Updated Analysis of the Military Situation in Ukraine - January 29, 2025, 03:38 UTC

Strategic Overview

The military situation in Ukraine remains critical, with Russian forces maintaining offensive pressure across multiple fronts and achieving significant gains, particularly in the Donetsk region. The capture of Velyka Novosilka is now fully confirmed. The Ukrainian counteroffensive in the Kursk region has stalled, with Russian forces solidifying their control and inflicting heavy losses. Drone warfare continues to intensify, with widespread attacks across multiple regions and confirmed reports of drone strikes deep inside Russian territory. There are new reports of drone attacks on several Russian regions, including Nizhny Novgorod, Smolensk, Tver, and Bryansk. Ukrainian forces are reportedly refusing to attack in Volchansk due to a lack of personnel. Air raid alerts have been activated in Kyiv.

Key Developments

Donetsk Region

• Velyka Novosilka: Confirmed to be under complete Russian control. Russian flags have been raised over all districts. Video evidence shows Russian forces claiming the liberation of the city and highlighting its strategic importance for future advances. Video evidence shows soldiers of the 40th Guards Marine Brigade raising the Russian flag, confirming its capture. The soldiers claim to have taken the town without frontal assaults, instead flanking the Ukrainian forces. The liberation of Velyka Novosilka is claimed to have ended the existence of the Vremyevsky salient.
• Pokrovsk: Russian forces are within 10 kilometers and advancing, having severed the penultimate railway line. Positional fighting continues, with Russian forces advancing towards Novohrodivka and expanding control along the railway line. Russian forces are reportedly within 3 km of the administrative border of Dnipropetrovsk Oblast and have cut off one of the two main routes from Krasnoarmiisk (Pokrovsk) to Dnipro. Ukrainian military sources indicate Russian forces are advancing on both sides of Pokrovsk to cut off supply routes and encircle the city. The Russian Ministry of Defense officially reports the liberation of Zelenoye in the Pokrovsk direction. Ukrainian attempts to repel Russian attacks near Udachnoye have failed. Russian forces are advancing in the southern part of Udachnoye, fighting for the station, and approaching the center in the north. South of the village, fighting is taking place near Tsarskoye Stavok, Dolgoprudnaya Balka, and the eastern part of Novosergievka. In the Dimitrov (Kotlyno) area, Russian forces have captured a ventilation shaft and nearby landings. Cleanup operations are ongoing to the north, towards Sergeevka. Russian drones are operating not only in the landings but also in Sergeevka itself. There are also reports of advances towards Grishino. Video shows multiple missile trails and reports that Russian forces are conducting powerful strikes on Pokrovsk throughout the day, while simultaneously advancing and encircling the city. One woman was killed due to a Russian attack on the city of Pokrovsk, according to the regional prosecutor's office.
• Chasiv Yar: Russian forces control approximately 20% of the refractory plant and have captured about half of the city's urban area, including the Novyi district. Fighting continues in the Severnyi district. Russian forces are approaching the western outskirts from the north side of the railway and have launched an offensive south of the railway station. After clearing the workshops of the refractory plant, battles have shifted to the area west of Workshop No. 1. Russian forces launched an offensive south of the railway station, expanding their control after artillery shelling near Dniprovsky Pond. The situation in the area is described as difficult, with Russian forces attempting to advance. The press service of the 24th Mechanized Brigade reports that the situation in Chasiv Yar is difficult, with Russian forces deploying units of "Akhmat" and former "Wagner" fighters to reinforce their assault groups. Video evidence shows Ukrainian drone operators targeting Russian positions near Chasiv Yar, causing buildings to collapse.
• Kurakhove: Most of Kurakhove has been captured, with fighting ongoing near Hryshyno. Russian forces are advancing from Kurakhove towards Dnipropetrovsk, liberating extensive territories. Video evidence shows a soldier eliminating a Russian soldier near Kurakhove. Fighting is reported near Dachnoe. A Russian infantry attack was repelled. Russian forces have extended their control zone by 400 meters along the Kurakhove-Dachnoe road. Russian forces are advancing near Petropavlivka, Dachnoe and Sukhykh Yal. Russian forces are conducting assault operations in the Kurakhove direction, with the support of the "Southern" troop grouping. Video evidence shows the 68th "Iron" Tank Regiment conducting artillery and drone strikes on Ukrainian positions and equipment in Dachne, supporting an assault. Video evidence shows a Ukrainian drone destroying a Russian BMP in the Kurakhove area.
• Toretsk: Ukrainian defenses have nearly collapsed, with less than 15% of the city remaining under their control. Russian forces have reportedly advanced 300 meters, taking control of the Toretska mine. In Petrivka, they advanced 600 meters. In the Krymske area, Russian forces advanced 400 meters, reaching new positions on the northern outskirts of the settlement. Video evidence shows Ukrainian forces capturing a Russian soldier in Toretsk. Ukrainian forces have conducted a building assault and captured Russian soldiers in Toretsk.
• Other Locations: Fighting continues in Zverevo, with Russian forces gradually pushing Ukrainian forces. Solone has reportedly been liberated by Russian forces. Russian forces are engaged in battles near Uspenivka, advancing towards Dnipropetrovsk Oblast.

Luhansk Region

• Russian forces are making advances near Nadiivka and Petropavlivka. Russian forces have captured Zakhidne and Ivanivka, advancing towards the western border of the Luhansk People's Republic. They have also advanced 2 km northwest of Makiivka. In the direction of Hrekivka Russian forces are developing an offensive from Makiivka, with an advance of 400m. Near Kolodyazi there are active assault operations. Russian forces are advancing on the western bank of the Zherebets River near Makiivka, Ivanivka, and Novosadove. North of Kupiansk on the right bank of the Oskil River, units of the "West" group have liberated the settlement of Zakhidne. Russian forces are forming an "operational cauldron" around Ukrainian forces near Novoyehorivka.

Kursk Region

• The Ukrainian counteroffensive has stalled, with Russian forces regaining territory. Russian forces report the capture of Cherkasskoye Porechnoye and Malaya Loknya. Russian forces report that an attempted Ukrainian counterattack to retake Kruhlenke failed. Russian forces report that they are finishing taking the remaining Ukrainian positions in Kurylivka. Russian forces report that Nikolayevo-Daryino is under their control. Russian forces report that there is heavy fighting in Makhnivka. In the area of Kruhlenke/Viktorivka, Russian assault units have entered Viktorivka and are attempting to establish a foothold. Heavy fighting continues near the village of Nikolsky, with Russian forces approaching Malaya Loknya and Ukrainian forces counterattacking. Battles are ongoing near Pohrebky, with the 34th Brigade continuing to destroy enemy equipment and personnel. In the area of Sudzha, the enemy is transferring elite units of the Special Operations Forces from the Sumy region. Russian forces are bypassing Sudzha from the south, fighting is going on near Kurylivka. Reports indicate that over 360 Ukrainian troops were killed in the region in the past 24 hours, with five surrendering. Russian forces destroyed a Ukrainian assault force during an attempted landing near Tetkino in the Kursk region, according to the Russian Ministry of Defense. Russian forces repelled a Ukrainian attempt to land troops near Tetkino in the Kursk region. FPV drones and artillery were used to neutralize the Ukrainian forces. The Russian Ministry of Defense reported the destruction of Ukrainian observation posts in the Kursk border area. The Russian MoD officially confirms the liberation of Nikolayevo-Daryino in the Kursk region. The Russian MoD reports that Ukrainian forces lost over 190 troops, 2 tanks, and 10 armored vehicles on the Kursk axis in the past 24 hours.

Kharkiv Region

• Drone Attacks: One drone is approaching Balakliya. The Ukrainian Air Force reports that the city of Kharkiv is under threat from a Russian drone approaching from the northeast and from another approaching from the south. The Ukrainian Air Force reports repeat launches of guided aerial bombs by enemy tactical aviation in Sumy and the east of Kharkiv region. New groups of Russian drones are reported on the east and in the central part of the Kharkiv region, with a western/southwestern course.
• Russian Advance: Russian forces have reportedly expanded their bridgehead up to 5 km south of Dvorichna. They have occupied the forest near Zapadne and advanced significantly in the center of Dvurichna. On the right bank of the Oskol, Russian forces are continuing to push through Ukrainian defenses, expanding their control zone towards the western part of Dvurichna in the direction of Sahunivka. Fighting continues in the area of Zelenyi Hai, with Ukrainian forces attempting to improve their tactical position by attacking from Borova Andriivka.
• Kupiansk is under renewed heavy shelling, with reports of deteriorating security conditions. Russian forces report that they are beginning to storm Kupyansk and have taken the initiative. The Ukrainian Armed Forces are reportedly suffering heavy losses. Russian forces struck an infrastructure facility in Kharkiv with drones. Enemy is intensely shelling Kupyansk with KABs, according to OVA. At least four private houses and power lines were damaged. Russian forces have reportedly destroyed the main Ukrainian forces in Zahryzove and initiated battles in Bohuslavka. An 86-year-old woman was injured in Kupiansk due to Russian shelling.
• Volchansk: Ukrainian forces are reportedly refusing to attack in Volchansk due to a lack of personnel.

Other Regions

• Drone Movements: The Ukrainian Air Force reports a drone threat in the Zaporizhzhia region. The Ukrainian Air Force reports a threat of attack drones in the Chernihiv region. There are reports of drones moving in the Khmelnytskyi, Rivne, Poltava, Sloviansk, Belotserkovsky, Akhtyrka, Kupyansky, and Berislavsky regions. A Russian drone is moving in the direction of Myrhorod from the northeast. A drone is also reported in the Shyshaky area (Poltava region), moving south. Drones on the borders of Sumy, Chernihiv, and Poltava oblasts, moving southwest. Drones in southeastern Poltava towards Dnipropetrovsk. Drones in the north and south of Kharkiv region, heading south. Drone threat for Rivne, Khmelnytskyi, and Zhytomyr oblasts. A drone is reported on the border of Khmelnytskyi and Rivne regions, heading towards Zhytomyr. A drone is reported from Sumy towards Chernihiv. A drone is reported in the north of Poltava heading west. A drone is reported in the east of Kyiv heading west. A drone is reported in the south of Poltava heading south. A drone is reported in central Kharkiv heading south. A drone is reported in Dnipropetrovsk heading south. A drone is reported in the north of Zaporizhzhia heading towards the city of Zaporizhzhia. A drone was reported to be flying towards Zaporizhzhia from Dnipropetrovsk. A drone was reported to be approaching Starokonstantinov in the Khmelnytskyi region. The Ukrainian Air Force reports a group of attack drones moving from the Black Sea towards Odesa Oblast. The Ukrainian Air Force reports a threat of attack drones in the Ternopil region from Khmelnytskyi. Groups of attack drones are reported on Sumy Oblast, with most on the south of the oblast, moving towards Kharkiv Oblast. There are reports of drone attacks in the Rostov region. Zhytomyr Oblast is under threat of a drone attack from the northeast. A Russian drone is reported to be approaching Bila Tserkva (Kyiv Oblast) from the east. The Ukrainian Air Force reports the following updated information on the movement of enemy attack UAVs: UAVs in the Kharkiv region are moving west, southwest, and southeast. UAVs in the east and north of the Poltava region are moving southwest. UAVs on the border of the Mykolaiv and Kirovohrad regions are moving northwest. UAVs in the north of the Kherson region are moving north. UAVs in the east of the Kirovohrad region are moving west/northwest. UAVs in the southeast of the Vinnytsia region are moving west/northwest. UAVs in the southeast of the Sumy region are moving west. UAVs on the border of the Dnipropetrovsk and Poltava regions are moving west. UAVs in the south of the Dnipropetrovsk region are moving northeast/northwest. The city of Kremenchuk (Poltava region) is under threat from an enemy attack UAV approaching from the east. The Cherkasy region (Cherkasy, Zolotonosha districts) is under threat of an enemy attack UAV from the south. The city of Kremenchuk (Poltava region) is under threat from an enemy attack UAV approaching from the southeast. The city of Dnipro is under threat from an enemy attack UAV approaching from the southwest. New messages indicate an air alert in Zaporizhzhia Oblast and report a drone in the northern part of Poltava Oblast, constantly changing course. Another drone is reported on the border of Dnipropetrovsk and Zaporizhzhia Oblasts, with a southern course.
  • Drone Attacks in Russia: Several Russian regions were attacked by drones overnight. In the Nizhny Novgorod region, an oil refinery in Kstovo was likely hit and caught fire. The governor claimed that debris from a downed UAV fell on the Kstovo industrial zone. In the Smolensk region, an attack on civil infrastructure was reported, with one drone allegedly shot down while attempting to attack a nuclear power facility. In the Tver region, authorities claimed to have repelled an attack by at least 20 drones. The leadership of the Bryansk region reported 26 downed UAVs.
• Mykolaiv: Russia struck a company in Mykolaiv, killing two people, according to the State Emergency Service.
• Dnipropetrovsk: Ukrainian forces claim to have destroyed a Russian BM-21 "Grad" multiple rocket launcher using FPV drones.

Geopolitical Developments

• Preparation for direct negotiations between "Putin" and US President Donald Trump on a possible truce in the war between Russia and Ukraine is the only topic of discussion within the Politburo.
• Part of the Russian leadership put forward a claim to the "Russian city of Narva" on the agenda of the negotiations.
• Representatives of the Politburo were told that Trump intends to block all opportunities for Russia to bypass sanctions and "put an end to the gray fleet" that transports Russian oil products.
• Tucker Carlson's statements that the US authorities under Biden tried to kill Putin should be carefully investigated, said Volodin.
• The US Senate confirmed Scott Bessent as the new Treasury Secretary.
• US President Donald Trump announced plans to impose tariffs on semiconductor and pharmaceutical imports and potentially on steel and other goods.
• Trump also stated his intention to reopen oil production in protected areas of Alaska, claiming it could satisfy Asia's demand.

Military Equipment

• FPV drones: Video evidence shows Russian forces using FPV drones to target Ukrainian positions and vehicles in various locations. Video evidence shows Russian FPV drones, equipped with fiber optics, destroying a Ukrainian Leopard tank and a stronghold. Ukrainian forces are using FPV drones to target Russian vehicles and a BM-21 "Grad" multiple rocket launcher.
• UAVs: Ukrainian forces from the 141st Mechanized Brigade are targeting enemy positions in the Zaporizhzhia region with drones. Video evidence confirms that a Russian Krasukha electronic warfare system was destroyed in Vasylivka, Kherson region. Video evidence shows a Ukrainian drone destroying a Russian BMP in the Kurakhove area.

Updated Situation

The military situation in Ukraine continues to deteriorate for Ukrainian forces, with Russian troops making significant advances on multiple fronts. The confirmed capture of Velyka Novosilka represents a major setback for Ukraine in the Donetsk region. The continued advance on Pokrovsk, Chasiv Yar, and Toretsk further highlights the increasing pressure on Ukrainian defenses. Ukrainian forces are reportedly refusing to attack in Volchansk due to a lack of personnel, indicating potential morale and manpower issues. The new reports of drone movements towards Poltava and on the border of Dnipropetrovsk and Zaporizhzhia Oblasts, along with the air alert in Zaporizhzhia Oblast, indicate a potential expansion and intensification of the drone conflict. The downing of 57 out of 104 attacking drones across multiple Russian regions overnight further demonstrates the scale and intensity of the drone threat. The restrictions being lifted at the Pulkovo airport in St. Petersburg suggest a return to normalcy in that area, but the overall situation remains highly volatile. The accelerated formation of drone systems by the Russian army, as reported by ISW, is a significant development that could further enhance their capabilities in drone warfare. The reported attack on a food industry facility in Mykolaiv, resulting in two deaths, underscores the continued threat to civilian infrastructure and the human cost of the conflict. The new reports of drone attacks on several Russian regions indicate a significant escalation in drone warfare, with Ukraine targeting critical infrastructure deep inside Russia. The activation of air raid alerts in Kyiv suggests an imminent threat to the capital.

Recommendations

1. Reinforce Pokrovsk and Toretsk: Deploy additional troops, anti-tank weapons, and air defense systems to Pokrovsk and Toretsk to counter the Russian advance. Prioritize the defense of these cities to prevent further Russian advances in the Donetsk region.
2. Enhance Counter-Drone Capabilities: Deploy advanced counter-drone systems and electronic warfare capabilities to neutralize Russian drones, particularly in the Donetsk region and areas targeted by increased drone movements like Poltava, Zaporizhzhia, and other regions under threat, including Kyiv. Prioritize the protection of critical infrastructure and military assets.
3. Strengthen Air Defenses: Deploy additional air defense systems, including short-range and medium-range systems, to protect cities and critical infrastructure from drone and missile attacks. Focus on areas under threat, including Kyiv, Kharkiv and regions targeted by Ukrainian drone attacks.
4. Address Logistical Challenges: Secure supply lines and establish alternative routes to ensure the continued flow of troops, equipment, and supplies to the front lines.
5. International Support: Continue to engage with international partners, particularly the US and EU, to secure additional military and financial aid. Emphasize the need for advanced weaponry, including long-range strike capabilities and air defense systems.
6. Information Warfare: Counter Russian disinformation and propaganda campaigns by providing accurate and timely information. Highlight Ukrainian successes and Russian losses to maintain morale and international support.
7. Prepare for Protracted Conflict: Given the continued Russian advances and the escalation in drone warfare, prepare for a potentially protracted conflict. Focus on building a sustainable defense industry, securing long-term military and financial aid, and developing strategies to counter Russian tactics.
8. Geopolitical Strategy: Develop a diplomatic strategy to address the confirmed shift in US policy under Trump. Engage with other international partners to compensate for any potential reduction in US support and explore alternative funding sources.
9. Intelligence Gathering: Utilize all available intelligence assets to gather information about Russian troop movements, concentrations, and intentions.
10. Adapt to Asymmetric Warfare: The increasing use of improvised drones, 3D-printed mines, and other asymmetric tactics by both sides requires a flexible and adaptive approach to warfare. Develop and implement tactics that can effectively counter these threats while also leveraging similar capabilities to gain an advantage.
11. Leverage Technological Advantages: Continue to invest in and develop advanced military technologies, particularly in areas such as drone warfare, electronic warfare, and cyber warfare.
12. Train and Equip Troops: Ensure that Ukrainian troops are adequately trained and equipped to deal with the evolving threats on the battlefield, including training in counter-drone operations, urban warfare, and the use of advanced weaponry. Address the reported manpower issues and refusal to attack in Volchansk.
13. Maintain Situational Awareness: Continuously monitor the situation on the ground and adjust strategies and tactics accordingly. The fluid and dynamic nature of the conflict requires a high degree of flexibility and adaptability.
14. Prepare for Potential Escalation: The ongoing conflict has the potential to escalate further, particularly if new weapons systems are introduced or if the conflict spills over into neighboring countries. Develop contingency plans to address potential escalation scenarios.
15. Protect Critical Infrastructure: Given the continued targeting of critical infrastructure by both sides, enhance the protection of key facilities, such as power plants, oil refineries, and transportation hubs.
16. Address the Humanitarian Situation: Provide humanitarian assistance to affected populations, including food, shelter, medical care, and other essential services.
17. Plan for Post-Conflict Recovery: Begin planning for post-conflict recovery and reconstruction efforts. This includes assessing the damage to infrastructure, developing plans for rebuilding, and securing funding for these efforts.
18. Maintain International Solidarity: Continue to work with international partners to maintain solidarity and support for Ukraine. This includes diplomatic efforts to isolate Russia, economic sanctions, and military assistance.
19. Seek a Negotiated Solution: While continuing to defend against Russian aggression, explore opportunities for a negotiated solution to the conflict.
20. Address the Situation in Kharkiv: Investigate the cause of the explosions in Kharkiv and assess the extent of the damage. Deploy emergency response teams and provide assistance to any affected civilians. Enhance air defense measures in the region to counter potential future attacks.
21. Counter Russian Advances near Belohorivka: Deploy additional troops and anti-tank weapons to counter Russian advances near Belohorivka. Utilize the intelligence gathered from the video evidence to target and neutralize Russian forces.
22. Exploit Russian Weaknesses: The report indicating potential weaknesses in Russian tactics, particularly their difficulty in securing captured positions and hiding vehicles ineffectively, should be exploited. Launch counterattacks to regain lost territory and disrupt Russian advances.
23. Develop Counter-Mine Measures: Given the discovery of mines made with 3D printers, invest in research and development of advanced mine detection technologies that can identify mines with minimal metal components. Train sappers on new techniques for detecting and neutralizing these types of mines.
24. Respond to Attacks in Nikopol Region: Address the reported attacks in the Nikopol region, particularly the use of heavy artillery by Russian forces. Provide support to the affected communities and strengthen defenses in the area.
25. Analyze the Situation in Kryvyi Rih: Given the controlled situation in Kryvyi Rih, maintain vigilance and ensure that all essential services are functioning properly. Continue to monitor for potential threats and adjust security measures as needed.
26. Counter Russian Information Operations: Address and counter any disinformation or propaganda spread by Russian sources. Provide accurate and timely information to the public and international community.
27. Analyze the statements from the captured soldier: The captured soldier's comments on the execution of civilians and his training by the US 1st Cavalry Division should be carefully analyzed. If confirmed, the information about executions could be used to expose human rights abuses by Ukrainian forces. The details of his training could provide valuable intelligence on US involvement and the effectiveness of their training methods.
28. Monitor the Situation in Belarus: Given the presidential elections in Belarus and Lithuania's heightened border security, monitor the situation for any potential instability or spillover effects that could impact the conflict in Ukraine.
29. Analyze the Video of the Artillery Attack near Sukhi Yaly River: Study the video evidence of Russian artillery targeting Ukrainian forces near the Sukhi Yaly River. Analyze the tactics used and gather intelligence on the effectiveness of Russian artillery in this area. Use this information to develop counter-battery tactics and improve the defense of Ukrainian positions.
30. Confirm and Respond to the Fall of Vremivka and Velyka Novosilka: Verify the reports that Russian forces have occupied Vremivka and captured most of Velyka Novosilka. Assess the impact on Ukrainian defenses in the region and develop plans to counter further Russian advances. Deploy reinforcements to nearby areas to prevent further encirclements.
31. Analyze the Advances in Toretsk, Kotlyne, and Nadiivka: Study the reported Russian advances in Toretsk, Kotlyne, and near Nadiivka. Gather intelligence on the strength and intentions of Russian forces in these areas. Develop plans to reinforce Ukrainian positions and counter further Russian advances.
32. Analyze the Video of the Assault near Pokrovsk: Study the video of the assault on a Ukrainian stronghold near Pokrovsk by the "Atlant" battalion. Analyze the tactics used by both sides and gather intelligence on the strengths and weaknesses of Ukrainian defenses in the area. Use this information to improve training and operational planning.
33. Monitor and Respond to Drone Movements: Continuously monitor drone movements, particularly the reported movements in Poltava and on the border of Dnipropetrovsk and Zaporizhzhia Oblasts. Deploy rapid response units to intercept drones and protect vulnerable areas. Maintain the air alert in Zaporizhzhia Oblast and prepare for potential drone attacks.
34. Analyze Drone Shootdowns in Russia: Investigate the reports of 57 out of 104 drones being shot down over Russian territory. Analyze the locations and frequency of these incidents to assess the effectiveness of Russian air defenses and identify potential vulnerabilities.
35. Assess the Lifting of Airport Restrictions: Now that the restrictions at the Pulkovo airport in St. Petersburg have been lifted, assess any potential security implications and ensure that appropriate security measures are in place to prevent future disruptions.
36. Respond to the Reported Attack in Mykolaiv: Provide assistance to the victims of the reported attack on a food industry facility in Mykolaiv. Investigate the incident and gather intelligence on the type of weapon used and the perpetrators. Strengthen defenses in the area to prevent future attacks.
37. Analyze the Formation of Russian Drone Forces: Study the report from ISW regarding the accelerated formation of drone systems by the Russian army. Assess the potential impact of these new capabilities on the battlefield and develop strategies to counter them. This may involve investing in counter-drone technologies, improving air defenses, and adapting tactics to mitigate the threat posed by Russian drones.
38. Address Volodin's Statement: Respond to Volodin's call for an investigation into Tucker Carlson's claims. Provide a clear and factual account of the situation, either confirming or denying the allegations. If the claims are false, counter them with evidence and emphasize the importance of responsible reporting. If the claims have any merit, outline the steps being taken to address the situation and ensure accountability.
39. Analyze the Video of the Italian BTR "Puma" Attack: Study the video evidence of the attack on the Italian BTR "Puma" near Hryhorivka. Analyze the tactics used and gather intelligence on the effectiveness of the weapons employed. Assess the damage to the vehicle and the implications for Ukrainian forces operating similar equipment in the area.
40. Investigate the Situation in Hryhorivka: Gather more information about the situation in Hryhorivka, particularly regarding the reported attack on the Italian BTR "Puma". Assess the level of Russian activity in the area and the potential threat to Ukrainian forces. Develop plans to reinforce Ukrainian positions and counter any further Russian advances.
41. Respond to the Attack in Hraivoron: Address the reported drone attack on a residential building in Hraivoron, Belgorod Oblast. Provide assistance to the injured resident and investigate the incident. Strengthen air defense measures in the region to prevent future attacks and protect the civilian population.
42. Analyze the Report on False Reports: Study the report on false reports, particularly regarding the advancement of Russian troops and the occupation of certain positions. Assess the impact of these false reports on military operations and decision-making. Implement measures to improve the accuracy and reliability of reporting from the front lines. Emphasize the importance of truthful and timely information for effective command and control.
43. Address the Issue of "Friendly Fire": Investigate the reported incident of "friendly fire" between Russian marines and North Korean soldiers in the Kursk region. If confirmed, take steps to improve coordination and communication between allied forces to prevent similar incidents in the future. Address any potential tensions or mistrust that may arise from such incidents.
44. Counter the Narrative on North Korean Casualties: Respond to the reports of significant North Korean casualties in the Kursk region. Provide accurate information on the situation, either confirming or denying the reports. If the reports are accurate, address the implications for North Korean involvement in the conflict and the potential impact on their military capabilities. If the reports are false, counter them with evidence and emphasize the importance of responsible reporting.
45. Utilize the Captured Soldier's Testimony: Analyze the testimony of the captured Ukrainian soldier, Private Yunusov Pavlo Andriyovych, regarding corruption and threats within the Ukrainian military. If his claims are substantiated, take steps to address these issues and improve the morale and discipline of Ukrainian troops. Use this information to counter any negative propaganda and demonstrate a commitment to upholding ethical standards within the military.
46. Monitor the Situation in Sudzha: Given the reported concentration of elite units of the Special Operations Forces in the Sudzha area, maintain close surveillance and gather intelligence on their movements and intentions. Prepare for potential attacks and reinforce Ukrainian positions in the region.
47. Analyze the Protest in Kursk: Address the protest by refugees from the Kursk region and their demands for a meeting with the acting governor. Engage with the protesters and listen to their concerns. Provide assistance and support to those displaced by the conflict and work to address their needs.
48. Assess the Claim of Holding the Kursk Region: Analyze the statement suggesting that Ukrainian forces will attempt to hold their occupied portion of the Kursk region for 100 days. Evaluate the feasibility of this claim and the potential implications for the conflict. Develop strategies to counter this plan and regain control of the occupied territories.
49. Verify and Respond to "Doctor Death" Reports: Investigate the reports of an American mercenary known as "Doctor Death" being captured by Russian forces in the Kursk region. If confirmed, gather intelligence on his activities and any potential connections to foreign military support for Ukraine. Use this information to counter any negative propaganda and address any concerns about foreign involvement in the conflict.
50. Analyze the Reported Damage in the Kursk Region: Assess the reported damage inflicted by Ukrainian forces in the Kursk region, amounting to 750 billion rubles. Verify the accuracy of this figure and evaluate the impact on the region's infrastructure and economy. Develop plans for recovery and reconstruction efforts.
51. Respond to North Korea's Military Spending Increase: Analyze North Korea's announcement of an increase in military spending for 2025. Assess the potential implications for the conflict in Ukraine, particularly if North Korea continues to provide military support to Russia. Monitor the situation closely and develop strategies to counter any potential escalation.
52. Address the Acting Governor's Meeting with Refugees: Following the meeting between the acting governor of the Kursk region and refugees from occupied areas, implement measures to address the concerns raised by the refugees. Provide assistance and support to those displaced by the conflict and work to improve their living conditions.
53. Analyze the Fighting near Pohrebky: Gather more information about the ongoing battles near Pohrebky, particularly regarding the activities of the 34th Brigade. Assess the level of Russian activity in the area and the potential threat to Ukrainian forces. Develop plans to reinforce Ukrainian positions and counter any further Russian advances.
54. Investigate the Reported Drone Attack in Voronezh Region: Analyze the video evidence of drone arrivals at an oil depot in the Voronezh region. Assess the damage caused by the attack and investigate the origin of the drones. Strengthen air defense measures in the region to prevent future attacks on critical infrastructure.
55. Analyze the Reported Drone Attack in Kharkiv: Investigate the reported drone attack on an energy facility in Kharkiv. Assess the damage caused by the attack and the impact on power and water supply in the affected areas. Provide assistance to the injured and work to restore essential services as quickly as possible. Strengthen air defense measures in the region to prevent future attacks on critical infrastructure.
56. Address the Reported Strike in Sumy: Investigate the reported Russian strike on a Ukrainian deployment site in Sumy, resulting in 18 deaths and 30 injuries. Verify the accuracy of these figures and gather intelligence on the type of weapon used in the attack. Provide medical assistance to the injured and support to the families of the deceased. Strengthen defenses in the area to prevent future attacks on military personnel.
57. Analyze the Reported Drone Attack in Shevchenkivskyi District: Investigate the reported drone attack in the Shevchenkivskyi district of Kharkiv. Assess the damage caused by the attack and provide assistance to any affected residents. Gather intelligence on the type of drone used in the attack and its origin. Strengthen air defense measures in the area to prevent future attacks.
58. Counter the Use of Drones with Shotguns: Analyze the video evidence of Ukrainian forces using drones equipped with shotguns to shoot down Russian drones. Assess the effectiveness of this tactic and consider developing similar countermeasures. Invest in research and development of counter-drone technologies that can effectively neutralize small, low-flying drones.
59. Respond to the Reported Attack on a "Baba Yaga" Drone: Investigate the reported destruction of a Ukrainian "Baba Yaga" drone by a sniper in the Kursk region. If confirmed, analyze the tactics used by the sniper and gather intelligence on the vulnerabilities of this type of drone. Develop training programs for snipers to improve their ability to target and neutralize small, low-flying drones.
60. Analyze the Reported Drone Attack on a "Carnation" Howitzer: Investigate the reported drone attack on a Ukrainian 2S1 "Carnation" self-propelled howitzer in the Kursk region. Assess the effectiveness of the Russian drone operator's targeting capabilities and gather intelligence on the vulnerabilities of Ukrainian artillery systems to drone attacks. Develop countermeasures to protect artillery units from drone strikes.
61. Address the Reported Drone Attack in Mykolaiv: Investigate the reported Russian drone attack on a company in Mykolaiv, resulting in two deaths. Gather intelligence on the type of drone used in the attack and its origin. Provide support to the families of the deceased and work to improve security measures in the area to prevent future attacks.
62. Respond to the Lifting of Restrictions at Pulkovo Airport: Now that the restrictions at Pulkovo airport in St. Petersburg have been lifted, assess any potential security implications and ensure that appropriate security measures are in place to prevent future disruptions. Monitor the situation closely and be prepared to reimpose restrictions if necessary.
63. Analyze the ISW Report on Russian Drone Forces: Study the report from the Institute for the Study of War (ISW) regarding the accelerated formation of drone systems by the Russian army. Assess the potential impact of these new capabilities on the battlefield and develop strategies to counter them. This may involve investing in counter-drone technologies, improving air defenses, and adapting tactics to mitigate the threat posed by Russian drones.
64. Address Tucker Carlson's Statements: Respond to Tucker Carlson's statements regarding alleged attempts by the US authorities under Biden to kill Putin. Provide a clear and factual account of the situation, either confirming or denying the allegations. If the claims are false, counter