Updated Analysis of the Military Situation in Ukraine
January 28, 2025, 13:38 UTC
Strategic Overview
The military situation in Ukraine remains critical and highly dynamic. Russian forces are making significant advances across multiple fronts, particularly in the Donetsk and Kursk regions.
Donetsk Region: The encirclement of Velyka Novosilka is complete, with Russian forces now in full control of the settlement. Russian forces are pushing towards Pokrovsk and Chasiv Yar with increased intensity. The situation in Pokrovsk is particularly concerning, with Russian forces within 3 kilometers of the administrative border of Dnipropetrovsk Oblast and advancing on both sides of the city to cut off supply routes. Ukrainian defenses in Toretsk are reportedly collapsing, with less than 15% of the city remaining under their control. The reported advances near Ulakly, Konstantinopol, Nadiivka, Petropavlivka, Kotlyne, and Sloviansk further complicate the situation for Ukrainian forces, indicating a widening of the Russian offensive front. Russian forces are reportedly creating a new "cauldron" for Ukrainian forces in the Donbas to the west of Kurakhove. According to "Kotsnews," Russian forces are enveloping Ukrainian forces from the flanks, advancing towards Konstantynopil and capturing Andriivka.
Kursk Region: The Ukrainian counteroffensive has stalled, and Russian forces, reportedly supported by North Korean soldiers, are regaining territory. The presence of North Korean troops, if confirmed, would mark a significant escalation in the conflict.
Other Regions: Drone warfare remains a significant aspect of the conflict, with both sides employing drones for reconnaissance, targeting, and attacks. Ukrainian drone attacks are continuing to target strategic locations deep inside Russia. The confirmed downing of drones over Ryazan Oblast and the reports of a new wave of drone attacks across multiple regions indicate the persistent threat and widespread use of drone technology in the conflict. The confirmed drone attacks on January 27-28 as reported by Colonelcassad, provide a detailed timeline and weapon usage, highlighting the intensity and geographical spread of the attacks, particularly in the Sumy, Kharkiv, and Zaporizhzhia regions.
Geopolitical Landscape: The geopolitical landscape is becoming increasingly complex, with the US aid suspension, President Trump's statements, and the potential for a shift in US policy towards Ukraine and Russia. The EU is considering various options, including a UN-mandated peacekeeping mission, but faces internal divisions and skepticism about the feasibility of such plans. The potential for a "Trump-Putin 2.0" alliance is causing significant concern in Europe, with countries like Lithuania taking steps to prepare for potential Russian aggression.
Key Developments
Donetsk Region
Velyka Novosilka: Confirmed to be under complete Russian control. The Russian Ministry of Defense has officially confirmed the liberation of Velyka Novosilka, and Russian flags have been raised over all districts of the town. This marks a significant strategic victory for Russian forces, as Velyka Novosilka was a key Ukrainian stronghold in the region.
Pokrovsk: Russian forces are within 3 kilometers of the administrative border of Dnipropetrovsk Oblast and have cut off one of the two routes from Krasnoarmiisk (Pokrovsk) to Dnipro. Ukrainian military sources indicate Russian forces are advancing on both sides of Pokrovsk to cut off supply routes and encircle the city. Russian forces are completing the assault on Kotlyno, threatening the left flank of the Pokrovsk sector of the front. Powerful strikes are reported on Pokrovsk.
Chasiv Yar: Russian forces control approximately 20% of the refractory plant and have captured about half of the city's urban area, including the Novyi district. Fighting in the Severnyi district. Russian forces are approaching the western outskirts from the north side of the railway and have launched an offensive south of the railway station. Units of "Akhmat" and "Wagner" have reportedly appeared near Chasiv Yar.
Kurakhove: Most of Kurakhove has been captured, with fighting ongoing near Hryshyno. Russian forces are advancing from Kurakhove towards Dnipropetrovsk, liberating extensive territories. Fighting is reported near Dachnoe. A Russian infantry attack was repelled. Russian forces have extended their control zone by 400 meters along the Kurakhove-Dachnoe road. Russian forces are creating a new "cauldron" for Ukrainian forces to the west of Kurakhove. According to "Kotsnews," Russian forces are enveloping Ukrainian forces from the flanks, advancing towards Konstantynopil and capturing Andriivka.
Toretsk: Ukrainian defenses have nearly collapsed, with less than 15% of the city remaining under their control. Russian forces have reportedly advanced 300 meters, taking control of the Toretska mine. However, a new report from the Ukrainian ISW indicates that Ukrainian forces have retaken some positions near Toretsk.
Other Locations:
Kramatorsk: The Ukrainian General Staff reports an increase in Russian assault activities.
Rozdolne: Ukrainian forces are targeting Russian troops in Rozdolne with drones.
Zverevo: Fighting continues, with Russian forces gradually pushing Ukrainian forces.
Solone: Reportedly liberated by Russian forces.
Uspenivka: Russian forces are engaged in battles, advancing towards Dnipropetrovsk Oblast.
Dachne: Russian forces have advanced near Dachne.
Kotlyne: Russian forces are making advances near Kotlyne.
Andriivka: Russian forces are clearing the settlement after a breakthrough.
Nadezhdenka: Reports indicate no enemy presence, but some roaming groups are still active.
Seversk: Russian forces report the destruction of a Ukrainian UAV control point and ammunition depot near Seversk.
Luhansk Region
Russian forces are making advances near Nadiivka and Petropavlivka.
Russian forces have captured Zakhidne and Ivanivka, advancing towards the western border of the Luhansk People's Republic.
They have also advanced 2 km northwest of Makiivka.
Near Kolodyazi there are active assault operations.
Russian forces are advancing on the western bank of the Zherebets River near Makiivka, Ivanivka, and Novosadove.
Russian forces are forming an "operational cauldron" around Ukrainian forces near Novoyehorivka.
Borova Direction: Ukrainian forces have established positions northeast and east of Zelenyi Hai.
Kursk Region
The Ukrainian counteroffensive has stalled, with Russian forces regaining territory.
Russian forces report the capture of several settlements, including Nikolaevo-Daryino, Cherkasskoye Porechnoye, and Malaya Loknya.
From the beginning of the day, there were 15 combat clashes in the Kursk direction.
Russian forces have reportedly fully liberated Nikolayevo-Daryino.
Ukrainian forces are reportedly increasing their presence in the Sudzha border area.
Russian forces are bypassing Sudzha from the south, fighting is going on near Kurylivka.
Reports indicate that over 360 Ukrainian troops were killed in the region in the past 24 hours, with five surrendering.
Since the beginning of hostilities in Kursk region, the AFU losses amounted to more than 52,870 troops, 304 tanks, 232 infantry fighting vehicles, 174 armored personnel carriers, 1,572 armored fighting vehicles, 1,508 motor vehicles, 377 artillery guns, 44 MLRS launchers, including 13 of HIMARS and six of MLRS made by the USA, 16 anti-aircraft missile launchers, eight transport-loading vehicles, 93 EW stations, 13 counter-battery warfare radars, four air defence radars, 30 units of engineering and other materiel, including 13 counterobstacle vehicles, one UR-77 mine clearing vehicle, eight armoured recovery vehicles, and one command post vehicle.
According to the Russian Ministry of Defense, over the past 24 hours, Russian forces in the Kursk direction have neutralized over 180 Ukrainian troops, a US-made Bradley infantry fighting vehicle, four armored fighting vehicles, ten motor vehicles, a self-propelled artillery unit, two towed howitzers, a mortar, three electronic warfare stations, two UAV control points, and an ammunition depot.
Russian forces destroyed a Ukrainian assault force during an attempted landing near Tetkino in the Kursk region, according to the Russian Ministry of Defense.
North Korean soldiers are withdrawing from the front line in the Kursk region, but with the possibility of returning.
Reports indicate that Ukrainian forces are using F-1 hand grenades filled with cornmeal instead of explosives in the Kursk region.
Kharkiv Region
Drone Attacks: The Ukrainian Air Force reports that the city of Kharkiv is under threat from a Russian drone approaching from the northeast. The Ukrainian Air Force reports repeat launches of guided aerial bombs by enemy tactical aviation in Sumy and the east of Kharkiv region. One drone is reported to be south of Chuhuiv.
Russian Advance: Russian forces have reportedly expanded their bridgehead up to 5 km south of Dvorichna. The Russian Ministry of Defense's announcement of the liberation of Dvurechnaya in the Kharkiv region marks a significant advance for Russian forces. The capture of this town, along with the previously liberated village of Zapadnoye, creates a bridgehead on the western bank of the Oskil River, potentially paving the way for an offensive towards Kupiansk, a crucial logistics hub. The head of the Kharkiv regional military administration has denied Russian claims about the capture of Dvorichna, stating that fighting is ongoing in the settlement.
On the right bank of the Oskol, Russian forces are continuing to push through Ukrainian defenses, expanding their control zone towards the western part of Dvurichna in the direction of Sahunivka.
Explosions: Reported in Kharkiv and Chuhuiv districts.
Kupiansk: is under renewed heavy shelling, with reports of deteriorating security conditions. Russian forces report that they are beginning to storm Kupyansk and have taken the initiative. The Ukrainian Armed Forces are reportedly suffering heavy losses. Russian forces struck an infrastructure facility in Kharkiv with drones. Enemy is intensely shelling Kupyansk with KABs, according to OVA. At least four private houses and power lines were damaged. An 86-year-old woman was injured in Kupiansk due to Russian shelling.
Other Regions
Drone Activity: New alerts for Mykolaiv, Vinnytsia, Zhytomyr, Kirovohrad, Cherkasy, Boryspil, and Vasylkiv areas, as well as confirmed drone movements and attacks. The Ukrainian Air Force reports that 15 drones did not reach their targets and were "lost on location." Ukrainian forces report repelling a drone attack in the Rostov region. Ukrainian forces used drones to attack oil refineries in Saratov, Kazan, Engels and military and energy facilities in Bryansk and Rostov. Seven Ukrainian drones were destroyed over the Belgorod region and Crimea in the past two hours, according to the Russian Ministry of Defense.
Mykolaiv:Mykolaiv city is under threat from enemy UAVs. One drone is approaching Balovne in a northwesterly direction.
Vinnytsia: The Vinnytsia oblast is under threat from enemy UAVs approaching from Cherkasy and Kyiv oblasts. Two drones are reported to be moving from Cherkasy to Vinnytsia oblast.
Zhytomyr: Two drones are reported to be heading towards or through Zhytomyr. They have reportedly changed course towards Fastiv/Irpin.
Kropyvnytskyi: Three drones are reported to be heading towards or through Kropyvnytskyi.
Vasylkiv: Two drones are reported to be heading towards or through Vasylkiv. They are now reportedly flying towards Kyiv from Vasylkiv.
Cherkasy: Four drones are reported to be north of Cherkasy, heading west. Two drones are circling near Cherkasy.
Pryluky: Two drones are reported to be south of Pryluky, heading west.
Chernihiv: Two drones are reported to be in the east of Chernihiv Oblast, heading west.
Nikopol: One drone is reported to be north of Nikopol.
Kyiv: Enemy UAVs are in the vicinity of the city.
Kirovohrad: One drone is circling north of Kropyvnytskyi.
Dnipropetrovsk: One drone is near Kryvyi Rih.
Poltava: One drone is north of Poltava.
Sumy: One drone is circling near Sumy.
Mozyr (Belarus): A Shahed drone was reportedly shot down in the Mozyr region.
Bila Tserkva: Two drones are heading towards or through Bila Tserkva.
Uman: Two drones are east of Uman.
Smila: One drone is west of Smila.
Sevastopol:
Colonelcassad reports an air raid alert in Sevastopol, with maritime transport halted.
"Оперативний ЗСУ" Telegram channel shares an image showing messages from "Чп / Севастополь" warning of ballistic missile launches from the Mykolaiv region towards western and northwestern Crimea, specifically Tarkhankut.
STERNENKO Telegram channel reports on missile danger in occupied Crimea.
Dnipropetrovsk:
Ukrainian forces report destroying over 500 enemy aerial targets in the past week, including 2 guided missiles, 375 "Shahed" drones, 71 reconnaissance drones, and 59 other types of drones.
Russian forces attacked Nikopolshchyna more than 10 times during the day, using FPV drones and heavy artillery. A private house and two buses were damaged. A transport company was also damaged.
Kherson: A civilian was killed by a drone attack between Veletenske and Rozlyv.
Ryazan: There are reports of a new attack on the oil refinery near Ryazan.
Russian forces report the destruction of a Ukrainian UAV control point and ammunition depot near Seversk.
Military Equipment
"Орешник" system:
Lukashenko stated that the "Орешник" system will be deployed in Belarus closer to Smolensk.
Lukashenko stated that the next "Орешник" installation will be delivered to Belarus even earlier than to Russia.
Belarusian President Lukashenko announced that the hypersonic missile complex "Орешник" will be deployed in Belarus "any day now," even before it is delivered to Russia.
FPV drones:
Video evidence shows Russian forces using FPV drones to target Ukrainian positions and vehicles in various locations.
Video evidence shows Russian FPV drones, equipped with fiber optics, destroying a Ukrainian Leopard tank and a stronghold.
Video evidence shows operators from the 14th Guards Special Forces Brigade of the "Vostok" group using FPV drones to target and destroy a Ukrainian self-propelled artillery unit near the Sukhyi Yaly River.
UAVs:
Ukrainian forces from the 141st Mechanized Brigade are targeting enemy positions in the Zaporizhzhia region with drones.
Video evidence shows the aftermath of a Ukrainian drone attack in the Kyiv region, with two multi-story buildings and six cars damaged. A fire also broke out at an enterprise, covering an area of 600 square meters.
Ukrainian forces are using long-range attack UAVs An-196 "Lyutyy," reportedly with a range of 2000 km.
Video evidence confirms that a Russian Krasukha electronic warfare system was destroyed in Vasylivka, Kherson region.
France's commitment to deliver Mirage 2000-5 fighter jets to Ukraine by the end of the first quarter of 2025 represents a significant boost to Ukraine's air capabilities. The jets will reportedly be used primarily as carriers for Storm Shadow missiles and to bolster air defense.
The mention of a new Ukrainian AI platform for UAVs, Clarity, capable of detecting even camouflaged military equipment, highlights the increasing role of advanced technology in the conflict.
Geopolitical Developments
Former US President Trump has threatened to use $330 billion of frozen Russian assets to aid Ukraine in purchasing American weapons.
The US is preparing to deploy nuclear weapons in the UK for the first time in 15 years.
European allies are pushing for US involvement in peacekeeping in Ukraine, with Zelensky requesting a direct US presence.
Trump's administration does not intend to participate in the reconstruction of Ukraine after the end of the conflict.
Bloomberg reports that European allies agree that the US should provide troops for any future peacekeeping force in Ukraine.
Hungarian Prime Minister Orban demands Ukraine restore Russian gas transit to continue EU sanctions against Russia.
The Vice-Speaker of the Slovak Parliament compared Biden and Zelensky to "dying horses" and stated only Putin and Trump can resolve the Ukrainian issue.
Zelensky began copying Trump, according to Le Monde.
Marco Rubio stated that Ukraine and Russia must "give up something" to end the war.
Donald Trump said he plans to meet with Vladimir Putin, but did not specify a date.
Donald Trump said the US has a right to half of TikTok.
Donald Trump signed a decree to create a structure in the US headed by Elon Musk to improve the efficiency of the government.
Donald Trump expressed his intention to achieve an end to the Russian-Ukrainian war.
Trump signed a law to stop aid to foreign countries for 90 days. This law also affects Ukraine.
Trump signed a decree to abolish birthright citizenship for children of illegal immigrants.
The US has officially exited the WHO and the Paris Climate Agreement.
French President Macron stated that the conflict in Ukraine will not end in the near future and that Europe must be at the negotiating table.
Zelensky stated that US peacekeepers should be sent to Ukraine.
Zelensky said he is confident that Xi Jinping can push Putin to peace.
Putin is ready for a conversation with Trump, according to Peskov.
The Polish Foreign Minister has stated that Putin must earn a meeting with Trump, and that he is not the same Putin Trump knew during his first term.
Preparation for direct negotiations between "Putin" and US President Donald Trump on a possible truce in the war between Russia and Ukraine is the only topic of discussion within the Politburo.
Part of the Russian leadership put forward a claim to the "Russian city of Narva" on the agenda of the negotiations.
Representatives of the Politburo were told that Trump intends to block all opportunities for Russia to bypass sanctions and "put an end to the gray fleet" that transports Russian oil products.
A telephone conversation between "Putin" and Trump could take place in the next three days.
The agreement on Ukraine was not reached because Zelensky wanted to fight.
Trump administration does not intend to participate in the reconstruction of Ukraine after the end of the conflict.
China has reiterated its position in favor of dialogue on Ukraine, as stated by the press secretary of the Chinese Embassy in the US, Liu Pengyu, in response to Trump's comments on expecting Beijing's assistance in resolving the Ukrainian conflict.
The EU has called the presidential elections in Belarus a "complete fake".
Saudi Arabia responded to Trump's proposal to collapse oil prices by stating that Riyadh is focused on "long-term stability of the oil market."
China responded to Trump's request for assistance in ending the war in Ukraine, stating that they are "ready to see all sides play a constructive role and create conditions for de-escalation and a political settlement of the crisis."
The heads of foreign affairs of 27 EU countries will discuss on January 27th the 16th package of sanctions against Russia and the use of its frozen assets, according to an EU representative.
The Ukrainian Ministry of Foreign Affairs sharply responded to Russia's demand for Ukraine to refuse to join NATO, stating that the architecture of European security is built on protection from Russia and that Russia has no say in this matter.
US Secretary of State Blinken removed the official statement on the non-recognition of the future presidential elections in Belarus.
NATO plans to share classified data on military production with the EU and defense industry representatives, according to Bloomberg.
Trump reportedly plans to hold a phone call with Putin in late January or early February, followed by discussions with Ukrainian authorities.
A potential meeting between Trump, Zelensky, and Putin is proposed for February-early March 2025 to agree on the main parameters of a peace plan.
A ceasefire is proposed from April 20, 2025, with the withdrawal of Ukrainian troops from the Kursk region.
An International Peace Conference is proposed for late April 2025 to formalize an agreement between Ukraine and Russia, mediated by the US, China, select European countries, and "Global South" nations.
A prisoner exchange "all for all" is proposed for late April 2025.
A declaration on ending the war in Ukraine is proposed for May 9, 2025, with Ukraine not extending martial law or mobilization afterward.
Presidential elections in Ukraine are proposed for late August 2025, with parliamentary and local elections in late October 2025.
Ukraine would not join NATO and declare neutrality, with a NATO summit decision to prohibit Ukraine's entry.
Ukraine would join the EU by 2030, with the EU committing to post-war reconstruction.
Ukraine would not reduce its army size, and the US would continue supporting its modernization.
Ukraine would not recognize Russian sovereignty over occupied territories but would also refrain from military or diplomatic attempts to regain them.
Some sanctions against Russia would be lifted immediately after the agreement, others over three years based on compliance.
Restrictions on Russian energy imports to the EU would be removed, but subject to a special duty to fund Ukraine's reconstruction.
Parties supporting the Russian language and peaceful coexistence with Russia would be allowed in Ukrainian elections. Actions against the Ukrainian Orthodox Church and the Russian language would cease.
The issue of a European peacekeeping contingent is highlighted as problematic, with Ukraine demanding it and Russia opposing it.
Europe is reportedly preparing for the "most extreme" military scenario due to concerns about a potential "Trump-Putin 2.0" alliance, according to NBC News.
European governments fear that Russia may target them after Ukraine, especially if the US under a new administration does not provide support.
Lithuania plans to mine bridges leading to Russia and is prepared to destroy them if Russian tanks attempt to cross. They have also stockpiled "dragon's teeth" anti-tank obstacles.
Plans are underway to build a large-scale anti-missile defense system in Europe, similar to Israel's "Iron Dome."
Norway has updated its emergency preparedness brochure for citizens, outlining how much water, food, and other supplies to stockpile in case of "military action."
Germany has allocated around 100 million euros to restore public sirens that were dismantled after the fall of the "Iron Curtain."
Swedish church authorities, at the direction of the armed forces, have begun searching for additional cemetery space in case the conflict reaches their shores.
Concerns are widespread that a new US president might not defend historic NATO allies if they are attacked by Russia.
Turkey intends to help the EU replace gas transit through Ukraine, according to the Turkish ambassador to the EU, Faruk Kaymakcı.
Reports indicate a potential shift in the political landscape of Belarus, with incumbent President Lukashenko claiming a landslide victory in the recent elections, securing 87.6% of the vote according to exit polls.
There is speculation about a potential "100-day plan" for Ukraine, attributed to former US President Trump, which has been published in the media.
Europe is reportedly preparing for a potential escalation of the conflict, with concerns about a possible "Trump-Putin 2.0" alliance and a reduction in US support under a new administration.
Turkey has expressed its intention to assist the EU in replacing gas transit through Ukraine, potentially utilizing the Southern Gas Corridor and connecting it to Mediterranean gas sources.
The Wall Street Journal reports that US officials are shocked by Trump's suspension of foreign aid, fearing it could allow China and other rivals to gain influence.
The EU is considering a UN-mandated peacekeeping mission, potentially involving troops from outside Europe, though skepticism exists regarding the feasibility of such a plan.
Hungary's Minister of Foreign Affairs has signaled that the EU may "rape" European principles of unanimity if there is no consensus on the continuation of anti-Russian sanctions.
NATO will reportedly share confidential military production data with the EU and defense industry representatives to foster "common thinking."
A new "100-day plan" by former US President Trump for a settlement in Ukraine has surfaced in the media, though its authenticity is unconfirmed.
Prime Minister of Serbia, Miloš Vučević, is resigning amidst student protests.
Denmark's Prime Minister Mette Frederiksen is touring European capitals to rally support for the defense of Greenland, particularly in light of perceived threats from former US President Donald Trump.
The US Senate confirmed Scott Bessent as the new Treasury Secretary.
The Nasdaq index fell by 3%.
US President Donald Trump announced plans to impose tariffs on semiconductor and pharmaceutical imports.
Trump also stated his intention to reopen oil production in protected areas of Alaska.
Google will rename the Gulf of Mexico to the American Gulf.
Donald Trump stated that DeepSeek's success should serve as a signal to US companies, emphasizing the need for Washington to focus on competition.
Latvia is demonstrating complete dependence on Washington, suspending training of Ukrainian medical workers following Trump's order to freeze aid, according to Maria Zakharova.
The EU is considering prohibiting the supply of PlayStation and Xbox consoles to Russia as part of the 16th sanctions package, according to EU diplomacy chief Kaja Kallas. The package will also include chemicals used in the Russian military industry and restrictions on liquefied natural gas imports.
Head of the Foreign Intelligence Service of Russia, Sergey Naryshkin, suggested discussing the issue of rights to Ukrainian lands with other countries, including Poland, Hungary, and Slovakia, from a historical perspective.
The acting governor of the Kursk region has resigned following a conflict with Alexander Khinshtein over her vacation in India. Alexander Potanin will temporarily assume the role. Khinshtein has mandated all Kursk officials to report their planned foreign trips.
The Director of the Foreign Intelligence Service of Russia, Naryshkin, proposed discussing the topic of rights to Ukrainian lands with the participation of other countries from a historical perspective. He suggested inviting historians from Poland, Hungary, and Slovakia.
The Executive Committee of the Aksubaevsky District of Tatarstan has announced a tender for the organization of funerals for 55 military personnel, with an initial contract value of 4,072,500 rubles. The tender includes various funeral services and items, such as a hearse, mourning ribbons, a photo in a frame, metal plates, live flowers, a wooden cross or Muslim board, grave digging, a memorial plaque, and a memorial meal. The initial cost per burial is 74,050 rubles. This district has a population of 27,102 as of 2021, with a constantly decreasing number of residents.
New Information and Updates
The Russian Ministry of Defense claims that "Solntsepek" and "Tosochka" systems destroyed Ukrainian Armed Forces (AFU) shelters in the Kharkiv region. This suggests continued heavy Russian bombardment in the area.
North Korean soldiers are reportedly fighting alongside Russian forces in the Kursk region. This could indicate a deepening of military cooperation between Russia and North Korea.
Russian forces have reportedly captured the village of Zakhidne north of Kupyansk, further solidifying their presence in the Kharkiv region.
Ukrainian forces are using drones equipped with shotguns to shoot down Russian drones, demonstrating innovative counter-drone tactics.
Russian forces are employing a new tactic of dropping reconnaissance spheres from FPV drones, allowing for extended surveillance of Ukrainian positions. This represents a technological advancement in their reconnaissance capabilities.
The 82nd Separate Airborne Assault Brigade reportedly ambushed and destroyed a group from the 155th Marine Brigade of the Pacific Fleet of the Russian Armed Forces in the Kursk region. This signifies a successful Ukrainian counterattack and a significant blow to Russian forces.
Russian military bloggers are accused of spreading disinformation about an all-female assault company being sent from Crimea to Kursk. This highlights the ongoing information warfare aspect of the conflict.
A Russian soldier reportedly confessed to shooting unarmed Russian soldiers and committing other crimes in the Kursk region. This could indicate internal issues and low morale within Russian forces.
Ukrainian FPV drones are increasingly targeting and destroying Russian infantry and equipment, demonstrating their effectiveness in close combat situations.
Russian forces are reportedly fighting on the outskirts of Sverdlikovo, but have not yet entered the settlement. This suggests that reports of rapid Russian advances may be exaggerated.
A Russian drone operator targeted a Ukrainian 2S1 "Carnation" self-propelled howitzer in the Kursk region, but missed the target. This indicates that while Russian drone capabilities are significant, they are not always successful.
A Russian tank was targeted and destroyed by Ukrainian drones in the Kursk region, highlighting the vulnerability of even heavily armored vehicles to drone attacks.
Operators from the 14th Guards Special Forces Brigade of the "Vostok" group are using FPV drones to target and destroy Ukrainian self-propelled artillery units near the Sukhyi Yaly River. This demonstrates the ongoing tactical use of drones by Russian forces.
An FPV drone of the Russian group of troops "Sever" destroyed a US-made Bradley BMP in the border area of the Kursk region, showcasing the effectiveness of Russian drones against Western-supplied equipment.
A destroyed armored "Буханка" called "Коналю-2963" was reported in the Kursk region, providing insight into the types of vehicles being used in the conflict.
Video evidence shows a group of operators from the FPV GВ "North" chasing and destroying a Ukrainian tank in the Kursk border area, highlighting the continued use of drones in anti-tank warfare.
The "Black Swan" unit of the 255th Assault Battalion of the Ukrainian Armed Forces is engaged in fighting near Glubokoye, indicating ongoing clashes in that area.
New video evidence shows a Russian "Lancet" drone striking a Ukrainian M113 armored personnel carrier near the border, demonstrating the continued threat posed by Russian loitering munitions.
Russian forces are using drones to hunt Ukrainian infantry near Kupyansk, showcasing the adaptability of drone technology for various combat roles.
Russian FPV drones, equipped with fiber optics, are being used to destroy Ukrainian Leopard tanks and strongholds, indicating a technological advancement in Russian drone capabilities.
Russian FPV drone operators are targeting Ukrainian positions and vehicles in various locations, highlighting the widespread use of drones in the conflict.
Video evidence shows Russian troops using an FPV drone to strike a Ukrainian group advancing at night near Makhnovka, demonstrating the use of drones in night operations.
A Russian "Lancet" drone operator from the "Sever" group targeted a Ukrainian M-113 armored personnel carrier near Yuzhnoye, showcasing the continued use of loitering munitions by Russian forces.
Video evidence shows the moment of drone arrivals at an oil depot in the Voronezh region, highlighting the vulnerability of critical infrastructure to drone attacks.
An animated map shows the routes of Russian cruise missiles and Geran drones targeting Ukraine on January 24-25, 2025, providing insight into Russian targeting strategies.
A Russian "Molniya" drone struck the ground near a house in the Shevchenkivskyi district of Kharkiv, causing damage but no casualties. This indicates continued Russian drone activity in the region.
Reports indicate that over 360 Ukrainian troops were killed in the Kursk region in the past 24 hours, with five surrendering. This suggests significant Ukrainian losses in the area.
Russian aviation struck with FAB-3000 in the north-eastern part of Sudzha and the northern outskirts of Honcharivka, demonstrating the use of heavy aerial bombs by Russian forces.
Russian forces are reportedly bypassing Sudzha from the south and fighting near Kurylivka, indicating a potential encirclement maneuver.
In the area of Sudzha, the enemy is transferring elite units of the Special Operations Forces from the Sumy region, suggesting a possible Ukrainian counteroffensive or reinforcement.
Nikolayevo-Daryino has been cleared, with the enemy making careless and unsuccessful counterattacks, indicating a consolidation of Russian control in the area.
Battles are ongoing near Pohrebky, with the 34th Brigade continuing to destroy enemy equipment and personnel, highlighting continued clashes in the region.
Heavy flamethrower systems TOS-1A "Solntsepek" crews reportedly destroyed strongholds of the Ukrainian Armed Forces in a border area of the Kursk region, showcasing the use of heavy weaponry by Russian forces.
Russian forces destroyed a Ukrainian BMP-2 in the Kursk region using artillery and FPV drones, demonstrating the combined use of
The Russian Ministry of Defense has provided an update on the progress of the special military operation, detailing losses inflicted on Ukrainian forces and the liberation of Dvurechnaya in the Kharkiv region.
The Russian Ministry of Defense reports on the progress of the special military operation, detailing losses inflicted on Ukrainian forces and territorial gains in the Kharkiv, Donetsk, and Zaporizhzhia regions.
The Russian Ministry of Defense detailed the following losses inflicted on Ukrainian forces:
Kharkov Direction: Up to 25 troops, one armored fighting vehicle, two motor vehicles, two field artillery guns, and one ammunition depot.
Zapad Group of Forces: Up to 330 troops, four armored fighting vehicles (including two U.S.-made M113 armored personnel carriers), six motor vehicles, four field artillery guns (including three of Western-made), two electronic warfare stations, and two ammunition depots.
Yug Group of Forces: Up to 220 troops, two American HMMWV armored fighting vehicles, three motor vehicles, one U.S.-made 105-mm M119 gun, and one ammunition depot.
Tsentr Group of Forces: Up to 600 troops, two tanks, two armored fighting vehicles (including one U.S.-made Bradley infantry fighting vehicle), seven motor vehicles, and one field artillery gun.
Vostok Group of Forces: More than 115 troops, one tank, two motor vehicles, and four field artillery guns (including one manufactured by Western countries).
Dnepr Group of Forces: More than 40 troops and three motor vehicles.
