Archived operational intelligence briefing
The military situation in Ukraine remains critical, with Russian forces maintaining offensive pressure across multiple fronts. The Donetsk region continues to be the focal point of intense fighting, with significant developments around Velyka Novosilka, Pokrovsk, and Chasiv Yar. Russian forces are making significant advances near Pokrovsk and Chasiv Yar, consolidating their positions and capturing key infrastructure. In Velyka Novosilka, Russian forces control over 90% of the settlement, including the city center, and have liquidated the "southern cauldron". The Ukrainian counteroffensive in the Kursk region has stalled, with Russian forces regaining territory and neutralizing Ukrainian units. Drone warfare remains a dominant feature of the conflict, with extensive activity reported across multiple regions. Ukrainian forces are actively targeting Russian military assets and infrastructure with drones, while Russian forces continue to utilize drones for reconnaissance and targeted strikes.
Velyka Novosilka:
Pokrovsk:
Chasiv Yar:
Kurakhove:
Toretsk:
Kramatorsk:
Zverevo:
Solone:
Uspenivka:
Dachne:
Drone Attacks:
Russian Advance:
Explosions:
Kupiansk:
Drone Movements:
A man was wounded after a submunition detonated in Horlivka, Donetsk People's Republic.
Russian forces destroyed a Ukrainian howitzer with a Lancet loitering munition near Konstantinivka.
An enemy aircraft-type UAV was detected and destroyed by air defense forces of the Russian Ministry of Defense over the Bryansk region.
Overnight, Russia attacked Ukraine with two X-59/69 missiles and 61 drones. The Ukrainian Air Force reports shooting down two X-59/69 guided missiles, 46 Shahed drones, and other types of drones in various regions.
Three Ukrainian drones were shot down over Belgorod Oblast.
Ukrainian forces report shooting down a Russian drone carrying a battery with a sticker from the Czech Republic's Air Reconnaissance unit, confirming Czech military support for Ukraine.
Ukrainian forces report receiving 260 more drones, totaling 139,197 FPV drones.
Video evidence shows Ukrainian forces using drones to destroy a column of Russian armored vehicles near the border between Kursk and Sumy regions.
Video evidence shows a Russian drone operator targeting and destroying a hidden NATO armored vehicle during an assault on Cherkasskoye Porechnoye.
Video evidence shows Ukrainian forces successfully employing a "Stugna-P" ATGM system against enemy vehicles in the region.
Video details the ongoing fighting in the Kursk region, with Russian forces advancing in Nikolaevo-Daryino, Makhnovka, and Russkoye Porechnoye.
Video shows the 155th brigade of the Russian marines destroying Ukrainian manpower and equipment in the Kursk direction.
Video from the Russian Ministry of Defense shows drone pilots engaging a target in the Kursk region border area.
Video evidence shows a Russian drone operator targeting a Ukrainian armored vehicle in the Kursk region.
New video shows a Russian Su-34 fighter-bomber of the Russian Aerospace Forces striking a concentration of Ukrainian equipment and personnel in the border area of Kursk region.
Video of a Russian Su-34 bomber destroying a Ukrainian stronghold in the Kursk border area.
Video shows a Russian Mi-28NM helicopter destroying a Ukrainian stronghold in the border area of the Kursk region.
Video evidence shows Russian forces destroying a Ukrainian "Baba Yaga" drone with a sniper rifle in the Kursk region. The drone was reportedly part of a group of 39 "Baba Yaga" drones that have been destroyed in the area since January 1st.
A Lancet loitering munition destroyed a tank of the Ukrainian Armed Forces in the Kursk border area.
In Aleshki, Kherson Oblast, the enemy carried out remote mining of the settlement throughout yesterday and last night. As a result of the detonation of explosives, 12 civilians have already died, including children.
Kots reports a fire at an energy facility in Kharkiv following a drone strike, with power outages reported in local social media.
Butusov Plus shares a video of the 3rd Assault Brigade artillerymen celebrating the New Year on their positions, highlighting their continuous operations regardless of holidays.
Footage of the 3rd Assault Brigade's operations is provided, showcasing their use of the 2S1 Gvozdika SPG and emphasizing the importance of artillery in the conflict.
"Operativnyi ZSU" reports that Bukovinian paratroopers destroyed a unit of Russian marines from the 155th Separate Marine Brigade in the Kursk region. The video shows the 82nd Separate Airborne Assault Bukovinian Brigade in action.
The "Voin DV" Telegram channel reports on the ongoing liberation of Velyka Novosilka by the "Vostok" group, sharing footage of the 40th Guards Brigade's advance. The video highlights the use of RSZO, drones, and other means to destroy enemy positions.
The "Voin DV" Telegram channel also shares footage of the 11th Guards Air Assault Brigade's aviation operating in the Konstantinopol area.
"Tsaplienko" reports on a drone attack on Kharkiv, with impacts reported and potential power and water supply issues.
Footage of the aftermath of the drone attack on Kharkiv is shared, showing a large plume of smoke.
The Ukrainian Air Force reports that enemy drones are still present over Kharkiv.
The Russian Ministry of Defense claims that air defense forces shot down 11 enemy drones over the Black Sea near the coast of Crimea.
Sternenko reports that Kharkiv is under attack by Russian "Molniya" strike UAVs, detailing their capabilities and suggesting countermeasures, including REB, video jamming, and FPV interceptors.
A photo of a downed drone on a makeshift launch ramp is shared.
"Astra" reports that the Krasnozavodsk Chemical Plant of Rostec was attacked in the Moscow region during yesterday's massive attack on the Russian Federation. A drone crashed into a production building but did not explode.
A photo of the Krasnozavodsk Chemical Plant is shared.
"Tsaplienko" shares a video of the successful repulse of an attack by the 5th Special Purpose Center of the National Guard "Omega," showing the destruction of several units of Russian equipment, including "Akhmat" armored vehicles.
RBC-Ukraine reports that Ukraine can quickly establish gas transit from Azerbaijan, according to Zelensky, who spoke with the President of Azerbaijan in Davos.
"Colonelcassad" shares a photo from the shelling of Aleshki, where at least three people were killed by cluster munitions and remote mining systems.
"Alex Parker Returns" shares a photo of Biden, claiming he is now officially a Mason and a member of the Grand Lodge of South Carolina.
The Ukrainian Air Force reports the activity of enemy tactical aviation in the north-eastern direction.
"Sever.Realii" reports that Zelensky, commenting on the suspension of US aid programs, stated that military aid to Ukraine has not been stopped.
"Operativnyi ZSU" shares a video of the SBU playing a "Squid Game" with drone operators, claiming that 468 occupiers were eliminated in a week.
"Alex Parker Returns" shares a video claiming that a ceasefire or peace is expected around January 25th.
"Tsaplienko" shares a video of the transfer of Israeli hostages held by Hamas.
"Tsaplienko" shares photos of drone fragments that attacked Kharkiv today.
"Kadyrov_95" shares a video of the "Vakha" battalion of the "AKHMAT" special forces, together with the SKAD 607 "Gorets," conducting a successful operation in the Kharkiv direction, destroying enemy equipment and personnel.
The General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine shares photos and information about training sessions on international humanitarian law for sergeants, organized with the support of the "Geneva Call."
The military situation in Ukraine remains highly dynamic and volatile. Russian forces continue to make significant advances in the Donetsk region, particularly around Velyka Novosilka, Pokrovsk, and Chasiv Yar. The encirclement of Velyka Novosilka is a major strategic development, further weakening the Ukrainian position in the south. Ukrainian defenses are under immense strain, and the situation in Toretsk is also deteriorating rapidly.
Drone warfare continues to be a defining feature of the conflict, with both sides utilizing drones for reconnaissance, targeting, and attacks. The increased use of FPV drones by Ukrainian forces is notable, as is the reported targeting of Russian infrastructure deep inside Russia. The drone attacks on Kharkiv and the reported presence of drones over other regions underscore the persistent threat posed by these weapons. The downing of multiple drones, including those carrying Czech-supplied batteries and those targeting Belgorod Oblast and the Black Sea near Crimea, highlights the ongoing air defense efforts by both sides.
The Ukrainian counteroffensive in the Kursk region has stalled, with Russian forces regaining territory and inflicting heavy losses on Ukrainian units. The reported presence of North Korean soldiers fighting alongside Russian forces in the region adds another dimension to the conflict, although the numbers reported vary significantly.
The political and economic situation is also evolving, with the US State Department's order to halt most foreign aid for 90 days potentially impacting military aid to Ukraine. However, Zelensky's statement that military aid has not been stopped provides some reassurance. The reported discussions between Ukraine and Azerbaijan regarding gas transit indicate efforts to diversify energy sources and reduce reliance on Russia.
The reported meeting between the "Rybar" project leadership and the Prime Minister of Iraq suggests efforts to strengthen ties between Russia and Iraq, particularly in the areas of trade, investment, and information technology. This development could have broader geopolitical implications, potentially impacting the regional balance of power.
The destruction of a rare Swedish Bgbv 90 armored recovery vehicle and the reported re-arrest of a former Ukrainian general accused of losing territory highlight the ongoing challenges faced by Ukrainian forces. The reported re-organization of the 59th Motorized Infantry Brigade into an assault brigade of unmanned systems and the transfer of the 414th Separate Assault Drone Battalion to the Ukrainian Navy's Marine Corps indicate ongoing efforts to adapt to the evolving nature of the conflict, with a focus on drone warfare and naval operations.
The reported meeting between the acting governor of the Kursk region and refugees from areas occupied by Ukrainian forces highlights the ongoing humanitarian crisis caused by the conflict. The reported killing of civilians in Aleshki due to remote mining further underscores the devastating impact of the war on the civilian population.
The reported training of Ukrainian sergeants on international humanitarian law, with the support of the "Geneva Call," is a positive development, indicating a commitment to minimizing civilian harm and adhering to the rules of war.
Overall, the situation in Ukraine remains highly fluid and unpredictable. The continued Russian advances, the intensification of drone warfare, the evolving political and economic landscape, and the ongoing humanitarian crisis all contribute to a complex and challenging environment. The coming days and weeks will be crucial in determining the future course of the conflict.
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