Archived operational intelligence briefing
The military situation in Ukraine remains critical, with Russian forces maintaining offensive pressure and achieving significant gains, especially in the Donetsk region. Velyka Novosilka is confirmed under complete Russian control. Intense fighting continues around Pokrovsk, Chasiv Yar, Toretsk, and Kurakhove, with Russian troops making incremental advances. Ukrainian defenses in Pokrovsk and Toretsk are under immense strain, with a potential collapse reported in Toretsk. The Ukrainian counteroffensive in the Kursk region has stalled, and Russian forces are reportedly regaining territory. Drone warfare remains a defining feature, with both sides employing UAVs extensively. The Ukrainian Air Force reports new launches of guided aerial bombs by Russian tactical aviation in the Sumy region and the south of the Kharkiv region. They also report that a high-speed target was detected moving from Sumy Oblast towards Poltava Oblast, as well as enemy tactical aviation activity on the northeastern and eastern axes, with a threat of the use of air weapons for the frontline regions. The Ukrainian Air Force reports the launch of guided aerial bombs on Dobropillya in the Donetsk region.
The US has confirmed a 90-day freeze on most foreign aid, including military aid to Ukraine. The Biden administration has overturned a decision by Donald Trump to suspend federal grants and financial aid programs for 90 days. Russian forces targeted Ukrainian positions in the Kursk region with Su-25 aircraft.
A plane crash in Washington resulted in the deaths of Russian figure skaters and other Russian citizens. The crash was reportedly caused by a collision with a US Army Black Hawk helicopter. More than 30 bodies have been recovered from the Potomac River. The recovery operation continues under difficult conditions. There are no reported survivors.
A Ukrainian drone attack on Sumy resulted in four deaths and nine injuries, including a child. The death toll has now risen to seven. Russian forces are reportedly beginning to storm Kupyansk.
Seven hostages released from Gaza have been transferred to the Israeli army and are making their way to Israeli territory. The Israeli government has ordered the prison authorities to halt the release of Palestinian prisoners until further notice.
Ukrainian forces from the 157th Separate Mechanized Brigade have captured Russian soldiers, who are pleading for an end to the conflict.
The Ukrainian Air Force reports that enemy tactical aviation activity is present in the northeastern direction, and there is a threat of the use of air weapons for the frontline regions.
In the Kramatorsk direction, Russian forces have advanced south of Rozlyv and expanded their control in the Dachne area.
There are reports of drunken Poles threatening to send a Ukrainian man to the TCC. The conflict occurred at the Ukrainian ski resort of Dragobrat.
The head of the Kherson Regional Military Administration warns of a possible massive shelling of Kherson and the suburbs by Russian forces.
The Ukrainian Air Force reports launches of guided aerial bombs by enemy tactical aviation in the north of the Kharkiv region.
Russian forces are using TOS-1A "Solntsepek" to attack concentrations of militants in Chasiv Yar.
In Kramatorsk, 13 people were injured due to a Russian attack, including two children. A person was killed in Ivanopil, and another person was wounded in Chasiv Yar.
The State Duma of the Russian Federation directed an appeal to the US Congress in connection with information about Biden and Blinken discussing the organization of an assassination attempt on Putin.
The State Duma regards the lack of reaction from Biden and Blinken to Carlson's statement about attempts to "kill" Putin as proof of their guilt.
Discussion of the issue of the physical elimination of the President of the Russian Federation can be qualified as an act of international state terrorism, the State Duma said in a statement.
A Russian politician, Kelin Georgescu, claims that Ukraine is a fictional state and its division is inevitable. He cited Northern Bukovina, Budjak, and Northern Maramures as areas of interest.
The Ukrainian Defense Forces have received 290 new drones. 20 FPV drones were delivered to the 80th Brigade, 90 to the 46th Airmobile Brigade, 100 FPV drones to the 28th Mechanized Brigade, 30 to the 77th Airmobile Brigade, and 50 FPV drones to the KORD unit of the National Police in Kyiv.
Ukrainian intelligence reports that Russia plans to mobilize over 126,000 soldiers from the "special contingent" this year, including prisoners, those under investigation, and those with credit debts. The average monthly mobilization target for this group is 10,000.
The Ukrainian military is adapting its force structure, creating new units focused on drone warfare. The 59th Motorized Brigade has been transformed into an assault brigade specializing in drone systems, and the 9th Motorized Battalion has been expanded into the 9th Separate Unmanned Systems Brigade. Additionally, the "Achilles" drone battalion of the 92nd Assault Brigade has been expanded into the 429th Separate Unmanned Systems Regiment. The 225th Separate Assault Battalion has also been expanded into a regiment.
The military situation in Ukraine remains critical for Ukrainian forces. Russian forces are achieving significant advances in the Donetsk region. The capture of Velyka Novosilka is a major strategic and symbolic victory for Russian forces. Ukrainian defenses in Pokrovsk and Toretsk are under immense pressure. Drone warfare continues to be a defining feature of the conflict. The involvement of North Korean soldiers in the Kursk region adds another layer of complexity to the conflict.
The increased drone activity across multiple regions suggests a potential escalation in aerial warfare. The attacks on civilian infrastructure indicate a deliberate strategy to disrupt Ukrainian services and impact civilian morale.
The Ukrainian military is facing significant challenges in maintaining defensive positions and countering Russian advances.
The new reports of Russian forces beginning to reconnoiter the Dnipropetrovsk region with UAVs and the reported losses of the Ukrainian Armed Forces in the Kursk region further underscore the intensity of the fighting and the potential for further escalation.
The new report of NATO conducting large-scale maneuvers to transfer units to the eastern flank, specifically testing logistics routes to Romania, indicates a significant military buildup in the region. The proximity of the Smardan training center to Moldova and Ukraine suggests a potential focus on these areas.
The new report of Ukrainian cyber specialists attacking the infrastructure of Gazprom and Gazpromneft, if confirmed, represents a significant escalation in the cyber domain of the conflict. This could potentially disrupt the operations of these companies and impact the Russian economy.
The new report of the potential resumption of Russian gas supplies to the EU as part of a peaceful settlement in Ukraine, as discussed by EU officials, is a significant development that could have major geopolitical implications.
The new reports of Ukrainian drones targeting the Novoshakhtinsky oil refinery and the reported cessation of operations at the facility underscore the ongoing impact of drone warfare on critical infrastructure.
The new video from the "Diary of a Paratrooper" Telegram channel showing the use of the TOS-1A "Solntsepek" against Ukrainian positions in Chasiv Yar provides further evidence of the intensity of the fighting in the Donetsk region.
The new information about the "Every drone flight requires preparation" photograph taken by Annabelle Mueller, showing the "Vampire" heavy drone crew from the "Khortytsia" operational-tactical group, highlights the ongoing use of advanced drone technology by Ukrainian forces.
The new report from the Ukrainian Air Force about the launch of guided aerial bombs by enemy tactical aviation in the north of Kharkiv region indicates a continued threat to this area.
The new report of a court in St. Petersburg sentencing a Ukrainian citizen to 11 years in a strict regime colony on charges of espionage underscores the ongoing legal and political dimensions of the conflict.
The new report of a lawyer from the "Perviy Otdel" project transferring money to the Russian army highlights the complex and multifaceted nature of the conflict, with individuals and organizations supporting both sides through various means.
The new information about the "Operational ZSU" Telegram channel reporting that Ukrainian forces have taken prisoner a former Ukrainian soldier who defected to the Russian side in 2014 adds another layer to the ongoing conflict, highlighting the personal and political complexities of the situation.
The new report of at least 50 Africans being sent to fight in Ukraine by the Pskov region in 2024, according to "Sever.Realii," sheds light on Russia's recruitment tactics and the international dimension of the conflict.
The new information about an activist from St. Petersburg, Lena Patyaeva, disappearing after protesting in support of Chechen woman Seda Suleymanova, highlights the ongoing human rights concerns in Russia.
The new video from the "Two Majors" Telegram channel showing the process of modifying an AK-74 to a bullpup configuration demonstrates the ongoing efforts to adapt and improve weaponry in the field.
The new report from the Ukrainian Ministry of Defense about the algorithm for the return of servicemen who have voluntarily left their military units provides insight into the legal and administrative framework surrounding desertion and voluntary return.
The new report of the Commander of the Lithuanian Army suggesting the possibility of sending peacekeepers to Ukraine indicates a potential shift in the international response to the conflict.
The new information about rescuers finding the "black boxes" from the plane crash near Washington, as reported by CBS News, is a significant development in the investigation of the incident.
The new information about the "Kotsnews" Telegram channel reporting 100,000 deserters in the Ukrainian Armed Forces and the Ministry of Defense's statements on mobilization and losses provides a glimpse into the challenges facing the Ukrainian military.
The new video from the "Shef Hayabusa" Telegram channel showing what appears to be an internal conflict within a Russian unit highlights the potential for low morale and disciplinary issues among Russian troops.
The new report from the "NgP raZVедка" Telegram channel about EU officials discussing the possibility of resuming Russian gas supplies as part of a peaceful settlement in Ukraine suggests a potential shift in the European approach to the conflict.
The new report from the "Operational ZSU" Telegram channel about explosions being heard near a stele 30 km from Pokrovsk indicates the proximity of the fighting to the Dnipropetrovsk region.
The new video from the "Warrior DV" Telegram channel showing Ivanovo paratroopers using the TOS-1A "Solntsepek" against a concentration of militants in Chasiv Yar provides further evidence of the use of heavy weaponry in the conflict.
The new photos from the "Two Majors" Telegram channel under the rubric "Everyday Life of a Soldier" offer a glimpse into the daily lives of soldiers on the front lines.
The new video from the "BUTUSOV PLUS" Telegram channel showing looters from the Russian army stealing honey from a Ukrainian home underscores the brutality and lawlessness of the conflict.
The new report from TASS about the State Duma planning to adopt a law on the protection of the Russian language by the end of the spring session indicates the ongoing cultural and linguistic dimensions of the conflict.
The new information from the "Police of the Khabarovsk Territory" Telegram channel about the requirement for foreign citizens to be free of dangerous infectious diseases and HIV to enter Russia for an extended period does not have direct military implications but reflects the ongoing administrative and legal measures being implemented in Russia.
The new report from the Ukrainian Air Force about the launch of guided aerial bombs by enemy tactical aviation in the Sumy region indicates a continued threat to this area.
The new information from the "Operational ZSU" Telegram channel about Ukrainian deputies being unable to register a draft resolution in the PACE to declare Putin a terrorist suggests ongoing diplomatic efforts to condemn Russian actions.
The new message from the "Shef Hayabusa" Telegram channel, indicating zero donations after three hundred views ("Нуль грн після трьохсот переглядів..."), suggests potential challenges in fundraising or public engagement for certain Ukrainian military-affiliated groups.
The new video from the "ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS" Telegram channel, showing Ukrainian air defense operations against drones, provides further evidence of the ongoing drone warfare and Ukraine's efforts to counter this threat.
The new video from the "Два майора" Telegram channel, showing an interview with a captured Ukrainian soldier, provides insights into the composition and morale of Ukrainian forces. The soldier's claim that he voluntarily signed a contract with the Ukrainian Armed Forces, despite later being assigned to the infantry due to a shortage of personnel, suggests potential issues with recruitment and deployment practices. His statement that the deaths of Ukrainian soldiers are " обидно " (offensive, hurtful) and that Zelensky will not be able to return any territories indicates low morale and a lack of confidence in the Ukrainian leadership.
The new information about a captured Ukrainian soldier from the 157th Separate Mechanized Brigade pleading for an end to the conflict highlights the human cost of the war and the potential for war weariness among Ukrainian troops.
The new report that over 30 bodies have been recovered from the Potomac River following the plane crash near Washington, according to NBC, is a significant update on the incident.
The new analysis of the image of a meeting between officials, likely related to Russian military operations, highlights the hierarchical structure, operational discussions, regional coordination, strategic communication, and intelligence analysis involved in such meetings.
The new analysis of the image of a damaged aircraft near a civilian airport suggests potential implications for operational security, recovery and salvage, training and safety, resource allocation, public relations, and operational tempo if this were a military operation.
The new analysis of the image of a formal meeting between two high-ranking officials, likely within a government setting, emphasizes the strategic decision-making, planning, review, and intelligence assessment involved in managing military operations.
The new analysis of the image of a memorial for a fallen soldier, likely from Ukraine, underscores the impact on public morale, information warfare dynamics, and the potential to garner further international support.
The new analysis of the image of soldiers in ceremonial attire holding rifles with bayonets suggests a focus on morale-building or propaganda efforts rather than direct combat or operational activity.
The new analysis of the image of an honor guard ceremony highlights the symbolic importance of the military and its role in national traditions and public perception, even amidst ongoing military operations.
The new analysis of the image of a public memorial for two Ukrainian soldiers killed in the early days of the war emphasizes the ongoing efforts to honor the fallen, motivate the fighting forces, create a national narrative, and build communal resistance.
The new analysis of the image of a memorial service for fallen Ukrainian soldiers underscores the gravity of loss, the human cost of war, and the need for continued support from the Ukrainian population.
The new analysis of the video of a civilian argument at a ski resort in Ukraine highlights the lack of direct military significance and the potential for misinformation if the situation were misrepresented.
The new report from the State Duma of the Russian Federation regarding the discussion of organizing the assassination of the President of the Russian Federation as a threat to global security and a potential act of international state terrorism adds a new dimension to the political and diplomatic aspects of the conflict.
The new report of seven hostages released from Gaza being transferred to the Israeli army is a significant development in the ongoing Israeli-Palestinian conflict but does not have direct implications for the military situation in Ukraine.
The new information about a staff sergeant named Zova from the Ukrainian Air Force, who captured a group of Russian soldiers and later received medical treatment after being wounded, provides a personal account of the conflict and highlights the bravery and resilience of Ukrainian troops.
The new images and captions from the ASTRA Telegram channel, reporting on the number of people injured in Kramatorsk due to a Russian attack, including two children, and the death of a person in Ivanopil, as well as damage in Chasiv Yar, underscore the continued impact of the conflict on civilian populations.
The new analysis of the map image showing the area around Dachnoe, with settlements, roadways, and a body of water, highlights the strategic importance of the H-15 highway, potential control zones, and the Kurakhovske Reservoir as a natural obstacle.
The new analysis of the map image centered around Kurakhove, with blue and orange shaded regions indicating areas of different control, emphasizes the dynamic frontline, the strategic importance of key terrain, and the potential for maneuver warfare, supply line disruptions, and urban combat.
The new analysis of the images showing extensive destruction in a residential area suggests a targeted attack using explosives, artillery, or aerial bombardment, highlighting the impact of warfare on civilian infrastructure and the potential for logistical and psychological challenges.
The new analysis of the image of a severely damaged house, with a significant debris field and another damaged structure in the background, underscores the impact of recent military operations on civilian infrastructure and the potential for population displacement and humanitarian needs.
The new analysis of the image of a heavily damaged courtyard or yard area within a residential or rural setting, with severely damaged structures and widespread debris, suggests the use of explosive weapons and highlights the impact of military action on civilian-populated areas.
The new video from the "Kadyrov_95" Telegram channel, showing drone footage of military operations in a snowy environment, with thermal imaging, explosions, and vehicle destruction, highlights the use of aerial surveillance, precision strikes, and terrain exploitation in modern warfare.
The new report about Davankov withdrawing a project on the right of schools to ban religious clothing from the State Duma does not have direct military implications for the military situation in Ukraine.
The new video from the "ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS" Telegram channel, showing the moment of a Russian attack on a residential building in Sumy, where four people died and two are in critical condition, highlights the devastating impact of the conflict on civilian populations. The death toll has now risen to seven.
The new analysis of the image of a severely damaged multi-story building in the Sumy region of Ukraine underscores the impact of high-impact events, likely explosions or heavy shelling, on civilian infrastructure and the potential for casualties.
The new analysis of the video showing nighttime activity with signs of explosions and vehicle movement in an urban environment suggests possible targeted strikes or offensive/defensive operations in a complex, built-up area, highlighting the importance of intelligence gathering and risk mitigation in military actions.
The new report from the head of the Kherson Regional Military Administration, warning of a possible massive shelling of Kherson and its suburbs by Russian forces, indicates an escalation in the conflict and a direct threat to civilian populations in the area.
The new report from the Ukrainian Air Force about the launch of guided aerial bombs by enemy tactical aviation in the north of Kharkiv region indicates a continued threat to this area.
The new report from the "Оперативний ЗСУ" Telegram channel, citing the head of the Kherson Regional Military Administration's warning about a possible massive shelling of Kherson and its suburbs, underscores the ongoing threat to civilian populations in the region.
The new analysis of the map image showing the Krasnoarmeysk (Pokrovsk) and Dmitrov (Myrnohrad) area, with the enemy's defensive positions on dominant heights and the focus on flanking the agglomeration, highlights the strategic importance of this area and the challenges faced by both sides.
The new video from TASS, showing two Tu-95MS missile carriers performing a planned 8-hour flight over the Sea of Okhotsk and the Sea of Japan, demonstrates Russia's continued military activity and power projection in the region.
The new analysis of the video showing Russian military personnel discussing their recent combat experience, with footage of their tank and aerial views of engagements, highlights the continued vulnerability of tanks to anti-tank guided missiles (ATGMs), the importance of crew training, and the need for integrated warfare and continued adaptation to the dynamic battlefield environment.
The new video from the "Дневник Десантника" Telegram channel, showing two soldiers in a wooded area requesting aid in the purchase of a UAZ Farmer vehicle, highlights the logistical challenges of supplying frontline troops and the importance of mobility in difficult terrain.
The new video from the "Старше Эдды" Telegram channel, discussing opportunities for Russia in Afghanistan and the Taliban's readiness for mutually beneficial relations, highlights the potential for a shift in geopolitical alignments and the importance of economic cooperation in the region.
The new video from the "Оперативний ЗСУ" Telegram channel, showing captured Russian soldiers pleading for an end to the conflict, highlights the human cost of the war and the potential for war weariness among troops.
The new analysis of the video showing a drone strike targeting a group of individuals in an open area underscores the increasing significance of drones in modern warfare and the vulnerability of personnel in exposed positions to such attacks.
The new video from the "БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС" Telegram channel, featuring an interview with a soldier from the 425th Separate Assault Battalion "SKALA" discussing the capture of eight Russian soldiers from the 74th Separate Guards Motor Rifle Brigade, highlights the ongoing fighting on the Pokrovsk direction and the involvement of older mobilized soldiers in successful operations.
The new information about an online meeting between representatives of the Coordination Headquarters and families of servicemen from the 24th Separate Mechanized Brigade, discussing the repatriation of fallen heroes' bodies, the movement of prisoners, and the manipulation of information by enemy special services, underscores the ongoing challenges related to prisoner exchanges and the information war.
The new analysis of the image of a memorial to a fallen soldier, likely from Ukraine, highlights the national significance of the sacrifice being honored, the public display of grief, and the impact on morale and information warfare.
The new analysis of the image of soldiers in formal uniforms holding rifles with bayonets indicates a ceremonial event or morale-building exercise, rather than active combat operations, and may be used for propaganda purposes.
The new analysis of the image of soldiers in a ceremonial honor guard emphasizes the symbolic importance of the military and its role in national traditions and public perception, even amidst ongoing military operations.
The new analysis of the image of a public memorial for two Ukrainian soldiers killed in the early days of the war highlights the ongoing efforts to honor the fallen, motivate the fighting forces, create a national narrative, and build communal resistance.
The new analysis of the image of a memorial service for fallen Ukrainian soldiers underscores the gravity of loss, the human cost of war, and the need for continued support from the Ukrainian population.
The new analysis of the video showing a civilian argument in a snowy, recreational setting, likely a ski resort, concludes that the event is not directly relevant to ongoing military operations and provides no actionable military intelligence.
The new analysis of the video showing a civilian dispute at a Ukrainian ski resort, featuring individuals speaking Polish, confirms the lack of military significance and the absence of any direct insights that would influence strategic decisions in ongoing military operations.
The new statement from the State Duma of the Russian Federation, regarding the discussion of organizing the assassination of the President of the Russian Federation as a threat to global security and a potential act of international state terrorism, adds a new dimension to the political and diplomatic aspects of the conflict.
The new report of seven hostages released from Gaza being transferred to the Israeli army is a significant development in the ongoing Israeli-Palestinian conflict but does not have direct implications for the military situation in Ukraine.
The new information about a staff sergeant named Zova from the Ukrainian Air Force, who captured a group of Russian soldiers and later received medical treatment after being wounded, provides a personal account of the conflict and highlights the bravery and resilience of Ukrainian troops.
The new analysis of the map image showing Russian forces advancing south of Rozlyv and expanding control in the Dachne area highlights the ongoing fighting in the Kramatorsk direction and the strategic importance of this area.
The new analysis of the map image centered around Kurakhove, with blue and orange shaded regions indicating areas of different control, emphasizes the dynamic frontline, the strategic importance of key terrain, and the potential for maneuver warfare, supply line disruptions, and urban combat.
The new analysis of the images showing extensive destruction in a residential area suggests a targeted attack using explosives, artillery, or aerial bombardment, highlighting the impact of warfare on civilian infrastructure and the potential for logistical and psychological challenges.
The new analysis of the image of a severely damaged house, with a significant debris field and another damaged structure in the background, underscores the impact of recent military operations on civilian infrastructure and the potential for population displacement and humanitarian needs.
The new report from the Ukrainian Air Force about a high-speed target moving from Sumy Oblast towards Poltava Oblast indicates a potential threat to these areas.
The new report from the Ukrainian Air Force about the launch of guided aerial bombs by enemy tactical aviation in the south of Donetsk region indicates a continued threat to this area.
The new analysis of the map image showing an overview of the situation in Ukraine, with red areas indicating regions under heightened alert or increased military activity, highlights the focus of military operations in the east and south of the country.
The new report from the Ukrainian Air Force about the launch of guided aerial bombs by enemy tactical aviation on Dobropillya in the Donetsk region indicates a continued threat to this area.
The new video from Colonelcassad showing the third episode of the hostage exchange between Israel and Hamas provides further insight into the ongoing conflict in Gaza but does not have direct implications for the military situation in Ukraine.
The new report from "Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны" about authorities in the Dnipropetrovsk region preparing for the evacuation of the population due to the approaching front line indicates an escalation in the conflict and a potential shift in the balance of power in the region.
The new report from TASS about the Ministry of Culture of Ukraine adding Dzhigurda to the list of persons threatening the security of the country due to his visits to Donbas and Zaporizhzhia Oblast and performances for Russian military personnel does not have direct military implications but reflects the ongoing cultural and political dimensions of the conflict.
The new video from the "Оперативний ЗСУ" Telegram channel, showing the moment of a Russian "Shahed" drone attack on a residential building in Sumy and its aftermath, underscores the devastating impact of the conflict on civilian populations.
The new information about a French national accepting Orthodox Christianity and taking the name Mikhail highlights the potential for individuals to be influenced by cultural and religious factors during times of conflict.
The new report about the detention of former deputies of the head of Rosnano, a state corporation previously headed by Anatoly Chubais, does not have direct military implications but reflects the ongoing political and economic developments in Russia.
The new report from the "Diary of a Paratrooper" Telegram channel about enemy losses in the Kursk region on January 30 provides further details on the ongoing fighting in this area. The reported losses include over 240 troops, two infantry fighting vehicles, an armored personnel carrier, four armored fighting vehicles, 14 vehicles, four artillery pieces, nine mortars, two electronic warfare stations, three UAV control points, and two ammunition depots.
The new analysis of the image of a bomb or guided missile marked with "For Mykolaiv" highlights the ongoing use of such weapons in the conflict and the potential for psychological warfare and propaganda.
The new analysis of the image of a crashed light aircraft suggests a potential loss of surveillance or patrol capability and raises questions about the nature of the payload and the circumstances of the crash.
The new video from the "Warrior DV" Telegram channel, showing the destruction of a Ukrainian "Kozak" armored vehicle with troops inside using an FPV drone, highlights the continued use of drones in targeting enemy assets and personnel.
The new video from the "Rybare" Telegram channel, discussing the increased intensity of Russian drone reconnaissance in the Dnipropetrovsk region and the proximity of the front line, indicates a potential escalation in the conflict and a shift in the balance of power in the region.
The new analysis of the video showing a checkpoint at the border between Dnipropetrovsk and Donetsk oblasts, with audible explosions, underscores the escalating conflict and the increasing proximity of the fighting to previously secure areas.
The new analysis of the image of a man in a formal setting, with a TASS watermark, suggests a potential connection to Russian media and the ongoing information war surrounding the conflict.
The new analysis of the video showing a civilian bus terminal in Makiivka highlights the continued functioning of civilian infrastructure in areas affected
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