Updated Analysis of the Military Situation in Ukraine - January 29, 2025, 00:38 UTC

Strategic Overview

The military situation in Ukraine remains critical, with Russian forces maintaining offensive pressure across multiple fronts, particularly in the Donetsk region. The encirclement and capture of Velyka Novosilka are major strategic and symbolic victories for Russian forces. Intense fighting continues around Pokrovsk, Chasiv Yar, Toretsk, and Kurakhove, with Russian troops advancing and consolidating their positions. The Ukrainian counteroffensive in the Kursk region has stalled, with Russian forces regaining territory and inflicting heavy losses. Drone warfare is intensifying, with widespread attacks across multiple regions and new reports of intense drone activity. Reports include drone threats in Kherson, Mykolaiv, Kirovohrad, Dnipropetrovsk, Kharkiv, Sumy, Chernihiv, Odesa, Cherkasy, Vinnytsia, Ternopil, Ivano-Frankivsk, and Khmelnytskyi Oblasts, as well as in Russian regions. Ukrainian forces have successfully targeted and shut down the Ryazan oil refinery, which processes 5% of Russia's oil, using drones. New reports indicate movements of individual "Shahed" drones across multiple regions. The Ukrainian Air Force reports the launch of guided aerial bombs by tactical aircraft in the Sumy region.

Ukrainian President Zelensky has appointed Major General Mykhailo Drapatyi to lead the "Khortytsia" operational-strategic group in the Donetsk region. Andriy Hnatov will be appointed as Deputy Chief of the General Staff of the Armed Forces. The Ukrainian defense industry has secured over $1.5 billion in foreign partner funding in 2024.

Key Developments

Donetsk Region

Velyka Novosilka:
- Russian forces have completed the encirclement and captured the city, a major logistics hub for Ukrainian forces.
- Russian forces control over 90% of Velyka Novosilka east of the Kashlahach River.
- Video evidence confirms the Russian advance and control over the settlement.
- Russian forces have raised their flag in Velyka Novosilka over the city hospital.
- Remnants of Ukrainian forces have retreated to the northwest outskirts.
- Russian forces have been visually confirmed to be in the central part of Velyka Novosilka.
Pokrovsk:
- Russian forces are within 10 kilometers of Pokrovsk and continuing their advance.
- The most intense fighting is near Yelyzavetivka and Vodyane Druhe.
- Near Baranivka, Russian assault groups are attacking enemy positions towards Tarasivka.
- Fighting also continues near Zelene Pole and Kalynove.
- Russian forces are reportedly advancing in the Pokrovsk direction, with fighting intensifying near Udachne.
- One woman was killed due to a Russian attack on the city of Pokrovsk.
- Four people were injured in Russian shelling of Konstantinivka.
- Ukrainian losses in the Pokrovsk direction are estimated to be over 94,000 killed.
- Russian forces are making a breakthrough towards Dnipropetrovsk.
Chasiv Yar:
- Russian forces continue to advance, controlling approximately 20% of the refractory plant.
- They have captured about half of the city's urban area, including the Novyi district, and are fighting in the Sievernyi district.
- Russian forces have cleared the forest area south of the Novyi microdistrict and advanced another 800 meters.
- The basements and workshops of the refractory plant have been completely cleared.
- Russian forces are approaching the western outskirts of the city from the north side of the railway.
- Video evidence shows Ukrainian drone operators targeting Russian positions near Chasiv Yar.
- The press service of the 24th Mechanized Brigade reports that the situation in Chasiv Yar is difficult.
Kurakhove:
- Most of Kurakhove has been captured by Russian forces, with fighting ongoing for strongholds near Hryshyno.
- Active combat operations are reported, with 14 enemy attacks repelled.
- Russian forces are advancing from Kurakhove towards Dnipropetrovsk.
Toretsk:
- Ukrainian defenses have nearly collapsed, with less than 15% of the city under their control.
- Russian forces have entered Petrivka and are pushing Ukrainian troops out.
- Video evidence shows Ukrainian forces capturing Russian soldiers in Toretsk.
Kramatorsk:
- A powerful explosion was reported in the industrial zone of Kramatorsk.
Other Locations:
- Fighting continues in Zverevo.
- Solone has reportedly been liberated by Russian forces.
- Russian forces are engaged in battles near Uspenivka.

Luhansk Region

Russian forces have captured Zakhidne and Ivanivka, advancing towards the western border of the Luhansk People's Republic.
They have also advanced 2 km northwest of Makiivka.
In the direction of Hrekivka, Russian forces are developing an offensive from Makiivka, with an advance of 400m.
Russian forces are forming an "operational cauldron" around Ukrainian forces near Novoyehorivka.

Kursk Region

The Ukrainian counteroffensive has stalled, with Russian forces regaining territory and neutralizing Ukrainian units.
Heavy fighting continues near the village of Nikolske, with Russian forces approaching Mala Loknia and Ukrainian forces counterattacking.
Refugees from the Kursk region are protesting and demanding a meeting with the acting governor.
Reports indicate that over 360 Ukrainian troops were killed in the region in the past 24 hours, with five surrendering.
Western officials and South Korean intelligence report significant North Korean casualties in the region.
Reports of North Korean soldiers killing Russian marines and fleeing.
Reports of an American mercenary known as "Doctor Death" being captured by Russian forces.
Video evidence shows Ukrainian forces from the 1st Battalion of the 22nd Mechanized Brigade repelling a North Korean assault near Malaya Loknya.
New video evidence shows residents of Makhnovka discussing their experiences during fighting between Ukrainian forces and North Korean soldiers.
Russian forces report the capture of several settlements, including Nikolaevo-Daryino, Cherkasskoye Porechnoye, and Malaya Loknya.
Ukrainian forces repelled 7 Russian assaults.
Video evidence shows Russian forces destroying a Ukrainian pickup truck transporting Ukrainian militants to the contact line in the Kursk region.

Kharkiv Region

Drone Attacks:
- One drone is approaching Balakliia.
- The Ukrainian Air Force reports that the city of Kharkiv is under threat from a Russian drone approaching from the northeast.
- The Ukrainian Air Force reports a threat of Russian drone attacks in Donetsk and Kharkiv Oblasts.
- One drone is flying from the Kharkiv region towards Dnipropetrovsk and Poltava regions.
- Explosions reported in Kharkiv and Chuhuiv districts. A fire broke out in a two-story building in the Vysochansk community due to a Russian attack.
Kupiansk is under renewed heavy shelling.
Reports indicate that Ukrainian forces successfully repelled a Russian attack near Vovchansk.

Other Regions

Drone Activity:
- Air raid alerts are active across almost all of Ukraine.
- Updated data from the Air Force on the movement of "Shaheds".
- Ukrainian air defenses shot down 14 enemy drones in the Sumy region.
- All 4 enemy drones were shot down in the Lviv region.
- Cherkasy: The city is under threat from an enemy drone approaching from the southeast.
- New groups of enemy drones have been reported in the northeast of Chernihiv region.
- Dnipropetrovsk: The city of Dnipro is under threat from an enemy drone approaching from the southeast. A second explosion was reported in Dnipro.
- Ivano-Frankivsk: The region is under threat of an enemy drone attack from the northeast.
- One drone from the Ternopil region is heading towards Ivano-Frankivsk.
- Two drones from the Khmelnytskyi region have moved into the Khmelnytskyi region.
- One drone from the Vinnytsia region is moving into the Khmelnytskyi region.
- Four drones from the Kirovohrad region are heading towards/through Pervomaisk.
- One drone is north of Kropyvnytskyi, with a western course.
- One drone is flying past Dolynska with a western course.
- One drone is circling near Pavlohrad.
- Three drones are in the Cherkasy area, with a southwestern course.
- Three new drones are in the east of the Chernihiv region, with a southwestern course.
- Tver Oblast (Russia): A drone was shot down, with no reported casualties.
- 5 drones are flying over the Berislav district towards Bereznegovatoe.
- 1 drone flew over Pokrov in a northerly direction.
- 2 drones are flying over Pavlograd in a northerly direction.
- 6 drones are in the Kremenchug region, heading northwest.
- 2 drones are circling near Cherkasy.
- 1 drone is moving from the Kharkiv region to the Dnepropetrovsk region, and 1 to the Poltava region.
- 3 drones are moving from the Sumy region to the Poltava region.
- Groups of drones are moving along the border of the Kherson and Dnipropetrovsk regions, heading northwest.
- Drones are in the east of the Mykolaiv region, heading northwest.
- Drones are in the north of the Dnipropetrovsk region, heading west.
- Drones are in the northeast of the Dnipropetrovsk region, heading north.
- Drones are in the west of the Kharkiv region, heading west.
- Drones are in the south and center of the Poltava region, heading north.
- Drones are in the west of the Poltava region, heading west.
- Drones are in the north of the Sumy region, heading south.
- Drones are in the east of the Cherkasy region, heading north.
- Drones are on the border of the Zaporizhzhia and Dnipropetrovsk regions, heading north.
- Drones are in the northeast of the Dnipropetrovsk region, heading north.
- Drones are in the Nikopol area, heading towards Kryvyi Rih.
- Several groups of attack UAVs are moving through the Sumy region towards the Chernihiv region.
- Drone security is reported in Moscow, Tambov, Tula, Rostov, Kursk, Bryansk, Lipetsk, Ryazan regions, and occupied Crimea.
- Several groups of drones are moving through the territory of the Kherson region in the direction of Kherson.
- Several groups of drones are moving through the territory of the Kharkiv region in a western direction.
- One drone at the intersection of Odesa and Mykolaiv oblasts, heading northwest.
- One drone from Kirovohrad Oblast moving into Vinnytsia Oblast.
- One drone south of Pavlohrad, heading south.
- One drone north of Kremenchuk, heading north.
- One drone from Chernihiv Oblast reportedly flew into Belarus.
- New drone at the intersection of Odesa and Mykolaiv oblasts, heading northwest.
- Two drones in the south of Vinnytsia oblast, heading northwest.
- One drone returning to Kremenchuk.
- One drone north of Pavlohrad, heading northwest.
New Drone Movements:
- Chernihiv and Sumy: Ukrainian Air Force reports enemy drones moving towards Chernihiv and Sumy from the northeast. New groups of drones are reported in Chernihiv and Sumy regions, with a southwesterly and northwesterly course.
- Ivano-Frankivsk Oblast: One drone is flying between Ivano-Frankivsk and Kolomyia with a southwestern course. Another drone is heading towards or flying through Kolomyia.
- Ternopil Oblast: Two drones have moved from Khmelnytskyi Oblast to the south of Ternopil Oblast.
- Vinnytsia Oblast: One drone is in the south of Vinnytsia Oblast, with a western course. Three more drones are moving from Kirovohrad Oblast into Vinnytsia Oblast.
- Kirovohrad Oblast: Three drones are in Pervomaisk district, with a western course. One drone is south of Kropyvnytskyi, with a western course.
- Cherkasy Oblast: One drone is circling east of Smila. Another drone is in the central part of Cherkasy Oblast, with a western course.
- Chernihiv Oblast: Two drones are in the Nizhyn area, with a southern course. Two more drones are north of Chernihiv, with a western course. One drone is moving from Chernihiv Oblast into Kyiv Oblast. Another drone is east of Chernihiv, heading towards Nizhyn.
- Kyiv Oblast: Drones are reported on the border of Cherkasy and Kyiv Oblasts, with a western course.
- Kirovohrad Oblast: Drones are reported in the south of Kirovohrad Oblast, with a western/northwestern course.
- Vinnytsia Oblast: Drones are reported in the northeast and northwest of Vinnytsia Oblast, with a western/northwestern course.
- Khmelnytskyi Oblast: Drones are reported in the west of Khmelnytskyi Oblast, with a western course.
- Ivano-Frankivsk Oblast: Drones are reported in the center of Ivano-Frankivsk Oblast, with a western/southwestern course.
- Mykolaiv Oblast: Drones are reported in the northwest of Mykolaiv Oblast, with a southwestern course.
- Chernihiv Oblast: Drones are reported in the west and southwest of Chernihiv Oblast, with a southwestern course.
- Ukrainian forces report repelling a drone attack in the Rostov region.
- Kherson Oblast: The region is under threat of attack drones.
- Vinnytsia Oblast: A drone is in the southeastern part, with a western course.
- Odesa Oblast: A drone is in the Black Sea waters, heading towards the Bilhorod-Dnistrovskyi district.
- Poltava Oblast: A drone is in the western part, with a northern course.
- Dnipropetrovsk, Kharkiv, Poltava Oblast Border: A drone is on the border, with a north-western course.
Explosions in Ivano-Frankivsk Oblast: Media reports indicate that explosions were heard in Ivano-Frankivsk Oblast during an ongoing drone attack.
Air Raid Alerts: Air raid alerts have been issued in Kyiv and six regions of Ukraine, with the threat of ballistic missile attacks. Air raid alerts have also been issued in Zaporizhzhia Oblast due to the threat of drone attacks.
Sumy: The Ukrainian Air Force reports the launch of guided aerial bombs by tactical aircraft in the Sumy region.
Reports indicate that Russian forces shelled the Nikopol region seven times during the day.
Overnight, Russia attacked Ukraine with two X-59/69 missiles and 61 drones. Ukrainian Air Force reports shooting down two X-59/69 guided missiles, 46 Shahed drones, and other types of drones in various regions. 15 enemy drones were lost without negative consequences.
Video evidence from the 46th Airmobile Brigade shows Ukrainian forces targeting Russian positions with drones.
The 46th Airmobile Brigade reports successful drone operations against Russian troops.
Ryazan oil refinery has suspended operations following a Ukrainian drone attack. The refinery processes nearly 5% of Russia's oil. The attack caused fires and damaged equipment.
Kazan airport implemented restrictions due to a drone threat, with several flights delayed. The restrictions have since been lifted.
Ukrainian forces are reportedly using drones to target and destroy a Russian oil refinery in Kstovo. Video evidence shows a fire at the "Lukoil-Nizhegorodnefteorgsintez" oil refinery, reportedly caused by a drone attack.
Restrictions have been introduced at Pulkovo airport in St. Petersburg.
Pulkovo airport in St. Petersburg has imposed temporary restrictions on receiving and sending flights.

Internal Russian Military Situation

51st Army: There is a shortage of personnel on the front lines.
Sports Relays Order: There are reports of an order for sports relays among military personnel, despite the ongoing intense fighting.
Voenkor Kotenok Telegram Channel:
- Continues to highlight criticisms of the Russian military's internal structure.
- Shared a video of Ukrainian soldiers in Velyka Novosilka expressing despair.
- Discusses the importance of small-scale "garage" manufacturers in supplying the Russian military.
- Raises concerns about the potential for social instability in Russia due to the marginalization of returning veterans.
- Criticizes the children of Russian elites receiving safe, rear-echelon positions in the military.
- Discusses the internal conflicts and power struggles within the Russian military and volunteer forces.
- A video from Voenkor Kotenok shows Russian Special Forces conducting an assault on a Ukrainian stronghold in winter conditions.
114th Motorized Rifle Brigade: Reports indicate that relatives of soldiers from the 55th Independent Guards Motorized Rifle Brigade are protesting the transfer of their loved ones to the 114th Motorized Rifle Brigade.
20th Army: The issue with Novoyehorivka, mentioned by the "Two Majors" comrades, was analyzed by the "Rybar" team.

Political/Economic Situation

US Aid Suspension: The US State Department has issued an order to halt most foreign aid for 90 days. This likely includes military aid to Ukraine, Jordan, and Taiwan. Aid to Israel and Egypt will continue. The order was issued by US Secretary of State Marco Rubio.
Ukrainian Military Re-evaluation Deadline Extended: The deadline for re-evaluation of Ukrainian citizens with limited military fitness will be extended.
Syria-Russia Relations: Syria has terminated all agreements with Russia regarding the lease of the port of Tartus.
Zelensky's Statement on Drone Components: President Zelensky stated that the Shahed drones used in recent attacks on Brovary and Hlevakha were produced in Russia but rely on foreign components.
Europe's Fear of Exclusion from Peace Talks: European officials are concerned that the EU and Ukraine might be excluded from peace negotiations.
EU Sanctions on Russian Citizens: The EU has imposed sanctions on three Russian citizens allegedly responsible for cyberattacks against EU countries.
Poland to Invite Trump to Three Seas Summit: Poland plans to invite former US President Donald Trump to the Three Seas Initiative summit.
Ukraine's Defense Industry Funding: The Ukrainian defense industry has secured over $1.5 billion in foreign partner funding in 2024.
Rising Inflation and Economic Difficulties in Russia: Despite reported economic growth, Russia is facing increasing inflation, rising prices, and labor shortages.
The US State Department has announced a 90-day pause in providing any assistance to foreign states.
USAID representatives have been instructed to halt all projects related to Ukraine.
A correspondent for "Voice of America," citing Pentagon sources, reports that the State Department's decree does not apply to military aid for Ukraine.
Donald Trump, in a telephone conversation with Danish Prime Minister Mette Frederiksen, insisted on acquiring Greenland.
The US State Department has suspended funding for Ukraine.
The Minister of Health of Kamchatka was removed from office due to an outbreak of hepatitis in the oncology dispensary.
The US Department of the Interior, according to Trump's decree, renamed the Gulf of Mexico to the Gulf of America.
The Trump administration will consider using frozen Russian assets to finance the supply of American weapons to Ukraine.
A new report suggests that Russia may be able to continue the war for several more years.
The statement from the head of the Pentagon, Pete Hegseth, about Trump's plans to sign an executive order on an "Iron Dome" for the US indicates a potential shift in US defense strategy.
Poland's attempts to undermine Germany's economy and its role as a leader of the American lobby in the EU highlights the complex geopolitical dynamics within Europe.
The new message about the Russian economy working "on steroids" and approaching a crisis reinforces the assessment of economic difficulties in Russia.
Deputy Commander of the 3rd Assault Brigade, Maksim Zhorin, suggests lowering the mobilization age in Ukraine.
Sternenko's fund is seeking a lawyer-clerk and a communications manager to work on drone supplies.
Brazilian President Lula da Silva expressed his intention to attend the celebration of the 80th anniversary of Victory in the Great Patriotic War in Russia.
NATO Secretary General Jens Stoltenberg called on NATO countries to increase defense spending.
President Zelensky expressed that security guarantees similar to those of Israel would be suitable for Ukraine.
Zelensky also mentioned a conversation with Trump regarding the Budapest Memorandum.
Forbes reports on the disintegration of the 157th Mechanized Brigade.
Great Britain has imposed new sanctions on Belarus following Lukashenko's "victory" in the elections.
According to the head of the Polish Foreign Ministry, Radosław Sikorski, Hungary decided to lift its veto on the extension of sanctions due to a statement by Trump.
Zelensky believes Trump's tactics for ending the war are appealing.
Zelensky stated that if Russia had occupied Kyiv, Ukraine would have lost the war.
Minister of Defense Umierov initiated an internal investigation into the Defense Procurement Agency and suspended its head, Marina Bezrukova.
Israel-Ukraine Relations: The Israeli ambassador to Ukraine stated that Israel has not made a decision to transfer captured Russian weapons to Ukraine.
Military Service in Israel: The Israeli ambassador to Ukraine emphasized that in Israel, there is no exception for the children of officials or ministers when it comes to military service.
A US court has blocked Trump's decision to freeze foreign aid.

Information Warfare

DeepState Analysis: The DeepState Telegram channel shared an image claiming to show Russian forces in the central part of Velyka Novosilka.
"Philologist in Ambush" Telegram Channel: A user on the "Philologist in Ambush" Telegram channel warned about a suspicious account, potentially linked to either Russian authorities or the enemy, that may attempt to spread misinformation or gather sensitive information.
The "Philologist in Ambush" Telegram channel also shared screenshots of a user profile and a group chat, raising concerns about potential threats and information gathering activities.
Voenkor Kotenok Telegram Channel:
- Continues to highlight criticisms of the Russian military's internal structure.
- Shared a video of Ukrainian soldiers in Velyka Novosilka expressing despair and accusing their command of abandoning them.
- Discusses the importance of small-scale "garage" manufacturers in supplying the Russian military.
- Raises concerns about the potential for social instability in Russia due to the marginalization of returning veterans.
- Criticizes the children of Russian elites receiving safe, rear-echelon positions in the military.
- Discusses the internal conflicts and power struggles within the Russian military and volunteer forces.
Automated Bot Activity: Evidence suggests the use of automated bots on Telegram channels to post contextually relevant but inappropriate comments.
Ukrainian and Russian Media Reports: Reports from both Ukrainian and Russian media outlets highlight the discrepancies between official statements and the actual situation on the ground.
Propaganda Videos: Videos showing the raising of the Russian flag in Velyka Novosilka and interviews with captured Ukrainian soldiers are being used for propaganda purposes by Russian sources.
Disinformation on Social Media: The image of a burning Red Square and other misleading images are being used to spread disinformation.
The message regarding the 80th anniversary of the liberation of Auschwitz and the alleged hypocrisy of Ukrainian and Polish politicians highlights the ongoing information war.
The message regarding pirates of the Baltic Sea pursuing another vessel under the pretext of suspected sabotage indicates a potential escalation of tensions in the region.
Former commander-in-chief of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, Viktor Muzhenko, stated that the enemy has seized half of Ukraine's resources.
A video from the "Operativny ZSU" Telegram channel features an intercepted call of a resident from the Bryansk region criticizing Putin for the war in Ukraine.
The 46th Airmobile Brigade's video of drone operations against Russian troops can be seen as a form of information warfare.
Reports of Ukrainian brigades "disintegrating" can be interpreted as part of an information war.
The image of Zelensky looking fatigued can be used for propaganda purposes by both sides.
Reports that the US planned terrorist attacks against its own citizens (Operation Northwoods) are being used to further anti-US narratives.
The video featuring a group of women, likely relatives of Russian soldiers, protesting the transfer of their loved ones to a different brigade can be seen as a form of information warfare.
Patriarch Kirill's speech can be interpreted as framing the conflict as a defense of traditional values.
A large gathering in an image suggests civil unrest or protest, which can influence the political landscape.
An image portrays a Russian military-affiliated figure being promoted to a civilian-government position.

Recommendations

Reinforce Pokrovsk and Toretsk: Deploy additional troops, anti-tank weapons, and air defense systems to Pokrovsk and Toretsk to counter the Russian advance. Prioritize the defense of Pokrovsk to prevent further Russian advances in the Donetsk region.
Enhance Counter-Drone Capabilities: Accelerate the development and deployment of counter-drone systems, particularly in areas experiencing increased drone activity, to mitigate the threat posed by Russian UAVs. Address the new reports of drone activity in the Odesa, Mykolaiv, Kirovohrad, Vinnytsia, Pavlohrad and Kremenchuk regions. Deploy counter-drone measures to protect critical infrastructure, particularly in Nizhny Novgorod and other targeted regions. Address the new reports of drone movements across multiple regions.
Secure Supply Lines: Ensure the efficient flow of supplies, including ammunition, fuel, and medical supplies, to frontline units. Anticipate and mitigate any logistical challenges caused by Russian advances or attacks on infrastructure.
International Support: Continue to engage with international partners to secure additional military and financial aid, focusing on air defense systems, anti-tank weapons, and counter-drone technology.
Adapt to Evolving Tactics: Continuously adapt tactics and strategies in response to the evolving situation on the ground, particularly regarding the increasing use of drones by both sides.
Protect Critical Infrastructure: Strengthen defenses around critical infrastructure, such as energy facilities, to prevent further disruptions and damage. Address the reported damage to energy facilities in Russia and enhance protection measures in other vulnerable areas.
Civilian Protection: Develop and implement plans for the protection of civilians in frontline areas, including the establishment of evacuation points and the provision of humanitarian assistance. Address the situation in Mykolaiv and provide support to those affected by the recent missile attack.
Information Warfare: Counter Russian propaganda and disinformation campaigns by providing accurate and timely information about the situation on the ground. Highlight Ukrainian successes and Russian losses to maintain morale and international support.
Prepare for Protracted Conflict: Given the continued Russian advances and the intensity of the fighting, prepare for a potentially protracted conflict. Focus on building a sustainable defense industry and securing long-term military and financial aid from international partners.
Address Internal Issues: Investigate and address any internal issues within the Ukrainian military, such as corruption or low morale, to ensure the effectiveness and cohesion of the armed forces.
Monitor Russian Movements: Continuously monitor Russian troop movements and deployments, particularly in the Donetsk and Kursk regions, to anticipate potential offensives and adjust defensive strategies accordingly.
Exploit Intelligence: Utilize intelligence gathered from reconnaissance drones, captured enemy soldiers, and other sources to identify weaknesses in Russian defenses and plan targeted attacks.
Enhance Electronic Warfare Capabilities: Invest in and deploy electronic warfare systems to counter Russian drones, disrupt their communications, and protect Ukrainian forces from enemy surveillance.
Train for Urban Warfare: Given the increasing focus on urban areas like Pokrovsk and Velyka Novosilka, provide specialized training to troops on urban warfare tactics and strategies.
Develop Counter-Mobility Measures: Implement counter-mobility measures, such as the deployment of anti-tank mines and obstacles, to slow down Russian advances and channel their movements into areas where they can be more effectively targeted.
Utilize Asymmetric Warfare Tactics: Employ asymmetric warfare tactics, such as ambushes, hit-and-run attacks, and sabotage, to disrupt Russian operations and inflict casualties while minimizing Ukrainian losses.
Prepare for Potential Chemical Attacks: Given the historical use of chemical weapons in the region, prepare for the possibility of chemical attacks by Russian forces. Equip troops with protective gear and train them on decontamination procedures.
Monitor Russian Air Activity: Continuously monitor Russian air activity to anticipate potential airstrikes and deploy air defenses accordingly.
Exploit Intelligence on Russian Losses: Utilize intelligence on Russian losses to assess the effectiveness of Ukrainian tactics and adjust strategies accordingly.
Enhance Cooperation with Local Forces: Strengthen cooperation with local defense forces and civilian resistance groups to gather intelligence, disrupt Russian operations, and enhance the overall defense effort.
Address Potential Infiltration: Be vigilant for potential infiltration by Russian agents or collaborators, particularly in areas near the front lines. Implement security measures to identify and neutralize any internal threats.
Prepare for Long-Term Defense: Given the protracted nature of the conflict, prepare for a long-term defensive posture. Invest in fortifications, establish multiple lines of defense, and ensure the sustainability of the war effort.
Investigate Reports within 20th Army: Address the reports of wounded soldiers being sent back to the front lines prematurely within the 20th Army. Conduct a thorough investigation and implement measures to ensure the well-being of troops.
Counter Drone Attacks on Russian Territory: Given the reported drone attacks on Russian territory, particularly targeting energy infrastructure, enhance air defense capabilities in vulnerable regions. Develop strategies to intercept and neutralize incoming drones.
Monitor Belarus Border: Given the report of a drone flying into Belarus from Chernihiv Oblast, increase monitoring of the border region to detect and intercept any further incursions.
Address Drone Movements: Deploy rapid response units to intercept drones reported near the intersection of Odesa and Mykolaiv oblasts, from Kirovohrad Oblast into Vinnytsia Oblast, south of Pavlohrad, and north of Kremenchuk.
Utilize FPV Drones: Continue to utilize FPV drones, as demonstrated by the 14th Guards Special Forces Brigade, to target and destroy enemy equipment.
Investigate 20th Army Issues: Conduct a thorough investigation into the reported issues within the 20th Army, including the premature deployment of wounded soldiers and the alleged discrepancies in reporting the capture of settlements.
Address Command Issues: Address the concerns raised by Yuriy Podolyaka regarding the accuracy of reports from the front lines and the potential consequences of false reporting.
Improve Medical Care: Ensure that wounded soldiers receive adequate medical care before being sent back to the front lines. Address the issues raised in the video shared by the "Philologist in Ambush" Telegram channel.
Monitor Makiivka Area: Given the reports of wounded soldiers being sent to the Makiivka area, increase monitoring and provide additional support to troops in this region.
Verify Information: Verify the claims made by the "Black Mamba" unit regarding the situation on the ground and take appropriate action to address any issues.
Counter Disinformation: Address any potential disinformation campaigns related to the reported issues within the 20th Army and provide accurate information to the public.
Daytime Operations in Kursk: Analyze the video of daytime operations in the Kursk region to gather intelligence on Ukrainian tactics and strategies.
Assess Ukrainian Morale: Evaluate the claims that Ukrainian forces still consider the offensive in the Kursk region to be strategically important.
Utilize Thermal Imaging: Continue to utilize thermal imaging, as demonstrated in the video shared by the "Colonelcassad" Telegram channel, to detect and target enemy personnel in wooded areas.
Counter Propaganda: Address any potential propaganda efforts related to the video showing the targeting of Ukrainian personnel.
Monitor Religious Rhetoric: Analyze the statements made by Patriarch Kirill in the context of the ongoing conflict and assess their potential impact on public opinion and morale.
Address Societal Issues: Consider the implications of Patriarch Kirill's statements regarding the perceived erosion of traditional values and the "us vs. them" narrative.
Counter Potential Escalation: Given the reports of drone attacks on Russian territory and the ongoing fighting in the Donetsk and Kursk regions, prepare for potential escalation and develop strategies to mitigate risks.
Monitor Airport Restrictions: Continuously monitor the situation at Kazan airport and other airports in the region for any further restrictions or potential threats.
Address Energy Infrastructure Attacks: Given the reported attacks on energy infrastructure, including the oil refinery in Kstovo and the attempted attack on a nuclear energy facility in Smolensk, enhance security measures around critical infrastructure.
Investigate Drone Attacks: Conduct thorough investigations into the reported drone attacks on Russian territory to determine their origin, targets, and the effectiveness of countermeasures.
Monitor Bridge Activities: Keep a close watch on activities around bridges, particularly those with strategic importance, to prevent any potential sabotage or attacks.
Address Humanitarian Concerns: Provide support to civilians affected by the conflict, including those injured or displaced by the fighting. Address the humanitarian needs arising from any attacks on civilian infrastructure.
Counter Propaganda: Address any potential propaganda or disinformation campaigns related to the reported drone attacks or the situation on the ground.
Engage Diplomatically: Address the reported drone attacks on Russian territory and any potential escalation through diplomatic channels.
Maintain Communication: Maintain open lines of communication with regional governors and military commanders to ensure a coordinated response to any

Situation Report