Updated Analysis of the Military Situation in Ukraine - January 27, 2025, 06:38 UTC
Strategic Overview
The military situation in Ukraine remains critical, with Russian forces solidifying their positions and continuing advances across multiple fronts. The Donetsk region is the focal point of intense fighting, particularly around Velyka Novosilka, Pokrovsk, and Chasiv Yar. Velyka Novosilka is confirmed to be under complete Russian control, including reports of a large group of Ukrainian soldiers from the 110th Brigade surrendering, a significant strategic loss for Ukraine. Russian forces are maintaining their offensive momentum near Pokrovsk and Chasiv Yar, while Ukrainian defenses are reportedly collapsing in Toretsk. In the Kursk region, the Ukrainian counteroffensive has stalled, and Russian forces, reportedly supported by North Korean soldiers, are regaining territory with a new tactical marking system for vehicles. Drone warfare continues to be a dominant feature of the conflict, with extensive use by both sides. Ukrainian forces are actively targeting Russian assets with drones, including oil refineries and military facilities deep inside Russia. The Russian Ministry of Defense reported the interception of multiple Ukrainian drones overnight. A fire occurred in an administrative building of a Rostov pre-trial detention center, where a hostage-taking incident took place in the summer. Ukrainian air defenses claim to have shot down 13 drones in the Dnipropetrovsk region overnight, with some damage reported to infrastructure and residential buildings. There are new reports of Russian drone attacks in Sumy, Zhytomyr, Kyiv, Chernihiv, and Khmelnytskyi regions. A new attack on an oil refinery near Ryazan is reported, with video evidence of a fire. Governor Pavel Malkov confirmed the drone attack on the region, stating that several drones were destroyed and there were no casualties. The Ukrainian General Staff confirms the repeated attack on the Ryazan oil refinery, stating that the operation was carried out by the Unmanned Systems Forces and the Main Intelligence Directorate of the Ministry of Defense of Ukraine. The Ukrainian General Staff also reports that rocket forces have hit four command posts, four areas of concentration of enemy personnel and equipment, and one other important enemy object. There are new reports of explosions in Kharkiv and Chuhuiv districts, with a fire reported in a two-story building in the Vysochansk community due to a Russian attack.
Key Developments
Donetsk Region
- Velyka Novosilka:
- Confirmed to be under complete Russian control. The Russian Ministry of Defense has officially confirmed the liberation of the settlement. A large group of Ukrainian soldiers from the 110th Brigade has reportedly surrendered in Velyka Novosilka, as all escape routes were cut off, and no evacuation was conducted.
- Russian forces have visually confirmed their presence in the central part of the settlement.
- Russian forces are clearing basements and buildings of any remaining Ukrainian forces.
- The liberation of Velyka Novosilka is a major strategic victory for Russian forces.
- There are reports of Ukrainian forces destroying Russian armored vehicles in the area.
- A video from the "Vostok" group reportedly shows the targeting of a Ukrainian command post, resulting in over 150 Ukrainian soldiers killed.
- Ukrainian forces are using drones to target Russian troops, with Russian forces approximately 4.5 km from the borders of the Dnipropetrovsk region.
- The Ukrainian command acknowledges the risk of an operational encirclement, with the 110th Mechanized Brigade and attached units in a difficult situation.
- Video evidence shows Ukrainian forces using mortars, "Baba Yaga" drones, and tanks to destroy Russian forces and equipment.
- Video evidence shows snipers of the 14th Guards Special Forces Brigade of the "Vostok" group conducting a night hunt for enemy personnel in one of the areas of the South Donetsk direction.
- The "Voin DV" Telegram channel shows drone operators of the 37th Guards Motorized Rifle Brigade of the 36th Army of the "Vostok" group destroying a Ukrainian BMP north of Velyka Novosilka.
- Video evidence shows a Russian drone attack on a Ukrainian BMP north of Velyka Novosilka.
- Pokrovsk:
- Russian forces are within 10 kilometers and advancing, having severed the penultimate railway line to the city.
- Positional fighting continues, with Russian forces advancing towards Novohrodivka and expanding control along the railway line.
- Russian forces are reportedly within 3 km of the administrative border of Dnipropetrovsk Oblast and have cut off one of the two routes from Krasnoarmiisk (Pokrovsk) to Dnipro.
- Powerful strikes are reported on Pokrovsk.
- Ukrainian forces are reportedly struggling to defend Pokrovsk.
- There is new video evidence of a Russian drone targeting and destroying a Ukrainian M113 APC near Pokrovsk.
- There is also video evidence of Russian forces engaging Ukrainian positions, including the destruction of a German Leopard tank.
- A captured soldier from the 153rd Brigade trained by the US 1st Cavalry Division in Germany was taken prisoner by Russian forces on the Pokrovsk front. He revealed details about his training and the execution of civilians by Ukrainian forces.
- Russian snipers are reportedly disrupting Ukrainian troop rotations in this area.
- Video evidence shows a Russian sniper operation disrupting a Ukrainian troop rotation near Pokrovsk.
- According to "Военкор Котенок", the situation in the Kotlyno-Udachnoye area has changed. Ukrainian attempts to repel Russian attacks near Udachnoye have failed.
- Russian forces are advancing in the southern part of Udachnoye, fighting for the station, and approaching the center in the north.
- South of the village, fighting is taking place near Tsarskoye Stavok, Dolgoprudnaya Balka, and the eastern part of Novosergievka.
- In the Dimitrov (Kotlyno) area, Russian forces have captured a ventilation shaft and nearby landings.
- Cleanup operations are ongoing to the north, towards Sergeevka.
- Russian drones are operating not only in the landings but also in Sergeevka itself.
- There are also reports of advances towards Grishino.
- Chasiv Yar:
- Russian forces control approximately 20% of the refractory plant and have captured about half of the city's urban area, including the Novyi district.
- Fighting continues in the Severnyi district.
- Russian forces are approaching the western outskirts from the north side of the railway and have launched an offensive south of the railway station.
- The press service of the 24th Mechanized Brigade reports that the situation in Chasiv Yar is difficult, with Russian forces deploying units of "Akhmat" and former "Wagner" fighters.
- Kurakhove:
- Most of Kurakhove has been captured, with fighting ongoing near Hryshyno.
- Russian forces are advancing from Kurakhove towards Dnipropetrovsk, liberating extensive territories.
- Russian forces are conducting assault operations in the Kurakhove direction.
- There is video evidence of the last battle of a Russian tank crew from the 5th Brigade of the 51st Army on October 29, 2024. The crew reportedly opened the way for Russian troops into Kurakhove.
- Toretsk:
- Ukrainian defenses have nearly collapsed, with less than 15% of the city remaining under their control.
- Battles are ongoing on the northern outskirts of the city, south of the "Fomikha" mine, for the "Toretska" mine, and the village of Krymske.
- Video evidence confirms Russian advances near Toretsk.
- The Ukrainian General Staff reports 10 Russian attacks in the area.
- A video from "Butusov Plus" shows Ukrainian forces targeting Russian positions in Toretsk, suggesting ongoing resistance despite the difficult situation.
- Video evidence shows Ukrainian forces capturing a Russian soldier in Toretsk.
- Russian forces have reportedly advanced in Toretsk, according to DeepState.
- Belohorivka:
- Video evidence shows Russian forces storming Ukrainian positions near Belohorivka, clearing trenches and destroying enemy forces.
- Vuhledar:
- Russian sappers have discovered mines made with 3D printers, which are difficult to detect with metal detectors. They have reportedly neutralized over a thousand explosive devices in the area since the beginning of 2025.
- Rozdolne:
- Ukrainian forces are targeting Russian troops in Rozdolne with drones. The 23rd Mechanized Brigade is reportedly active in the area.
- Kramatorsk:
- At the Kramatorsk axis, clashes were reported near Chasiv Yar and Fedorivka.
- Zverevo:
- The fighting in Zverevo continues, with Russian forces gradually pushing Ukrainian forces along Gagarin Street and Sazonov's Gully.
- Ukrainian defenses are built around mine waste heaps.
- Russian aviation launched strikes with guided bombs against these positions and drone control points.
- Fighting is ongoing in the landings near the city dump to the northwest.
- Solone:
- Reportedly liberated by Russian forces.
- Uspenivka:
- Russian forces are engaged in battles near Uspenivka, advancing towards Dnipropetrovsk Oblast.
- Dachne:
- A video shows the successful use of an FPV drone by the 238th Artillery Brigade against a group of Ukrainian forces in Dachne.
Luhansk Region
- Russian forces are making advances near Nadiivka and Petropavlivka.
- They have captured Zakhidne and Ivanivka, advancing towards the western border of the Luhansk People's Republic.
- Borova Direction:
- Ukrainian forces have established positions northeast and east of Zelenyi Hai.
- Russian forces are advancing on the western bank of the Zherebets River near Makiivka, Ivanivka, and Novosadove.
Kursk Region
- The Ukrainian counteroffensive has stalled, with Russian forces regaining territory.
- Russian forces report the capture of several settlements and are consolidating their control.
- In Tetkino, Russian forces repelled a Ukrainian attempt to land troops, using FPV drones and artillery. Ukrainian forces were reportedly instructed to change their tactical vehicle markings from a "cross" to a white or green stripe, depending on the vehicle's color.
- Heavy fighting continues near the village of Nikolsky.
- Heavy flamethrower systems TOS-1A "Solntsepek" crews reportedly destroyed strongholds of the Ukrainian Armed Forces in a border area.
- Battles are ongoing near Pohrebky, with the 34th Brigade continuing to destroy enemy equipment and personnel.
- Nikolayevo-Daryino has been cleared, with the enemy making careless and unsuccessful counterattacks.
- In the area of Sudzha, the enemy is transferring elite units of the Special Operations Forces from the Sumy region.
- Russian forces are bypassing Sudzha from the south, fighting is going on near Kurylivka.
- Russian aviation struck with FAB-3000 in the north-eastern part of Sudzha and the northern outskirts of Honcharivka.
- Reports indicate that over 360 Ukrainian troops were killed in the Kursk region in the past 24 hours, with five surrendering.
- Video evidence shows the moment of drone arrivals at an oil depot in the Voronezh region.
- Video evidence shows a Russian "Lancet" drone operator from the "Sever" group targeting a Ukrainian M-113 armored personnel carrier near Yuzhnoye.
- Ukrainian border guards reportedly struck a Russian drone launch site in Vovchansk using drones.
- Video evidence shows Russian troops using an FPV drone to strike a Ukrainian group advancing at night near Makhnovka.
- Video evidence shows a Russian drone operator targeting a Ukrainian 2S1 "Carnation" self-propelled howitzer in the Kursk region, but the operator misses the target.
- Video evidence shows Ukrainian forces using drones equipped with shotguns to effectively shoot down Russian drones.
- Video evidence shows Russian FPV drone operators targeting Ukrainian positions and vehicles in various locations.
- Video evidence shows Russian FPV drones, equipped with fiber optics, destroying a Ukrainian Leopard tank and a stronghold.
- Video evidence shows Russian forces using drones to hunt Ukrainian infantry near Kupyansk.
- New video evidence of a Russian "Lancet" drone striking a Ukrainian M113 armored personnel carrier near the border.
- Video evidence shows that Ukrainian forces are using drones to destroy a column of Russian armored vehicles near the border between Kursk and Sumy regions.
- Video evidence from the "Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны" Telegram channel shows a Russian drone operator targeting and destroying a hidden NATO armored vehicle during an assault on Cherkasskoye Porechnoye.
- Video evidence from the "Black Swan" unit of the 255th Assault Battalion of the Ukrainian Armed Forces shows fighting near Glubokoye.
- Video from the Russian Ministry of Defense shows electronic warfare specialists of a separate motorized infantry brigade of the "Sever" group detecting and shooting down Ukrainian UAVs in the Kursk region border area.
- Video evidence shows the effective work of anti-tank marines in Kurshina. The calculation of the Javelin operators took out three enemy tanks and four BMD-4 units of the enemy armored group in two days.
- A destroyed armored "Буханка" called "Коналю-2963" was reported in the Kursk region.
- An FPV drone of the Russian group of troops "Sever" destroyed a US-made Bradley BMP in the border area of the Kursk region.
- Video evidence shows operators of FPV drones of the Russian Armed Forces attacking enemy shelters on the Kherson direction.
- Four Ukrainian drones were reportedly shot down over Belgorod overnight.
- Video evidence shows operators from the 14th Guards Special Forces Brigade of the "Vostok" group using FPV drones to target and destroy a Ukrainian self-propelled artillery unit near the Sukhyi Yaly River.
- Video evidence shows operators from the 14th Guards Special Forces Brigade of the "Vostok" group using FPV drones to target a Ukrainian self-propelled artillery unit near the Sukhyi Yaly River and to destroy another unit in the same area.
- "Дневник Десантника" reports that the enemy suffered losses of about 360 people in the Kursk region in the past day, and five people surrendered.
- Video evidence shows a tank of the Russian Armed Forces being targeted and destroyed by Ukrainian drones in the Kursk region.
- Video evidence shows Russian forces using a drone to target and destroy a Ukrainian armored pickup truck in the Kursk region.
Kharkiv Region
- Drone Attacks: Drone attacks continue in the region. One drone is approaching Balakliya. The Ukrainian Air Force reports that the city of Kharkiv is under threat from a Russian drone approaching from the northeast and from another approaching from the south. The Ukrainian Air Force reports a threat of Russian drone attacks in Donetsk and Kharkiv Oblasts. The Ukrainian Air Force reports repeat launches of guided aerial bombs by enemy tactical aviation in Sumy and the east of Kharkiv region. A third strike on Kharkiv was reported by the mayor, targeting the Kyivskyi district. Ukrainian authorities confirm another strike in the Kyivskyi district, with no reported casualties. A fire broke out at an energy facility in Kharkiv following a drone attack. Power and water supply issues are reported in some areas of the city. Three people were injured in the attacks on Kharkiv. A Russian "Lancet" drone destroyed a Ukrainian self-propelled howitzer "Gvozdika" in the Kharkiv region. The Ukrainian Air Force reports the movement of attack drones in the western and central parts of Kharkiv region, heading west. Drones are also reported north of Kharkiv, heading west, and on the border of Kharkiv and Poltava regions, heading west. A new group of Russian drones is reported in the east of Kharkiv Oblast, with a west/southwest course. New drone groups are reported on the east and in the central part of the Kharkiv region, with a western/southwestern course.
- Russian Advance: Russian forces have reportedly expanded their bridgehead up to 5 km south of Dvorichna.
- Kupiansk is under renewed heavy shelling. Russian forces report that they are beginning to storm Kupyansk.
- Explosions: Reported in Kharkiv and Chuhuiv districts. A fire broke out in a two-story building in the Vysochansk community due to a Russian attack.
- Kupiansk: Is under renewed heavy shelling, with reports of deteriorating security conditions. Russian forces report that they are beginning to storm Kupyansk and have taken the initiative. The Ukrainian Armed Forces are reportedly suffering heavy losses. Video evidence shows a Russian FPV drone destroying a Ukrainian temporary deployment point in the Kupyansk direction. Ukrainian forces report burning a Russian T-80 tank in the Kharkiv region. Ballistic missiles were reportedly launched from the Belgorod region towards the Kharkiv region. Russian forces launched guided aerial bombs on the north of Kharkiv Oblast. A guided aerial bomb (KAB) was reported in the direction of Staryi Saltiv (Kharkiv Oblast). In Sumy, Russian troops struck a Ukrainian deployment site, killing 18 and wounding 30. A Russian drone, likely a "Molniya", reportedly attacked the Shevchenkivskyi district of Kharkiv. One person has been reported injured due to the drone attack.
Other Regions
- Drone Movements: Drone security is reported in multiple Russian regions and occupied Crimea. 5 drones are flying over the Berislav district towards Bereznehovate. 1 drone flew over Pokrov in a northerly direction. 2 drones are flying over Pavlograd in a northerly direction. 6 drones are in the Kremenchug region, heading northwest. 2 drones are circling near Cherkasy. 1 drone is moving from the Kharkiv region to the Dnipropetrovsk region, and 1 to the Poltava region. 3 drones are moving from the Sumy region to the Poltava region. Groups of drones are moving along the border of the Kherson and Dnipropetrovsk regions, heading northwest. Drones are in the east of the Mykolaiv region, heading northwest. Drones are in the north of the Dnipropetrovsk region, heading west. Drones are in the northeast of the Dnipropetrovsk region, heading north. Drones are in the west of the Kharkiv region, heading west. Drones are in the south and center of the Poltava region, heading north. Drones are in the west of the Poltava region, heading west. Drones are in the north of the Sumy region, heading south. Drones are in the east of the Cherkasy region, heading north. Drones are on the border of the Zaporizhzhia and Dnipropetrovsk regions, heading north. Drones are in the northeast of the Dnipropetrovsk region, heading north. Drones are in the Nikopol area, heading towards Kryvyi Rih. Several groups of attack UAVs are moving through the Sumy region towards the Chernihiv region. Drone security is reported in Moscow, Tambov, Tula, Rostov, Kursk, Bryansk, Lipetsk, Ryazan regions, and occupied Crimea. The Ukrainian Air Force reports that 15 drones did not reach their targets and were "lost on location." Ukrainian forces report repelling a drone attack in the Rostov region.
- Sevastopol: An air raid alert was reported in Sevastopol, with maritime transport halted.
- Kherson: A civilian was killed by a drone attack between Veletenske and Rozlyv. In Aleshki, Kherson Oblast, the enemy carried out remote mining of the settlement throughout yesterday and last night. As a result of the detonation of explosives, 12 civilians have already died, including children.
- Dnipropetrovsk:
- Ukrainian air defenses shot down 13 drones in the region overnight.
- Infrastructure was damaged in the Samarivskyi district, causing a fire. Three private houses and a farm building were also damaged.
- In Dnipro, three high-rise buildings were damaged. In one of them, a fire broke out, which was extinguished by rescuers.
- In the Nikopol region, the occupiers used "Grad" MLRS and heavy artillery, hitting the district center and the Marganets community.
- There is destruction on the territory of an industrial enterprise.
- No casualties were reported.
- Sumy: Infrastructure facilities were damaged in Sumy and the surrounding region following explosions.
- Ryazan: There are reports of a new attack on the oil refinery near Ryazan, with video evidence of a fire. Governor Pavel Malkov confirmed the drone attack on the region, stating that several drones were destroyed and there were no casualties. The Ukrainian General Staff confirms the repeated attack on the Ryazan oil refinery, stating that the operation was carried out by the Unmanned Systems Forces and the Main Intelligence Directorate of the Ministry of Defense of Ukraine.
- Ivano-Frankivsk: The region was under massive attack, targeting critical infrastructure.
Military Equipment
- FPV drones: Russian forces are using FPV drones to target Ukrainian positions and vehicles in various locations.
- UAVs: Ukrainian forces are using long-range attack UAVs.
- "Kalibr" Missiles: In the Black Sea, there are 2 enemy ships, one of which is a carrier of "Kalibr" cruise missiles with a total salvo of up to 4 missiles. In the Mediterranean Sea, there are 6 enemy ships, 2 of which are "Kalibr" missile carriers with a total salvo of up to 22 missiles. No enemy ships were detected in the Sea of Azov.
- "Shahed" Drones: Russia launched another attack on Ukraine using "Shahed" drones.
- X-59/69 Missiles: Russia attacked Ukraine with two X-59/69 missiles overnight.
- Guided Aerial Bombs: The Ukrainian Air Force reports activity of Russian tactical aviation on the northeast axis and the use of guided aerial bombs on the Sumy region.
Geopolitical Developments
- Former US President Trump has threatened to use $330 billion of frozen Russian assets to aid Ukraine in purchasing American weapons.
- The US is preparing to deploy nuclear weapons in the UK for the first time in 15 years.
- European allies are pushing for US involvement in peacekeeping in Ukraine.
- Trump's administration does not intend to participate in the reconstruction of Ukraine after the end of the conflict.
- A potential "100-day plan" for Ukraine, attributed to former US President Trump, has surfaced in the media.
- Europe is reportedly preparing for a potential escalation of the conflict.
- Turkey has expressed its intention to assist the EU in replacing gas transit through Ukraine.
- Colombia has agreed to accept migrants from the US. Tariffs and some sanctions have been lifted. The impasse in relations with the US has been resolved, according to the Colombian Foreign Ministry.
- Lukashenko won the presidential election in Belarus with 87.6% of the vote, according to exit poll data. The turnout was more than 75%. It is noted that 5.1% of voters voted against all candidates. Thus, Lukashenko won his 7th victory.
- Saudi Arabia has purchased over €2 billion worth of arms from Russia, including 39 "Pantsir-S1M" air defense systems, potentially enhancing Russia's air defense capabilities.
- There are reports of an increase in Israeli arms shipments to Ukraine.
- Negotiations for a peaceful settlement of the Ukrainian conflict may begin in April-May, preceded by a meeting between Putin and Trump, according to Hürriyet. The first step will be a ceasefire agreement.
- The Swedish Security Service has detained a vessel in the Baltic Sea on suspicion of damaging a cable. The vessel, named Vezhen, is registered in Malta and departed from the Russian port of Ust-Luga on January 24.
Updated Situation
The military situation in Ukraine continues to deteriorate for Ukrainian forces. The confirmed fall of Velyka Novosilka, including reports of a large group of Ukrainian soldiers surrendering, represents a significant strategic setback, further complicated by Russian advances in Pokrovsk, Chasiv Yar, and Toretsk. The occupation of Velyka Novosilka may indicate where Russia will attack in the spring and summer. The continued drone warfare, with attacks deep inside Russia, and the reported interception of multiple Ukrainian drones, add another layer of complexity to the conflict. The damage to infrastructure and civilian buildings in the Dnipropetrovsk region is a setback, but the absence of casualties is positive. The use of "Grad" MLRS and heavy artillery in the Nikopol region is a concerning escalation. The reported victory of Lukashenko in the Belarusian presidential election, with 87.6% of the vote, is likely to further solidify his regime's ties with Russia and could potentially lead to increased Belarusian involvement in the conflict. The new reports of infrastructure damage in Sumy and the surrounding region add to the list of areas affected by the ongoing conflict. The change in tactical markings for Ukrainian vehicles in the Kursk region suggests an adaptation to the evolving battlefield conditions and a potential response to Russian tactics. The new reports of Russian drone attacks in Sumy, Zhytomyr, Kyiv, Chernihiv, and Khmelnytskyi regions, along with the confirmed attack on the oil refinery near Ryazan, indicate an escalation in Russia's air campaign. The Ukrainian General Staff's report of hitting four command posts and four areas of concentration of enemy personnel and equipment suggests that Ukrainian forces are still capable of conducting effective counterattacks. The reported explosions in Kharkiv and Chuhuiv districts, with a fire in a two-story building, highlight the continued threat to civilian areas and infrastructure.
Recommendations
- Immediate Reinforcements: Prioritize the deployment of reinforcements, including anti-tank weapons, air defense systems, and manpower, to Pokrovsk, Chasiv Yar, and Toretsk to counter the Russian advances and prevent further encirclements.
- Address the Situation in Velyka Novosilka: With the encirclement complete, the settlement under Russian control, and reports of a large group of Ukrainian soldiers surrendering, focus on conducting rearguard actions in the surrounding areas to slow the Russian advance and inflict maximum casualties.
- Enhance Counter-Drone Capabilities: Deploy advanced counter-drone systems and electronic warfare capabilities to neutralize Russian drones, particularly in the Donetsk region and areas targeted by increased drone movements.
- Strengthen Air Defenses: Deploy additional air defense systems, including short-range and medium-range systems, to protect cities and critical infrastructure from drone and missile attacks.
- Address Logistical Challenges: Secure supply lines and establish alternative routes to ensure the continued flow of troops, equipment, and supplies to the front lines.
- International Support: Continue to engage with international partners, particularly the US and EU, to secure additional military and financial aid.
- Information Warfare: Counter Russian disinformation and propaganda campaigns by providing accurate and timely information.
- Prepare for Protracted Conflict: Given the continued Russian advances and the escalation in drone warfare, prepare for a potentially protracted conflict.
- Monitor and Respond to Drone Movements: Continuously monitor drone movements and deploy rapid response units to intercept drones and protect vulnerable areas.
- Geopolitical Strategy: Develop a diplomatic strategy to address the confirmed shift in US policy under Trump, particularly regarding the aid freeze to Ukraine.
- Intelligence Gathering: Utilize all available intelligence assets to gather information about Russian troop movements, concentrations, and intentions.
- Adapt to Asymmetric Warfare: Develop and implement tactics that can effectively counter asymmetric threats, such as the use of improvised drones and 3D-printed mines.
- Leverage Technological Advantages: Continue to invest in and develop advanced military technologies, particularly in areas such as drone warfare, electronic warfare, and cyber warfare.
- Train and Equip Troops: Ensure that Ukrainian troops are adequately trained and equipped to deal with the evolving threats on the battlefield.
- Maintain Situational Awareness: Continuously monitor the situation on the ground and adjust strategies and tactics accordingly.
- Prepare for Potential Escalation: Develop contingency plans to address potential escalation scenarios, particularly with the potential deployment of the "Орешник" system in Belarus.
- Protect Critical Infrastructure: Enhance the protection of key facilities, such as power plants, oil refineries, and transportation hubs.
- Address the Humanitarian Situation: Provide humanitarian assistance to affected populations, particularly in the Dnipropetrovsk and Sumy regions.
- Plan for Post-Conflict Recovery: Begin planning for post-conflict recovery and reconstruction efforts, particularly in areas affected by recent attacks.
- Maintain International Solidarity: Continue to work with international partners to maintain solidarity and support for Ukraine.
- Seek a Negotiated Solution: While continuing to defend against Russian aggression, explore opportunities for a negotiated solution to the conflict.
- Exploit Russian Weaknesses: Identify and exploit any vulnerabilities in Russian defenses, particularly in areas where they have recently gained territory.
- Develop Counter-Mine Measures: Invest in research and development of advanced mine detection technologies.
- Assess Impact of EW Deployment: Monitor the impact of the newly deployed electronic warfare equipment on the northeastern front.
- Monitor and Respond to Drone Shootdowns: Continuously monitor reports of Ukrainian drones being shot down over Russian territory.
- Assess the Naval Situation: Enhance naval surveillance and intelligence gathering to monitor Russian naval movements and intentions.
- Address the Morale of Russian Troops: Implement measures to maintain and boost morale among troops.
- Counter Propaganda: Counter Russian propaganda by providing accurate information about the situation on the ground.
- Monitor and Counter Insurgency Efforts: Monitor efforts to incite insurgency and take measures to prevent the recruitment of individuals within Ukraine.
- Address Potential for Urban Warfare: Prepare for potential urban combat scenarios by training troops in urban warfare tactics.
- Counter Russian Information Operations: Counter Russian information operations by providing accurate and timely information.
- Secure Communication Channels: Monitor Russian communication channels and develop strategies to counter their influence.
- Analyze Russian Military Advances: Analyze Russian military advances and adjust defensive strategies accordingly.
- Address Potential War Crimes: Document any potential war crimes and share information with international organizations.
- Exploit Russian Weaknesses: Identify and exploit weaknesses in Russian tactics and operations.
- Assess the Impact of Drone Attacks: Enhance air defense measures in regions threatened by drone attacks.
- Respond to the Situation in Kursk: Enhance security measures in the Kursk region and monitor for further incursions.
- Address the Confirmed Loss of Velyka Novosilka: Acknowledge the loss of Velyka Novosilka and focus on regrouping and establishing new defensive lines. Analyze the factors that led to the loss and adapt strategies accordingly.
- Counter the Visual Confirmation of Russian Presence in Velyka Novosilka: Disseminate accurate information to counter any Russian propaganda that may arise from their visual confirmation in the settlement. Highlight Ukrainian resistance in other areas and emphasize the ongoing nature of the conflict.
- Exploit the Intelligence from the Video Showing Russian Presence in Velyka Novosilka: Analyze the video footage of Russian forces in Velyka Novosilka to gather intelligence on their numbers, equipment, and tactics. Use this information to plan counterattacks or disrupt their operations.
- Address the Claims of Russian Advances in Toretsk and Kupyansk: Deploy additional troops and resources to these areas to reinforce defenses and counter the reported Russian advances. Prioritize the protection of these strategically important locations.
- Analyze the "Орешник" System Threat: Assess the potential threat posed by the deployment of the "Орешник" hypersonic missile complex in Belarus. Develop countermeasures and engage with international partners to address this new threat.
- Counter the Geopolitical Implications of the "100-day Plan": Analyze the potential implications of the reported "100-day plan" for Ukraine and develop a diplomatic strategy to address any potential negative consequences. Engage with international partners to ensure continued support for Ukraine.
- Address the Potential Impact of the US-Colombia Agreement: Analyze the potential impact of the US-Colombia agreement on the situation in Ukraine, particularly regarding the availability of US resources and support. Develop contingency plans to address any potential negative consequences.
- Exploit the Visual Confirmation of Enemy Presence in Velyka Novosilka: Analyze the visual confirmation of enemy presence in Velyka Novosilka to gather intelligence on their numbers, equipment, and tactics. Use this information to plan counterattacks or disrupt their operations.
- Address the Visual Confirmation of Russian Forces in Velyka Novosilka: Acknowledge the visual confirmation of Russian forces in Velyka Novosilka and adjust military strategies accordingly. Focus on containing their advance and preventing further incursions into Ukrainian territory.
- Exploit the Intelligence Gained from the Visual Confirmation: Analyze the images and videos showing Russian forces in Velyka Novosilka to gather intelligence on their numbers, equipment, and tactics. Use this information to plan counterattacks or disrupt their operations.
- Counter the Narrative Presented by "Операция Z": Address the claims made by "Операция Z" regarding the situation in Velyka Novosilka. Provide accurate information about the ongoing fighting and counter any false narratives being spread.
- Analyze the Implications of the "Сводка" from "Два майора": Study the "Сводка" (summary) provided by "Два майора" to understand the Russian perspective on the situation. Identify any potential discrepancies or biases and adjust Ukrainian strategies accordingly.
- Address the Reported Russian Advances: Deploy additional troops and resources to areas where Russian forces are reportedly advancing, such as Toretsk, Chasiv Yar, and the Pokrovsk direction. Reinforce defenses and prepare for potential counterattacks.
- Analyze the Images Shared by Colonelcassad: Study the images shared by Colonelcassad to gather intelligence on Russian troop movements, equipment, and morale. Use this information to inform Ukrainian strategies and counter any potential propaganda efforts.
- Respond to the Killing of a Civilian in Kherson: Investigate the killing of a civilian in the Kherson region and provide support to the affected community. Enhance security measures in the area to protect civilians from drone attacks.
- Analyze the Implications of the Occupation of Velyka Novosilka: Study the information from "РБК-Україна" regarding the potential implications of the occupation of Velyka Novosilka for future Russian offensives. Adjust defensive strategies accordingly and prepare for potential attacks in the spring and summer.
- Monitor Russian Naval Activity: Continuously monitor Russian naval activity in the Black Sea, Sea of Azov, and the Mediterranean Sea. Pay particular attention to the movement of "Kalibr" missile carriers and adjust defensive strategies accordingly.
- Address the Lifting of the Drone Threat: Acknowledge the lifting of the drone threat and use this opportunity to regroup and resupply. Continue to monitor the situation and maintain