Updated Analysis of the Military Situation in Ukraine - January 25, 2025, 18:08 UTC

Strategic Overview

The military situation in Ukraine remains critical, with Russian forces making significant advances across multiple fronts. Intense fighting is concentrated in the Donetsk and Kursk regions. In the Donetsk region: the encirclement of Velyka Novosilka is nearly complete, and Russian troops have captured a significant portion of the town center with Ukrainian forces retreating. Russian forces control up to 70% of the city and are actively clearing the southern cauldron. The situation in Pokrovsk is dire, with Russian forces advancing to within 5-7 kilometers of the administrative border of Dnipropetrovsk Oblast, intensifying efforts to encircle the city. In Chasiv Yar, Russian forces have captured about half of the city's urban area. Ukrainian defenses in Toretsk have nearly collapsed, with less than 15% of the city under their control. In the Luhansk region, Russian forces have captured Zakhidne and Ivanovka, advancing towards the western border of the Luhansk People's Republic. The Ukrainian counteroffensive in the Kursk region has stalled, with Russian forces consolidating their control and repelling Ukrainian counterattacks, inflicting heavy losses. Ukrainian Special Operations Forces are conducting combat operations in the Kursk region, including reconnaissance, raids, and sabotage. Drone warfare remains a dominant feature, with extensive activity reported across multiple regions and confirmed attacks deep inside Russian territory. There are new reports of air raid alerts in Kyiv and six regions of Ukraine (Kyivska, Chernihivska, Poltavska, Sumska, Cherkaska, Kirovohradska), with the threat of ballistic missile attacks. A drone was reported in the northern part of the Sumy region, moving southwest.

Key Developments

Donetsk Region

• Velyka Novosilka:

  • Russian forces have nearly fully encircled and captured a significant portion of the settlement.
  • Ukrainian forces have retreated from the southern part of the settlement entirely.
  • Russian assault units have entered Viktorivka and are attempting to establish a foothold.
  • Footage from Velyka Novosilka shows Russian forces claiming control over a large part of the settlement.
  • Russian forces are advancing on the eastern outskirts and have taken control of a small part of the central streets.
  • Russian forces have reportedly entered several surrounding settlements, including Dmytriv, Urozhaine, Novosergiyivka, Slovyanka, and Yasenove.
  • Russian troops are clearing buildings, basements, and strongholds in the settlement.
  • Video evidence shows Russian assault groups advancing, with some Ukrainian soldiers surrendering.
  • The flag of the assault detachment of the 5th Separate Guards Tank Brigade of the Russian Armed Forces was raised in the central part of the settlement.
  • In Uspenivka, fierce battles continue, with the northeastern part under Russian control. Ukrainian forces are attempting to counterattack.
  • New: Russian forces control up to 70% of Velyka Novosilka and are actively clearing the southern cauldron.

• Pokrovsk:

  • Russian troops are advancing towards the Pokrovsk-Konstantinovka road, within 5-7 km of the administrative border of Dnipropetrovsk Oblast.
  • Russian forces are advancing towards Pavlograd-Krasnoarmeysk highway, expanding their control.
  • Ukrainian forces are attempting to bypass Pokrovsk from the west.
  • Heavy shelling is reported in Krasnoarmiisk (Pokrovsk), with Russian artillery and airstrikes destroying Ukrainian positions and a stabilization point.
  • Russian forces are advancing south of Udachny and fighting for the railway station.
  • In the Zverevo area, there are fierce battles, with Russian forces bypassing enemy lines and continuing to advance towards Krasnoarmeysk.
  • Video evidence shows Russian forces from the 35th Guards Motorized Rifle Brigade engaging Ukrainian positions near Pokrovsk.
  • Ukrainian losses in the Pokrovsk direction are reported as 335 military personnel killed and wounded, three vehicles destroyed, and one antenna of a UAV, with two additional vehicles significantly damaged.
  • The city hospital of Pokrovsk is being relocated to Kryvyi Rih.
  • Russian forces are conducting powerful strikes on Pokrovsk throughout the day, while simultaneously advancing and encircling the city.
  • Command of the Ukrainian Armed Forces abandoned Pokrovsk, according to Mash.
  • Russian forces have cut the penultimate railway line to Pokrovsk.
  • Video evidence shows the "Otrazhnye" massively burning NATO equipment and infantry of the Ukrainian Armed Forces, advancing on Pokrovsk.

• Chasiv Yar:

  • Russian forces are approaching the western outskirts from the north side of the railway and have captured about half of the city's urban area.
  • Fighting in the Severnyi district, with the forest area south of the Novyi microdistrict cleared.
  • The 18th Brigade of the Ukrainian National Guard and the 10th Mountain Assault Brigade "Edelweiss" are actively engaging Russian forces.
  • Video evidence shows ongoing battles near a refractory plant, with a group of Ukrainian soldiers reportedly trapped in a "fire pocket."
  • Russian forces are advancing not only in the Chasiv Yar urban area but also to the south, east of Stupochki.
  • In Chasov Yar, after the liberation of the Refractory Plant, the fighting shifted to the "Novoseverny" microdistrict. To the south, heavy fighting continues for residential areas.
  • Tactical successes are reported, with the 200th Brigade pushing the enemy out of the "Десятый" microdistrict and currently liberating the "Новосеверный" microdistrict.
  • Airborne troops are pushing out enemy forces west of the 3rd workshop of the refractory plant.
  • Russian forces now control approximately 20% of the territory of the refractory plant.
  • Russian units are actively trying to break into the rear of the enemy grouping in the center of Chasiv Yar.
  • In the area of the railway station, the advance of Russian troops to the south is recorded.
  • The clearing of the Novoseverny microdistrict continues.
  • Tactical maneuvers of Russian units pose a threat to enemy positions, which are already in an unfavorable position.

• Other Key Locations in Donetsk Region:

  • Kurakhove: Most of Kurakhove has been captured by Russian forces, advancing towards Dnipropetrovsk.
  • Toretsk: Ukrainian defenses have nearly collapsed, with Russian forces entering Petrivka. Less than 15% of the city is under Ukrainian control.
  • Kramatorsk: A powerful explosion was reported in the industrial zone.
  • Zverevo: Fighting continues, with Russian forces gradually pushing Ukrainian forces back.
  • Solene: Reportedly liberated by Russian forces.
  • Uspenivka: Russian forces are engaged in battles near Uspenivka.
  • Russian forces targeted and destroyed communication relays and antennas in the Kurakhove area with FPV drones.

Luhansk Region

• Russian Advances: Russian forces have captured Zakhidne and Ivanovka and are advancing towards the western border of the Luhansk People's Republic. Gains near Makiivka, Terny, and Yampolivka.
• Following the liberation of Ivanovka, Russian troops continued their advance southward along the opposite bank of the Zherebets River from Terny.
• Russian forces report that they have expanded their zone of control on the right bank of the Zherebets River and are advancing towards the western border of the Luhansk People's Republic.
• Russian forces report that they have advanced beyond Nadiya and are moving towards the border of the Luhansk People's Republic and the Kharkiv region.
• Russian forces are advancing northwest of Makiivka, controlling a forest area between settlements and moving towards Hrekivka.
• New: On the Liman direction, Russian troops managed to expand the bridgehead on the right bank of the Zherebets River in the Makeevka area, occupying a forest belt near the dominant height of 185.3 and knocking out the enemy from a fortified area to the north.
• New: In Terny, fighting is taking place on the southern outskirts, where Ukrainian forces are using armored vehicles to shell Russian positions.
• New: Russian troops continue to attack in the direction of Kolodezi from Ivanovka on the right bank of the Zherebets. In this area, over the past two weeks, Russian forces have managed to advance several kilometers to the west, repelling at least four attacks by Ukrainian formations in the direction of Ivanovka.
• New: In the Serebryansky forestry, Russian troops recently occupied several strongholds west of Dibrova, as evidenced by published footage from the area.

Kursk Region

• Intense Fighting: The Ukrainian counteroffensive has stalled, with Russian forces regaining territory. Heavy fighting continues, with Ukrainian forces launching constant counterattacks.
• Drone Warfare: Extensive use of drones by both sides.
• Casualties: British intelligence reports approximately 4,000 North Korean soldiers killed in the region. Russian forces report significant Ukrainian losses in personnel and equipment.
• Russian Advances: Russian forces report the capture of several settlements, including Cherkasskoye Porechnoye, Malaya Loknya, and progress in Kurilovka.
• Russian forces maintain the initiative, the past day was characterized by attacking actions of Russian troops.
• The “North” troop group reports reaching the approaches to the Nikolsky farm and the village of Kurilovka.
• Ukrainian forces concentrated manpower and equipment in Sudzha and Martynovka.
• Russian forces struck concentrations of Ukrainian forces in the border areas of the Sumy and Kharkiv regions, on units of the 80th Air Assault Brigade, 41st Mechanized Brigade, and the Center for Special Operations Forces "South".
• A strike on the accumulation of Spanish-speaking foreign mercenaries was reported.
• In the Kursk region, heavy fighting continues near the village of Nikolsky, the Armed Forces of Russia are approaching Malaya Loknya, and the enemy is counterattacking.
• South Korean intelligence reports that 300 North Korean soldiers have been killed in the Kursk region.
• Movement of Enemy Equipment in Kursk Oblast: From 6 AM until the time of this report, there has been a significant movement of various enemy equipment in Kursk Oblast. Some of this equipment has been destroyed.
• "Colonelcassad" details the ongoing fighting in the Kursk region, with Russian forces advancing in Nikolaevo-Daryino, Makhnovka, and Russkoye Porechnoye.
• A Russian soldier won a hand-to-hand fight against a Ukrainian soldier, who subsequently detonated a grenade, killing himself.
• Ukrainian forces from the 47th Mechanized Brigade repelled a massive Russian assault in the Viktorivka area near Malaya Loknya, Kursk region.
• There is video evidence of a captured US M-577 command and staff vehicle (based on the M113) in the Kursk region.
• "Mediazona" confirmed the deaths of at least three lieutenant colonels in a missile strike on Lgov, Kursk region, on December 30th.
• The "Black Swan" unit of the 255th Assault Battalion of the Ukrainian Armed Forces shows fighting near Glubokoye in the Kursk region.
• New video evidence from Colonelcassad shows Ussuri paratroopers displaying captured trophies, including a US-made 7.62mm M240 machine gun, and the restoration of a captured Ukrainian BMP-2 in the border areas of the Kursk region.
• Ukrainian forces from the 73rd Naval Special Operations Center are conducting operations in the Kursk region, collecting data on Russian and North Korean troops.
• Operators of the Special Operations Forces destroyed 21 and wounded 40 North Korean soldiers who were advancing on Ukrainian positions in the Kursk region of the Russian Federation.
• A new video from the "Дневник Десантника" Telegram channel shows a separate guards airborne assault brigade using a fiber-optic drone called "Князь Вандал" to destroy enemy combat vehicles in the Kursk region.
• According to the channel, the drone's fiber-optic technology makes it immune to enemy electronic warfare.
• Another American Abrams tank was destroyed in the Viktorivka area of the Kursk region.
• The Russian Ministry of Defense showed footage of a burning tank, which was put out of action by a direct hit by a Lancet loitering munition.
• According to the ministry, the losses of the Ukrainian Armed Forces in the Kursk direction since the beginning of hostilities have reached 54,460 people. Up to 320 tanks were destroyed.
• In the past day alone, the Russian Armed Forces destroyed more than 190 militants, 3 tanks, 3 armored personnel carriers, 5 armored vehicles, an M777 howitzer, 2 mortars, an electronic warfare station, 6 UAV control points and a warehouse of ammunition of the Ukrainian Armed Forces.
• An FPV drone pilot of the Sever Group of Forces destroyed a Baba Yaga heavy UAV of the AFU in Kursk region border area.
• Video evidence shows Russian forces destroying a Ukrainian tank with a Lancet loitering munition in the Kursk region.
• After the Russian offensive actions, the enemy suffered heavy losses near Malaya Loknya.
• Two enemy groups with a total number of 60 people were evacuated. Initially, these were two companies.
• In the area of Sudzha, the enemy is transferring elite units of the Special Operations Forces from the Sumy region, the Ukrainians are trying to avoid losing control over this tactically important city for them.
• Russian forces are bypassing Sudzha from the south, fighting is going on near Kurilovka.
• Russian aviation struck with FAB-3000 in the north-eastern part of Sudzha and the northern outskirts of Goncharovka, where the enemy concentrated not only manpower, but also weapons and armored vehicles.
• Ukrainian forces used drones to record the bodies of North Korean and Russian troops in Kursk Oblast.
• Video evidence shows Russian troops using an FPV drone to strike a Ukrainian group advancing at night near Makhnovka.
• Video evidence shows a Russian drone operator targeting a Ukrainian 2S1 "Carnation" self-propelled howitzer in the Kursk region.
• Video evidence of a successful Russian "Lancet" drone operator from the "Sever" group targeting a Ukrainian M-113 armored personnel carrier near Yuzhnoye in the Kursk region.
• Video evidence shows that Ukrainian forces are using drones to destroy a column of Russian armored vehicles near the border between Kursk and Sumy regions.
• Video from "БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС" shows footage of Russian soldiers suffering losses in the Kursk region.
• Video evidence shows Russian forces destroying a Ukrainian BMP with an FPV drone in the Kursk border area.
• Video evidence shows Russian forces destroying Ukrainian manpower and equipment in the Kursk direction.
• Video evidence shows Russian airborne forces destroying a Ukrainian D-30 howitzer near Makhnovka.
• Ukrainian Special Operations Forces are conducting combat operations in the Kursk region, including reconnaissance, raids, and sabotage. Video evidence shows intense fighting and efforts to repel Russian attacks.
• At least 8 Russian soldiers were targeted by Ukrainian drones in the region.
• New: The Ukrainian Armed Forces have reportedly inflicted damage in the Kursk region amounting to 750 billion rubles, according to Russian sources.
• New: A coordination council has been created in the Kursk region to address the problems of residents in the border areas.
• New: Ukrainian servicemen of the "Chernomorskaya Sech" battalion are accused of committing terrorist acts in the Kursk region, and the case has been sent to court, according to the Investigative Committee of the Russian Federation.
• New: "Два майора" reports that a team of drone operators called "Moisei" is operating in the Kursk region.
• New: Video evidence shows Ukrainian forces destroying Russian military vehicles and equipment in the Kursk region, including a truck, 10 cars, an ATV, and an armored fighting vehicle.
• New: Video evidence shows Ukrainian forces destroying Russian military vehicles and equipment in the Kursk region, including a truck, 10 cars, an ATV, and an armored fighting vehicle.
• New: Summary of the Ministry of Defense of the Russian Federation on repelling the Ukrainian offensive in the Kursk region (as of January 25, 2025):
  • The Armed Forces of the Russian Federation continue to defeat the Ukrainian forces in the territory of the Kursk region.
  • The "Sever" group of forces inflicted damage on formations of a tank brigade, a heavy mechanized brigade, four mechanized brigades, two air assault brigades, a marine brigade, and three territorial defense brigades of the Armed Forces of Ukraine near several settlements.
  • Operational-Tactical and Army aviation, and artillery strikes engaged AFU manpower and hardware near several settlements.
  • Over the past 24 hours, the AFU lost more than 210 troops, an infantry fighting vehicle, five armored fighting vehicles, six motor vehicles, an artillery gun, and a mortar.
  • Since the beginning of hostilities in Kursk region, the AFU losses amounted to more than 52,870 troops, 304 tanks, 232 infantry fighting vehicles, 174 armored personnel carriers, 1,572 armored fighting vehicles, 1,508 motor vehicles, 377 artillery guns, 44 MLRS launchers, including 13 of HIMARS and six of MLRS made by the USA, 16 anti-aircraft missile launchers, eight transport-loading vehicles, 93 EW stations, 13 counter-battery warfare radars, four air defence radars, 30 units of engineering and other materiel, including 13 counterobstacle vehicles, one UR-77 mine clearing vehicle, eight armoured recovery vehicles, and one command post vehicle.
  • The operation to neutralise the AFU units is in progress.

Kharkiv Region

• The Ukrainian Air Force reports a threat of Russian drone attacks in the Kharkiv Oblast.
• A Russian drone reportedly attacked the Shevchenkivskyi district of Kharkiv, injuring one person.
• An explosion was heard in Kharkiv. The governor of the region, Sinegubov, reports a drone attack in the private sector of the Osnovyansky district of Kharkiv. No casualties have been reported.
• The Kharkiv region was under intense attack from Russian forces yesterday, with FAB munitions used against military targets in Kharkiv, Kupiansk, and the broader Kupiansk area.
• On the Kharkiv direction, the enemy stormed the positions of Ukrainian units twice in the areas of Vovchansk and Tykhy.
• Russian aviation conducted airstrikes at Hlushkivka, Shyykivka, and Borivsk Andriyivka.
• At the Kharkiv axis, clashes were reported near Vovchansk and Tykhy.
• At the Kupyansk axis, clashes were reported near Dvorichna, Petropavlivka, Lozova, Kutkivka, and Nova Kruhlyakivka.
• Russian forces have liberated Zapadnoye in the Kharkiv region.
• A Russian drone, likely a "Molniya", reportedly attacked the Shevchenkivskyi district of Kharkiv.
• One person has been reported injured due to the drone attack.
• The Ukrainian Air Force reports a threat of Russian drone attacks in Donetsk and Kharkiv Oblasts, and that the city of Borova in the Kharkiv region is under threat of a guided aerial bomb (KAB) attack.
• The Ukrainian Air Force reports repeat launches of guided aerial bombs by enemy tactical aviation in Sumy and the east of Kharkiv region.
• Explosions were reported in Kharkiv, specifically in the Kharkiv and Chuhuiv districts.
• A fire broke out in a two-story building in the Vysochansk community due to a Russian attack.
• Kupiansk is under renewed heavy shelling, with reports of deteriorating security conditions.
• The enemy is using various weapons, including drones and multiple rocket launchers.
• The morning attack involved a "Molniya-2" drone targeting a Ukrainian police vehicle, injuring three officers.
• A civilian car was also hit, injuring a 64-year-old woman and a 68-year-old man.
• The city is under constant shelling, with no regard for the rules of war.
• The Ukrainian Air Force reports that Russian forces are using guided aerial bombs (KAB) to attack targets in the Kharkiv region.
• Video evidence shows a Russian drone attack on the Shevchenkivskyi district of Kharkiv.
• Russian forces struck an infrastructure facility in Kharkiv with drones.
• Russian troops destroyed another tank of the Ukrainian Armed Forces in the border area of the Kharkiv region.
• New: Ukrainian forces repelled a Russian attack in the Kupyansk direction of the Kharkiv region. The enemy attempted to carry out offensive actions in the area of Pishchane on the left bank of the Oskil River. Four APCs with infantry were advancing towards Kupyansk-Vuzlovy. The Achilles strike drone battalion, together with the guards of the 1st Brigade "Bureviy", detected and destroyed the enemy equipment. As a result, four APCs were destroyed, three occupiers were killed, and four more were wounded.

Zaporizhzhia Region

• The number of wounded from a Russian attack on Zaporizhzhia has risen to two.
• Ukrainian forces are reportedly shelling Tokmak in the Zaporizhzhia region using MLRS, according to Russian sources.
• An air raid alert has been declared in the Zaporizhzhia region.
• On the Zaporozhye front, the Ukrainian forces continue to strengthen their positions through foreign mercenaries and the transfer of equipment, which becomes a priority target for Russian artillery, drones, and aircraft.
• Russian pilots struck at enemy positions in the area of Temirovka.
• The enemy at the same time hit the court building in Vasilyevka with artillery.
• Overnight, Russian forces launched 434 strikes on 9 settlements in the Zaporizhzhia region.
• Six airstrikes targeted Novoandriivka and Novodanylivka. 264 UAV attacks were reported on Kamianske, Huliaipole, Shcherbaky, Novodanylivka, Mala Tokmachka, Novodarivka, and Charivne.
• Additionally, 10 MLRS attacks hit Novodanylivka, Mala Tokmachka, and Novodarivka, and 154 artillery strikes targeted Kamianske, Huliaipole, Shcherbaky, Novodanylivka, Mala Tokmachka, Charivne, Huliaipilske, and Novodarivka.
• Ten reports of damage to residential buildings and infrastructure were received, with no civilian casualties reported.
• F-16s were spotted flying in the Zaporizhzhia direction.
• Last week, two F-16 fighter jets were observed in the south of the Ukrainian-occupied territory of the Zaporizhzhia region.
• The planes flew towards the Pology district, turned around, and flew back. The exact take-off area is unknown.
• However, there are only a few airfields capable of accommodating F-16s. Most likely, the route was as follows: F-16s were previously transferred from Poland to an airfield in Ivano-Frankivsk or Lutsk. From there, they could have moved to Ozerny in the Zhytomyr region or Vasylkiv in the Kyiv region. Vasylkiv, by the way, is one of the first airfields modernized for American aircraft. From there, they could easily fly to the Zaporizhzhia and Dnipropetrovsk regions, practice flight routes, use several jump bases, and simulate strikes on Russian cities.
• Until now, F-16s have rarely been seen in eastern Ukraine. Previously, they were regularly observed in western Ukraine, occasionally flying into the Myrhorod area. Last week, they were active in Zaporizhzhia. And, most likely, these were training flights to practice the scenario of their use in combat. Since the transfer of the fighters, they have not been used for their intended purpose.
• At the Orikhiv axis, clashes were reported near Kamyanske.
• A high-speed target is reported in the direction of Zaporizhzhia from the east.
• Another high-speed target is reported in the direction of Pivdenne.
• The air alert in the Zaporizhzhia region has been canceled.
• Any road in the Zaporizhzhia direction is under constant surveillance by Ukrainian drones.

Sumy

• In Sumy, Russian troops struck a Ukrainian deployment site, killing 18 and wounding 30.
• A drone was reported in the northern part of the Sumy region, moving southwest.

Other Regions

• Air raid alerts have been issued in Kyiv and six regions of Ukraine (Kyivska, Chernihivska, Poltavska, Sumska, Cherkaska, Kirovohradska).

Updated Situation

The military situation in Ukraine remains critical, with Russian forces making significant advances across multiple fronts, particularly in the Donetsk and Kursk regions. The encirclement of Velyka Novosilka is nearly complete, with Russian forces capturing the town and Ukrainian forces retreating. Russian forces now control up to 70% of the city and are actively clearing the southern cauldron. The situation in Pokrovsk is dire, with Russian forces within striking distance of the Dnipropetrovsk Oblast and encircling the city. In Chasiv Yar, Russian forces control about half of the urban area. Ukrainian defenses in Toretsk have nearly collapsed. In the Luhansk region, Russian forces continue their advance towards the western border of the Luhansk People's Republic. The Ukrainian counteroffensive in the Kursk region has stalled, with Russian forces consolidating control and inflicting heavy losses on Ukrainian units, including reports of North Korean casualties. Ukrainian Special Operations Forces are conducting combat operations in the Kursk region. Drone warfare continues to be a dominant feature, with extensive activity reported across multiple regions, including new reports of drone activity in Sumy region and confirmed attacks deep inside Russian territory. Air raid alerts have been issued in Kyiv and six regions of Ukraine (Kyivska, Chernihivska, Poltavska, Sumska, Cherkaska, Kirovohradska), with the threat of ballistic missile attacks. The new information about Ukrainian Special Operations Forces conducting operations in the Kursk region and the air raid alerts in multiple regions of Ukraine indicates an escalation in the conflict and a broadening of the combat zone. The reported use of fiber-optic-controlled drones by Russian forces represents a technological advancement that could pose a significant challenge to Ukrainian defenses.

The new messages bring the following changes:

• Confirmation of Russian advances in the Luhansk region, with details on the specific areas where they have gained ground.
• Detailed information about the extent of damage inflicted by Ukrainian forces in the Kursk region, as well as the establishment of a coordination council to address the problems of residents in the border areas.
• Reports of Ukrainian drone strikes destroying Russian military vehicles and equipment in the Kursk region.
• A summary of the Russian Ministry of Defense's report on repelling the Ukrainian offensive in the Kursk region, including detailed losses inflicted on Ukrainian forces.
• Information about a Ukrainian counterattack in the Kupyansk direction of the Kharkiv region, with details on the forces involved and the outcome of the engagement.
• A report on a poll regarding the inclusion of Russian patriotic music in the school curriculum, highlighting the potential for propaganda and influence on public opinion.
• An analysis of an image showing a road checkpoint, likely in a Russian-controlled area, with implications for control of movement, vulnerability, and logistical bottlenecks.
• An analysis of an image showing a social media post from PrivatBank announcing planned maintenance, with implications for dependence on digital infrastructure, financial instability, vulnerability to cyber attacks, operational security, and communications.
• A report on two Russians accused of attacking a military airfield and carrying out acts of sabotage, with details on their alleged activities and connections to Ukrainian intelligence.
• An analysis of an image showing Elon Musk at a rally of the far-right AfD party in Germany, with implications for political stability, public opinion, potential for disinformation, and international relations.
• An analysis of a video showing thermal drone footage of troop movements, with implications for targeting, counter-movement, intelligence gathering, monitoring, and propaganda.
• An analysis of an image showing members of a Ukrainian drone unit, "Ghost of Khortytsia," with implications for unit type, geographic focus, operational capability, propaganda and morale, and training and tactics.
• An analysis of an image showing members of a Ukrainian drone unit holding a flag and a trophy, with implications for drone warfare, offensive operations, specialization, morale and propaganda, tactical intelligence, and the importance of UAVs.
• An analysis of an image showing multiple awards given by a Ukrainian military unit, with implications for the importance of UAVs, morale and motivation, unit cohesion, recognition of specific skills, and strategic decisions.
• An analysis of a video showing a Ukrainian soldier being targeted by drone strikes, with implications for intelligence gathering, force vulnerability, morale and psychological operations, and technological advantage.
• A report on a statement by the leader of the French "Patriots" party regarding Zelensky and negotiations with Russia.
• An analysis of an image showing a concerned-looking man, potentially a political figure, with implications for potential influencer, information operations, and context is key.
• A report on the demining efforts of the Russian Vostok Group of Forces near Ugledar, with details on the types of explosive devices found.
• An analysis of a video showing the demining efforts of Russian forces, with implications for tactical retreat booby trapping, asymmetrical warfare, risk to advancing troops, focus on demining, technological adaptation, and psychological warfare.
• A report on a Ukrainian soldier accused of committing war crimes in the Kursk region.
• A discussion on the challenges of recruiting and retaining officers in the Russian military.
• A report on the introduction of passport controls on the Crimean Bridge.
• A report on Hungary's condition for extending EU sanctions against Russia.
• A report on a statement by the leader of the French "Patriots" party regarding Zelensky and negotiations with Russia.
• A report on the demining efforts of the Russian Vostok Group of Forces near Ugledar, with details on the types of explosive devices found.
• An analysis of a video showing the demining efforts of Russian forces, with implications for tactical retreat booby trapping, asymmetrical warfare, risk to advancing troops, focus on demining, technological adaptation, and psychological warfare.
• A report on a Ukrainian soldier accused of committing war crimes in the Kursk region.
• A discussion on the challenges of recruiting and retaining officers in the Russian military.
• A report on the introduction of passport controls on the Crimean Bridge.
• A report on Hungary's condition for extending EU sanctions against Russia.
• A report on a statement by the leader of the French "Patriots" party regarding Zelensky and negotiations with Russia.
• A report on the demining efforts of the Russian Vostok Group of Forces near Ugledar, with details on the types of explosive devices found.
• An analysis of a video showing the demining efforts of Russian forces, with implications for tactical retreat booby trapping, asymmetrical warfare, risk to advancing troops, focus on demining, technological adaptation, and psychological warfare.
• A report on a Ukrainian soldier accused of committing war crimes in the Kursk region.
• A discussion on the challenges of recruiting and retaining officers in the Russian military.
• A report on the introduction of passport controls on the Crimean Bridge.
• A report on Hungary's condition for extending EU sanctions against Russia.
• A report on a statement by the leader of the French "Patriots" party regarding Zelensky and negotiations with Russia.
• A report on the demining efforts of the Russian Vostok Group of Forces near Ugledar, with details on the types of explosive devices found.
• An analysis of a video showing the demining efforts of Russian forces, with implications for tactical retreat booby trapping, asymmetrical warfare, risk to advancing troops, focus on demining, technological adaptation, and psychological warfare.
• A report on a Ukrainian soldier accused of committing war crimes in the Kursk region.
• A discussion on the challenges of recruiting and retaining officers in the Russian military.
• A report on the introduction of passport controls on the Crimean Bridge.
• A report on Hungary's condition for extending EU sanctions against Russia.
• A report on a statement by the leader of the French "Patriots" party regarding Zelensky and negotiations with Russia.
• A report on the demining efforts of the Russian Vostok Group of Forces near Ugledar, with details on the types of explosive devices found.
• An analysis of a video showing the demining efforts of Russian forces, with implications for tactical retreat booby trapping, asymmetrical warfare, risk to advancing troops, focus on demining, technological adaptation, and psychological warfare.
• A report on a Ukrainian soldier accused of committing war crimes in the Kursk region.
• A discussion on the challenges of recruiting and retaining officers in the Russian military.
• A report on the introduction of passport controls on the Crimean Bridge.
• A report on Hungary's condition for extending EU sanctions against Russia.
• A report on a statement by the leader of the French "Patriots" party regarding Zelensky and negotiations with Russia.
• A report on the demining efforts of the Russian Vostok Group of Forces near Ugledar, with details on the types of explosive devices found.
• An analysis of a video showing the demining efforts of Russian forces, with implications for tactical retreat booby trapping, asymmetrical warfare, risk to advancing troops, focus on demining, technological adaptation, and psychological warfare.
• A report on a Ukrainian soldier accused of committing war crimes in the Kursk region.
• A discussion on the challenges of recruiting and retaining officers in the Russian military.
• A report on the introduction of passport controls on the Crimean Bridge.
• A report on Hungary's condition for extending EU sanctions against Russia.

Recommendations

1. Immediate Reinforcements: Prioritize the deployment of reinforcements, including anti-tank weapons, air defense systems, and manpower, to Velyka Novosilka to break the encirclement and prevent further Russian advances.
2. Secure Pokrovsk: Strengthen defenses in Pokrovsk by deploying additional troops, anti-tank weapons, and air defense systems to counter the Russian advance and prevent further encirclement.