Updated Analysis of the Military Situation in Ukraine - January 27, 2025, 05:38 UTC

Strategic Overview

The military situation in Ukraine remains critical, with Russian forces solidifying their positions and continuing advances across multiple fronts, particularly in the Donetsk region. Velyka Novosilka is confirmed to be under complete Russian control, a significant strategic loss for Ukraine as it was a major logistics hub. The Russian Ministry of Defense confirmed the liberation of Velyka Novosilka, with units of the 5th Separate Guards Tank Brigade, the 40th Guards Marine Brigade, and the 37th Guards Motorized Rifle Brigade credited with the capture. A group of Ukrainian soldiers has reportedly surrendered in Velyka Novosilka. Russian forces are maintaining their offensive momentum near Pokrovsk and Chasiv Yar, while Ukrainian defenses are reportedly collapsing in Toretsk. In the Kursk region, the Ukrainian counteroffensive has stalled, and Russian forces, reportedly supported by North Korean soldiers, are regaining territory. Drone warfare continues to be a dominant feature of the conflict, with extensive use by both sides. Ukrainian forces are actively targeting Russian assets with drones, including oil refineries and military facilities deep inside Russia. The Russian Ministry of Defense reported the interception of 32 Ukrainian drones overnight, with no information provided on casualties or damage. A fire occurred in an administrative building of a Rostov pre-trial detention center, where a hostage-taking incident took place in the summer. The fire's area was 5 square meters, and there were no casualties. The Federal Penitentiary Service denied information about the explosion at the pre-trial detention center, stating that the preliminary cause was a short circuit.

Key Developments

Donetsk Region

• Velyka Novosilka:
  • Confirmed to be under complete Russian control. The Russian Ministry of Defense has officially confirmed the liberation of the settlement. "РБК-Україна" reports that the occupation of Velyka Novosilka may indicate where Russia will attack in the spring and summer. A group of Ukrainian soldiers has reportedly surrendered in Velyka Novosilka.
  • Russian forces have visually confirmed their presence in the central part of the settlement, walking with flags and launching salutes.
  • Russian forces are clearing basements and buildings of any remaining Ukrainian forces.
  • The liberation of Velyka Novosilka is a major strategic victory for Russian forces, as it was the largest logistics hub for Ukrainian forces in the south of the Donetsk People's Republic.
• Pokrovsk:
  • Russian forces are within 10 kilometers and advancing, having severed the penultimate railway line to the city.
  • Positional fighting continues, with Russian forces advancing towards Novohrodivka and expanding control along the railway line.
  • Russian forces are reportedly within 3 km of the administrative border of Dnipropetrovsk Oblast and have cut off one of the two routes from Krasnoarmiisk (Pokrovsk) to Dnipro.
  • Powerful strikes are reported on Pokrovsk, with one woman killed in a Russian attack.
  • According to reports, it is becoming increasingly difficult for Ukrainian forces to defend Pokrovsk.
• Chasiv Yar:
  • Russian forces control approximately 20% of the refractory plant and have captured about half of the city's urban area, including the Novyi district.
  • Fighting continues in the Severnyi district.
  • Russian forces are approaching the western outskirts from the north side of the railway and have launched an offensive south of the railway station.
  • The press service of the 24th Mechanized Brigade reports that the situation in Chasiv Yar is difficult, with Russian forces deploying units of "Akhmat" and former "Wagner" fighters.
• Kurakhove:
  • Most of Kurakhove has been captured, with fighting ongoing near Hryshyno.
  • Russian forces are advancing from Kurakhove towards Dnipropetrovsk, liberating extensive territories.
  • Russian forces are conducting assault operations in the Kurakhove direction.
• Toretsk:
  • Ukrainian defenses have nearly collapsed, with less than 15% of the city remaining under their control.
  • Battles are ongoing on the northern outskirts of the city, south of the "Fomikha" mine, for the "Toretska" mine, and the village of Krymske.

Luhansk Region

• Russian forces are making advances near Nadiivka and Petropavlivka.
• They have captured Zakhidne and Ivanivka, advancing towards the western border of the Luhansk People's Republic.

Kursk Region

• The Ukrainian counteroffensive has stalled, with Russian forces regaining territory.
• Russian forces report the capture of several settlements and are consolidating their control.
• In Tetkino, Russian forces repelled a Ukrainian attempt to land troops, using FPV drones and artillery.
• Heavy fighting continues near the village of Nikolsky.
• A video from the Russian Ministry of Defense shows the destruction of towed artillery of the Ukrainian Armed Forces by FPV drones of the "Rubicon" center in the border area of the Kursk region.

Kharkiv Region

• Drone Attacks: One drone is approaching Balakliya. Kharkiv is under threat from a Russian drone approaching from the northeast. There is a threat of Russian drone attacks in Donetsk and Kharkiv Oblasts.
• Russian Advance: Russian forces have reportedly expanded their bridgehead up to 5 km south of Dvorichna.
• Kupiansk is under renewed heavy shelling.
• Russian forces report that they are beginning to storm Kupyansk.

Other Regions

• Drone Movements: Drone security is reported in multiple Russian regions and occupied Crimea. Seven Ukrainian drones were destroyed over the Belgorod region and Crimea in the past two hours. One drone is approaching Starokostiantyniv. One drone is near the intersection of Ternopil and Lviv Oblasts, heading south. The threat of enemy drones has been cancelled.
• Sevastopol: An air raid alert was reported in Sevastopol, with maritime transport halted.
• Kherson: A civilian was killed by a drone attack between Veletenske and Rozlyv.
• Dnipropetrovsk:
  • In the evening and at night, units of the "East" air defense system destroyed 13 drones in the Dnipropetrovsk region.
  • However, the enemy attack did not pass without consequences. In the Samarivskyi district, infrastructure was damaged. A fire broke out. Three private houses and a farm building were also damaged.
  • In Dnipro, three high-rise buildings were damaged. In one of them, a fire broke out, which was extinguished by rescuers.
  • In the Nikopol region, the occupiers used "Grad" MLRS and heavy artillery. They hit the district center and the Marganets community.
  • There is destruction on the territory of an industrial enterprise.
  • Everywhere - without dead or injured.

Military Equipment

• "Орешник" system: Belarusian President Lukashenko announced that the hypersonic missile complex "Орешник" will be deployed in Belarus "any day now," even before it is delivered to Russia.
• FPV drones: Russian forces are using FPV drones to target Ukrainian positions and vehicles in various locations. A video shows a Russian soldier being saved by his military identification tag after being hit by a projectile.
• UAVs: Ukrainian forces are using long-range attack UAVs An-196 "Lyutyy," reportedly with a range of 2000 km.
• "Kalibr" Missiles: In the Black Sea, there are 2 enemy ships, one of which is a carrier of "Kalibr" cruise missiles with a total salvo of up to 4 missiles. In the Mediterranean Sea, there are 6 enemy ships, 2 of which are "Kalibr" missile carriers with a total salvo of up to 22 missiles. No enemy ships were detected in the Sea of Azov.

Geopolitical Developments

• Former US President Trump has threatened to use $330 billion of frozen Russian assets to aid Ukraine in purchasing American weapons.
• The US is preparing to deploy nuclear weapons in the UK for the first time in 15 years.
• European allies are pushing for US involvement in peacekeeping in Ukraine.
• Trump's administration does not intend to participate in the reconstruction of Ukraine after the end of the conflict.
• A potential "100-day plan" for Ukraine, attributed to former US President Trump, has surfaced in the media.
• Europe is reportedly preparing for a potential escalation of the conflict.
• Turkey has expressed its intention to assist the EU in replacing gas transit through Ukraine.
• Colombia has agreed to accept migrants from the US. Tariffs and some sanctions have been lifted. The impasse in relations with the US has been resolved, according to the Colombian Foreign Ministry.
• "Rybar" is seeking financial support to continue its operations.
• IT crimes reached a peak in Russia in 2024, with 765.4 thousand cybercrimes registered from January to December.
• Rapper Morgenstern has been declared wanted in Russia for violating the law on "foreign agents."
• Lukashenko won the presidential election in Belarus with 87.6% of the vote, according to exit poll data. The turnout was more than 75%. It is noted that 5.1% of voters voted against all candidates. Thus, Lukashenko won his 7th victory.

Updated Situation

The military situation in Ukraine continues to deteriorate for Ukrainian forces. The confirmed fall of Velyka Novosilka, including reports of Ukrainian soldiers surrendering, represents a significant strategic setback, further complicated by Russian advances in Pokrovsk, Chasiv Yar, and Toretsk. The occupation of Velyka Novosilka may indicate where Russia will attack in the spring and summer, according to ISW analysts. The continued drone warfare, with attacks deep inside Russia, and the reported interception of 32 Ukrainian drones overnight, add another layer of complexity to the conflict. The potential deployment of the "Орешник" hypersonic missile complex in Belarus poses a new threat. The geopolitical landscape is increasingly complex, with uncertainties surrounding US policy under a potential Trump administration, growing concerns in Europe about a possible escalation of the conflict, and a reported resolution to the impasse in US-Colombia relations. The new reports of Russian advances in Toretsk and Kupyansk further exacerbate the already critical situation for Ukrainian forces. The visual confirmation of Russian forces in Velyka Novosilka underscores the severity of the situation and the need for immediate action. The new information about the killing of a civilian by a drone in the Kherson region highlights the ongoing threat to civilians in areas near the front lines. The cancellation of the threat of enemy drones is a positive development, but the overall situation remains critical. The destruction of 13 drones in the Dnipropetrovsk region is a significant achievement for Ukrainian air defense. The damage to infrastructure and civilian buildings in the Dnipropetrovsk region is a setback, but the absence of casualties is positive. The use of "Grad" MLRS and heavy artillery in the Nikopol region is a concerning escalation. The reported victory of Lukashenko in the Belarusian presidential election, with 87.6% of the vote, is likely to further solidify his regime's ties with Russia and could potentially lead to increased Belarusian involvement in the conflict.

Recommendations

1. Immediate Reinforcements: Prioritize the deployment of reinforcements, including anti-tank weapons, air defense systems, and manpower, to Pokrovsk, Chasiv Yar, and Toretsk to counter the Russian advances and prevent further encirclements.
2. Address the Situation in Velyka Novosilka: With the encirclement complete, the settlement under Russian control, and reports of Ukrainian soldiers surrendering, focus on conducting rearguard actions in the surrounding areas to slow the Russian advance and inflict maximum casualties.
3. Enhance Counter-Drone Capabilities: Deploy advanced counter-drone systems and electronic warfare capabilities to neutralize Russian drones, particularly in the Donetsk region and areas targeted by increased drone movements.
4. Strengthen Air Defenses: Deploy additional air defense systems, including short-range and medium-range systems, to protect cities and critical infrastructure from drone and missile attacks.
5. Address Logistical Challenges: Secure supply lines and establish alternative routes to ensure the continued flow of troops, equipment, and supplies to the front lines.
6. International Support: Continue to engage with international partners, particularly the US and EU, to secure additional military and financial aid.
7. Information Warfare: Counter Russian disinformation and propaganda campaigns by providing accurate and timely information.
8. Prepare for Protracted Conflict: Given the continued Russian advances and the escalation in drone warfare, prepare for a potentially protracted conflict.
9. Monitor and Respond to Drone Movements: Continuously monitor drone movements and deploy rapid response units to intercept drones and protect vulnerable areas.
10. Geopolitical Strategy: Develop a diplomatic strategy to address the confirmed shift in US policy under Trump, particularly regarding the aid freeze to Ukraine.
11. Intelligence Gathering: Utilize all available intelligence assets to gather information about Russian troop movements, concentrations, and intentions.
12. Adapt to Asymmetric Warfare: Develop and implement tactics that can effectively counter asymmetric threats, such as the use of improvised drones and 3D-printed mines.
13. Leverage Technological Advantages: Continue to invest in and develop advanced military technologies, particularly in areas such as drone warfare, electronic warfare, and cyber warfare.
14. Train and Equip Troops: Ensure that Ukrainian troops are adequately trained and equipped to deal with the evolving threats on the battlefield.
15. Maintain Situational Awareness: Continuously monitor the situation on the ground and adjust strategies and tactics accordingly.
16. Prepare for Potential Escalation: Develop contingency plans to address potential escalation scenarios, particularly with the potential deployment of the "Орешник" system in Belarus.
17. Protect Critical Infrastructure: Enhance the protection of key facilities, such as power plants, oil refineries, and transportation hubs.
18. Address the Humanitarian Situation: Provide humanitarian assistance to affected populations, particularly in the Dnipropetrovsk region.
19. Plan for Post-Conflict Recovery: Begin planning for post-conflict recovery and reconstruction efforts, particularly in areas affected by recent attacks.
20. Maintain International Solidarity: Continue to work with international partners to maintain solidarity and support for Ukraine.
21. Seek a Negotiated Solution: While continuing to defend against Russian aggression, explore opportunities for a negotiated solution to the conflict.
22. Exploit Russian Weaknesses: Identify and exploit any vulnerabilities in Russian defenses, particularly in areas where they have recently gained territory.
23. Develop Counter-Mine Measures: Invest in research and development of advanced mine detection technologies.
24. Assess Impact of EW Deployment: Monitor the impact of the newly deployed electronic warfare equipment on the northeastern front.
25. Monitor and Respond to Drone Shootdowns: Continuously monitor reports of Ukrainian drones being shot down over Russian territory.
26. Assess the Naval Situation: Enhance naval surveillance and intelligence gathering to monitor Russian naval movements and intentions.
27. Analyze the Video from Robotyne: Study the video detailing the withdrawal of Russian troops from Robotyne to develop counter-strategies and improve troop training.
28. Exploit Intelligence from Robotyne Video: Utilize the intelligence gathered from the Robotyne video to develop counter-drone tactics and improve defenses.
29. Address the Morale of Russian Troops: Implement measures to maintain and boost morale among troops.
30. Counter Propaganda: Counter Russian propaganda by providing accurate information about the situation on the ground.
31. Monitor and Counter Insurgency Efforts: Monitor efforts to incite insurgency and take measures to prevent the recruitment of individuals within Ukraine.
32. Address Potential for Urban Warfare: Prepare for potential urban combat scenarios by training troops in urban warfare tactics.
33. Counter Russian Information Operations: Counter Russian information operations by providing accurate and timely information.
34. Secure Communication Channels: Monitor Russian communication channels and develop strategies to counter their influence.
35. Analyze Russian Military Advances: Analyze Russian military advances and adjust defensive strategies accordingly.
36. Address Potential War Crimes: Document any potential war crimes and share information with international organizations.
37. Exploit Russian Weaknesses: Identify and exploit weaknesses in Russian tactics and operations.
38. Analyze the New Video of Drone Strike: Study the new video of a drone strike on a Ukrainian soldier to develop counter-drone tactics.
39. Assess the Impact of Drone Attacks: Enhance air defense measures in regions threatened by drone attacks.
40. Address the Reported Losses in Luhansk: Investigate the report of significant Ukrainian losses in Luhansk and adjust defensive strategies.
41. Respond to the Situation in Kursk: Enhance security measures in the Kursk region and monitor for further incursions.
42. Respond to the New Attack on Ryazan: Investigate the reports of a new Ukrainian drone attack on Ryazan. Assess the damage and deploy emergency response teams if necessary. Enhance air defense measures in the region to counter future attacks.
43. Address the Confirmed Loss of Velyka Novosilka: Acknowledge the loss of Velyka Novosilka and focus on regrouping and establishing new defensive lines. Analyze the factors that led to the loss and adapt strategies accordingly.
44. Counter the Visual Confirmation of Russian Presence in Velyka Novosilka: Disseminate accurate information to counter any Russian propaganda that may arise from their visual confirmation in the settlement. Highlight Ukrainian resistance in other areas and emphasize the ongoing nature of the conflict.
45. Exploit the Intelligence from the Video Showing Russian Presence in Velyka Novosilka: Analyze the video footage of Russian forces in Velyka Novosilka to gather intelligence on their numbers, equipment, and tactics. Use this information to plan counterattacks or disrupt their operations.
46. Address the Claims of Russian Advances in Toretsk and Kupyansk: Deploy additional troops and resources to these areas to reinforce defenses and counter the reported Russian advances. Prioritize the protection of these strategically important locations.
47. Monitor the Situation in Starokostiantyniv and the Ternopil-Lviv Border: Deploy air defense systems and early warning radars to these areas to detect and intercept incoming drones. Prepare for potential attacks and ensure that civilian populations are aware of safety protocols.
48. Analyze the "Орешник" System Threat: Assess the potential threat posed by the deployment of the "Орешник" hypersonic missile complex in Belarus. Develop countermeasures and engage with international partners to address this new threat.
49. Counter the Geopolitical Implications of the "100-day Plan": Analyze the potential implications of the reported "100-day plan" for Ukraine and develop a diplomatic strategy to address any potential negative consequences. Engage with international partners to ensure continued support for Ukraine.
50. Address the Potential Impact of the US-Colombia Agreement: Analyze the potential impact of the US-Colombia agreement on the situation in Ukraine, particularly regarding the availability of US resources and support. Develop contingency plans to address any potential negative consequences.
51. Exploit the Visual Confirmation of Enemy Presence in Velyka Novosilka: Analyze the visual confirmation of enemy presence in Velyka Novosilka to gather intelligence on their numbers, equipment, and tactics. Use this information to plan counterattacks or disrupt their operations.
52. Counter the Messaging in the Image of Patches: Analyze the messaging conveyed by the image of patches ("WITH US" and "DO GOOD") to understand the intended narrative and potential propaganda efforts. Develop counter-messaging to maintain morale and influence public opinion.
53. Analyze the Image of a Soldier in a Muddy Environment: Study the image of a soldier in a muddy environment to assess the challenges posed by the terrain and weather conditions. Adapt operational plans and logistical support accordingly.
54. Address the Loss of Velyka Novosilka: Acknowledge the loss of Velyka Novosilka and focus on regrouping and establishing new defensive lines. Analyze the factors that led to the loss and adapt strategies accordingly.
55. Counter the Visual Confirmation of Russian Presence in Velyka Novosilka: Disseminate accurate information to counter any Russian propaganda that may arise from their visual confirmation in the settlement. Highlight Ukrainian resistance in other areas and emphasize the ongoing nature of the conflict.
56. Exploit the Intelligence from the Video Showing Russian Presence in Velyka Novosilka: Analyze the video footage of Russian forces in Velyka Novosilka to gather intelligence on their numbers, equipment, and tactics. Use this information to plan counterattacks or disrupt their operations.
57. Address the Claims of Russian Advances in Toretsk and Kupyansk: Deploy additional troops and resources to these areas to reinforce defenses and counter the reported Russian advances. Prioritize the protection of these strategically important locations.
58. Monitor the Situation in Starokostiantyniv and the Ternopil-Lviv Border: Deploy air defense systems and early warning radars to these areas to detect and intercept incoming drones. Prepare for potential attacks and ensure that civilian populations are aware of safety protocols.
59. Analyze the "Орешник" System Threat: Assess the potential threat posed by the deployment of the "Орешник" hypersonic missile complex in Belarus. Develop countermeasures and engage with international partners to address this new threat.
60. Counter the Geopolitical Implications of the "100-day Plan": Analyze the potential implications of the reported "100-day plan" for Ukraine and develop a diplomatic strategy to address any potential negative consequences. Engage with international partners to ensure continued support for Ukraine.
61. Address the Potential Impact of the US-Colombia Agreement: Analyze the potential impact of the US-Colombia agreement on the situation in Ukraine, particularly regarding the availability of US resources and support. Develop contingency plans to address any potential negative consequences.
62. Exploit the Visual Confirmation of Enemy Presence in Velyka Novosilka: Analyze the visual confirmation of enemy presence in Velyka Novosilka to gather intelligence on their numbers, equipment, and tactics. Use this information to plan counterattacks or disrupt their operations.
63. Counter the Messaging in the Image of Patches: Analyze the messaging conveyed by the image of patches ("WITH US" and "DO GOOD") to understand the intended narrative and potential propaganda efforts. Develop counter-messaging to maintain morale and influence public opinion.
64. Analyze the Image of a Soldier in a Muddy Environment: Study the image of a soldier in a muddy environment to assess the challenges posed by the terrain and weather conditions. Adapt operational plans and logistical support accordingly.
65. Address the Visual Confirmation of Russian Forces in Velyka Novosilka: Acknowledge the visual confirmation of Russian forces in Velyka Novosilka and adjust military strategies accordingly. Focus on containing their advance and preventing further incursions into Ukrainian territory.
66. Exploit the Intelligence Gained from the Visual Confirmation: Analyze the images and videos showing Russian forces in Velyka Novosilka to gather intelligence on their numbers, equipment, and tactics. Use this information to plan counterattacks or disrupt their operations.
67. Counter the Narrative Presented by "Операция Z": Address the claims made by "Операция Z" regarding the situation in Velyka Novosilka. Provide accurate information about the ongoing fighting and counter any false narratives being spread.
68. Analyze the Implications of the "Сводка" from "Два майора": Study the "Сводка" (summary) provided by "Два майора" to understand the Russian perspective on the situation. Identify any potential discrepancies or biases and adjust Ukrainian strategies accordingly.
69. Address the Reported Russian Advances: Deploy additional troops and resources to areas where Russian forces are reportedly advancing, such as Toretsk, Chasiv Yar, and the Pokrovsk direction. Reinforce defenses and prepare for potential counterattacks.
70. Monitor the Situation in Starokostiantyniv and the Ternopil-Lviv Border: Deploy air defense systems and early warning radars to these areas to detect and intercept incoming drones. Prepare for potential attacks and ensure that civilian populations are aware of safety protocols.
71. Analyze the Images Shared by Colonelcassad: Study the images shared by Colonelcassad to gather intelligence on Russian troop movements, equipment, and morale. Use this information to inform Ukrainian strategies and counter any potential propaganda efforts.
72. Counter the Narrative Presented by "НгП раZVедка": Address the claims made by "НгП раZVедка" regarding the image of a muddy soldier. Provide accurate information about the situation on the ground and counter any false narratives being spread.
73. Respond to the Killing of a Civilian in Kherson: Investigate the killing of a civilian in the Kherson region and provide support to the affected community. Enhance security measures in the area to protect civilians from drone attacks.
74. Analyze the Implications of the Occupation of Velyka Novosilka: Study the information from "РБК-Україна" regarding the potential implications of the occupation of Velyka Novosilka for future Russian offensives. Adjust defensive strategies accordingly and prepare for potential attacks in the spring and summer.
75. Monitor Russian Naval Activity: Continuously monitor Russian naval activity in the Black Sea, Sea of Azov, and the Mediterranean Sea. Pay particular attention to the movement of "Kalibr" missile carriers and adjust defensive strategies accordingly.
76. Address the Lifting of the Drone Threat: Acknowledge the lifting of the drone threat and use this opportunity to regroup and resupply. Continue to monitor the situation and maintain a high level of readiness for potential future attacks.
77. Respond to the Surrender of Ukrainian Soldiers in Velyka Novosilka: Investigate the reports of Ukrainian soldiers surrendering in Velyka Novosilka. Assess the impact on morale and address any underlying issues that may have contributed to the surrender.
78. Analyze the Video of the Soldier Saved by His Dog Tag: Study the video of the Russian soldier saved by his military identification tag. Analyze the effectiveness of personal protective equipment and consider improvements to increase soldier survivability.
79. Analyze the Video of the Wounded Soldier with an Injured Heart: Study the video of the wounded soldier with an injury to his heart. Analyze the effectiveness of medical care provided in the field and identify areas for improvement in trauma care.
80. Analyze the Video of the Russian Airman: Study the video of the Russian airman to gather intelligence on Russian air force operations and pilot training. Assess the morale and readiness of Russian aircrews.
81. Analyze the Image from "АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА": Study the image from "АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА" to gather intelligence on the equipment and tactics used by this unit. Assess their morale and readiness for combat.
82. Analyze Estimated Russian Losses: Continue to monitor and analyze the daily updates on estimated Russian losses provided by the General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine. Use this information to assess the effectiveness of Ukrainian tactics and identify any potential weaknesses in Russian forces.
83. Counter the Narrative in the Image of the Siege of Leningrad: Analyze the historical context and messaging conveyed by the image commemorating the Siege of Leningrad. Develop counter-messaging to address any potential propaganda or psychological warfare efforts that may arise from the use of such imagery.
84. Address the Call for Support in the Image from "НгП раZVедка": Analyze the messaging and imagery used in the call for support from "НгП раZVедка." Develop counter-messaging to address any potential recruitment or morale-boosting efforts by Russian forces.
85. Analyze the Image from "Оперативний ЗСУ": Study the image from "Оперативний ЗСУ" to gather intelligence on Ukrainian military operations and assess the morale and readiness of Ukrainian troops.
86. Respond to the Fire in the Rostov Pre-Trial Detention Center: Investigate the fire in the Rostov pre-trial detention center and assess any potential security implications. Monitor the situation for any signs of unrest or instability.
87. Analyze the Implications of Lukashenko's Claimed Victory: Study the implications of Lukashenko's claimed victory in the Belarusian presidential election. Assess the potential impact on the situation in Ukraine and develop strategies to address any potential challenges or opportunities that may arise.
88. Analyze the Video of the Destruction of Ukrainian Artillery: Study the video of the destruction of Ukrainian artillery by Russian FPV drones. Analyze the effectiveness of these tactics and develop countermeasures to protect Ukrainian artillery units.
89. Counter the Messaging in the Image from "Два майора": Analyze the messaging conveyed by the image from "Два майора" depicting a Ukrainian commander with a US flag. Develop counter-messaging to address any potential propaganda or disinformation efforts.
90. Fundraising for Ukrainian Troops: Continue to support fundraising efforts for Ukrainian troops, such as the initiative mentioned by "Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦." Encourage donations and promote the cause to secure necessary equipment for the soldiers.
91. Maintain Control in Kryvyi Rih: Ensure that all essential services, public transport, hospitals, and social institutions in Kryvyi Rih continue to operate smoothly. Address any potential threats or disruptions promptly.
92. Monitor the Situation in the Kryvyi Rih and Nikopol Districts: Continuously monitor the situation in these districts and respond to any enemy attacks or shelling. Provide support to affected communities and ensure the safety of civilians.
93. Prepare for Potential Air Attacks: Given the ongoing threat of missile and drone attacks, maintain a high level of readiness for air defense systems. Ensure that early warning systems are functioning properly and that civilian populations are aware of safety protocols.
94. Address the Damage in the Dnipropetrovsk Region: Provide assistance to those affected by the recent drone attacks in the Dnipropetrovsk region. Repair damaged infrastructure and provide support to those whose homes were destroyed or damaged.
95. Enhance Security Measures: Given the ongoing conflict and the threat of further attacks, enhance security measures throughout Ukraine. This includes protecting critical infrastructure, deploying additional security forces, and increasing vigilance against potential threats.
96. Engage with International Partners: Continue to engage with international partners, particularly the US and EU, to secure additional military and financial aid. Advocate for increased support to counter Russian aggression and address the evolving threats on the battlefield.
97. Promote Information Warfare: Counter Russian disinformation and propaganda campaigns by providing accurate and timely information about the situation on the ground. Highlight Ukrainian successes, such as the destruction of 13 drones in the Dnipropetrovsk region, to maintain morale and international support.
98. Develop a Diplomatic Strategy: Develop a diplomatic strategy to address the potential shift in US policy under Trump, particularly regarding aid to Ukraine. Engage with other international partners to compensate for any potential reduction in US support.
99. Address Potential Escalation: Be prepared for potential escalation in the conflict, particularly in the Kursk region, and develop contingency plans to address any new threats or challenges. This includes preparing for potential incursions into Ukrainian territory and developing strategies to counter Russian advances.
100. Monitor Russian Troop Movements: Continuously monitor Russian troop movements and deployments, particularly in the Donetsk and Kursk regions, to anticipate potential offensives and adjust defensive strategies accordingly. Utilize all available intelligence assets, including drones and satellite imagery, to gather information on Russian troop concentrations and intentions.
101. Enhance Cyber Warfare Capabilities: Given the increasing importance of cyber warfare in modern conflicts, enhance Ukraine's cyber warfare capabilities. This includes protecting critical infrastructure from cyber attacks, disrupting Russian communication networks, and conducting offensive cyber operations to gather intelligence and disrupt enemy operations.
102. Exploit Russian Weaknesses: Identify and exploit any vulnerabilities in Russian defenses, particularly in areas where they have recently gained territory. Conduct counterattacks where feasible to regain lost ground and disrupt Russian operations. Utilize intelligence gathered from drones and other sources to identify weaknesses in Russian tactics and operations.
103. Address Potential War Crimes: Document any potential war crimes committed by Russian forces, such as the alleged shooting of unarmed soldiers in the Kursk region. Share evidence with international organizations and pursue accountability for those responsible.
104. Prepare for Long-Term Defense: Given the protracted nature of the conflict, prepare for a long-term defensive posture. Invest in fortifications, establish multiple lines of defense, and ensure the sustainability of the war effort. This includes building a sustainable defense industry and securing long-term military and financial aid from international partners.
105. Address Humanitarian Concerns: Provide assistance to civilians affected by the conflict, particularly in areas experiencing intense fighting. Coordinate with humanitarian organizations to ensure the delivery of aid and the protection of civilians. Address the needs of those displaced by the conflict and provide support for their resettlement.
106. Counter Russian Information Operations: Address and counter any disinformation or propaganda spread by Russian sources. Provide accurate and timely information to the public and international community. Utilize social media and other communication channels to disseminate information and counter false narratives.
107. Maintain Morale: Maintain high morale among troops by providing them with the necessary support, resources, and recognition for their efforts. Address any concerns or issues promptly to prevent demoralization. Highlight Ukrainian successes and celebrate the bravery and resilience of Ukrainian soldiers.
108. Adapt to New Technologies: Continuously assess and adapt to new technologies being deployed by both sides. Develop countermeasures to new Russian technologies, such as the "Орешник" hypersonic missile system, and utilize new Ukrainian technologies, such as the long-range attack UAVs, to gain an advantage.
109. Train for Urban Warfare: Given the increasing focus on urban areas like Pokrovsk, Chasiv Yar, and Toretsk, provide specialized training to troops on urban warfare tactics and strategies. Prepare for potential urban combat scenarios by equipping troops with the necessary weapons and protective gear.
110. Secure Communication Lines: Ensure secure and reliable communication between all levels of command and frontline units to facilitate effective coordination and response to enemy actions. Protect communication infrastructure from Russian attacks and develop backup communication systems to ensure continuity of operations.
111. Develop Counter-Mobility Measures: Implement counter-mobility measures, such as the deployment of anti-tank mines and obstacles, to slow down Russian advances and channel their movements into areas where they can be more effectively targeted.
112. Utilize Asymmetric Warfare Tactics: Employ asymmetric warfare tactics, such as ambushes, hit-and-run attacks, and sabotage, to disrupt Russian operations and inflict casualties while minimizing Ukrainian losses. Utilize the knowledge and support of local populations to conduct these operations effectively.
113. Prepare for Potential Chemical Attacks: Given the historical use of chemical weapons in the region, prepare for the possibility of chemical attacks by Russian forces. Equip troops with protective gear and train them on decontamination procedures. Develop contingency plans to address the use of chemical weapons and protect civilian populations.
114. Monitor Russian Air Activity: Continuously monitor Russian air activity, particularly the use of drones and fighter-bombers, to anticipate potential airstrikes and deploy air defenses accordingly. Utilize radar systems and other surveillance technologies to track Russian aircraft and provide early warning of incoming attacks.
115. Exploit Intelligence on Russian Losses: Utilize intelligence on Russian losses, such as the reported destruction of numerous drones, to assess the effectiveness of Ukrainian tactics and adjust strategies accordingly. Analyze the data on Russian casualties and equipment losses to identify weaknesses and vulnerabilities in their forces.
116. Enhance Cooperation with Local Forces: Strengthen cooperation with local defense forces and civilian resistance groups to gather intelligence, disrupt Russian operations, and enhance the overall defense effort. Utilize the knowledge and support of local populations to identify Russian troop movements, positions, and supply lines.
117. Address Potential Infiltration: Be vigilant for potential infiltration by Russian agents or collaborators, particularly in areas near the front lines. Implement security measures to identify and neutralize any internal threats. Conduct background checks on personnel and monitor for any suspicious activities.
118. Prepare for Long-Term Conflict: Given the continued Russian advances and the geopolitical tensions, prepare for a potentially protracted conflict. Focus on building a sustainable defense industry, securing long-term military and financial aid from international partners, and developing strategies to maintain the resilience and determination of the Ukrainian people.
119. Exploit New Drone Capabilities: Maximize the use of new drone technologies, such as the long-range attack UAVs, to gather intelligence on Russian troop movements, positions, and equipment. Utilize this information to plan targeted attacks and disrupt Russian operations. Develop tactics to counter Russian drone capabilities and protect Ukrainian forces from enemy drones.
120. **Target Russian Command and