Updated Analysis of the Military Situation in Ukraine - January 19, 2025, 21:38 UTC

Strategic Overview

The military situation in Ukraine remains critical, with Russian forces maintaining offensive momentum across multiple fronts. Intense fighting is concentrated in the Donetsk region, particularly around Toretsk, Pokrovsk, and Velyka Novosilka. Russian forces have captured several key locations, severely hampering Ukrainian logistics and defenses. The capture of Vremivka is a significant development, effectively cutting off Ukrainian forces in Velyka Novosilka and creating a cauldron. A Ukrainian counteroffensive in the Kursk region has stalled, resulting in heavy losses, while Russian forces have regained territory and are advancing in the Sudzha area. In the Luhansk region, Russian forces have made significant gains, capturing Ivanovka and advancing towards the western border of the Luhansk People's Republic. Drone warfare remains a dominant feature, with extensive activity across multiple regions and confirmed attacks deep inside Russian territory. The Ukrainian Air Force reports new drone activity, specifically on the borders of Sumy, Chernihiv, and Poltava oblasts, moving southwest. Additional drone movements are reported in southeastern Poltava towards Dnipropetrovsk and in the north and south of Kharkiv region, heading south. New drone threats are also reported for Rivne, Khmelnytskyi, and Zhytomyr oblasts. A drone is reported on the border of Khmelnytskyi and Rivne regions, heading towards Zhytomyr. Another drone is reported from Sumy towards Chernihiv, another in the north of Poltava heading west, another in the east of Kyiv heading west, another in the south of Poltava heading south, another in central Kharkiv heading south, another in Dnipropetrovsk heading south, and another in the north of Zaporizhzhia heading towards the city of Zaporizhzhia. A drone was reported to be flying towards Zaporizhzhia from Dnipropetrovsk. This widespread drone activity indicates a significant escalation in aerial warfare, with potential implications for both military and civilian infrastructure. The reported movements suggest a coordinated drone operation targeting multiple regions simultaneously, potentially overwhelming Ukrainian air defenses. The new messages confirm continued drone activity, with several groups of drones moving from Mykolaiv towards Kirovohrad and Dnipropetrovsk, as well as multiple drones near Poltava and Sumy.

The reported intention of US President-elect Donald Trump to visit China within the first 100 days of his presidency, as reported by RBC-Ukraine citing the Wall Street Journal, is a significant geopolitical development. This potential visit, and the reported discussions between Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping about a possible meeting, could have far-reaching implications for the global balance of power and, indirectly, for the conflict in Ukraine. A rapprochement between the US and China could potentially alter the dynamics of international support for Ukraine, depending on the nature of any agreements reached between Trump and Xi. Trump stated that his decision on TikTok will be made in the near future, but he needs time to assess the situation. Access to TikTok in the US has been blocked, and the service has disappeared from the Apple app store. The new message about the meeting between Vice President-elect J.D. Vance and his future Chinese counterpart, Han Zheng, to discuss "fentanyl, balanced trade, and regional stability," indicates a potential shift in US-China relations.

The new messages from "Operation Z: Military Correspondents of the Russian Spring" provide further details on the situation in the Borova direction. They report that Ukrainian forces have established positions northeast and east of Zelenyi Hai along several forest belts, covering an area of up to 3.85 km in width and 2.35 km in depth. This information, combined with the provided maps, suggests a Ukrainian attempt to consolidate their presence in the area, potentially in preparation for further defensive or offensive operations. The maps also indicate active combat zones around Kupyansk and Zelenyi Hai, with Russian forces making a strong push towards the latter. The concentration of arrows around Zelenyi Hai suggests it is a key strategic objective for Russian forces.

The new video from Colonelcassad showcases the combat operation of a Pantsir-S air defense system, reportedly supporting the "Sever" group. The video claims that the system is actively engaging and destroying Ukrainian aerial targets, utilizing its 12 anti-aircraft missiles and two 30mm cannons. The ability to switch from standby to combat mode in 10 seconds and the constant change of positions are highlighted as key operational features. This video serves as a propaganda piece, emphasizing the effectiveness of Russian air defense capabilities and demonstrating a show of force.

A Russian court has suspended the trial of four members of the organization ENOT ("United People's Communal Partnerships") due to their participation in the special operation, as reported by TASS. This development highlights the ongoing mobilization of various segments of Russian society to support the war effort in Ukraine.

The new video from Colonelcassad details the destruction of enemy dugouts by a UAV crew of the 68th Army Corps near Sukhyi Yaly. The video shows multiple drone views, including thermal imaging, and targeted attacks on positions concealed by foliage and infrastructure. This demonstrates the effectiveness of drone warfare and targeted attacks in the ongoing conflict.

The new video from Colonelcassad details snipers of the 14th Guards Special Forces Brigade of the "Vostok" group conducting a night hunt for enemy personnel in one of the areas of the South Donetsk direction. The video depicts a night-time or low-light military engagement, where a precision weapon is used in two distinct instances against an undetermined target. The use of thermal imaging and precision firing indicates an advanced operational capability. This situation calls for counter-sniper and precision fire tactics, advanced surveillance capabilities, and a comprehensive analysis of the target.

The new video from "Two Majors" appears to be a montage combining footage of Russian or pro-Russian troops engaged in various activities, set to a song. The clips alternate between combat training/preparation, logistics & supply, and battlefield scenarios. The training footage may be an attempt to portray a narrative of preparedness, suggesting an intention for offensive combat maneuvers, while the fortified dugouts seem to indicate a defensive minded positioning. This contradictory message of preparedness indicates a potential problem with logistics or a need to conceal their actual position. The dependence on volunteers and the visibility of road transport highlights potential weaknesses. An adversary could target these logistical lifelines. The images of damaged buildings and infrastructure would show areas that are likely to have degraded communications and travel times. The images of black and white combat scenarios alongside images of soldiers carrying the wounded would show a sense of hardship and a need to maintain their public narrative. Some images are in rural areas while others are in more urban landscapes. This could indicate that they have multiple battlefronts and could also be an attempt to portray different types of warfare for different types of recruitment, be it urban or rural.

The Israeli army has begun withdrawing equipment and troops from the city of Rafah in southern Gaza, according to Al Jazeera. According to the publication, the Israeli military is retreating to the Philadelphia Corridor, which is located on the border of Egypt and Gaza. Today marks the day when the agreement between Israel and Hamas on a ceasefire and the release of hostages comes into effect. The new message about one of the freed Israeli hostages having her fingers cut off while in captivity highlights the brutality of the conflict and the potential for war crimes. The message claiming that Ukrainian forces have devised a way to shoot with severed fingers using plastic clamps and aluminum wire is likely propaganda or disinformation, and should be treated with extreme skepticism.

Key Developments

Donetsk Region

• Intense Fighting: The Ukrainian General Staff reports 176 combat clashes in the past 24 hours, with almost half of them in the Pokrovsk direction. The intensity of combat remains high, with 180 clashes reported in the latest update, including 88 in the Pokrovsk direction alone.
• Toretsk: The situation in Toretsk is dire, with Ukrainian defenses nearly collapsed and less than 15% of the city remaining under Ukrainian control. Russian forces have reportedly entered Petrivka from the direction of Shcherbynivka and are pushing Ukrainian troops out of the settlement. On the Toretsk direction, Russian forces carried out 19 assault actions near Toretsk, Krymske, and Shcherbynivka. Three combat clashes are still ongoing.
• Pokrovsk Strategic Threat: Russian forces are intensifying efforts to encircle Pokrovsk, a strategically vital city. The liberation of Vozdvyzhenka and the severing of the highway between Dmytriv (Myrnohrad) and Konstantinovka, alongside the cutting of the railway line between Dnipropetrovsk and Pokrovsk, significantly impede Ukrainian resupply and reinforcement. The advance towards Udachne and assault operations towards Zverevo from Peschanoye further compound the threat. Russian DRGs are reportedly operating near the road between Udachnoye and Novosergievka, near the Dnipropetrovsk Oblast border. Russian forces have cut the penultimate railway line to Pokrovsk and the exit to the remaining "gut" Pokrovsk - Belozerskoye - Dubovo, after taking control of two stations west of Pokrovsk. The main line Donetsk - Pokrovsk - Chaplino - Sinelnikovo - Dnipropetrovsk has been cut off. Ukrainian forces are making efforts to prevent the loss of Pokrovsk. The speaker of the operational-strategic group "Khortytsia" denies that Pokrovsk is under threat of encirclement.
• Pokrovsk: Russian forces are advancing towards Pokrovsk, having reportedly reached the outskirts and are now less than 10 kilometers from the city and within 5-7 km from the administrative border of Dnipropetrovsk Oblast. Intense fighting continues for Lysivka and Sukhyi Yar, with Russian forces attempting to cut off access to Pokrovsk and Myrnohrad. Video evidence shows Russian forces from the 35th Guards Motorized Rifle Brigade engaging Ukrainian positions near Pokrovsk, including the destruction of a German Leopard tank. On the Pokrovsk direction, supported by aviation, Russian forces initiated 28 clashes of varying intensity, with Ukrainian forces repelling attacks near several settlements. Five clashes are ongoing. Ukrainian losses in the Pokrovsk direction are reported as 335 military personnel killed and wounded, three vehicles destroyed, and one antenna of a UAV, with two additional vehicles significantly damaged. The city hospital of Pokrovsk is being relocated to Kryvyi Rih.
• Kurakhove: Most of Kurakhove has been captured by Russian forces, with fighting ongoing for strongholds near Hryshyno, a mine, and a mine control center. Video evidence shows Russian forces targeting and destroying communication relays and antennas in the Kurakhove area with FPV drones. On the Kurakhiv direction, fierce battles are ongoing near several settlements, with 14 enemy attacks repelled. Russian forces are engaging in active combat near Kurakhovo, specifically south of Petropavlivka, with a reported advance of up to 700 meters on the northern flank of Kurakhovo. Video evidence shows the destruction of a Ukrainian howitzer near Dachne.
• Velyka Novosilka Encirclement: Russian forces are intensifying their offensive to encircle Velyka Novosilka, establishing positions in the city's northeast and southeast. Ukrainian military sources indicate Russian forces are within 1.5 km of closing a cauldron around Velyka Novosilka. The last road supplying the city is practically under Russian control, and Russian forces are completing the defeat of the enemy in Vremivka, forming a cauldron around Velyka Novosilka. Russian forces are attacking in the area of the milk factory, gas station, dormitory and airfield. On the Novopavlivka direction, Russian forces attacked 19 times near Velyka Novosilka. The situation for the Ukrainian forces is described as extremely difficult, with Russian forces closing in from three directions. Russian forces are approximately 4.5 km from the borders of the Dnipropetrovsk region. The new messages detail a double strike on Ukrainian vehicles near Velyka Novosilka.
• Other Advances: Russian forces report that they have entered Dmytriv and are advancing to the west and north of the settlement, as well as having severed the railway line and highway that Ukrainian forces used to supply their troops in Krasnoarmiisk. They also claim to have entered Urozhaine and Novosergiyivka and to have liberated Slovyanka and Yasenove. Significant advances are reported in Kotlyne, Udachne, and near Novoandriivka, Sukhyi Yar, Vremivka, and Velyka Novosilka. The advance in Velyka Novosilka is particularly significant, with reports of a breakthrough from the east and north, advancing towards the center. Russian forces have broken through the defense and entered the first streets of Velyka Novosilka. Russian forces are attacking in the area of the Velyka Novosilka milk factory, gas station, dormitory and airfield. On the Novopavlivka direction, Russian forces attacked 17 times near Velyka Novosilka. Battles are ongoing. Russian forces conducted airstrikes with guided bombs near several settlements.
• Chasiv Yar: Russian forces have made significant advances in the urban area, capturing about half of the city's urban area, including the Novyi district, and are fighting in the Severnyi district. They have also gained control of the fourth section of the Chasiv Yar Refractory Plant. Clashes continue near Chasiv Yar with no significant changes. A group of Ukrainian soldiers has reportedly become trapped in a "fire pocket" near a refractory plant. Russian forces now control approximately 20% of the territory of the refractory plant. Urban warfare is ongoing, with the enemy attempting to advance on the industrial complex.
• Kramatorsk: A powerful explosion was reported in the industrial zone of Kramatorsk, with Russian forces reportedly using the "Uragan" MLRS to destroy enemy positions. Reports of a powerful explosion in the industrial zone of Kramatorsk, with a large plume of smoke visible. The number of casualties from the Kramatorsk strike has increased to eight, including two children.
• Consolidation and Expansion of Russian Control:
  • Battles are ongoing for Kotlyne and Udachne, with Russian forces advancing south of Udachne and attacking Ukrainian positions to the east.
  • Ukrainian forces are attempting to counterattack near Shevchenko.
  • Fighting is ongoing for Lysivka and Sukhyi Yar, with slow progress reported.
  • Russian forces are attacking the outskirts of Dmytriv (Myrnohrad).
  • Russian forces are expanding their control near the road junction of Yelyzavetivka - Nova Poltavka - Tarasivka - Baranivka.
  • Russian forces are attacking Andriivka from Shevchenko and Petropavlivka, and have occupied the banks north of the Volchya and Orlova rivers.
  • Russian forces are fighting on the southeastern outskirts of Dachne and advancing north of Yantarnoye and near Zelenovka.
  • Russian forces have made significant advances towards the Dnipropetrovsk region and have entered Dachne, further tightening the "Kurakhovsky pocket."
  • Russian forces have reportedly forded the right tributary of the Solena River in Zverevo and occupied new positions on the banks of the Utyatnyk pond.
  • DeepState reports that Russian forces have occupied Pishchane, Sloviyanka, and Yasenove, and have made advances near Novoandriivka, Dachne, Kotlyne, Zvirove, Vremivka, and Chasiv Yar.
  • Russian forces report that they have entered the settlements of Urozhaine and Novosergiyivka, and having liberated Slovyanka and Yasenove.
  • Video evidence shows that Russian forces targeted Ukrainian military equipment near Pokrovsk, including a German Leopard tank, an American M119 howitzer, and a mortar.
  • Russian forces advanced to within 2300 meters of Udachne.
  • Russian forces are advancing in the direction of Udachne and in the northern part of the Kryvulya gully towards Kotlyno. They are also breaking through defenses near Zverevo and to the west.
  • Further north, Russian forces have advanced towards Chunyshino and Novopavlivka from Zelene and Dacne.
  • Video evidence shows Russian forces from the 35th Guards Motorized Rifle Brigade engaging Ukrainian positions near Pokrovsk, including the destruction of a German Leopard tank.
  • Ukrainian losses in the Pokrovsk direction are reported as 340 military personnel killed and wounded, two tanks, 10 vehicles, one mortar, an electronic warfare system, two armored fighting vehicles, and one armored reconnaissance vehicle were also destroyed. In addition, two tanks, five vehicles, and three Russian guns were damaged.
  • The city hospital of Pokrovsk is being relocated to Kryvyi Rih.
  • Video evidence shows Russian forces targeting and destroying communication relays and antennas in the Kurakhove area with FPV drones.
  • Battles are ongoing. Russian forces conducted airstrikes with guided bombs near several settlements.
  • New reports indicate that 16 Ukrainian soldiers from the 151st Mechanized Brigade have been captured on the Pokrovsk direction.
  • Retreating Ukrainian forces blew up the Belitskaya mine in the Krasnoarmeysk direction.
  • North of Ivanivka, the situation is deteriorating.
  • Russian forces conducted airstrikes with guided bombs near several settlements.
  • Video evidence shows a Russian 2A65 "Msta-B" howitzer targeting and destroying a Ukrainian M119 howitzer near Dachne with a "Krasnopol" guided projectile.
  • Video evidence from the People's Militia of the DPR shows the liquidation of a Ukrainian mortar crew in Dachne by a Russian 2A65 "Msta-B" howitzer, using a "Krasnopol" guided projectile.
  • Video evidence shows a Russian drone targeting and destroying a Ukrainian communication antenna and personnel in the Svatove-Kupyansk direction with a "KUB" guided munition.
  • Video evidence shows a Ukrainian drone targeting a Russian position in Engels.
  • Video evidence shows a Russian drone attack on a Ukrainian target in the Kherson direction.
  • Video evidence shows a Ukrainian drone attack on a Russian position.
  • Video evidence shows a Russian drone attack on a Ukrainian target in the Kherson direction.
  • Video from "Воин DV" shows a Ukrainian drone strike on a Russian position.
  • Video evidence shows a Russian drone attack targeting a building in a rural area.
  • Video evidence from the "Воин DV" Telegram channel shows operators from the 14th Guards Special Forces Brigade of the "Vostok" group using FPV drones to target and destroy a Ukrainian self-propelled artillery unit near the Sukhyi Yaly River.
  • Video evidence from the "Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦" Telegram channel shows Ukrainian forces using mortars, "Baba Yaga" drones, and tanks to destroy Russian forces and equipment.
  • Video evidence from Colonelcassad shows snipers of the 14th Guards Special Forces Brigade of the "Vostok" group conducting a night hunt for enemy personnel in one of the areas of the South Donetsk direction.
  • The new messages report that Russian forces are continuing their assault on Dachne and are preparing a strike force on Ulakly. Ukrainian forces are reportedly not withdrawing, despite their last normal road being under fire. "Azov" forces are reportedly conducting counterattacks in the Pokrovsk direction, described as more like raids before retreating without securing positions. Fighting continues near Uspenivka, Udachne, and Kotlyno, with some progress reported near Myrnohrad from Mykolaivka.

Kursk Region

• Stalled Ukrainian Counteroffensive: The Ukrainian counteroffensive has stalled, resulting in heavy losses. Russian forces have regained territory, making a 10-kilometer breakthrough and liberating several settlements.
• Russian Advances: Russian forces have liberated Alexandria, Leonidovo, Novoivanovka, and Kruglenkoye, and are advancing in the Sudzha area, reaching the outskirts of Kositsa. They have also cleared the area south of Zelenyi Shlyakh. Positional fighting is reported near Sudzha and Uspenovka, with Russian forces reportedly crossing the Snagost River and advancing about 1 km. Russian forces are advancing in the Sudzha area, with reports of an infantry unit attacking Russkoye Porechnoye and reaching advanced positions near Kositsa. Russian forces have captured Russkoye Porechnoye and are currently assaulting Cherkasskoye Porechnoye. The cleanup of Pogrebki continues on the southern flank, while paratroopers continue their assault on Makhnovka. Russian forces report that they have captured Cherkasskoye Porechnoye and Malaya Loknya. In the Kursk region, heavy fighting continues near the village of Nikolsky, the Armed Forces of Russia are approaching Malaya Loknya, and the enemy is counterattacking.
• Intense Fighting: There are reports of an impending decisive battle for the Kursk region, with Ukrainian forces concentrating significant resources in the Sudzha area. Intense fighting is reported in multiple locations. Active fighting is ongoing in the Sudzha area. Reports indicate a slow push by Russian forces near Kruglенькое, a lull in fighting in Staraya/Novaya Sorochina and Pogrebki, a massive repelled Russian assault near Viktorivka, and an impending decisive battle for the region. Ukrainian forces from the 47th Mechanized Brigade repelled a massive Russian assault in the Viktorivka area near Malaya Loknya, Kursk region. The attack involved about 50 units of equipment.
• Heavy Losses: Ukrainian forces have reportedly suffered heavy losses, with estimates of up to 48,000 casualties. The intensity of the fighting is being compared to the battles of Bakhmut and Avdiivka.
• Drone Warfare: Ukrainian forces used drones to record the bodies of North Korean and Russian troops in Kursk Oblast. South Korean intelligence reports that 300 North Korean soldiers have been killed in the Kursk region. Video evidence of a captured US M-577 command and staff vehicle (based on the M113) in the Kursk region. Video evidence shows Russian troops using an FPV drone to strike a Ukrainian group advancing at night near Makhnovka. Video evidence shows a Russian drone operator targeting a Ukrainian 2S1 "Carnation" self-propelled howitzer in the Kursk region, but the operator misses the target. Video evidence of a successful Russian "Lancet" drone operator from the "Sever" group targeting a Ukrainian M-113 armored personnel carrier near Yuzhnoye in the Kursk region. Video evidence shows that Ukrainian forces are using drones to destroy a column of Russian armored vehicles near the border between Kursk and Sumy regions.
• New Russian Airstrikes: A new video from the Russian Ministry of Defense shows a Su-34 fighter-bomber of the Russian Aerospace Forces striking a concentration of Ukrainian equipment and personnel in the border area of Kursk region. Russian forces are using Ka-52M helicopters for airstrikes. A Russian Mi-28NM helicopter destroyed a Ukrainian stronghold in the border area of the Kursk region, according to the Russian Ministry of Defense.
• New Video Evidence: New video evidence from Colonelcassad shows Ussuri paratroopers displaying captured trophies, including a US-made 7.62mm M240 machine gun, and the restoration of a captured Ukrainian BMP-2 in the border areas of the Kursk region. This highlights the ongoing conflict in the region and the capture of Western-supplied equipment.
• Stalled Ukrainian Counteroffensive and Renewed Russian Advance: The Ukrainian counteroffensive has been met with heavy losses and has stalled. Russian forces have regained territory, achieving a 10-kilometer breakthrough in the Sudzha area, liberating Alexandria, Leonidovo, Novoivanovka, and Kruglenkoye, and reaching the outskirts of Kositsa. Ukrainian forces attempted a reconnaissance-in-force operation near Malaya Loknya and Viktorovka but were defeated.
• Sudzha Area Focus: Russian forces are advancing, reportedly attacking Russkoye Porechnoye with an infantry unit and reaching advanced positions near Kositsa. Russian forces have captured Russkoye Porechnoye and are assaulting Cherkasskoye Porechnoye. Russian forces report that they have captured Cherkasskoye Porechnoye and Malaya Loknya. In the Kursk region, heavy fighting continues near the village of Nikolsky, the Armed Forces of Russia are approaching Malaya Loknya, and the enemy is counterattacking.
• Significant Casualties: Significant Ukrainian losses are reported, with over 350 personnel lost during the day. Russian sources claim over 52,450 Ukrainian losses since hostilities began. Video evidence shows Russian forces capturing 13 Ukrainian soldiers from the 82nd Brigade. The Russian MoD claims Ukrainian losses in January have exceeded 5,600 troops and 570 units of military equipment. A new video has emerged showing Ukrainian soldiers interrogating a captured North Korean soldier in the Kursk region using Google Translate. The Russian MoD reports that over the past 24 hours, Ukrainian forces lost more than 210 troops, an infantry fighting vehicle, five armored fighting vehicles, six motor vehicles, an artillery gun, and a mortar. Since the beginning of hostilities in the Kursk region, Ukrainian losses amounted to more than 52,870 troops, 304 tanks, 232 infantry fighting vehicles, 174 armored personnel carriers, 1,572 armored fighting vehicles, 1,508 motor vehicles, 377 artillery guns, 44 MLRS launchers, including 13 of HIMARS and six of MLRS made by the USA, 16 anti-aircraft missile launchers, eight transport-loading vehicles, 93 EW stations, 13 counter-battery warfare radars, four air defence radars, 30 units of engineering and other materiel, including 13 counterobstacle vehicles, one UR-77 mine clearing vehicle, eight armoured recovery vehicles, and one command post vehicle. 26 Ukrainian soldiers surrendered after a failed counterattack, according to Russian sources. Almost 30 Ukrainian paratroopers were captured after a failed counterattack in Volchansk. Dozens of Ukrainian soldiers have been taken prisoner. South Korean intelligence reports that 300 North Korean soldiers have been killed in the Kursk region of Russia. The total estimated losses among North Korean troops in the region are around 3,000, with 300 killed and 2,700 wounded. From the beginning of the day, there were 15 combat clashes in the Kursk direction; all attacks have already been repulsed. The enemy launched ten air strikes using 15 KABs and carried out more than 300 shellings. Ukrainian airborne troops captured 27 Russian soldiers in the Kursk region, including officers, sergeants, and soldiers from various units. The Ukrainian side claims the soldiers surrendered voluntarily.
• Confirmed Russian Airstrikes: Russian forces are using Ka-52M helicopters for airstrikes. A Russian Mi-28NM helicopter destroyed a Ukrainian stronghold in the border area of the Kursk region, according to the Russian Ministry of Defense.
• New Tactics: Reports indicate that Russian forces are using a new tactic of deploying a soldier as bait to lure in Ukrainian FPV drones.
• Other: Video evidence shows a Russian drone targeting and destroying a Ukrainian D-30 howitzer in Makhnovka, Kursk region.
• Terrible consequences of enemy aggression in the Kursk region: commissions begin work to assess the destruction in the border area. In the Kursk region, commissions are starting to work on assessing the degree of destruction of residential buildings in the border areas affected by attacks and the invasion of the Ukrainian Armed Forces. This applies to those settlements that were not included in the list of non-commission issuance of certificates to residents. The Ministry of Defense provided the first list of 158 settlements where commissions can go. At least 16 of them (in 4 districts) have houses destroyed or damaged as a result of the actions of the Ukrainian Armed Forces, the governor of the Kursk region reports.
• Calculation of FPV drones of the Rubikon center destroyed the Ukrainian self-propelled guns in the Kursk direction.
• Video evidence shows Russian troops using an FPV drone to strike a Ukrainian group advancing at night near Makhnovka.
• Video evidence shows a Russian drone operator targeting a Ukrainian 2S1 "Carnation" self-propelled howitzer in the Kursk region.
• Video evidence of a successful Russian "Lancet" drone operator from the "Sever" group targeting a Ukrainian M-113 armored personnel carrier near Yuzhnoye in the Kursk region.
• Video from "БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС" shows footage of Russian soldiers suffering losses in the Kursk region.
• Video evidence shows Russian troops using an FPV drone to strike a Ukrainian group advancing at night near Makhnovka.
• Video evidence shows a Russian drone operator targeting a Ukrainian 2S1 "Carnation" self-propelled howitzer in the Kursk region.
• Video evidence of a successful Russian "Lancet" drone operator from the "Sever" group targeting a Ukrainian M-113 armored personnel carrier near Yuzhnoye in the Kursk region.
• Video evidence shows Russian forces successfully employing a "Stugna-P" ATGM system against enemy vehicles in the region.
• Video evidence of a North Korean soldier evicting two Russian women from their house in the village of Makhnovka.
• A new video from the Russian Ministry of Defense shows a Su-34 fighter-bomber of the Russian Aerospace Forces striking a concentration of Ukrainian equipment and personnel in the border area of Kursk region.
• New video evidence from Colonelcassad shows Ussuri paratroopers displaying captured trophies, including a US-made 7.62mm M240 machine gun, and the restoration of a captured Ukrainian BMP-2 in the border areas of the Kursk region.
• Video evidence shows a Russian drone targeting and destroying a Ukrainian D-30 howitzer in Makhnovka, Kursk region.
• Video of an FPV drone of the Russian group of troops "Sever" destroying a US-made Bradley BMP in the border area of the Kursk region.
• Video of a Russian Su-34 bomber destroying a Ukrainian stronghold in the Kursk border area.
• Video from "Colonelcassad" shows the 155th brigade of the Russian marines destroying Ukrainian manpower and equipment in the Kursk direction.
• Movement of Enemy Equipment in Kursk Oblast: From 6 AM until the time of this report, there has been a significant movement of various enemy equipment in Kursk Oblast. Some of this equipment has been destroyed.
• Video evidence shows a Russian drone operator targeting a Ukrainian armored vehicle in the Kursk region.
• Video evidence shows a Ukrainian tank being destroyed by a Russian drone in the Kursk region.
• Video evidence from the Russian Ministry of Defense shows electronic warfare specialists of a separate motorized infantry brigade of the "Sever" group detecting and shooting down Ukrainian UAVs in the Kursk region border area.
• Video evidence from "WarGonzo" shows a special report on a Russian armored group called "Pressa" operating in the Kursk region.
• Video evidence shows Russian forces destroying a Ukrainian stronghold in the Kursk border area with a Su-34 bomber.
• Video evidence shows a Russian drone operator targeting a Ukrainian armored vehicle in the Kursk region.

Kharkiv Region

• Clashes and Airstrikes: Clashes have been reported along the Kharkiv axis, with Russian aviation conducting airstrikes at Veterynarne. On the Kharkiv direction, the enemy stormed the positions of Ukrainian units twice in the areas of Vovchansk and Tykhy. Russian aviation conducted airstrikes at Hlushkivka, Shyykivka, and Borivsk Andriyivka.
• Drone Attacks: The Ukrainian Air Force reports a threat of Russian drone attacks in Donetsk and Kharkiv Oblasts.
• Explosions in Kharkiv: Explosions were reported in Kharkiv, specifically in the Kharkiv and Chuhuiv districts. A fire broke out in a two-story building in the Vysochansk community due to a Russian attack. The new messages report explosions in the Kharkiv area, likely outside the city.
• Russian Advances and Claims: Russian forces report advances towards Lozova and in Dvurichna. The Russian Ministry of Defense claims the capture of Kalinovo near Kupyansk.
• Ukrainian Counterattack: Limited Success: An attempted Ukrainian counterattack in the Staritsa area was unsuccessful.
• Guided Aerial Bomb Attacks: The Ukrainian Air Force reports Russian use of guided aerial bombs (KAB) in the region.
• Drone Warfare Activity: The Ukrainian Air Force reports activity of Russian drones in the Chernihiv region. One drone is approaching Balakliia. One drone is reported in the central part of the Kharkiv region, with a westerly course.
• Other Developments: Russian forces have reportedly destroyed the main Ukrainian forces in Zahryzove and initiated battles in Bohuslavka. In the Kharkiv region, a Russian soldier reportedly destroyed a group of 8 Ukrainian Armed Forces soldiers with mines. There are reports of explosions in Kharkiv. Ukrainian forces report burning a Russian T-80 tank in the Kharkiv region. The Ukrainian Air Force reports a threat of Russian drone attacks in Donetsk and Kharkiv Oblasts. Explosions were reported in Kharkiv, specifically in the Kharkiv and Chuhuiv districts. A fire broke out in a two-story building in the Vysochansk community due to a Russian attack.

Luhansk Region

• Russian Advances: Russian forces have captured Ivanovka near Terny and are advancing towards the western border of the Luhansk People's Republic. They have also advanced 2 km northwest of Makiivka and have taken control of a forest area between the settlements, continuing to advance towards Hrekivka. On the Lyman direction, Russian invaders attacked the positions of the Ukrainian Defense Forces 16 times near several settlements. Two combat clashes are ongoing. Enemy aircraft struck with unguided rockets at Zelenyi Hai. Russian aviation conducted airstrikes at Zarichne.
• Borova Direction (New): Ukrainian forces have established positions northeast and east of Zelenyi Hai, covering an area up to 3.85 km wide and 2.35 km deep.
• Russian Advances and Strategic Movements: Russian forces report expanding their control zone on the right bank of the Zherebets River and advancing towards the western