Updated Analysis of the Military Situation in Ukraine - January 26, 2025, 08:08 UTC

Strategic Overview

The military situation in Ukraine remains critical for Ukrainian forces. Russian forces maintain offensive momentum, especially in the Donetsk region, where they have reportedly captured Velyka Novosilka and are making significant advances around Pokrovsk, Chasiv Yar, and Toretsk. Russian forces have now fully captured Velyka Novosilka and are solidifying their gains. Reports indicate Russian forces are completing the assault on Kotlyno, threatening the left flank of the Pokrovsk sector of the front. Drone warfare continues to be a dominant aspect of the conflict, with a reported 72 drones launched by Russian forces overnight, of which 50 were shot down, 9 failed to reach their targets, and 1 still in the air. Ukrainian forces report that two Russian naval vessels are in the Black Sea, one of which is a Kalibr missile carrier with up to 4 missiles. There are 6 Russian warships in the Mediterranean Sea, 2 of which are Kalibr missile carriers with up to 22 missiles. Russian sources report 15 Ukrainian drones shot down overnight. Two Ukrainian naval drones were destroyed in the Black Sea. The Ukrainian Air Force reports activity of Russian tactical aviation on the northeast axis and the use of guided aerial bombs on Sumy region. A new video from the 47th Mechanized Brigade shows a Russian soldier apparently committing suicide with his own rifle, highlighting the psychological strain of the conflict.

Key Developments

Donetsk Region

• Velyka Novosilka: The encirclement is complete, with Russian forces controlling the entire settlement. Russian forces are targeting Ukrainian positions within the settlement with artillery. Ukrainian troops are reportedly attempting counterattacks, but Russian forces are consolidating their control. A report from the 110th Mechanized Brigade indicates that significant numbers of their troops are "missing in action" in the area. The 110th Mechanized Brigade has published a guide on what to do if a relative is missing in action, suggesting heavy losses. Russian forces have almost completely cleared the area of Ukrainian forces.
• Pokrovsk: Russian forces are within 10 kilometers and advancing, having severed the penultimate railway line to the city. A damaged and abandoned Ukrainian M113 APC was reported in the Pokrovsk direction. The situation is dire, with 48 assault actions reported, indicating a major Russian offensive. A captured soldier from the 153rd Brigade trained by the US 1st Cavalry Division in Germany was taken prisoner by Russian forces on the Pokrovsk front. He revealed details about his training and the execution of civilians by Ukrainian forces. Russian snipers are reportedly disrupting Ukrainian troop rotations in this area. Video evidence shows a Russian sniper operation disrupting a Ukrainian troop rotation near Pokrovsk. Russian forces are completing the assault on Kotlyno, threatening the left flank of the Pokrovsk sector of the front.
• Chasiv Yar: Russian forces control approximately 20% of the refractory plant and have captured about half of the city's urban area, including the Novyi district. They are fighting in the Severnyi district. Russian paratroopers are using BM-21 Grad multiple rocket launchers to target Ukrainian positions on the western outskirts of Chasiv Yar. UAV units of the 98th Airborne Division are using FPV drones to destroy Ukrainian firing points in the city. A video from "Butusov Plus" shows the Security Battalion destroying enemy manpower and equipment in Toretsk, indicating ongoing fighting.
• Kurakhove: Most of Kurakhove has been captured, with fighting ongoing near Hryshyno. 14 enemy attacks were repelled.
• Toretsk: Ukrainian defenses have nearly collapsed, with less than 15% of the city remaining under their control. Video evidence confirms Russian advances near Toretsk. The Ukrainian General Staff reports 10 Russian attacks in the area. A video from "Butusov Plus" shows Ukrainian forces targeting Russian positions in Toretsk, suggesting ongoing resistance despite the difficult situation.
• Belohorivka: Video evidence shows Russian forces storming Ukrainian positions near Belohorivka, clearing trenches and destroying enemy forces.
• Vuhledar: Russian sappers have discovered mines made with 3D printers, which are difficult to detect with metal detectors. They have reportedly neutralized over a thousand explosive devices in the area since the beginning of 2025.
• Rozdolne: Ukrainian forces are targeting Russian troops in Rozdolne with drones. The 23rd Mechanized Brigade is reportedly active in the area. A video from "DeepState" shows the 23rd Mechanized Brigade targeting Russian forces in Rozdolne, indicating continued fighting in the area.

Drone Warfare

• Extensive drone activity is reported across multiple oblasts (Zhytomyr, Kyiv, Chernihiv, Sumy, Kirovohrad, Kharkiv, Dnipropetrovsk, Poltava, Cherkasy, Vinnytsia, Odesa, Kherson, and Zaporizhzhia).
• Three drones are reported in the north of Kyiv Oblast, moving into Zhytomyr Oblast.
• A drone is reported in the southern part of Chernihiv Oblast, with a westward course.
• A drone was reported heading towards Kharkiv from the north.
• A drone was reported heading towards Pereiaslav from the southwest.
• The mayor of Kharkiv confirmed a drone attack on the city, with one strike hitting a private building in the Osnovianskyi district. Initial reports indicate no casualties, but windows, roof, and part of the building were damaged.
• Drone movement reported towards Zhytomyr from the northeast.
• Drones reported in the northwestern part of Kyiv Oblast, with a westward course.
• Drones reported in the northern part of Zhytomyr Oblast, with a southward course.
• Drone movement reported towards Zhytomyr from the north.
• Drones are moving from Zhytomyr Oblast towards Khmelnytskyi Oblast.
• A drone has been reported heading towards Starokostiantyniv.
• Chernihiv Oblast is under threat of attack drones.
• Ukrainian forces continue to use drones for reconnaissance and to target Russian positions.
• Russian forces are using drones to target Ukrainian positions and equipment. Video evidence shows Russian artillerymen targeting Ukrainian forces near the Sukhi Yaly River.
• Ukrainian forces attacked Sumy with two drones overnight, damaging an educational facility, an apartment building, and administrative buildings.
• The Ukrainian Air Force reports activity of Russian tactical aviation on the northeast axis. There is a threat of the use of air weapons for the front-line regions.
• Ukrainian forces reported that 72 drones were launched overnight, targeting multiple regions. 50 were shot down, 9 failed to reach their targets, and 1 is still airborne. A video from "Operativny ZSU" reports that 50 out of 72 drones were shot down, with 9 lost, suggesting a high success rate for Ukrainian air defenses.
• Canada is testing a method for launching UAVs from the stratosphere, potentially enhancing reconnaissance capabilities.
• A video from "Dnevnik Desantnika" shows a night-time drone attack on an enemy target in Dnipropetrovsk, resulting in a large explosion and fire.

Drone Attacks in Russia

• Explosions and fires were reported in Ryazan due to drone attacks. Russian air defense systems are actively engaging drones, with several confirmed destroyed.
• Ukrainian forces attacked Ryazan again overnight, targeting an oil refinery. A photo message showed a fire at a large industrial complex at night, likely the oil refinery in Ryazan. Video evidence suggests this was a significant event. Multiple videos confirm the scale of the fire and the likely target.
• Russian sources report that 15 Ukrainian drones were shot down overnight, with 8 in the Ryazan region, 6 in the Kursk region, and 1 in the Belgorod region.

Kharkiv

• An explosion was heard in Kharkiv, correlating with earlier reports of drone activity in the area. The mayor confirmed a drone attack, with one strike hitting a private building in the Osnovianskyi district, causing damage but no reported casualties.
• Ukrainian authorities report that Russian forces attacked Kharkiv with "Molniya" and "Shahed" drones, causing damage to over 10 vehicles, residential and non-residential buildings. Three people suffered acute stress reactions.

Luhansk

• Russian forces are making advances near Nadiivka and Petropavlivka.
• Video evidence shows Russian forces storming Ukrainian positions near Belohorivka, clearing trenches and destroying enemy forces.

Maritime Situation

• Ukrainian naval forces report 2 Russian warships in the Black Sea, one of which is a Kalibr missile carrier with up to 4 missiles.
• No Russian warships are present in the Azov Sea.
• Ukrainian naval forces report 6 Russian warships in the Mediterranean Sea, 2 of which are Kalibr missile carriers with up to 22 missiles.
• Two Ukrainian naval drones were destroyed in the Black Sea.
• Russian sources report that the main bunch of Ukrainian naval drones is now a couple of tens of kilometers from the shore, waiting for Russian helicopters to approach.
• Russian forces destroyed two Ukrainian naval drones approaching the Crimean Peninsula.

Geopolitical Developments

• US Aid Suspension: The US State Department has halted most foreign aid for 90 days. President Trump confirmed the freeze on new aid to other countries. Ukrainian diplomats are requesting an exception for Ukraine.
• US-Russia Relations: President Trump confirmed he still plans to talk to President Putin and expressed confidence that the US will acquire Greenland. He also stated that his first foreign trip as president could be to Saudi Arabia or the UK.
• A military correspondent for The Times, Anthony Lloyd, suggested four possible ways the conflict in Ukraine could end: military defeat of Ukraine, Ukraine giving up some territories, freezing the conflict, or significantly increasing military aid to Ukraine and sanctions against Russia.
• Military expert Markus Reisner, in an interview with ZDF, believes that Ukraine may not hold out until the negotiations between Putin and Trump.
• Trump announced his intention to speak with British Prime Minister Kier Starmer within the next 24 hours.
• Belarus: Presidential elections are taking place in Belarus. Lithuania is increasing security at the border. The head of the Central Election Commission of Belarus reported that all polling stations are open.
• China-US Relations: The Chinese embassy in Washington called on the US to disclose information about its biolaboratories worldwide, following reports suggesting the CIA's inclination towards a lab leak theory for the COVID-19 pandemic origin.
• Saudi-Russian Arms Deal: Reports indicate Saudi Arabia purchased over €2 billion worth of arms from Russia, including 39 "Pantsir-S1M" air defense systems, despite sanctions.

Military Actions

• The Russian Ministry of Defense published footage of the assault on a Ukrainian stronghold by soldiers of the "Center" group and a video showing the operation of an Orlan-10 UAV.
• Video evidence shows Russian forces destroying a Ukrainian BMP-2 near Zarichne.
• Video evidence shows Russian sappers discovering mines near Vuhledar made with 3D printers, which are difficult to detect with metal detectors. The sappers have reportedly neutralized over a thousand explosive devices in the area since the beginning of 2025.
• Russian forces launched guided aerial bombs on Sumy Oblast.
• Electronic warfare equipment (EW) has been purchased and sent to the front for a Russian reconnaissance unit operating in the northeastern sector, thanks to donations from readers of the Colonelcassad channel and Boris Rozhin.
• Video evidence shows a Russian FPV drone destroying a Ukrainian tank in the Kursk region.
• Russian paratroopers are using BM-21 Grad multiple rocket launchers to target Ukrainian positions on the western outskirts of Chasiv Yar.
• UAV units of the 98th Airborne Division are using FPV drones to destroy Ukrainian firing points in Chasiv Yar.
• A captured Ukrainian soldier, Abramovich Viktor Vladimirovich, criticized Zelensky and expressed his belief that the war would end if Ukraine received no more aid.
• Video evidence shows a Russian FPV drone targeting and destroying Ukrainian vehicles.
• A Russian sniper from the "Center" group reportedly disrupted a Ukrainian troop rotation near Pokrovsk, using a "Bespoke Gun Raptor" rifle.
• Russian artillerymen are targeting Ukrainian forces near the Sukhi Yaly River.
• A video from the 80th Airborne Assault Brigade shows snipers engaging Russian and Korean troops in the Kursk region, claiming to have killed 8 and wounded 12.

Updated Situation

The military situation in Ukraine remains extremely volatile and unfavorable for Ukrainian forces. Russian forces continue to make significant gains, particularly in the Donetsk region, with the confirmed capture of Velyka Novosilka representing a major setback for Ukraine. The escalating drone warfare, with increased activity across multiple regions, confirmed attacks inside Russia, and a massive overnight attack with 72 drones, adds another layer of complexity to the conflict. The new reports of drone movements towards Zhytomyr and Khmelnytskyi Oblasts, the confirmed drone attack in Kharkiv, drone activity in the northwestern part of Kyiv Oblast, and the threat of attack drones in Chernihiv Oblast indicate a potential expansion and intensification of the drone conflict. The new report of a drone heading towards Starokostiantyniv is concerning. The use of guided aerial bombs on Sumy Oblast and the deployment of electronic warfare equipment to the front lines indicate continued Russian military activity and technological advancements. The new report of a Ukrainian drone attack on Ryazan, potentially targeting an oil refinery, highlights the continued vulnerability of Russian infrastructure. The new report of 15 Ukrainian drones shot down over Russian territory indicates the effectiveness of Russian air defenses but also highlights the scale of the drone threat. The new information about the naval situation in the Black, Azov, and Mediterranean Seas indicates a significant Russian naval presence, particularly in the Mediterranean, with a substantial number of Kalibr missiles ready to be launched. The new reports of Russian forces destroying two Ukrainian naval drones approaching Crimea and the main bunch of Ukrainian naval drones waiting for Russian helicopters highlight the ongoing naval conflict in the Black Sea. The Ukrainian Air Force's report of Russian tactical aviation activity on the northeast axis and the threat of air attacks on front-line regions indicate a potential escalation in air operations. The new report of guided aerial bombs being launched on Sumy Oblast indicates a potential escalation in air operations.

The geopolitical developments, including the US aid suspension, President Trump's statements, the call from the Chinese embassy for the US to disclose information on its biolabs, and the Saudi-Russian arms deal further complicate the situation for Ukraine. The video evidence of Russian forces storming Ukrainian positions near Belohorivka, destroying a Ukrainian BMP-2 near Zarichne, and discovering advanced, hard-to-detect mines near Vuhledar highlights the intensity of the fighting, continued Russian advances, and the evolving tactics being employed. The footage of the Orlan-10 UAV in operation underscores the continued importance of reconnaissance in Russian military operations. The new video evidence of a Russian FPV drone destroying a Ukrainian tank in the Kursk region demonstrates the ongoing threat to Ukrainian armor. The new reports of Russian paratroopers using BM-21 Grad multiple rocket launchers and UAV units using FPV drones in Chasiv Yar indicate the continued intensity of the fighting in that area. The forced mobilization video from Ukraine suggests internal issues with recruitment and public support. The new report of a Russian drone attack on Sumy highlights the ongoing threat to Ukrainian cities and infrastructure. The analysis from The Times outlining four potential scenarios for the end of the war underscores the uncertainty and the possibility of a protracted conflict. The new video evidence of Russian artillerymen targeting Ukrainian forces near the Sukhi Yaly River demonstrates the continued use of artillery in the conflict. The video of a destroyed French Caesar self-propelled howitzer, reportedly somewhere on the front, indicates the continued loss of Western-supplied equipment.

Recommendations

1. Reinforce Pokrovsk and Toretsk: Deploy additional troops, anti-tank weapons, and air defense systems to Pokrovsk and Toretsk to counter the Russian advance. Prioritize the defense of these cities to prevent further Russian advances in the Donetsk region. The situation in Pokrovsk is particularly critical, given the reported 48 assault actions and the capture of a Ukrainian soldier from the US-trained 153rd Brigade. Address the threat to the left flank of the Pokrovsk sector posed by the Russian assault on Kotlyno.
2. Address the Situation in Velyka Novosilka: Now that the settlement is lost, focus on conducting rearguard actions in the surrounding areas to slow the Russian advance and inflict maximum casualties.
3. Enhance Counter-Drone Capabilities: Deploy advanced counter-drone systems and electronic warfare capabilities to neutralize Russian drones, particularly in the Donetsk region and areas targeted by increased drone movements like Zhytomyr, Kyiv, Chernihiv, Sumy, Kirovohrad, Kharkiv, Dnipropetrovsk, Poltava, Cherkasy, Vinnytsia, Odesa, Kherson, and Zaporizhzhia. Prioritize the protection of critical infrastructure and military assets. Address the new drone threats in Zhytomyr and Khmelnytskyi Oblasts, the northwestern part of Kyiv Oblast, Chernihiv Oblast, and the new report of a drone heading towards Starokostiantyniv. Given the massive number of drones used in the recent attack, invest heavily in counter-drone technologies and air defense systems.
4. Strengthen Air Defenses: Deploy additional air defense systems, including short-range and medium-range systems, to protect cities and critical infrastructure from drone and missile attacks. Focus on areas under threat, including Kharkiv and regions targeted by Ukrainian drone attacks, such as Ryazan. Given the new reports of continued drone attacks on Ryazan, enhance air defenses in the region and investigate the possibility of deploying additional counter-drone measures. Given the reported activity of Russian tactical aviation on the northeast axis and the use of guided aerial bombs on Sumy Oblast, deploy additional air defense systems and fighter jets to counter this threat. Monitor airspace closely and be prepared to intercept any hostile aircraft.
5. Address Logistical Challenges: Secure supply lines and establish alternative routes to ensure the continued flow of troops, equipment, and supplies to the front lines.
6. International Support: Continue to engage with international partners, particularly the US and EU, to secure additional military and financial aid. Emphasize the need for advanced weaponry, including long-range strike capabilities and air defense systems. Address the confirmed 90-day suspension of US aid and explore alternative funding sources. Analyze Trump's statements regarding potential visits to Saudi Arabia and the UK, and his upcoming conversation with the British Prime Minister, for potential impacts on international support.
7. Information Warfare: Counter Russian disinformation and propaganda campaigns by providing accurate and timely information. Highlight Ukrainian successes and Russian losses to maintain morale and international support. Analyze the captured Ukrainian soldier's statements for potential propaganda value and counter them with accurate information about Ukrainian military training and conduct. Address the new accusations from the Chinese embassy regarding US biolabs and counter any potential disinformation campaigns related to this issue.
8. Prepare for Protracted Conflict: Given the continued Russian advances and the escalation in drone warfare, prepare for a potentially protracted conflict. Focus on building a sustainable defense industry, securing long-term military and financial aid, and developing strategies to counter Russian tactics.
9. Monitor and Respond to Drone Movements: Continuously monitor drone movements, particularly the reported movements in Zhytomyr, Kyiv, and Chernihiv Oblasts. Deploy rapid response units to intercept drones and protect vulnerable areas.
10. Geopolitical Strategy: Develop a diplomatic strategy to address the confirmed shift in US policy under Trump, particularly regarding the 90-day aid freeze to Ukraine and the statement about the US potentially acquiring Greenland. Urgently engage with other international partners to compensate for any potential reduction in US support and explore alternative funding sources. Analyze the implications of the Saudi-Russian arms deal and assess its potential impact on the conflict.
11. Intelligence Gathering: Utilize all available intelligence assets to gather information about Russian troop movements, concentrations, and intentions. Analyze the footage of the Orlan-10 UAV operation to gain insights into Russian reconnaissance tactics and capabilities.
12. Adapt to Asymmetric Warfare: The increasing use of improvised drones, 3D-printed mines, and other asymmetric tactics by both sides requires a flexible and adaptive approach to warfare. Develop and implement tactics that can effectively counter these threats while also leveraging similar capabilities to gain an advantage.
13. Leverage Technological Advantages: Continue to invest in and develop advanced military technologies, particularly in areas such as drone warfare, electronic warfare, and cyber warfare.
14. Train and Equip Troops: Ensure that Ukrainian troops are adequately trained and equipped to deal with the evolving threats on the battlefield, including training in counter-drone operations, urban warfare, and the use of advanced weaponry. This includes training on detecting and neutralizing mines made with 3D printers.
15. Maintain Situational Awareness: Continuously monitor the situation on the ground and adjust strategies and tactics accordingly. The fluid and dynamic nature of the conflict requires a high degree of flexibility and adaptability.
16. Prepare for Potential Escalation: The ongoing conflict has the potential to escalate further, particularly if new weapons systems are introduced or if the conflict spills over into neighboring countries. Develop contingency plans to address potential escalation scenarios.
17. Protect Critical Infrastructure: Given the continued targeting of critical infrastructure by both sides, enhance the protection of key facilities, such as power plants, oil refineries, and transportation hubs. Given the repeated attacks on the Ryazan oil refinery, prioritize the protection of this facility and other critical infrastructure in the region.
18. Address the Humanitarian Situation: Provide humanitarian assistance to affected populations, including food, shelter, medical care, and other essential services.
19. Plan for Post-Conflict Recovery: Begin planning for post-conflict recovery and reconstruction efforts. This includes assessing the damage to infrastructure, developing plans for rebuilding, and securing funding for these efforts.
20. Maintain International Solidarity: Continue to work with international partners to maintain solidarity and support for Ukraine. This includes diplomatic efforts to isolate Russia, economic sanctions, and military assistance.
21. Seek a Negotiated Solution: While continuing to defend against Russian aggression, explore opportunities for a negotiated solution to the conflict. Analyze the four potential scenarios outlined by The Times military correspondent and develop strategies for each.
22. Respond to the Situation in Kharkiv: Investigate the cause of the explosion in Kharkiv and assess the extent of the damage. Deploy emergency response teams and provide assistance to any affected civilians. Enhance air defense measures in the region to counter potential future attacks.
23. Counter Russian Advances near Belohorivka: Deploy additional troops and anti-tank weapons to counter Russian advances near Belohorivka. Utilize the intelligence gathered from the video evidence to target and neutralize Russian forces.
24. Exploit Russian Weaknesses: The report indicating potential weaknesses in Russian tactics, particularly their difficulty in securing captured positions and hiding vehicles ineffectively, should be exploited. Launch counterattacks to regain lost territory and disrupt Russian advances.
25. Analyze the new six-legged robot: Though currently being tested for civilian use, the development of a six-legged robot capable of carrying heavy loads and operating in extreme cold should be closely monitored for potential military applications. Its ability to traverse difficult terrain could make it useful for logistics or reconnaissance.
26. Develop Counter-Mine Measures: Given the discovery of mines made with 3D printers, invest in research and development of advanced mine detection technologies that can identify mines with minimal metal components. Train sappers on new techniques for detecting and neutralizing these types of mines.
27. Assess Impact of EW Deployment: Monitor the impact of the newly deployed electronic warfare equipment on the northeastern front. Gather intelligence on its effectiveness in disrupting Ukrainian operations and protecting Russian troops.
28. Analyze Video of Orlan-10 UAV Operation: Study the footage of the Orlan-10 UAV operation released by the Russian Ministry of Defense. Analyze the tactics, techniques, and procedures used by the Russian forces to gain insights into their reconnaissance and targeting capabilities.
29. Monitor the Situation in Sumy Oblast: Given the report of Russian guided aerial bombs being launched on Sumy Oblast, enhance air defense measures in the region and monitor the situation closely. Provide early warning to civilians and deploy rapid response units to intercept any incoming threats. Respond to the new drone attack on Sumy, providing assistance to affected civilians and assessing the damage to the educational facility, apartment building, and administrative buildings.
30. Respond to the New Attack on Ryazan: Investigate the reports of a new Ukrainian drone attack on Ryazan, particularly the potential targeting of an oil refinery. Assess the damage and deploy emergency response teams if necessary. Enhance air defense measures in the region to counter future attacks.
31. Analyze Video of Tank Destruction in Kursk Region: Study the video evidence of a Russian FPV drone destroying a Ukrainian tank in the Kursk region. Analyze the tactics used and gather intelligence on the effectiveness of Russian FPV drones against Ukrainian armor.
32. Monitor and Respond to Drone Shootdowns: Continuously monitor reports of Ukrainian drones being shot down over Russian territory. Analyze the locations and frequency of these incidents to assess the effectiveness of Russian air defenses and identify potential vulnerabilities.
33. Assess the Naval Situation: Given the reported presence of Russian warships and Kalibr missile carriers in the Black Sea and Mediterranean Sea, enhance naval surveillance and intelligence gathering to monitor their movements and intentions. Develop contingency plans for potential missile strikes and coordinate with international partners to address the threat. Given the new reports of Russian forces destroying two Ukrainian naval drones approaching Crimea and the main bunch of Ukrainian naval drones waiting for Russian helicopters, enhance naval surveillance and intelligence gathering in the Black Sea. Develop contingency plans for potential naval drone attacks and coordinate with international partners to address the threat.
34. Analyze the Lifting of Airport Restrictions: Now that the restrictions at Izhevsk and Kazan airports have been lifted, assess any potential security implications and ensure that appropriate security measures are in place to prevent future disruptions.
35. Address the Capture of the Ukrainian Soldier: Utilize the information provided by the captured Ukrainian soldier to gain insights into Ukrainian military training, morale, and potential weaknesses. Counter any negative propaganda arising from his statements with accurate information and address any internal issues within the Ukrainian military that his statements may highlight.
36. Analyze the statements from the captured soldier: The captured soldier's comments on the execution of civilians and his training by the US 1st Cavalry Division should be carefully analyzed. If confirmed, the information about executions could be used to expose human rights abuses by Ukrainian forces. The details of his training could provide valuable intelligence on US involvement and the effectiveness of their training methods.
37. Monitor the Situation in Belarus: Given the presidential elections in Belarus and Lithuania's heightened border security, monitor the situation for any potential instability or spillover effects that could impact the conflict in Ukraine.
38. Respond to Attacks in Nikopol Region: Address the reported attacks in the Nikopol region, particularly the use of heavy artillery by Russian forces. Provide support to the affected communities and strengthen defenses in the area.
39. Analyze the Situation in Kryvyi Rih: Given the controlled situation in Kryvyi Rih, maintain vigilance and ensure that all essential services are functioning properly. Continue to monitor for potential threats and adjust security measures as needed.
40. Counter Russian Information Operations: Address and counter any disinformation or propaganda spread by Russian sources, particularly regarding the situation in Ryazan and the alleged attacks on oil refineries. Provide accurate and timely information to the public and international community.
41. Address Forced Mobilization Reports: Investigate the video showing the forced mobilization of a Ukrainian man. Address any issues related to recruitment practices and public perception of the war effort. Implement measures to ensure voluntary enlistment and maintain public support.
42. Counter the Narrative on US Biolabs: Respond to the Chinese embassy's call for the US to disclose information on its biolabs. Provide a clear and transparent explanation of any US-funded biological research activities, emphasizing their peaceful and scientific nature. Counter any disinformation campaigns that attempt to link these activities to the conflict or the COVID-19 pandemic.
43. Investigate Arson Attacks in Krasnodar: While seemingly unrelated to the military situation in Ukraine, the arson attacks in Krasnodar should be investigated to determine the perpetrator's motives and any potential links to the conflict. Assess the potential for similar incidents and take measures to prevent them.
44. Analyze the "Rybare" Report: Carefully analyze the information provided in the "Rybare" report, considering its potential biases as a pro-Russian source. Cross-reference the information with other sources to gain a more comprehensive understanding of the situation. Pay particular attention to the assessment of the geopolitical landscape, the analysis of the fighting in various regions, and the potential for escalation.
45. Assess the Impact of the Saudi-Russian Arms Deal: Analyze the implications of Saudi Arabia's purchase of Russian arms, particularly the "Pantsir-S1M" air defense systems. Consider the potential impact on the regional balance of power, the effectiveness of sanctions against Russia, and the broader geopolitical implications.
46. Analyze the Russian Sniper Video: Study the video of the Russian sniper operation near Pokrovsk. Analyze the tactics, techniques, and procedures used by the sniper team. Assess the effectiveness of the "Bespoke Gun Raptor" rifle and the use of thermal imaging. This information can be used to develop counter-sniper tactics and improve the training of Ukrainian forces.
47. Monitor the Situation in the Kursk Region: Given the ongoing operation in the Kursk region, maintain close surveillance and gather intelligence on Russian troop movements, concentrations, and intentions.
48. Analyze the Ukrainian General Staff Report: Carefully study the Ukrainian General Staff report, paying particular attention to the reported number of combat clashes, airstrikes, shelling incidents, and drone attacks. Cross-reference this information with other sources to gain a more accurate understanding of the intensity and nature of the fighting.
49. Utilize the 46th Airmobile Brigade Video: Analyze the footage from the 46th Airmobile Brigade to gain insights into Ukrainian tactics, particularly the use of drones for reconnaissance and targeting. This information can be used to improve training and operational planning.
50. Respond to the Attacks in Zaporizhzhia Oblast: Address the reported attacks on 13 settlements in the Zaporizhzhia Oblast. Provide support to the affected communities, assess the damage to infrastructure, and strengthen defenses in the area.
51. Analyze the Video of the Artillery Attack near Sukhi Yaly River: Study the video evidence of Russian artillery targeting Ukrainian forces near the Sukhi Yaly River. Analyze the tactics used and gather intelligence on the effectiveness of Russian artillery in this area. Use this information to develop counter-battery tactics and improve the defense of Ukrainian positions.
52. Assess the Reported Attack on Cherkasy Airfield: Investigate the reported Russian attack on the military airfield in Cherkasy. Gather intelligence on the extent of the damage to hangars, airfield infrastructure, and aircraft. Assess the impact on Ukrainian air capabilities and develop plans for repairs and replacements.
53. Confirm and Respond to the Fall of Vremivka and Velyka Novosilka: Verify the reports that Russian forces have occupied Vremivka and captured most of Velyka Novosilka. Assess the impact on Ukrainian defenses in the region and develop plans to counter further Russian advances. Deploy reinforcements to nearby areas to prevent further encirclements.
54. Analyze the Advances in Toretsk, Kotlyne, and Nadiivka: Study the reported Russian advances in Toretsk, Kotlyne, and near Nadiivka. Gather intelligence on the strength and intentions of Russian forces in these areas. Develop plans to reinforce Ukrainian positions and counter further Russian advances.
55. Analyze the Video of the Assault near Pokrovsk: Study the video of the assault on a Ukrainian stronghold near Pokrovsk by the "Atlant" battalion. Analyze the tactics used by both sides and gather intelligence on the strengths and weaknesses of Ukrainian defenses in the area. Use this information to improve training and operational planning.
56. Analyze the report from the Ukrainian Defense Forces of the South: The report of 18 guided aerial bombs, 232 artillery and MLRS attacks, 247 FPV drone strikes, and over 200 fragmentation munitions dropped on settlements in the Zaporizhzhia and Kherson regions indicates a significant escalation in Russian attacks. The report of 4 ground assaults, including two on the islands of Zabych and Kozatsky, and two in the areas of Novodarivka and Novopil in the Zaporizhzhia direction, indicates continued Russian attempts to gain ground in the southern theater. The report of enemy losses, including 93 troops, 1 tank, 2 mortars and artillery systems, 18 vehicles, 6 Shahed-136 drones, 1 quad bike, 2 boats, 6 Starlink terminals, 6 generators, and 4 EW systems, including "Landysh," provides valuable information on the effectiveness of Ukrainian defenses. The damage to 3 personnel shelters, 3 communication antennas, and 8 UAV control antennas indicates that Ukrainian forces are successfully targeting Russian infrastructure. The ongoing rotation of enemy personnel and the formation of assault groups in the Huliaipilske and Orikhiv directions suggest that Russian forces are preparing for potential attacks in these areas. The continued air and engineering reconnaissance by the enemy in these areas indicates that they are actively gathering intelligence to support their operations.
57. Analyze the Video of the Achilles Unit: Study the video of the "Achilles" unit of the 2nd Brigade of the Ukrainian Armed Forces, with the support of the 1st Brigade of the National Guard, targeting Russian armored personnel carriers. Analyze the tactics used by the Ukrainian forces, particularly their use of drones to identify and destroy enemy vehicles. Assess the effectiveness of their coordination and targeting capabilities. This information can be used to improve training and operational planning for other Ukrainian units.
58. Analyze the Report on Russian Troop Casualties: The report of 3 200s (killed) and 4 300s (wounded) among Russian troops, as a result of the operation by the "Achilles" unit, provides valuable information on the effectiveness of Ukrainian tactics. This information can be used to assess the impact of specific operations and to adjust strategies accordingly.
59. Address the Potential for Panic in the Ukrainian Armed Forces: Given the assessment by military expert Markus Reisner that panic may soon begin in the ranks of the Ukrainian Armed Forces, it is crucial to address any potential morale issues. Implement measures to maintain troop morale, provide psychological support, and ensure that troops have the necessary resources and support to continue fighting effectively.
60. Counter Russian Advances in the Pokrovsk Direction: Given the reported completion of the assault on Kotlyno and the threat to the left flank of the Pokrovsk sector, deploy additional troops, anti-tank weapons, and air defense systems to reinforce Ukrainian positions in the area. Prioritize the defense of Pokrovsk and develop plans to counter further Russian advances.
61. Analyze the Video of the Orlan-10 UAV and D-30 Howitzer: Study the video released by the Russian Ministry of Defense showing the cooperation between an Orlan-10 UAV and a D-30 howitzer. Analyze the tactics used by the Russian forces to detect and destroy Ukrainian targets. Assess the effectiveness of their coordination and targeting capabilities. This information can be used to develop counter-tactics and improve the training of Ukrainian forces.
62. Monitor the Situation on the Northeastern Axis: Given the Ukrainian Air Force's report of Russian tactical aviation activity on the northeastern axis, enhance air defense measures in the region and monitor the situation closely. Provide early warning to civilians and deploy rapid response units to intercept any incoming threats.
63. Analyze the image from "Два майора": The image suggests a potential threat to the Velyka Novosilka area, possibly hinting at an encirclement or "cauldron" situation. This reinforces the need to monitor the situation in Velyka Novosilka closely and prepare for potential further Russian advances in the area.
64. Analyze the video from "✙DeepState✙🇺🇦": The video indicates that Ukrainian forces are actively targeting Russian positions in Rozdolne, using drones to deliver precision strikes. This suggests that Rozdolne is a key area of conflict and that Ukrainian forces are attempting to disrupt Russian operations in the area.
65. Analyze the report from "WarGonzo": The report confirms the continued fighting in the Zaporizhzhia, Donetsk, **Chasiv Yar