multiple regions underscores the scale of the drone warfare and the ongoing efforts to counter these attacks. The targeting of oil refineries, enterprises, and the Smolensk nuclear power plant by Ukrainian drones demonstrates the strategic importance of these attacks and the potential for significant disruption.
The reported use of 3D-printed mines by Russian forces near Vuhledar represents a new development in mine warfare, potentially indicating an adaptation to resource constraints or an attempt to develop more readily available and customizable explosive devices.
The Ukrainian General Staff's report of 40 out of 110 combat clashes occurring in the Pokrovsk direction highlights the intensity of the fighting in this area and its strategic importance for both sides.
The destruction of a bridge across the Sukhi Yaly River by Russian aviation near Konstantinopol demonstrates the ongoing efforts to disrupt Ukrainian logistics and supply lines.
The reported embezzlement of funds allocated for the construction of fortifications in the Kursk region, if confirmed, could have significant implications for the effectiveness of defensive structures and the overall morale of Russian forces.
The Ukrainian Armed Forces' claim of destroying a command post of the "Kursk" troop grouping in Rylsk suggests ongoing efforts to target Russian command and control capabilities.
The reported movements of Russian forces, including the deployment of paratroopers to the Sudzhansky district and the ongoing advances near Sverdlykove and Guevo, indicate a continued offensive posture in the Kursk region.
The Ukrainian forces' reported use of FPV drones with cluster munitions in Horlivka represents a potential escalation in the use of these weapons and could have significant implications for the conduct of urban warfare.
The Ukrainian General Staff's confirmation of the Russian airstrike on the boarding school in Sudzha and the subsequent accusations and counter-accusations between Ukrainian and Russian officials highlight the ongoing information warfare and the challenges of verifying claims in the midst of conflict.
The reported movements of Ukrainian drones across multiple regions, including Chernihiv, Sumy, Ivano-Frankivsk, Ternopil, Vinnytsia, Kirovohrad, Cherkasy, Poltava, Starokonstantinov, Bereznegovatoye, Pavlograd, Balakleya, Zlatopol, Zhytomyr, Fastov, Boyarka, Mirgorod, Priluki, Nezhin, Vylkove, Izmail, and Odesa, indicate a potential expansion and intensification of the conflict. The confirmed attacks on Odesa and Bryansk resulted in damage to residential buildings and a fire near the "Druzhba" oil pipeline distribution station, highlighting the vulnerability of critical infrastructure.
The Russian Ministry of Defense's report of intercepting 104 Ukrainian drones across multiple regions underscores the scale of the drone warfare and the ongoing efforts to counter these attacks. The targeting of oil refineries, enterprises, and the Smolensk nuclear power plant by Ukrainian drones demonstrates the strategic importance of these attacks and the potential for significant disruption.
The reported use of 3D-printed mines by Russian forces near Vuhledar represents a new development in mine warfare, potentially indicating an adaptation to resource constraints or an attempt to develop more readily available and customizable explosive devices.
The Ukrainian General Staff's report of 40 out of 110 combat clashes occurring in the Pokrovsk direction highlights the intensity of the fighting in this area and its strategic importance for both sides.
The destruction of a bridge across the Sukhi Yaly River by Russian aviation near Konstantinopol demonstrates the ongoing efforts to disrupt Ukrainian logistics and supply lines.
The reported embezzlement of funds allocated for the construction of fortifications in the Kursk region, if confirmed, could have significant implications for the effectiveness of defensive structures and the overall morale of Russian forces.
The Ukrainian Armed Forces' claim of destroying a command post of the "Kursk" troop grouping in Rylsk suggests ongoing efforts to target Russian command and control capabilities.
The reported movements of Russian forces, including the deployment of paratroopers to the Sudzhansky district and the ongoing advances near Sverdlykove and Guevo, indicate a continued offensive posture in the Kursk region.
The Ukrainian forces' reported use of FPV drones with cluster munitions in Horlivka represents a potential escalation in the use of these weapons and could have significant implications for the conduct of urban warfare.
The Ukrainian General Staff's confirmation of the Russian airstrike on the boarding school in Sudzha and the subsequent accusations and counter-accusations between Ukrainian and Russian officials highlight the ongoing information warfare and the challenges of verifying claims in the midst of conflict.
The new messages add further details to the ongoing conflict. The all-clear signals from various Ukrainian sources, including the Air Force and regional military administrations, indicate that the immediate threat of air or missile attacks has subsided across multiple regions. This suggests a temporary de-escalation in aerial attacks, providing a brief respite for the affected areas.
The report from the "Butusov Plus" Telegram channel provides a detailed account of the activities of the newly created 414th Separate Unmanned Systems Brigade, also known as the "Birds of Magyar" unit. The unit claims to have destroyed or damaged 4,387 enemy targets in January 2025, with an average of 140 targets per day. This includes 1,298 enemy personnel, with 830 killed and 468 wounded. The report also mentions the destruction of significant military equipment, including tanks, armored vehicles, artillery systems, and other vehicles.
The specific breakdown of targets and the claimed increase in effectiveness compared to December 2024 (+47.7%) suggest a highly active and potentially effective use of drone warfare by Ukrainian forces. The mention of using FPV (first-person view) drones highlights the tactical importance of these systems in targeting enemy assets with precision.
The "Birds of Magyar" unit's report also mentions training 100 new drone crews by the end of March, indicating an ongoing effort to expand drone warfare capabilities.
The detention of an agent in Odesa, accused of spying on Ukrainian naval vessels for the