Updated Analysis of the Military Situation in Ukraine: January 31, 2025
Major Updates
Velyka Novosilka: Confirmed under complete Russian control. Encirclement is complete, with Russian flags raised throughout the town. Video evidence shows soldiers raising the Russian flag. Russian forces are advancing from Velyka Novosilka towards Dnipropetrovsk.
Pokrovsk: The situation is highly precarious. Russian forces are within 2 kilometers of Myrnohrad, with fierce battles near Yelyzavetivka, Vodyane Druhe, and Baranivka. Residents of Myrnohrad are urged to evacuate. Hospitals in Kryvyi Rih are being upgraded with shelters and backup power. Russian forces report advances towards Pershe Travnia (Leontovychi), Novosergievka, and Lysivka. One of the two routes from Krasnoarmiisk (Pokrovsk) to Dnipro has been cut off. Ukrainian forces report repelling attacks near multiple locations, with two combat clashes ongoing. Russian airstrikes with guided aerial bombs were reported near Bilytske, Pokrovsk, and Odradne. The enemy is deploying reserves to Pokrovsk, utilizing the city's multi-story buildings for defense. Russian troops are conducting a flanking maneuver, supported by thorough reconnaissance. The Ukrainian Air Force reports the launch of guided aerial bombs by enemy tactical aviation in the south of the Donetsk region. With heavy fighting, Russian forces are moving in the Pokrovsk area and have achieved tactical successes. Video evidence shows the aftermath of an artillery strike on Ukrainian positions near Pokrovsk. Russian forces report that they have entered Novoselivka Persha and are advancing towards the Pokrovsk-Konstantinovka highway. A Ukrainian soldier from the US-trained 153rd Brigade was captured near Pokrovsk. Russian forces are advancing, with battles ongoing near Udachne. The intensity of the fighting is comparable to that in Chasiv Yar. Ukrainian forces have reportedly lost the village of Novoselivka Persha. Ukrainian forces report repelling 7 Russian assaults in the Pokrovsk direction.
Toretsk: Ukrainian defenses are under immense strain, with less than 15% of the city under their control. Battles are ongoing on the northern outskirts and near several mines. Ukrainian forces report battles for the "Toretska" mine, described as their last defense node, with 90-95% of the city under Russian control. A T-64 tank of the 28th Ukrainian Brigade reportedly repelled a Russian assault near Toretsk, destroying a building used by Russian forces. Ukrainian defenses have nearly collapsed. The Ukrainian Armed Forces are holding on to the last defense hubs in Dzerzhynsk (Toretsk). A Russian mechanized assault on Ukrainian positions on December 30, 2024, was repelled. Intense fighting is ongoing on the outskirts of Toretsk.
Drone Warfare: Intensified drone warfare continues, with multiple attacks reported across various regions. A massive overnight attack involved over 100 drones targeting central Russia and the south. Ukrainian forces report shooting down 14 enemy drones in the Sumy region and are actively engaging enemy drones in multiple regions. New groups of drones are reported moving towards the Kirovohrad, Mykolaiv, and Kharkiv regions. Drones are reported near Nikopol and Hurivka. The head of the Dnipropetrovsk Regional Council advises residents of frontline communities to evacuate. The Ukrainian Air Force reports a threat of guided aerial bombs being launched by tactical aircraft in the Zaporizhzhia region. An air raid alert has been declared in the Zaporizhzhia region. Explosions were reported in Zaporizhzhia near the port area, with casualties and damage reported. A high-speed target was reported moving from Mykolaiv region towards Kirovohrad region. The Ukrainian Air Force reports possible anti-aircraft activity against an enemy drone. The Ukrainian Air Force warns of an enemy drone approaching Kharkiv from the northwest. A high-speed target was reported in the region. The Ukrainian Air Force reports a high-speed target moving from Sumy Oblast towards Poltava Oblast. Overnight, a drone attack targeted a civilian enterprise in the Novobavarskyi district, causing a large fire, damage to a gas pipe and 5 vehicles. Two civilians suffered acute stress reactions. Two drones fell in the Kyivskyi district. In the Rohanska community, a drone attack destroyed a private house and garage, injuring 2 people. In Shestakove, a drone attack caused a fire in a destroyed private house, with no reported casualties. The Ukrainian Air Force reports a threat of Russian drone attacks in Donetsk and Kharkiv Oblasts. Ukrainian air defenses shot down 14 enemy drones in the Sumy region. All 4 enemy drones were shot down in the Lviv region. Ukrainian forces shot down 37 drones overnight. New groups of enemy drones have been reported in the northeast of Chernihiv region. Four drones are heading towards or through Vylkove. Four drones flew past Vylkove towards Kiliia. Four drones are moving from the Black Sea towards the Izmail district. Two drones are moving from Vinnytsia Oblast to Khmelnytskyi Oblast. One drone is in the south of Vinnytsia Oblast, with a northwesterly course. Two drones are moving from Zhytomyr Oblast towards or through Shepetivka. One drone is moving from the Bilotserkivskyi district to Zhytomyr Oblast. One drone is approaching Kyiv via Brovary. One drone is north of Kyiv Oblast, heading towards or through Hostomel. One drone is heading towards or through Vasylkiv. Two drones are in the east of Kyiv Oblast. Four drones are circling in the east of Chernihiv Oblast. One drone is in the south of Kirovohrad Oblast, with a western course. New groups of "Shahed" drones are moving from the Black Sea towards Odesa Oblast. Three new drones are moving from the Black Sea towards the Izmail district. New alerts for multiple regions, including Mykolaiv, Vinnytsia, Zhytomyr, Kirovohrad, Cherkasy, Boryspil, Vasylkiv, and Kyiv. Confirmed drone movements across various regions. Ukrainian air defenses shot down 14 enemy drones in the Sumy region. Three drones were shot down in Sumy region overnight. All 4 enemy drones were shot down in the Lviv region.
Kursk Region: Fighting intensity is compared to the battles of Bakhmut and Avdiivka. Ukrainian forces will attempt to hold their occupied portion of the region for 100 days. Reports indicate contractors allegedly embezzled over 3 billion rubles allocated for fortifications construction. Ukrainian forces claim to have destroyed a command post of the "Kursk" troop grouping of the Russian Armed Forces in Rylsk. Heavy fighting continues near Nikolsky. Russian forces report the capture of Nikolaevo-Daryino, Cherkasskoye Porechnoye, and Malaya Loknya. North Korean forces have reportedly withdrawn from some areas, possibly due to heavy losses. Ukrainian forces repelled 7 Russian assaults in the Kursk region. Ukrainian forces are using drones to destroy a column of Russian armored vehicles near the border between Kursk and Sumy regions. Ukrainian forces from the 73rd Naval Special Operations Center are conducting operations in the Kursk region, collecting data on Russian and North Korean troops. Russian forces, supported by artillery and FPV drones, destroyed a Ukrainian BMP-2 in the Kursk region. Heavy flamethrower systems TOS-1A "Solntsepek" crews reportedly destroyed strongholds of the Ukrainian Armed Forces in a border area of the Kursk region. Nikolaevo-Daryino has been cleared, with the enemy making careless and unsuccessful counterattacks. Heavy fighting in the eastern part of the settlement. Russian forces are bypassing Sudzha from the south. Video evidence shows Ukrainian forces destroying a column of Russian armored vehicles near the border between Kursk and Sumy regions. Refugees from the Kursk region are protesting and demanding a meeting with the acting governor. Russian forces are advancing in the Kursk region, with ongoing battles near Sverdlykove and in nearby forested areas. Ukrainian forces have reportedly deployed over 100 paratroopers to the Sudzhansky district for a counterattack near Nikolsky. Nikolaevo-Daryino has been cleared, with the enemy making careless and unsuccessful counterattacks.
Kharkiv Region: Russian forces have taken control of Novomlynsk. The Ukrainian Air Force reports launches of guided aerial bombs by enemy tactical aviation in the north of the region. Explosions were reported in Kharkiv and Chuhuiv districts. Reports indicate that Ukrainian forces successfully repelled a Russian attack near Vovchansk. Kupiansk is under renewed heavy shelling. Russian forces report that they are beginning to storm Kupyansk.
Luhansk Region: Russian forces report advances near Nadiivka, Petropavlivka, Zakhidne, and Ivanivka, advancing towards the western border of the Luhansk People's Republic. Russian forces have captured Zakhidne and Ivanivka and are advancing towards the western border of the Luhansk People's Republic. An "operational cauldron" is forming around Ukrainian forces near Novoyehorivka. In the direction of Hrekivka, Russian forces are developing an offensive from Makiivka, with an advance of 400m.
Zaporizhzhia Region: Russian forces report destroying a group of foreign mercenaries, including an Austrian special forces veteran, near Orikhiv. At least five people were injured in attacks on Zaporizhzhia, Kupiansk, and the Dnipropetrovsk region. Russia attacked the Zaporizhzhia region 401 times overnight.
International Aid:Finland is providing Ukraine with a new aid package worth nearly 200 million euros. Great Britain will provide up to £2 billion for air defense systems and missiles. The EU has approved a 35 billion euro financial aid package for Ukraine. The status of US aid remains uncertain, with a confirmed 90-day suspension. Sweden has announced a $1.2 billion military aid package for Ukraine. $90 million will be spent on the production of long-range missiles and drones for Ukraine. Croatia announced the preparation of the 12th package of military-technical assistance for Ukraine.
Casualties: Reports of significant North Korean casualties, estimated between 300 to 4,000 killed. Over 360 Ukrainian troops have been reported killed in the Kursk region in the past 24 hours, with five surrendering.
Russian Advances: Russian forces report advances in multiple directions, including near Nadiivka, Petropavlivka, Zakhidne, Ivanivka, Sverdlikovo, Guevo, Alekseevka, Uspenivka, Kotlyne, Tsarskoye Stavok, Dolgoprudnaya Balka, and Novosergievka. Solone has reportedly been liberated by Russian forces. Russian forces report further advances near Dachne, Andriivka, Slov'yanka, and Novoandriivka. Russian forces, with an advance near Terniv, have improved their tactical position and destroyed three strongholds, a Western artillery installation, and several Ukrainian vehicles. Russian troops are trying to encircle Dachne to the west of Kurakhove.
Equipment Losses: Video evidence shows the destruction of an M113, a "Spartan" armored personnel carrier, and an M1A1SA "Abrams" tank by Russian FPV drones. An enemy M1A1SA "Abrams" tank of American production was burned in the area of Sokol, Donetsk region.
Strategic Session on AI: A strategic session on the use of artificial intelligence in weapons and command and control systems took place at the 'ERA' technopolis in Russia.
Coordination Headquarters for the Treatment of Prisoners of War: Held an online meeting with the families of the soldiers of the reactive artillery division of the 36th separate marine brigade named after Rear Admiral Mykhailo Bilinsky.
Other: Explosions were reported in Berdyansk near the port area. Structures at Domodedovo airport are reportedly under foreign control. A delegation from Georgia has suspended its work in the PACE. The new Syrian authorities have requested compensation from Russia to restore trust. Italian journalist Andrea Lucidi has been granted Russian citizenship. All property of Oleksiy Poroshenko, son of former Ukrainian President Petro Poroshenko, has been arrested for ignoring draft notices. The Ukrainian Navy's Recruitment Center and the 429th separate regiment of unmanned systems of the Armed Forces of Ukraine are recruiting. A drone attack in Belgorod resulted in the deaths of a woman and a two-year-old child. A top official in the Kyiv City State Administration is accused of faking a disability to avoid military service. The independent Russian-language publication ASTRA is seeking donations. A tent has been set up in Moscow to collect funds for the needs of the front. Two organizers of a scheme to help draft dodgers leave Ukraine have been exposed in Odesa. The Russian Ministry of Defense reported on repelling a Ukrainian attempt to invade Russian territory in the Kursk region, claiming significant Ukrainian losses. Explosions were reported in Horlivka, with claims of attacks on Russian military positions. Russian forces targeted Ukrainian positions in the Kursk region with Su-25 aircraft, launching missiles at low altitudes.
Chasiv Yar: Russian forces control approximately 20% of the refractory plant and about half of the city's urban area, including the Novyi district. Fighting continues in the Sievernyi district. Russian forces have reportedly cleared the Novosjeverny district and the summit of the "Block-9" spoil tip at the refractory plant. Heavy flamethrower systems TOS-1A "Solntsepek" crews reportedly destroyed strongholds of the Ukrainian Armed Forces. Russian forces have reportedly made a breakthrough in Chasiv Yar, with the enemy losing a number of strongholds. Russian troops are completing the cleanup of the Severnyi microdistrict and are destroying Ukrainian forces in the Shevchenko microdistrict. Russian units also took positions in the buildings south of the Chasiv Yar Refractory Plant and advanced in the area of the Dolgoe-II tract south of the Novyi microdistrict. In the northern part of Chasiv Yar, fighting is ongoing for the remaining part of the Novosjeverny microdistrict. The Ukrainian Armed Forces are concentrating forces in the area of Dniprovska Street in the Shevchenko microdistrict, trying to hold the south of the city. After the occupation of the spoil tip, Russian FPV drones are attacking Ukrainian infantry and burning equipment on the road. There are reports of battles on the southwestern outskirts of the city. Russian forces are advancing towards Chasiv Yar from the southwest. There have been no significant changes in the last 24 hours, but the initiative remains with the Russian forces, who continue the assault on Chasiv Yar.
Kurakhove: An unexploded 155mm shell was found in the bell tower of an old church. Active combat is taking place in the Kurakhove-Sukhi Yaly area. A Russian assault group was targeted near Ulakly, with a reported advance of over 2.5 km along the northern bank of the Mokri Yaly River near Zelenivka. The "Warrior DV" Telegram channel released a video showing the destruction of a Ukrainian "Kozak" armored vehicle with troops inside using an FPV drone in this area. Heavy fighting is reported in the eastern part of Andriivka, with Russian forces advancing from Shevchenko and Petropavlivka. The capture of Andriivka is strategically important for the defense of Ukrainian forces. To the west of Kurakhove, Russian troops are attempting to advance in the Dachne and Andriivka areas.
Siversk - Verkhnokamyanske: Active combat operations are taking place in the area of Siversk. Russian forces launched an attack with a motorized rifle unit towards Verkhnokamyanske, resulting in the landing of troops in the central part of the settlement. Russian forces reportedly advanced 1.5 km in the Siversk direction and occupied new positions in Verkhnokamyanske. Ukrainian positions were assaulted, and a residential area was cleared by a Russian assault group.
Kramatorsk Direction: Russian forces have advanced south of Rozlyv and expanded their control in the Dachne area. In Kramatorsk, 13 people were injured due to a Russian attack, including two children. A person was killed in Ivanopil, and another person was wounded in Chasiv Yar. Increased Russian assault activities reported.
Dnipropetrovsk: The "Operation Z: Voenkory Russkoy Vesny" Telegram channel reports that authorities in the Dnipropetrovsk region are preparing for the evacuation of the population due to the approaching front line. The analysis of a video showing a checkpoint at the border between Dnipropetrovsk and Donetsk oblasts, with audible explosions, underscores the escalating conflict and the increasing proximity of the fighting to previously secure areas.
Dachne: The 68th regiment is storming Dachne. Half of the settlement has been cleared of enemy forces. UAV crews are hunting down scattered groups of Ukrainian militants, covering the advance of the assault troops, who are already fighting in the center of the settlement.
Novoyeлизаvetovka: The Russian Ministry of Defense has officially declared the liberation of the settlement.
Zverevo, Solone, Uspenivka, Dachne, Kotlyne, Andriivka: Russian forces are making advances.
Bogatyrskoe: Russian assault groups have advanced to the area of Alekseevka.
Zelenovka: Fierce fighting is reported.
Vuhledar: Russian sappers discovered mines made with 3D printers.
Sukhi Yaly River: Russian artillerymen are targeting Ukrainian forces.
Borova Direction: Ukrainian forces have established positions northeast and east of Zelenyi Hai. Russian forces are advancing on the western bank of the Zherebets River.
Explosions in Ivano-Frankivsk Oblast: Media reports indicate explosions during an ongoing drone attack.
Air Raid Alerts: Air raid alerts in Kyiv and six regions of Ukraine. Half of Ukraine is under air raid alert due to enemy UAVs in the airspace. An air raid alert has been declared and later lifted.
Mykolaiv: Two people were killed as a result of a Russian missile strike on a food industry enterprise during the night. The head of the Kherson Regional Military Administration warns of a possible massive shelling of Kherson and the suburbs by Russian forces. A cruise missile was reported south of Bashtanka, course northwest. A missile was reported in the Voznesensk area, course unchanged.
Odesa:
Damage to residential buildings and civilian casualties were reported due to a Russian drone attack.
An attack on the port infrastructure was reported.
There is damage to residential buildings due to a Russian drone attack.
Four cars caught fire.
Explosions were reported in Odesa.
An air raid alert has been declared in Izmail, with reports that drones are approaching the city.
Cherkasy:
Overnight drone attack reported, with air defenses active and damage to an energy infrastructure facility in Uman.
The city is under threat from an enemy drone approaching from the southeast.
Cherkasy Oblast was attacked overnight, with air defenses active.
A headquarters for coordinating emergency response has been established in the Umansky district.
There is reported damage in the area.
Sumy:
Eight people have died, and 13 were injured as a result of a drone hitting an apartment building. The number of deaths has increased to nine. Emergency work at the site of the "Shahed" drone attack on Sumy has been completed.
Infrastructure facilities were damaged.
A Shahed drone hit an apartment building, resulting in at least 7 injuries, including a child, and 1 death.
A rescue operation is underway for a woman trapped under debris.
A headquarters for emergency response will be set up.
Synelnykivskyi district of the Dnipropetrovsk region, a lyceum was destroyed as a result of a Russian attack.
Chernihiv: A Russian airstrike caused a large fire in Chernihiv. An explosion was reported in the suburbs of Chernihiv, attributed to a Shahed drone. Russian forces attacked non-residential facilities with drones.
Ivano-Frankivsk: The region is under threat of an enemy drone attack. The region is under threat of an enemy drone attack from the northeast.
Dnipropetrovsk: The city of Dnipro is under threat from an enemy drone approaching from the southeast. A second explosion was reported in Dnipro. Three drones were shot down in the Dnipropetrovsk region overnight.
Bryansk (Russia):
Two Ukrainian drones were shot down.
Reports that drones attacked the village of Mamai, with an explosion near the "Druzhba" oil pipeline distribution station.
The Bryansk region is reportedly under attack, with a series of explosions in the sky above the city.
A fire has broken out in one of the districts.
The Russian Ministry of Defense claims to have intercepted several Ukrainian drones over the Bryansk region.
26 drones were destroyed over the Bryansk region overnight.
Residents of Klimovo and Novozybkov in the Bryansk region reported explosions and subsequent fires. It is alleged that drones attempted to attack the "Novozybkov" oil pumping station of the "Druzhba" pipeline.
Tver (Russia):
A fuel transfer station was reportedly attacked by Ukrainian drones.
A drone was shot down.
Belgorod (Russia): A private house was attacked by a drone.
Several drones were shot down on the approach to Smolensk.
A drone was destroyed over Lake Ladoga, with no reported damage or casualties.
Massive Drone Attack:
Over 100 drones attacked central Russia and the south overnight.
The Russian Ministry of Defense reports that 104 Ukrainian drones were intercepted and destroyed.
The enemy reportedly targeted oil refineries, enterprises, and the Smolensk nuclear power plant.
Most attacks were repelled, but some fires broke out at the targeted facilities.
Drones attacked the fourth largest oil refinery near Nizhny Novgorod.
Kyiv:
Enemy UAVs are in the vicinity of the city, with air defenses engaging.
Debris from a downed drone fell in the Desnianskyi district, causing a fire.
Explosions have been reported, indicating a possible air attack or air defense activity.
Lipetsk (Russia): An air danger regime has been declared.
Military Equipment:
Ukrainian forces received 290 new drones.
FPV drones, drone operators destroyed 21 and wounded 40 North Korean soldiers, used to destroy a column of Russian armored vehicles near the border between Kursk and Sumy regions, successfully destroyed a Ukrainian T-72M1 tank in the Kursk border area, used for 6 minutes of continuous strikes by Ukrainian forces on Russian positions and personnel in the Kursk region. A Russian FPV drone destroyed a Ukrainian "Kozak" armored vehicle in the Kursk region.
UAVs, Ukrainian air defenses shot down 14 enemy drones in the Sumy region, Ukrainian forces shot down 37 drones overnight, Ukrainian forces shot down 39 drones overnight, used for attack on Kharkiv hit a private sector in the Kholodnohirskyi district, used for attack on residential buildings in Odesa, used for attack on an energy infrastructure facility in Uman, used for attack on an apartment building in Sumy, used for attack on a residential building in Sumy. Ukrainian forces targeted and destroyed a Russian "Orlan" UAV ground control station using a missile strike.
A Russian Mi-28NM helicopter destroyed a Ukrainian stronghold in the border area of the Kursk region.
Heavy flamethrower systems TOS-1A "Solntsepek" used to attack concentrations of militants in Chasiv Yar.
Russian forces targeted Ukrainian positions in the Kursk region with Su-25 aircraft, launching missiles at low altitudes.
Guided aerial bombs used by enemy tactical aviation in the north of Kharkiv region, used by enemy tactical aviation on Dobropillya in the Donetsk region.
"Shahed" Drones:** Russia launched another attack on Ukraine using "Shahed" drones.
Guided Aerial Bombs:** The Ukrainian Air Force reports the use of guided aerial bombs on the Sumy region.
2S43 Malva Self-Propelled Howitzer:** Ukrainian forces successfully targeted and damaged a Russian 2S43 Malva.
Leopard 2A6 tank decoys:** Reportedly proven effective, drawing attacks from Russian drones.
BM-21 "Grad" and ZRK "Strela-10":** Russian airborne forces used these systems to target Ukrainian positions and a "Valkyrie" drone near Chasiv Yar and Artemivsk.
Ka-52M helicopters:** Russian forces are using Ka-52M helicopters for airstrikes.
Mi-28NM helicopter:** A Russian Mi-28NM helicopter destroyed a Ukrainian stronghold in the border area of the Kursk region.
BMP-2:** Russian forces, supported by artillery and FPV drones, destroyed a Ukrainian BMP-2 in the Kursk region.
"Courier" ground robotic complex: Russian forces have deployed the "Courier" ground robotic complex, equipped with an AGS-17 automatic grenade launcher, in the Kupyansk area. The system is reportedly designed for delivering ammunition, evacuating wounded, and reconnaissance.
Geopolitical Developments:
The US has confirmed a 90-day freeze on most foreign aid, including military aid to Ukraine.
A Russian politician, Kelin Georgescu, claims that Ukraine is a fictional state and its division is inevitable.
The State Duma of the Russian Federation directed an appeal to the US Congress in connection with information about Biden and Blinken discussing the organization of an assassination attempt on Putin.
Seven hostages released from Gaza have been transferred to the Israeli army and are making their way to Israeli territory.
The cancellation of a meeting between the Slovak Prime Minister and European Commission representatives due to a malfunction in Belgium does not have direct military implications for the situation in Ukraine.
North Korean soldiers are being taught the work of the Lyube group.
The head of the Kharkiv Regional State Administration, Oleg Sinegubov, reported on the situation in Sumy following a Russian drone attack, confirming nine deaths and 13 injuries, including a child. He emphasized the need for international response to Russian aggression.
President Zelensky had a long conversation with Budanov about the tasks, prospects, and various scenarios, as well as a report from Commander-in-Chief Alexander Syrsky.
The National Association of Defense Industry of Ukraine stated that the Ukrainian Armed Forces risk being late by at least two months in receiving necessary weapons due to the conflict between the Ministry of Defense and the Defense Procurement Agency.
The temporarily removed director of the agency, Marina Bezrukova, reported that the conflict led to the cancellation of a number of negotiations with international arms suppliers.
Europe is reportedly preparing for a potential escalation of the conflict.
Turkey has expressed its intention to assist the EU in replacing gas transit through Ukraine.
Lukashenko won the presidential election in Belarus.
Saudi Arabia has purchased over €2 billion worth of arms from Russia.
There are reports of an increase in Israeli arms shipments to Ukraine.
Negotiations for a peaceful settlement may begin in April-May.
A potential "100-day plan" for Ukraine, attributed to Trump, has surfaced.
The EU is considering a UN-mandated peacekeeping mission.
NATO plans to share classified data on military production with the EU.
Russian President Vladimir Putin stated that the conflict in Ukraine could end within 1.5-2 months if Ukraine runs out of "sponsor money and ammo."
Reports suggest that contractors in the Kursk region have allegedly embezzled over 3 billion rubles allocated for the construction of fortifications.
The European Commission is introducing tariffs on a number of agricultural products and nitrogen fertilizers from Russia and Belarus.
NATO Deputy Assistant Secretary General James Appathurai publicly accused Russia of plotting to assassinate Armin Papperger, CEO of Rheinmetall.
The US has reportedly transferred 90 Patriot anti-aircraft guided missiles from Israel to Poland, with the intention of providing them to Ukraine.
Axios reports that Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu approved the transfer of Patriot missiles to Ukraine in exchange for Zelensky allowing the annual pilgrimage of Hasidic Jews to Uman.
Israel breaks off all contacts with UNRWA starting January 30th.
The CIA has changed its position and now favors the lab leak theory for the origin of COVID-19.
Ukrainian gas storage facilities are depleted, requiring urgent gas imports.
The Budgetary Committee of the Bundestag is seeking to allocate €3 billion in military aid to Ukraine.
The Russian ambassador to Vienna stated that Western sanctions have no practical effect and called on the EU to stop "these childish games."
German Chancellor Scholz criticized the "Alternative for Germany" party's support for stricter migration policies, calling it a "bad sign" for the parliament and the country.
Trump threatened to use $330 billion of frozen Russian assets to aid Ukraine in purchasing American weapons.
Ukrainian Foreign Minister Sibiga may meet with US representatives on February 12 to discuss restoring funding.
President Zelensky honored the memory of the Heroes of Kruty and Ukrainian soldiers who have died defending the country.
Croatia announced the preparation of the 12th package of military-technical assistance for Ukraine.
"If the US stops supporting Ukraine, Russia will capture Kyiv and Lviv by 2026," according to The Hill.
Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orbán has threatened to veto EU sanctions against Russia over gas transit, potentially creating another point of friction between Hungary and other EU members.
The US Secretary of State discussed potential control over Greenland with his counterparts, raising questions about US strategic interests in the Arctic region.
A new report from The Guardian highlights increasing cases of desertion among Ukrainian soldiers due to exhaustion and lack of rotation, potentially impacting morale and combat effectiveness.
New Developments:
Drone Capabilities: The Ukrainian military confirmed the use of a long-range drone capable of carrying a 250-kilogram bomb and traveling up to 2000 km with the possibility of return. This development has significant strategic implications, potentially allowing Ukraine to strike targets deep within Russian territory. The confirmed use of a long-range drone capable of carrying a 250-kilogram bomb and traveling up to 2000 km with the possibility of return has significant strategic implications. This new capability potentially allows Ukraine to strike targets deep within Russian territory and could significantly impact the course of the conflict. The Ukrainian military confirms the use of a long-range drone capable of carrying a 250-kilogram bomb and traveling up to 2000 km with the possibility of return. This new capability potentially allows Ukraine to strike targets deep within Russian territory and could significantly impact the course of the conflict.
Netherlands Military Aid: The Netherlands announced a new military aid package for Ukraine, including additional F-16 fighter jets, 400 million euros for drones, and cooperation on long-range weapons projects. This aid package will significantly enhance Ukraine's air and drone capabilities.
US Aid Uncertainty: US Secretary of State Marco Rubio reportedly assured the Italian Foreign Minister that the US will not abandon Ukraine, despite the confirmed 90-day freeze on most foreign aid, including military aid to Ukraine. This development highlights the ongoing uncertainty surrounding US aid to Ukraine and the potential impact on the conflict.
Ammunition Supplies: The Czech Republic has reportedly supplied Ukraine with 1.5 million ammunition rounds, including a third being 155mm artillery shells. This development will help alleviate Ukraine's ammunition shortages and potentially shift the artillery balance in their favor.
Allegations of Ukrainian Atrocities: A captured Ukrainian soldier gave a graphic account of atrocities committed by the 92nd Assault Brigade in the village of Russkoye Porechnoye, Kursk region, including the murder of 22 civilians and the rape of 8 women.
Zaporizhzhia Regional Military Administration: Reported that they provided equipment and technology worth nearly 130 million hryvnias to 45 units of the Defense Forces in January, including over 1500 FPV drones and Mavics, as well as electronic warfare equipment.
Ukrainian Air Force: Reported that 59 out of 102 enemy drones were shot down during the night of January 31, with another 37 "locationally lost" without negative consequences. Reported increased activity of Russian tactical aviation in the north.
Lipetsk Oblast in Russia: Has declared an air danger regime.
Russian Advances: Russian forces are making advances in multiple directions, including near Nadiivka, Petropavlivka, Zakhidne, Ivanivka, Sverdlikovo, Guevo, Alekseevka, Uspenivka, Kotlyne, Tsarskoye Stavok, Dolgoprudnaya Balka, and Novosergievka. Solone has reportedly been liberated by Russian forces. Russian forces report further advances near Dachne, Andriivka, Slov'yanka, and Novoandriivka. Russian forces, with an advance near Terniv, have improved their tactical position and destroyed three strongholds, a Western artillery installation, and several Ukrainian vehicles. Russian troops are trying to encircle Dachne to the west of Kurakhove. Russian forces are advancing, with battles ongoing near Udachne. The intensity of the fighting is comparable to that in Chasiv Yar. Ukrainian forces have reportedly lost the village of Novoselivka Persha. Ukrainian forces report repelling 7 Russian assaults in the Pokrovsk direction. Russian forces have captured Zakhidne and Ivanivka and are advancing towards the western border of the Luhansk People's Republic. An "operational cauldron" is forming around Ukrainian forces near Novoyehorivka. In the direction of Hrekivka, Russian forces are developing an offensive from Makiivka, with an advance of 400m.
Drone Attacks: Explosions were reported in Kharkiv and Chuhuiv districts. A fire was reported at an energy facility in **Kh
