Updated Analysis of the Military Situation in Ukraine - January 24, 2025, 14:38 UTC

Strategic Overview

The military situation in Ukraine remains critical, with Russian forces continuing their offensive across multiple fronts. The Donetsk region is the focal point of intense fighting, particularly around Velyka Novosilka, Pokrovsk, and Chasiv Yar. Russian forces have achieved substantial gains, notably the complete encirclement of Ukrainian forces in the southern part of Velyka Novosilka and advances near Pokrovsk and Chasiv Yar.

Velyka Novosilka is under heavy assault, with reports indicating that the "southern part of the settlement is cut off from the northern part" and Russian forces are "advancing towards the center." Video evidence purportedly shows the "Vostok" group starting the "liberation" of Velyka Novosilka, with the raising of the Russian flag in the center, signifying a major symbolic victory. The latest updates indicate that Russian assault units have seized the center of Velyka Novosilka, with Ukrainian forces reportedly retreating entirely from the settlement. Ukrainian military sources confirm the dire situation, stating that the 110th Mechanized Brigade is trapped between the Kashlagach and Mokrye Yaly rivers. Russian forces are continuing to clear the settlement and its surroundings, having reportedly captured the center and pushed Ukrainian forces to the outskirts. The Ukrainian defenses in Velyka Novosilka are described as "in a phase of agony," with the garrison almost completely encircled and facing heavy losses.

Near Chasiv Yar, Russian forces are approaching the western outskirts from the north side of the railway. The 18th Brigade of the Ukrainian National Guard is reportedly targeting Russian infantry in the central part of Chasiv Yar. Video evidence shows Russian forces fighting for a high-rise building near a refractory plant, and fighters from the "Española" brigade, alongside the 98th Airborne Division and the 200th Motorized Rifle Brigade, engaging in combat. Russian forces have made significant advances, reportedly capturing about half of the city's urban area, including the Novyi district. They have cleared the forest area south of the Novyi microdistrict and advanced another 800 meters. The basements and workshops of the refractory plant have been completely cleared.

Around Pokrovsk (Krasnoarmeysk), Russian troops are advancing towards the Pokrovsk-Konstantinovka road and are reportedly less than 10 kilometers from the city. They are consolidating positions after capturing Kotlyno (Dmytrovo) and mine No. 2, and severing the penultimate railway line to the city. Ukrainian forces are attempting to bypass Pokrovsk from the west, and reports indicate a plan to cover the city from the southwest. The speaker of the operational-strategic group "Khortytsia" denies the city is under threat of encirclement. Video evidence shows Russian forces from the 35th Guards Motorized Rifle Brigade engaging Ukrainian positions near Pokrovsk. Heavy shelling is reported in Krasnoarmiisk (Pokrovsk). Operators of the "Pulstron" complex of the 95th Separate Air Assault Brigade of the Ukrainian Armed Forces report successfully targeting and destroying Russian military equipment and personnel. Russian forces are also engaged in active combat operations near Krasnoarmiisk (Pokrovsk), with reports of a motorized rifle attack on the Novovasylivka - Novoelizavetovka line.

Massive drone attacks have targeted multiple regions in Russia, including Moscow, Tula, Rostov, Lipetsk, Bryansk, Kursk, Saratov, Ryazan, Belgorod, and Crimea. Russian air defenses reportedly intercepted and destroyed 121 Ukrainian drones, although Ukrainian sources suggest the number could be as high as 150-180. The attacks caused disruption and damage to critical infrastructure, such as oil refineries near Ryazan and Engels, and industrial facilities in Bryansk. Airports in Ufa, Penza, Saratov, Ulyanovsk, and Samara introduced and subsequently lifted restrictions. A new drone-kamikaze called "Mikrob," with AI capabilities, is reportedly being used by Russia. Confirmed reports of drone attacks in the Moscow region, with several drones shot down. An oil depot near an airfield with strategic bombers in Engels, Russia, has been burning for three days after a drone attack.

Ukrainian air defenses report shooting down 78 out of 110 drones launched by Russian forces overnight, with 31 drones classified as "decoys." New reports detail a drone attack on private homes in the Koryukivskyi district of Chernihiv Oblast. Ukrainian forces report using drones to hunt Russian infantry near Kupyansk and targeting enemy positions in the Zaporizhzhia region with drones.

The Kursk region sees continued Russian advances, with the Ukrainian counteroffensive stalled and heavy losses reported. South Korean intelligence reports significant casualties among North Korean soldiers fighting in the region. The involvement of North Korean soldiers is further evidenced by Ukrainian reports of a captured North Korean soldier and an incident where North Korean soldiers allegedly killed Russian marines and fled. Video evidence shows Ussuri paratroopers raising a flag in Nikolayevo-Daryino. Heavy fighting continues near Nikolsky. In the area of Kruhlenke/Viktorivka, Russian assault units have entered Viktorivka and are attempting to establish a foothold.

In the Kharkiv region, drone attacks persist, with explosions reported in Kharkiv and Chuhuiv districts. Russian forces report advances towards Lozova and in Dvurichna. Kupiansk is under renewed heavy shelling. Ukrainian forces report burning a Russian T-80 tank in the Kharkiv region. The Ukrainian Air Force reports repeat launches of guided aerial bombs by enemy tactical aviation in Sumy and the east of Kharkiv region.

In the Luhansk region, Russian forces have captured Ivanovka and are advancing towards the western border of the Luhansk People's Republic. An encirclement attempt is reported near Nadiia. Russian forces have reportedly taken the heights behind Makiivka (LPR) and expanded their control zone on the western bank of the Zherebets River near Ivanivka.

The Zaporizhzhia region sees continued positional battles with no significant changes to the line of contact. Drone activity is reported, with an air raid alert reissued for the region. Ukrainian forces from the 141st Mechanized Brigade are targeting enemy positions in the Zaporizhzhia region with drones.

Key Developments

Geopolitical Developments

• Former US President Trump claims that President Zelensky should not have allowed the war to happen and that Ukraine was always a target for Putin. He threatened Russia with "the strongest sanctions and tariffs" if it does not agree to end the war quickly. The Wall Street Journal reports that the Kremlin believes Trump's threats are empty and that Russia can withstand at least another year of war.
• Russian media source, Wall Street Journal, states that Russia is not afraid of Trump's threats and is prepared to continue the war for at least another year while making advances on the front. Moscow believes it can withstand sanctions and has an advantage on the front, moving towards important logistical centers in Ukraine. Experts suggest that Putin might be aiming for a summit with Trump to negotiate a settlement favorable to Moscow, bypassing the Ukrainian leadership.
• The ODKB (Collective Security Treaty Organization) still considers Armenia its ally, despite statements from the Armenian Foreign Intelligence Service, according to a source within the organization reported by TASS.
• The Parliament of Armenia will consider a bill on joining the EU in February, according to the press secretary of the Speaker of the Parliament, Movses Harutyunyan, reported by TASS.
• The German Ambassador to Russia, as reported by TASS, announced that Berlin would not participate in the Victory Parade in Moscow.
• Bloomberg reports that European allies agree that the US should provide troops for any future peacekeeping force in Ukraine.
• Hungarian Prime Minister Orban demands Ukraine restore Russian gas transit to continue EU sanctions against Russia.
• Zelensky began copying Trump, according to Le Monde.
• The US Senate confirmed Marco Rubio as Secretary of State.
• Trump will cancel the freeze on the supply of powerful bombs to Israel, according to media reports.
• Marco Rubio stated that Ukraine and Russia must "give up something" to end the war.
• China has reiterated its position in favor of dialogue on Ukraine, as stated by the press secretary of the Chinese Embassy in the US, Liu Pengyu, in response to Trump's comments on expecting Beijing's assistance in resolving the Ukrainian conflict.
• The EU has called the presidential elections in Belarus a "complete fake".
• Saudi Arabia responded to Trump's proposal to collapse oil prices by stating that Riyadh is focused on "long-term stability of the oil market."
• China responded to Trump's request for assistance in ending the war in Ukraine, stating that they are "ready to see all sides play a constructive role and create conditions for de-escalation and a political settlement of the crisis."
• The heads of foreign affairs of 27 EU countries will discuss on January 27th the 16th package of sanctions against Russia and the use of its frozen assets, according to an EU representative.
• The Ukrainian Ministry of Foreign Affairs sharply responded to Russia's demand for Ukraine to refuse to join NATO, stating that the architecture of European security is built on protection from Russia and that Russia has no say in this matter.
• US Secretary of State Blinken removed the official statement on the non-recognition of the future presidential elections in Belarus.

Donetsk Region

• Velyka Novosilka:
  • Russian assault units have reportedly captured the center of the town, and Ukrainian forces have allegedly retreated from the settlement entirely.
  • Ukrainian military sources confirm that the 110th Mechanized Brigade is trapped between the Kashlagach and Mokrye Yaly rivers.
  • Russian forces have completed the encirclement of Velyka Novosilka, with Ukrainian troops blocked in the north and south. The Ukrainian command acknowledges the risk of an operational encirclement.
  • The situation for Ukrainian forces is described as worse than in Vuhledar.
  • Russian forces are using Grad MLRS to target Velyka Novosilka at night and are reportedly encircling the Ukrainian garrison in the center of the town.
  • The distance between advancing Russian units is reported to be between 2.2 and 3.7 km, indicating that the pocket is completely under fire control by Russian forces.
  • Ukrainian forces report that some of their positions near Velyka Novosilka have been destroyed due to intensified Russian shelling.
  • Russian forces are reportedly organizing an evacuation of Ukrainian forces from Velyka Novosilka. The report suggests that while the Russian forces are attempting to facilitate a withdrawal, they are also facing challenges in maintaining communication, supplies, and evacuation routes due to the ongoing fighting. It also suggests that the Ukrainian 1st Presidential Brigade of the National Guard is being prioritized for evacuation, while regular infantry units from the 110th Mechanized Brigade are left to "hold the line" without adequate support.
  • Video evidence shows drone operators of the 39th Guards Motorized Rifle Brigade targeting Russian troops in the vicinity of the Sukhi Yali River.
  • Video evidence shows Ukrainian forces using drones to target Russian troops near Velyka Novosilka, with Russian forces approximately 4.5 km from the borders of the Dnipropetrovsk region.
  • The distance between advancing Russian units is reported to be between 2.2 and 3.7 km, indicating that the pocket is completely under fire control by Russian forces.
  • Russian forces are reportedly 2200 meters from completely encircling the town.
  • New video evidence shows the mass destruction of armored vehicles and enemy infantry near the boiler room.
  • The city is reportedly in a "semi-encirclement."
  • Video evidence purports to show the 40th Separate Brigade of the Ukrainian Coastal Defense Forces effectively engaging Russian targets with drones.
  • The "Colonelcassad" Telegram channel reports that Russian forces from the 39th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade conducted a successful assault on an enemy stronghold near Velyka Novosilka.
  • Russian forces are squeezing the remnants of the 110th Mechanized Brigade of the Ukrainian Armed Forces, which are trapped between the Kashlagach and Mokrye Yaly rivers.
  • Ukrainian forces report that some of their positions near Velyka Novosilka have been destroyed due to intensified Russian shelling.
  • A Ukrainian military officer has confirmed the dire situation in Velyka Novosilka, stating that the settlement is under threat of an operational encirclement.
  • Russian forces are using the "Grad" MLRS to target Velyka Novosilka at night.
  • Russian forces are reportedly encircling the Ukrainian garrison in the center of Velyka Novosilka.
  • The Ukrainian forces in the southern part of Velyka Novosilka are reportedly surrounded.
  • Ukrainian forces are attempting to prevent the encirclement by focusing on positions north and south of Novy Komar.
  • Russian forces are using artillery and airstrikes to target Ukrainian positions in Velyka Novosilka.
  • The Ukrainian forces are reportedly attempting to cross the river in the northern part of Velyka Novosilka using improvised crossings.
  • Video evidence shows Russian forces using drones to destroy Ukrainian military logistics vehicles near Velyka Novosilka.
  • Nighttime video evidence shows Russian forces using Grad MLRS to target Velyka Novosilka, further intensifying the assault on the already besieged town.
  • Video evidence shows Russian forces from the "Vostok" group destroying a Ukrainian command post near Velyka Novosilka. Over 150 Ukrainian soldiers were reportedly killed, and the remaining forces are trapped.
• Pokrovsk:
  • Russian forces are within 10 kilometers of Pokrovsk and continuing their advance, consolidating positions after capturing Kotlyno (Dmytrovo) and mine No. 2, and severing the penultimate railway line to the city.
  • Ukrainian forces are attempting to bypass Pokrovsk from the west.
  • Reports indicate a plan to cover the city from the southwest.
  • The speaker of the operational-strategic group "Khortytsia" denies the city is under threat of encirclement.
  • Russian forces are targeting Ukrainian drone communication equipment in Pokrovsk.
  • Russian artillery destroyed Ukrainian positions in Krasnoarmiisk (Pokrovsk), including two FH70 howitzers, one M777 howitzer, and 17 soldiers. They also destroyed a drone launch site and four Warmate kamikaze drones and two FlyEye reconnaissance drones in the Lazurny microdistrict.
  • In Gryshino, Russian airstrikes destroyed a temporary deployment point and a stabilization point of the Ukrainian Armed Forces in a local school, killing at least 30 soldiers and destroying three JLTV Oshkosh armored vehicles and two Mercedes Zetros trucks.
  • In Dmytrovo, Russian forces destroyed two 2B11 120-mm mortars and eight Ukrainian soldiers.
  • "Azov" forces are reportedly conducting counterattacks in the Pokrovsk direction, described as more like raids before retreating without securing positions.
  • Russian artillery is heavily shelling Krasnoarmiisk (Pokrovsk).
  • Video evidence shows Russian forces from the 35th Guards Motorized Rifle Brigade engaging Ukrainian positions near Pokrovsk.
  • Reports of the Ukrainian metallurgical holding "Metinvest" potentially ceasing operations after the loss of the "Pokrovskoe" mine.
  • Operators of the "Pulstron" complex of the 95th Separate Air Assault Brigade of the Ukrainian Armed Forces report successfully targeting and destroying Russian military equipment and personnel.
  • Heavy fighting continues, with reports of a motorized rifle attack on the Novovasylivka - Novoelizavetovka line.
  • Fighting is ongoing in the areas of Shevchenko, Udachne, Baranivka, Kotlyne, Zverevo, Uspenivka, Slovyanka, and Petropavlivka.
  • Russian assault troops have reportedly captured a ventilation shaft of a mine west of Kotlyne.
  • Russian forces have reportedly begun fighting in Zverevo.
  • Russian forces are reportedly forcibly evacuating children from Pokrovsk.
  • West of Volkovo and north of Solenoye, Russian forces have reportedly advanced 3.6 km, encompassing the entire "pocket."
  • Heavy fighting is reported in Udachnoye.
  • Following the liberation of Baranovka, Russian forces are clearing positions on the opposite high bank of the river, from where the enemy had controlled the village.
  • Fighting continues west of Vodyanoye Vtoroye.
  • Russian forces have liberated Baranovka.
  • They are within 5-7 km of the administrative border of Dnipropetrovsk Oblast, intensifying efforts to encircle this strategically vital city.
  • The liberation of Vozdvyzhenka and the severing of key supply lines significantly impede Ukrainian resupply and reinforcement.
  • Russian DRGs are reportedly operating near the road between Udachnoye and Novosergievka.
  • Ukrainian forces are attempting to use drones to target Russian troops in a ruined structure in an effort to save Pokrovsk.
  • Video shows missile trails and reports that Russian forces are conducting powerful strikes on Pokrovsk throughout the day, while simultaneously advancing and encircling the city.
  • Russian forces have advanced along forested areas southwest of Slavyanka.
  • Fighting continues south of Petrovpavlovka and Shevchenko, moving towards Andriivka.
  • Russian forces are targeting Ukrainian drone communication equipment in Pokrovsk.
  • In Krasnoarmiisk, Russian artillery destroyed Ukrainian positions, including two FH70 howitzers, one M777 howitzer, and 17 soldiers.
  • "Дневник Десантника" reports that Russian forces have destroyed two FH70 howitzers, one M777 howitzer, and 17 Ukrainian soldiers in Krasnoarmiisk (Pokrovsk). They also destroyed a drone launch site and four Warmate kamikaze drones and two FlyEye reconnaissance drones in the Lazurny microdistrict. In Gryshino, Russian airstrikes destroyed a temporary deployment point and a stabilization point of the Ukrainian Armed Forces in a local school, killing at least 30 soldiers and destroying three JLTV Oshkosh armored vehicles and two Mercedes Zetros trucks.
• Chasiv Yar:
  • Russian forces continue to advance, dislodging Ukrainian forces and controlling approximately 20% of the refractory plant.
  • They have also gained control of the fourth section of the Chasiv Yar Refractory Plant and captured about half of the city's urban area, including the Novyi district.
  • Heavy fighting continues with Russian forces making significant advances. They have reportedly captured about half of the city's urban area, including the Novyi district and are fighting in the Severnyi district.
  • Russian forces have cleared the forest area south of the Novyi microdistrict and advanced another 800 meters.
  • The basements and workshops of the refractory plant in Chasiv Yar have been completely cleared.
• Kurakhove:
  • Most of Kurakhove has been captured by Russian forces, with fighting ongoing for strongholds near Hryshyno.
  • Active combat operations are reported, with 14 enemy attacks repelled.
  • Russian forces are advancing from Kurakhove towards Dnipropetrovsk, liberating extensive territories.
  • They have reportedly advanced in the southern part of Nov আন্দ্রিভকা and occupied several forest strips south of Ukrainka.
  • Ukrainian forces are reportedly attempting to counterattack near Zelenovka and Andreevka to prevent the "pocket" from closing and allowing their forces to escape.
• Toretsk:
  • Ukrainian defenses have nearly collapsed, with less than 15% of the city under their control.
  • Russian forces have entered Petrivka and are pushing Ukrainian troops out.
  • Video evidence shows the 2nd Mechanized Battalion fighting on the ruins of Toretsk, engaging in close-quarters combat.
• Kramatorsk:
  • A powerful explosion was reported in the industrial zone of Kramatorsk.
  • Russian forces reportedly using the "Uragan" MLRS to destroy enemy positions.
• Zverevo:
  • The fighting in Zverevo continues, with Russian forces gradually pushing Ukrainian forces along Gagarin Street and Sazonov's Gully.
• Solene:
  • Reportedly liberated by Russian forces.
• Uspenivka:
  • Russian forces are engaged in battles near Uspenivka, advancing towards Dnipropetrovsk Oblast.

Luhansk Region

• Russian forces have captured Zakhidne and Ivanovka, advancing towards the western border of the Luhansk People's Republic.
• They have also advanced 2 km northwest of Makiivka and have taken control of a forest area between the settlements, continuing to advance towards Hrekivka.
• Borova Direction: Ukrainian forces have established positions northeast and east of Zelenyi Hai.
• Russian forces are advancing on the western bank of the Zherebets River near Makiivka, Ivanivka, and Novosadove.

Kursk Region

• The Ukrainian counteroffensive has stalled, with Russian forces regaining territory and neutralizing Ukrainian units.
• A U.S.-made Abrams tank was reportedly rendered inoperable by a Russian Lancet loitering munition near Viktorovka.
• Russian forces report the capture of Cherkasskoye Porechnoye and Malaya Loknya.
• Russian forces report that an attempted Ukrainian counterattack to retake Kruglенькое failed.
• Russian forces report that they are finishing taking the remaining Ukrainian positions in Kurilovka.
• Russian forces report that Nikolaevo-Daryino is under their control and that airborne troops are advancing further into Ukrainian territory.
• Russian forces report that there is heavy fighting in Makhnovka.
• In the area of Kruhlenke/Viktorivka, Russian assault units have entered Viktorivka and are attempting to establish a foothold. Offensive actions are being conducted towards the settlement of Nikolske.
• The Ukrainian Armed Forces have inflicted damage in the Kursk region amounting to 750 billion rubles.
• Commissions are beginning work to assess the destruction of residential buildings in the border areas affected by attacks and the invasion of the Ukrainian Armed Forces.
• About 1,000 North Korean soldiers have reportedly been killed in the region while fighting against Ukraine.
• British intelligence reports that approximately 4,000 North Korean soldiers were killed in the Kursk region.
• From the beginning of the day, there were 15 combat clashes in the Kursk direction; all attacks have already been repulsed. The enemy launched ten air strikes using 15 KABs and carried out more than 300 shellings.
• In the area of Kruhlenke/Viktorivka, Russian assault units have entered Viktorivka and are attempting to establish a foothold. Offensive actions are being conducted towards the settlement of Nikolske.
• Russian forces, specifically Ussuri paratroopers, have reportedly fully liberated Nikolayevo-Daryino.
• Russian naval infantry are reportedly continuing to engage Ukrainian forces in Kurilovka and its surroundings.
• Ukrainian forces are reportedly increasing their presence in the Sudzha border area, with two newly formed battalions of the 210th separate infantry brigade "Berlingo" expected to be deployed.
• Video evidence shows an armored group of the special forces "Akhmat" repelling a Ukrainian counterattack and advancing near Sudzha.
• Video evidence shows Russian forces capturing trophies in liberated Russkoye Porechnoye, including Belgian thermobaric weapons, a Swedish-made grenade launcher, and U.S.-made 40-mm grenades.
• The Ukrainian Armed Forces have inflicted damage in the Kursk region amounting to 750 billion rubles.
• A coordination council has been created in the Kursk region to address the problems of residents in the border areas. The council will include not only officials, representatives of law enforcement and supervisory authorities but also the citizens themselves.
• Ukrainian servicemen of the "Chernomorskaya Sech" battalion are accused of committing terrorist acts in the Kursk region, and the case has been sent to court, according to the Investigative Committee of the Russian Federation.
• "Два майора" reports that a team of drone operators called "Moisei" is operating in the Kursk region.
• Video evidence shows operators from the 14th Guards Special Forces Brigade of the "Vostok" group using FPV drones to target and destroy a Ukrainian self-propelled artillery unit near the Sukhyi Yaly River.
• A Russian drone operator targeted a Ukrainian 2S1 "Carnation" self-propelled howitzer in the Kursk region.
• A successful Russian "Lancet" drone operator from the "Sever" group targeted a Ukrainian M-113 armored personnel carrier near Yuzhnoye in the Kursk region.
• Russian forces successfully employed a "Stugna-P" ATGM system against enemy vehicles in the region.
• "Colonelcassad" details the ongoing fighting in the Kursk region, with Russian forces advancing in Nikolaevo-Daryino, Makhnovka, and Russkoye Porechnoye.
• Ukrainian forces from the 47th Mechanized Brigade repelled a massive Russian assault in the Viktorivka area near Malaya Loknya, Kursk region.
• A Russian Ka-52M helicopter conducted strikes on Ukrainian armor and personnel in the Kursk border area.
• Video evidence shows Russian troops using an FPV drone to strike a Ukrainian group advancing at night near Makhnovka.
• Video evidence of a successful Russian "Lancet" drone operator from the "Sever" group targeting a Ukrainian M-113 armored personnel carrier near Yuzhnoye in the Kursk region.
• Video evidence shows that Ukrainian forces are using drones to destroy a column of Russian armored vehicles near the border between Kursk and Sumy regions.
• Video evidence shows a Russian drone operator targeting and destroying a hidden NATO armored vehicle during an assault on Cherkasskoye Porechnoye.
• Video evidence shows Ukrainian forces successfully employing a "Stugna-P" ATGM system against enemy vehicles in the region.
• Video details the ongoing fighting in the Kursk region, with Russian forces advancing in Nikolaevo-Daryino, Makhnovka, and Russkoye Porechnoye.
• Video shows the 155th brigade of the Russian marines destroying Ukrainian manpower and equipment in the Kursk direction.
• Video from the Russian Ministry of Defense shows drone pilots engaging a target in the Kursk region border area.
• Video evidence shows a Russian drone operator targeting a Ukrainian armored vehicle in the Kursk region.
• New video shows a Russian Su-34 fighter-bomber of the Russian Aerospace Forces striking a concentration of Ukrainian equipment and personnel in the border area of Kursk region.
• A medic from the "Chestnut" unit saved 300 soldiers during the fighting in the Kursk region.
• Video of a Russian Su-34 bomber destroying a Ukrainian stronghold in the Kursk border area.
• Video shows a Russian Mi-28NM helicopter destroying a Ukrainian stronghold in the border area of the Kursk region.
• New video shows Ukrainian soldiers interrogating a captured North Korean soldier in the Kursk region using Google Translate.
• An update from the Russian Ministry of Defense states that Russian forces repelled a Ukrainian attempt to invade Russian territory in the Kursk region.
• Russian forces report that an attempted Ukrainian counterattack to retake Kruglенькое failed.
• Russian forces report that they are finishing taking the remaining Ukrainian positions in Kurilovka.
• Russian forces report that Nikolaevo-Daryino is under their control and that airborne troops are advancing further into Ukrainian territory.
• Russian forces report that there is heavy fighting in Makhnovka.
• Video evidence shows Russian forces destroying a Ukrainian "Baba Yaga" drone with a sniper rifle in the Kursk region. The drone was reportedly part of a group of 39 "Baba Yaga" drones that have been destroyed in the area since January 1st.
• A Lancet loitering munition destroyed a tank of the Ukrainian Armed Forces in the Kursk border area.
• The Sever Group of Forces engaged formations of a tank brigade, a heavy mechanized brigade, four mechanized brigades, two air assault brigades, a marine brigade, and three territorial defense brigades of the Armed Forces of Ukraine near several settlements.
• Operational-Tactical and Army aviation, and artillery strikes engaged AFU manpower and hardware near several settlements.
• Over the past 24 hours, the AFU lost more than 210 troops, an infantry fighting vehicle, five armored fighting vehicles, six motor vehicles, an artillery gun, and a mortar.
• Since the beginning of hostilities in Kursk region, the AFU losses amounted to more than 52,870 troops, 304 tanks, 232 infantry fighting vehicles, 174 armored personnel carriers, 1,572 armored fighting vehicles, 1,508 motor vehicles, 377 artillery guns, 44 MLRS launchers, including 13 of HIMARS and six of MLRS made by the USA, 16 anti-aircraft missile launchers, eight transport-loading vehicles, 93 EW stations, 13 counter-battery warfare radars, four air defence radars, 30 units of engineering and other materiel, including 13 counterobstacle vehicles, one UR-77 mine clearing vehicle, eight armoured recovery vehicles, and one command post vehicle.
• Video evidence confirms the complete liberation of Nikolayevo-Daryino.
• Russian forces report the capture of Cherkasskoye Porechnoye and Malaya Loknya.
• Heavy fighting continues near the village of Nikolsky, with Russian forces approaching Malaya Loknya and Ukrainian forces counterattacking.
• Refugees from the Kursk region are protesting and demanding a meeting with the acting governor.
• A new statement suggests that Ukrainian forces will attempt to hold their occupied portion of the Kursk region for 100 days.
• The intensity of the fighting is being compared to the battles of Bakhmut and Avdiivka.
• Russian forces report that an attempted Ukrainian counterattack to retake Kruglенькое failed.
• Russian forces report that they are finishing taking the remaining Ukrainian positions in Kurilovka.
• Russian forces report that Nikolaevo-Daryino is under their control and that airborne troops are advancing further into Ukrainian territory.
• Russian forces report that there is heavy fighting in Makhnovka.

Kharkiv Region

• Drone Attacks: One drone is approaching Balakliia. The Ukrainian Air Force reports that the city of Kharkiv is under threat from a Russian drone approaching from the northeast. The Ukrainian Air Force reports a threat of Russian drone attacks in Donetsk and Kharkiv Oblasts. The Ukrainian Air Force reports repeat launches of guided aerial bombs by enemy tactical aviation in Sumy and the east of Kharkiv region.
• Russian Advance: Russian forces have reportedly expanded their bridgehead up to 5 km south of Dvorechnaya, occupied the forest near Zapadnoye, and advanced significantly in the center of Dvurichna.
• On the right bank of the Oskol, Russian forces are continuing to push through Ukrainian defenses and are expanding their control zone towards the western part of Dvurichna in the direction of Sagunivka.
• Fighting continues in the area of Zelenyi Hai, where Ukrainian forces are attempting to improve their tactical position by attacking from Borova Andriivka.
• Explosions: Reported in Kharkiv and Chuhuiv districts. A fire broke out in a two-story building in the Vysochansk community due to a Russian attack.
• Kupiansk is under renewed heavy shelling, with reports of deteriorating security conditions. The enemy is using various weapons, including drones and multiple rocket launchers.

Zaporizhzhia Region

• F-16s were spotted flying in the Zaporizhzhia direction.
• A drone was reported flying towards Zaporizhzhia from Dnipropetrovsk. An air raid alert has been reissued for the region.
• The number of wounded from a Russian attack on Zaporizhzhia has risen to two.
• Ukrainian forces report using drones to hunt Russian infantry near Kupyansk.
• Ukrainian forces from the 141st Mechanized Brigade are targeting enemy positions in the Zaporizhzhia region with drones.

Drone Warfare

• Extensive Activity: Drone movements reported in several regions, including Kharkiv, Dnipropetrovsk, Sumy, Khmelnytskyi, Rivne, Poltava, and Sloviansk. Ukrainian forces report repelling a drone attack in the Rostov region. New drone threats are reported in Mykolaiv. Massive drone attacks targeted multiple regions in Russia, including Moscow, Tula, Rostov, Lipetsk, Bryansk, Kursk, Saratov, Ryazan, Belgorod, and Crimea. Ukrainian air defenses report shooting down 78 out of 110 drones launched by Russian forces overnight, with 31 drones classified as "decoys." Ukrainian forces used drones to attack oil refineries in Saratov, Kazan, Engels and military and energy facilities in Bryansk and Rostov.
• Successful Ukrainian Drone Strikes: Ukrainian drone attacks have targeted oil refineries and industrial facilities deep inside Russia, including successful strikes on the Ryazan refinery, a Ryazan oil pumping station, and the "Kreminy El" microelectronics plant in Bryansk. Ukrainian drones attacked an oil refinery in Almetyevsk, causing a fire. Ukrainian drones attacked the Almetyevsk head oil pumping station of "Transneft". Confirmed damage to the oil refinery and a residential building in Ryazan following drone attacks. The situation at the Ryazan oil refinery is reportedly "under control." Reports of an attack on the "Kremniy El" microelectronics factory in Bryansk, which produces components for the Russian military-industrial complex. Reports suggest that drones are again attacking the oil depot in Engels. The city of Saratov is reportedly on high alert.
• New Drone Technology: Russia is reportedly using a new drone-kamikaze called "Mikrob," with AI capabilities.
• Moscow Region: Confirmed reports of drone attacks, with several drones shot down. Airports have implemented restrictions, but these have now been lifted. The threat of an aerial attack has been lifted in Ramenskoye, near Moscow.
• Saratov Region: An air alert has been declared due to the threat of drone attacks. Drones are reportedly attacking Engels.
• Ukrainian Drone Movements: Several groups of Shahed drones are moving from Poltava region towards Cherkasy region. New groups of drones are reported to be moving from the south, through Kherson Oblast towards Mykolaiv Oblast.
• Air Raid Alerts in Ukraine: A map shows air raid alerts across most of central, eastern, and southern Ukraine, including Kyiv. An