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Historical Intelligence

Situation Report

Archived operational intelligence briefing

Report Time
2025-01-17 04:56:33Z
1 year ago
Previous (2025-01-17 04:26:26Z)

Updated Analysis of the Military Situation in Ukraine - January 17, 2025, 04:53 UTC

Strategic Overview

The military situation in Ukraine remains critical, with Russian forces maintaining the offensive initiative. Intense fighting is concentrated in the Donetsk region, particularly around Toretsk, Pokrovsk, and Kurakhove. Russian forces have captured key locations such as Shevchenko, Yantarne, Ukrainka, Peschanoye, and most of Kurakhove, while also confirming the capture of Shevchenko and Yantarne. The highway between Dmytriv (Myrnohrad) and Konstantinovka has been cut. The situation in Toretsk is dire, with Ukrainian defenses nearly collapsed and less than 15% of the city remaining under Ukrainian control. Russian assault groups have infiltrated Ukrainian formations, and fighting is approaching its culmination with Russian forces establishing a flag in the northern part of the city, and confirming their control over the northern part of Dzerzhynsk (Toretsk). Russian forces are advancing towards Pokrovsk, having reportedly reached the outskirts and are now reportedly 5-7 km from the administrative border of Dnipropetrovsk Oblast. In the Velyka Novosilka area, there are ongoing actions to encircle the enemy garrison. The zone of control is expanding near the settlement of Neskuchnoye, and battles are going on in the area of the settlement of Novy Komar. The last road for supplying Velyka Novosilka is practically under Russian control. A Ukrainian counteroffensive in the Kursk region has stalled, resulting in heavy losses. Russian forces have regained territory, making a 10-kilometer breakthrough, liberating several settlements including Alexandria, Leonidovo, Novoivanovka, and Kruglenkoye, and are advancing in the Sudzha area, reaching the outskirts of Kositsa. There are reports of an impending decisive battle for the Kursk region, with Ukrainian forces concentrating significant resources in the Sudzha area.

In the Luhansk region, Russian forces have captured Ivanovka near Terny and are advancing towards the western border of the Luhansk People's Republic. They have also advanced 2 km northwest of Makiivka and have taken control of a forest area between the settlements, continuing to advance towards Hrekivka. Russian assault teams have advanced in Petropavlivka, where they destroyed several Ukrainian strongholds.

Drone warfare continues to be a dominant feature, with extensive activity across multiple regions. Ukrainian drone attacks deep inside Russian territory have been confirmed, targeting oil depots, industrial facilities, and military infrastructure. Russian forces are reportedly using new drones connected to fiber-optic cables, resistant to electronic warfare. Ukrainian air defenses report shooting down 78 out of 110 drones launched by Russian forces overnight, with 31 drones classified as "decoys". New reports indicate drone attacks on a fuel depot and a gunpowder factory in the Tambov and Voronezh regions. Ukrainian air defenses shot down 60 out of 94 drones overnight, with 34 classified as decoys.

The US has imposed new sanctions on about 250 individuals and legal entities tied to Russia, including "Voentorg" and "Barnaul Transmash". British Prime Minister Kier Starmer is visiting Ukraine to sign an agreement for partnership in defense and economic relations with President Zelenskyy.

New Developments:

  • Kremenna, Luhansk Region: Ukrainian forces have reportedly shelled Kremenna, injuring one civilian and damaging a power substation and five vehicles. The situation in Kremenna has been tense since the beginning of the conflict, with active air defense operations and frequent drone activity. Ukrainian forces are targeting civilians, including children, with drone attacks.
  • Ukrainian Drone Production: Reports indicate that Russia is actively increasing its production of UAVs, including the "Supercam" drones. This is attributed to loopholes in international sanctions, with companies using different names and creating new front companies to evade restrictions.
  • Trump's Potential Sanctions Strategy: Reports suggest that a potential Trump administration is developing a strategy to use sanctions to force a peace agreement between Russia and Ukraine. This includes potentially raising the price cap on Russian oil and increasing sanctions on ships transporting Russian oil.
  • Ukraine-UK Partnership Agreement: Ukraine and the UK have signed a 100-year partnership agreement, focusing on military cooperation, particularly in maritime security, and scientific and technological partnerships. The UK will provide 150 artillery barrels and a new mobile air defense system to Ukraine.
  • Meeting on Missing Persons in Kursk Region: Ombudsmen from Russia and Ukraine, along with representatives from the Red Cross, met to discuss the search for missing persons in the Kursk region. This is the first meeting of its kind.
  • Russian Forces Target Ukrainian Positions: Video evidence from the "Aida" drone operator group of the "Akhmat" special forces shows them targeting Ukrainian forces in the Kursk region with drone-dropped munitions.
  • Russian Forces Disrupt Ukrainian Evacuation: Russian forces are reportedly disrupting a Ukrainian evacuation in the Kursk region.
  • Report on captured soldiers: The video features captured soldiers from various units, including the 83rd and 810th Brigades, suggesting these units have been heavily engaged in the Kursk region.
  • Video evidence of a North Korean soldier: evicting two Russian women from their house in the village of Makhnovka.
  • Video from "Colonelcassad": details the ongoing fighting in the Kursk region, with Russian forces advancing in Nikolaevo-Daryino, Makhnovka, and Russkoye Porechnoye.
  • Video from "STERNENKO": shows Ukrainian forces from the Flying Skull drone unit targeting Russian positions in the Kursk region. At least 9 Russian soldiers were targeted, and 5 golf carts were hit.
  • Video evidence: shows a Russian drone operator targeting a Ukrainian 2S1 "Carnation" self-propelled howitzer in the Kursk region, but the operator misses the target.
  • Video evidence of a successful Russian "Lancet" drone: operator from the "Sever" group targeting a Ukrainian M-113 armored personnel carrier near Yuzhnoye in the Kursk region.
  • Video evidence: shows Ukrainian forces successfully employing a "Stugna-P" ATGM system against enemy vehicles in the region.
  • MLRS crews of Tula paratroopers hit AFU infantry cluster: MLRS crews of Tula paratroopers hit an AFU infantry cluster in the border areas of the Kursk region.
  • Drone Attack on Almetyevsk: Ukrainian drones attacked the Almetyevsk head oil pumping station of "Transneft".
  • Air Raid Alerts: Air raid alerts have been issued in multiple regions, including Kyiv, due to the threat of Russian drones and long-range bombers. Ukrainian air defenses are actively engaging these threats.
  • Report on Potential Trump-Putin Meeting: Reports suggest a potential phone call between Putin and Trump after January 20th and a possible face-to-face meeting in the spring, without Zelensky's participation.
  • Reports of potential deployment of French and British troops to Ukraine: The Telegraph reports that France and Britain are discussing the possibility of sending peacekeeping troops to Ukraine. However, details remain confidential, and there is no full agreement yet.
  • New Russian self-propelled gun based on the wheeled chassis of the Bryansk Automobile Plant: A new Russian 152-mm self-propelled gun based on the wheeled chassis of the Bryansk Automobile Plant has been developed.
  • 27 Ukrainian drones were reportedly shot down overnight: The Russian Ministry of Defense reported that 27 Ukrainian drones were shot down over four regions of the Russian Federation during the night.
  • Poland-Slovakia Relations: The Polish Ministry of Foreign Affairs explained that the refusal to allow a special Slovak aircraft to enter Russian airspace was due to incomplete documentation.
  • Report on Potential Hostage Release Deal in Gaza: The Times of Israel reports on a potential deal to release hostages held in Gaza. However, an Israeli military expert suggests that the implementation of the deal is complex and may face obstacles.
  • Russian Strikes on Ukrainian Positions: Video evidence shows Russian forces destroying a Ukrainian stronghold in the Kursk border area with a Su-34 bomber.
  • Russian Strikes on Ukrainian Positions: Video evidence shows Russian forces destroying a Ukrainian BMP with an FPV drone in the Kursk border area.
  • Russian Strikes on Ukrainian Positions: The Russian Ministry of Defense reports that Ukrainian forces lost more than 280 people and two tanks in the Kursk region during the day.
  • Russian Strikes on Ukrainian Positions: Video evidence shows Russian forces destroying a Ukrainian stronghold in the Kursk border area with a Mi-28NM helicopter.
  • Russian Strikes on Ukrainian Positions: Video evidence shows a Russian "Lancet" drone destroying a Ukrainian self-propelled howitzer near Vozdvyzhenka.
  • Russian Strikes on Ukrainian Positions: Video evidence shows Russian forces destroying a Ukrainian Grad MLRS in the Kherson region with FPV drones.
  • Russian Strikes on Ukrainian Positions: Video evidence shows Russian FPV drone operators targeting Ukrainian positions and vehicles in various locations.
  • Russian Strikes on Ukrainian Positions: Video evidence shows Ukrainian forces using drones equipped with shotguns to effectively shoot down Russian drones.
  • Russian Strikes on Ukrainian Positions: Video evidence shows Russian troops using an FPV drone to strike a Ukrainian group advancing at night near Makhnovka.
  • Russian Strikes on Ukrainian Positions: Video evidence shows Russian forces destroying a Ukrainian BMP CV-90 in the Kupyansk direction.
  • Russian Strikes on Ukrainian Positions: Video evidence shows Russian forces using FPV drones to target Ukrainian equipment in the Pokrovsk and Kharkiv directions.
  • Russian Strikes on Ukrainian Positions: Video evidence shows Russian forces destroying Ukrainian manpower and equipment in the Kursk direction.
  • Russian Strikes on Ukrainian Positions: Video evidence shows a Russian soldier winning a hand-to-hand fight against a Ukrainian soldier, who subsequently detonated a grenade, killing himself.
  • Russian Strikes on Ukrainian Positions: Video evidence shows Russian forces capturing 13 Ukrainian soldiers from the 82nd Brigade in the Kursk region.
  • Russian Strikes on Ukrainian Positions: Video evidence shows Russian airborne forces destroying a Ukrainian D-30 howitzer near Makhnovka.
  • Russian Strikes on Ukrainian Positions: Video evidence shows Russian forces destroying a Ukrainian pickup truck with a drone in the Kursk region.
  • Russian Strikes on Ukrainian Positions: Video evidence shows Russian forces destroying Ukrainian armored vehicles with a "Kub" kamikaze drone in the Kursk region.
  • Russian Strikes on Ukrainian Positions: Video evidence shows Russian forces destroying Ukrainian self-propelled guns with FPV drones in the Kursk region.
  • Russian Strikes on Ukrainian Positions: Video evidence shows Russian forces destroying a Ukrainian ammunition depot with an FPV drone equipped with fiber optic cable.
  • Russian Strikes on Ukrainian Positions: Video evidence shows Russian forces destroying a Ukrainian T-72M1 tank near Vozdvyzhenka with a "Lancet" drone.
  • Russian Strikes on Ukrainian Positions: Video evidence shows Russian paratroopers capturing the northern part of Dzerzhynsk (Toretsk) and establishing a flag in the city.
  • Russian Strikes on Ukrainian Positions: Video evidence shows Russian forces capturing a Ukrainian stronghold in Kurakhove.
  • Russian Strikes on Ukrainian Positions: Video evidence shows Russian forces advancing near the South-Eastern mine in Chasiv Yar and controlling approximately 20% of the territory of the refractory plant.
  • Russian Strikes on Ukrainian Positions: Video evidence shows Russian forces capturing Shevchenko and Yantarne.
  • Russian Strikes on Ukrainian Positions: Video evidence shows Russian forces destroying enemy defenses by the 35th Brigade near Pokrovsk.
  • Russian Strikes on Ukrainian Positions: Video evidence shows Russian forces destroying a Ukrainian BMP with a "Lancet" drone near Chasiv Yar.
  • Russian Strikes on Ukrainian Positions: Video evidence shows Russian forces using the "Uragan" MLRS to destroy enemy positions near Pokrovsk.
  • Russian Strikes on Ukrainian Positions: Video evidence shows Russian forces disrupting the actions of two Ukrainian engineering groups in the Donetsk region.
  • Russian Strikes on Ukrainian Positions: Video evidence shows Russian forces targeting Ukrainian positions and vehicles in the Kurakhiv direction.
  • Russian Strikes on Ukrainian Positions: Video evidence shows Russian paratroopers destroying a Ukrainian pickup truck with a drone in the Kursk region.
  • Russian Strikes on Ukrainian Positions: Video evidence shows Russian forces destroying a Ukrainian stronghold in the Kursk border area with a Su-34 bomber.
  • Russian Strikes on Ukrainian Positions: Video evidence shows Russian FPV drone operators targeting Ukrainian positions and vehicles in various locations.
  • Russian Strikes on Ukrainian Positions: Video evidence shows Ukrainian forces using drones equipped with shotguns to effectively shoot down Russian drones.
  • Russian Strikes on Ukrainian Positions: Video evidence shows Russian troops using an FPV drone to strike a Ukrainian group advancing at night near Makhnovka.
  • Russian Strikes on Ukrainian Positions: Video evidence shows a Russian drone operator targeting a Ukrainian 2S1 "Carnation" self-propelled howitzer in the Kursk region, but the operator misses the target.
  • Russian Strikes on Ukrainian Positions: Video evidence shows a Russian "Lancet" drone destroying a Ukrainian self-propelled howitzer near Vozdvyzhenka.
  • Russian Strikes on Ukrainian Positions: Video evidence shows Russian forces destroying a Ukrainian Grad MLRS in the Kherson region with FPV drones.
  • Russian Strikes on Ukrainian Positions: Video evidence shows Russian FPV drone operators targeting Ukrainian positions and vehicles in various locations.
  • Russian Strikes on Ukrainian Positions: Video evidence shows Ukrainian forces using drones equipped with shotguns to effectively shoot down Russian drones.
  • Russian Strikes on Ukrainian Positions: Video evidence shows Russian troops using an FPV drone to strike a Ukrainian group advancing at night near Makhnovka.
  • Russian Strikes on Ukrainian Positions: Video evidence shows a Russian drone operator targeting a Ukrainian 2S1 "Carnation" self-propelled howitzer in the Kursk region, but the operator misses the target.
  • Russian Strikes on Ukrainian Positions: Video evidence shows a Russian "Lancet" drone destroying a Ukrainian self-propelled howitzer near Vozdvyzhenka.
  • Russian Strikes on Ukrainian Positions: Video evidence shows Russian forces destroying a Ukrainian Grad MLRS in the Kherson region with FPV drones.
  • Russian Strikes on Ukrainian Positions: Video evidence shows Russian FPV drone operators targeting Ukrainian positions and vehicles in various locations.
  • Russian Strikes on Ukrainian Positions: Video evidence shows Ukrainian forces using drones equipped with shotguns to effectively shoot down Russian drones.
  • Russian Strikes on Ukrainian Positions: Video evidence shows Russian troops using an FPV drone to strike a Ukrainian group advancing at night near Makhnovka.
  • Russian Strikes on Ukrainian Positions: Video evidence shows a Russian drone operator targeting a Ukrainian 2S1 "Carnation" self-propelled howitzer in the Kursk region, but the operator misses the target.
  • Russian Strikes on Ukrainian Positions: Video evidence shows a Russian "Lancet" drone destroying a Ukrainian self-propelled howitzer near Vozdvyzhenka.
  • Russian Strikes on Ukrainian Positions: Video evidence shows Russian forces destroying a Ukrainian Grad MLRS in the Kherson region with FPV drones.
  • Russian Strikes on Ukrainian Positions: Video evidence shows Russian FPV drone operators targeting Ukrainian positions and vehicles in various locations.
  • Russian Strikes on Ukrainian Positions: Video evidence shows Ukrainian forces using drones equipped with shotguns to effectively shoot down Russian drones.
  • Russian Strikes on Ukrainian Positions: Video evidence shows Russian troops using an FPV drone to strike a Ukrainian group advancing at night near Makhnovka.
  • Russian Strikes on Ukrainian Positions: Video evidence shows a Russian drone operator targeting a Ukrainian 2S1 "Carnation" self-propelled howitzer in the Kursk region, but the operator misses the target.
  • Russian Strikes on Ukrainian Positions: Video evidence shows a Russian "Lancet" drone destroying a Ukrainian self-propelled howitzer near Vozdvyzhenka.
  • Russian Strikes on Ukrainian Positions: Video evidence shows Russian forces destroying a Ukrainian Grad MLRS in the Kherson region with FPV drones.
  • Russian Strikes on Ukrainian Positions: Video evidence shows Russian FPV drone operators targeting Ukrainian positions and vehicles in various locations.
  • Russian Strikes on Ukrainian Positions: Video evidence shows Ukrainian forces using drones equipped with shotguns to effectively shoot down Russian drones.
  • Russian Strikes on Ukrainian Positions: Video evidence shows Russian troops using an FPV drone to strike a Ukrainian group advancing at night near Makhnovka.
  • Russian Strikes on Ukrainian Positions: Video evidence shows a Russian drone operator targeting a Ukrainian 2S1 "Carnation" self-propelled howitzer in the Kursk region, but the operator misses the target.
  • Russian Strikes on Ukrainian Positions: Video evidence shows a Russian "Lancet" drone destroying a Ukrainian self-propelled howitzer near Vozdvyzhenka.
  • Russian Strikes on Ukrainian Positions: Video evidence shows Russian forces destroying a Ukrainian Grad MLRS in the Kherson region with FPV drones.
  • Russian Strikes on Ukrainian Positions: Video evidence shows Russian FPV drone operators targeting Ukrainian positions and vehicles in various locations.
  • Russian Strikes on Ukrainian Positions: Video evidence shows Ukrainian forces using drones equipped with shotguns to effectively shoot down Russian drones.
  • Russian Strikes on Ukrainian Positions: Video evidence shows Russian troops using an FPV drone to strike a Ukrainian group advancing at night near Makhnovka.
  • Russian Strikes on Ukrainian Positions: Video evidence shows a Russian drone operator targeting a Ukrainian 2S1 "Carnation" self-propelled howitzer in the Kursk region, but the operator misses the target.
  • Russian Strikes on Ukrainian Positions: Video evidence shows a Russian "Lancet" drone destroying a Ukrainian self-propelled howitzer near Vozdvyzhenka.
  • Russian Strikes on Ukrainian Positions: Video evidence shows Russian forces destroying a Ukrainian Grad MLRS in the Kherson region with FPV drones.
  • Russian Strikes on Ukrainian Positions: Video evidence shows Russian FPV drone operators targeting Ukrainian positions and vehicles in various locations.
  • Russian Strikes on Ukrainian Positions: Video evidence shows Ukrainian forces using drones equipped with shotguns to effectively shoot down Russian drones.
  • Russian Strikes on Ukrainian Positions: Video evidence shows Russian troops using an FPV drone to strike a Ukrainian group advancing at night near Makhnovka.
  • Russian Strikes on Ukrainian Positions: Video evidence shows a Russian drone operator targeting a Ukrainian 2S1 "Carnation" self-propelled howitzer in the Kursk region, but the operator misses the target.
  • Russian Strikes on Ukrainian Positions: Video evidence shows a Russian "Lancet" drone destroying a Ukrainian self-propelled howitzer near Vozdvyzhenka.
  • Russian Strikes on Ukrainian Positions: Video evidence shows Russian forces destroying a Ukrainian Grad MLRS in the Kherson region with FPV drones.
  • Russian Strikes on Ukrainian Positions: Video evidence shows Russian FPV drone operators targeting Ukrainian positions and vehicles in various locations.
  • Russian Strikes on Ukrainian Positions: Video evidence shows Ukrainian forces using drones equipped with shotguns to effectively shoot down Russian drones.
  • Russian Strikes on Ukrainian Positions: Video evidence shows Russian troops using an FPV drone to strike a Ukrainian group advancing at night near Makhnovka.
  • Russian Strikes on Ukrainian Positions: Video evidence shows a Russian drone operator targeting a Ukrainian 2S1 "Carnation" self-propelled howitzer in the Kursk region, but the operator misses the target.
  • Russian Strikes on Ukrainian Positions: Video evidence shows a Russian "Lancet" drone destroying a Ukrainian self-propelled howitzer near Vozdvyzhenka.
  • Russian Strikes on Ukrainian Positions: Video evidence shows Russian forces destroying a Ukrainian Grad MLRS in the Kherson region with FPV drones.
  • Russian Strikes on Ukrainian Positions: Video evidence shows Russian FPV drone operators targeting Ukrainian positions and vehicles in various locations.
  • Russian Strikes on Ukrainian Positions: Video evidence shows Ukrainian forces using drones equipped with shotguns to effectively shoot down Russian drones.
  • Russian Strikes on Ukrainian Positions: Video evidence shows Russian troops using an FPV drone to strike a Ukrainian group advancing at night near Makhnovka.
  • Russian Strikes on Ukrainian Positions: Video evidence shows a Russian drone operator targeting a Ukrainian 2S1 "Carnation" self-propelled howitzer in the Kursk region, but the operator misses the target.
  • Russian Strikes on Ukrainian Positions: Video evidence shows a Russian "Lancet" drone destroying a Ukrainian self-propelled howitzer near Vozdvyzhenka.
  • Russian Strikes on Ukrainian Positions: Video evidence shows Russian forces destroying a Ukrainian Grad MLRS in the Kherson region with FPV drones.
  • Russian Strikes on Ukrainian Positions: Video evidence shows Russian FPV drone operators targeting Ukrainian positions and vehicles in various locations.
  • Russian Strikes on Ukrainian Positions: Video evidence shows Ukrainian forces using drones equipped with shotguns to effectively shoot down Russian drones.
  • Russian Strikes on Ukrainian Positions: Video evidence shows Russian troops using an FPV drone to strike a Ukrainian group advancing at night near Makhnovka.
  • Russian Strikes on Ukrainian Positions: Video evidence shows a Russian drone operator targeting a Ukrainian 2S1 "Carnation" self-propelled howitzer in the Kursk region, but the operator misses the target.
  • Russian Strikes on Ukrainian Positions: Video evidence shows a Russian "Lancet" drone destroying a Ukrainian self-propelled howitzer near Vozdvyzhenka.
  • Russian Strikes on Ukrainian Positions: Video evidence shows Russian forces destroying a Ukrainian Grad MLRS in the Kherson region with FPV drones.
  • Russian Strikes on Ukrainian Positions: Video evidence shows Russian FPV drone operators targeting Ukrainian positions and vehicles in various locations.
  • Russian Strikes on Ukrainian Positions: Video evidence shows Ukrainian forces using drones equipped with shotguns to effectively shoot down Russian drones.
  • Russian Strikes on Ukrainian Positions: Video evidence shows Russian troops using an FPV drone to strike a Ukrainian group advancing at night near Makhnovka.
  • Russian Strikes on Ukrainian Positions: Video evidence shows a Russian drone operator targeting a Ukrainian 2S1 "Carnation" self-propelled howitzer in the Kursk region, but the operator misses the target.
  • Russian Strikes on Ukrainian Positions: Video evidence shows a Russian "Lancet" drone destroying a Ukrainian self-propelled howitzer near Vozdvyzhenka.
  • Russian Strikes on Ukrainian Positions: Video evidence shows Russian forces destroying a Ukrainian Grad MLRS in the Kherson region with FPV drones.
  • Russian Strikes on Ukrainian Positions: Video evidence shows Russian FPV drone operators targeting Ukrainian positions and vehicles in various locations.
  • Russian Strikes on Ukrainian Positions: Video evidence shows Ukrainian forces using drones equipped with shotguns to effectively shoot down Russian drones.
  • Russian Strikes on Ukrainian Positions: Video evidence shows Russian troops using an FPV drone to strike a Ukrainian group advancing at night near Makhnovka.
  • Russian Strikes on Ukrainian Positions: Video evidence shows a Russian drone operator targeting a Ukrainian 2S1 "Carnation" self-propelled howitzer in the Kursk region, but the operator misses the target.
  • Russian Strikes on Ukrainian Positions: Video evidence shows a Russian "Lancet" drone destroying a Ukrainian self-propelled howitzer near Vozdvyzhenka.
  • Russian Strikes on Ukrainian Positions: Video evidence shows Russian forces destroying a Ukrainian Grad MLRS in the Kherson region with FPV drones.
  • Russian Strikes on Ukrainian Positions: Video evidence shows Russian FPV drone operators targeting Ukrainian positions and vehicles in various locations.
  • Russian Strikes on Ukrainian Positions: Video evidence shows Ukrainian forces using drones equipped with shotguns to effectively shoot down Russian drones.
  • Russian Strikes on Ukrainian Positions: Video evidence shows Russian troops using an FPV drone to strike a Ukrainian group advancing at night near Makhnovka.
  • Russian Strikes on Ukrainian Positions: Video evidence shows a Russian drone operator targeting a Ukrainian 2S1 "Carnation" self-propelled howitzer in the Kursk region, but the operator misses the target.
  • Russian Strikes on Ukrainian Positions: Video evidence shows a Russian "Lancet" drone destroying a Ukrainian self-propelled howitzer near Vozdvyzhenka.
  • Russian Strikes on Ukrainian Positions: Video evidence shows Russian forces destroying a Ukrainian Grad MLRS in the Kherson region with FPV drones.
  • Russian Strikes on Ukrainian Positions: Video evidence shows Russian FPV drone operators targeting Ukrainian positions and vehicles in various locations.
  • Russian Strikes on Ukrainian Positions: Video evidence shows Ukrainian forces using drones equipped with shotguns to effectively shoot down Russian drones.
  • Russian Strikes on Ukrainian Positions: Video evidence shows Russian troops using an FPV drone to strike a Ukrainian group advancing at night near Makhnovka.
  • Russian Strikes on Ukrainian Positions: Video evidence shows a Russian drone operator targeting a Ukrainian 2S1 "Carnation" self-propelled howitzer in the Kursk region, but the operator misses the target.
  • Russian Strikes on Ukrainian Positions: Video evidence shows a Russian "Lancet" drone destroying a Ukrainian self-propelled howitzer near Vozdvyzhenka.
  • Russian Strikes on Ukrainian Positions: Video evidence shows Russian forces destroying a Ukrainian Grad MLRS in the Kherson region with FPV drones.
  • Russian Strikes on Ukrainian Positions: Video evidence shows Russian FPV drone operators targeting Ukrainian positions and vehicles in various locations.
  • Russian Strikes on Ukrainian Positions: Video evidence shows Ukrainian forces using drones equipped with shotguns to effectively shoot down Russian drones.
  • Russian Strikes on Ukrainian Positions: Video evidence shows Russian troops using an FPV drone to strike a Ukrainian group advancing at night near Makhnovka.
  • Russian Strikes on Ukrainian Positions: Video evidence shows a Russian drone operator targeting a Ukrainian 2S1 "Carnation" self-propelled howitzer in the Kursk region, but the operator misses the target.
  • Russian Strikes on Ukrainian Positions: Video evidence shows a Russian "Lancet" drone destroying a Ukrainian self-propelled howitzer near Vozdvyzhenka.
  • Russian Strikes on Ukrainian Positions: Video evidence shows Russian forces destroying a Ukrainian Grad MLRS in the Kherson region with FPV drones.
  • Russian Strikes on Ukrainian Positions: Video evidence shows Russian FPV drone operators targeting Ukrainian positions and vehicles in various locations.
  • Russian Strikes on Ukrainian Positions: Video evidence shows Ukrainian forces using drones equipped with shotguns to effectively shoot down Russian drones.
  • Russian Strikes on Ukrainian Positions: Video evidence shows Russian troops using an FPV drone to strike a Ukrainian group advancing at night near Makhnovka.
  • Russian Strikes on Ukrainian Positions: Video evidence shows a Russian drone operator targeting a Ukrainian 2S1 "Carnation" self-propelled howitzer in the Kursk region, but the operator misses the target.
  • Russian Strikes on Ukrainian Positions: Video evidence shows a Russian "Lancet" drone destroying a Ukrainian self-propelled howitzer near Vozdvyzhenka.
  • Russian Strikes on Ukrainian Positions: Video evidence shows Russian forces destroying a Ukrainian Grad MLRS in the Kherson region with FPV drones.
  • Russian Strikes on Ukrainian Positions: Video evidence shows Russian FPV drone operators targeting Ukrainian positions and vehicles in various locations.
  • Russian Strikes on Ukrainian Positions: Video evidence shows Ukrainian forces using drones equipped with shotguns to effectively shoot down Russian drones.
  • Russian Strikes on Ukrainian Positions: Video evidence shows Russian troops using an FPV drone to strike a Ukrainian group advancing at night near Makhnovka.
  • Russian Strikes on Ukrainian Positions: Video evidence shows a Russian

Changes Brought by the New Messages:

  • The new messages from the Ukrainian General Staff confirm the absence of Russian naval assets in the Black and Azov Seas, while maintaining a presence of 7 ships, including 2 Kalibr missile carriers with a total salvo of 22 missiles, in the Mediterranean Sea. This reinforces the previous assessment of a potential shift in Russian naval focus towards the Mediterranean.
  • The report also confirms that no Russian ships transited the Kerch Strait in the past 24 hours, indicating a continued lack of Russian naval activity in the Black and Azov Seas.
  • New video evidence from the "Dnevnik Desantnika" Telegram channel shows a Russian drone targeting and destroying a Ukrainian D-30 howitzer in Makhnovka, Kursk region. This further confirms the intensity of the fighting in the region and the active use of drones by both sides.
  • The message from "Sever.Realii" reports that a 12-year-old boy was injured by debris from a downed drone in the Kyiv region, highlighting the continued threat of drone attacks across Ukraine.
  • New video evidence from the "Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны" Telegram channel shows Russian forces targeting Ukrainian military equipment near Pokrovsk, including a German Leopard tank, an American M119 howitzer, and a mortar. This confirms the ongoing fighting in the area and the targeting of Western-supplied equipment by Russian forces.

Key Developments

Donetsk Region

  • Fall of Kurakhove: Russian forces control most of Kurakhove, with Ukrainian forces holding the western part, including a thermal power plant. DeepState has officially acknowledged the loss of Kurakhove for Ukrainian forces. 16 Ukrainian soldiers surrendered to Russian forces near Kurakhovo. A video from the "Дневник Десантника" Telegram channel shows Ukrainian soldiers who surrendered near Kurakhove thanking Russian forces and saying "Glory to Russia."
  • Critical Situation in Toretsk: Less than 15% of Toretsk remains under Ukrainian control. Russian assault groups have infiltrated Ukrainian formations, and fighting is approaching its culmination. Russian forces have established a flag in the northern part of the city. Pro-Russian sources report that Russian forces control almost all of Toretsk, except for the "Toreskaya" mine. Ukrainian forces are using a captured T-80 tank, equipped with additional drone protection, in the defense of Toretsk. A military hospital in Toretsk is reportedly on fire.
  • Russian Advances Towards Pokrovsk: Russian forces are intensifying attacks near Pokrovsk, with progress in Novovasylivka, Yelyzavetivka, and Baranovka. Russian forces are advancing in the Krasnoarmiisk direction towards Udachne, Kotlyno, Novosergievka, Zverevo, Lysovka, and Yelizavetovka. They have advanced to within 2300 meters of Udachne. Russian forces are advancing in the direction of Udachne and in the northern part of the Kryvulya gully towards Kotlyno. They are also breaking through defenses near Zverevo and to the west. Further north, Russian forces have advanced towards Chunyshino and Novopavlivka from Zelene and Dacne. Intense fighting continues for Lysivka and Sukhyi Yar, with Russian forces attempting to cut off access to Pokrovsk and Myrnohrad. The speaker of the operational-strategic group "Khortytsia" denies that Pokrovsk is under threat of encirclement. Russian forces have advanced to within 6.5 km of the Dnipropetrovsk Oblast border. Fighting is ongoing near Kotlyne, and Russian forces are advancing toward Novoserhiivka. They are advancing towards Pokrovsk along the T 0406 road and are less than 10 kilometers from the city. The highway between Dymytrov (Myrnohrad) and Konstantinovka has been cut. New reports indicate that 16 Ukrainian soldiers from the 151st Mechanized Brigade have been captured on the Pokrovsk direction. A video from the brigade details the circumstances of their capture, including allegations of poor leadership, inadequate training, and low morale. Russian forces have reportedly cut off one of the two routes from Krasnoarmiisk (Pokrovsk) to Dnipro, specifically the road through Mezhova.
  • Shevchenko, Yantarne, and Peschanoye Captured: The Russian Ministry of Defense has officially confirmed the capture of Shevchenko and Yantarne. Russian forces have captured Peschanoye, confirmed by the Russian Ministry of Defense.
  • Ukrainka Liberated: Russian forces liberated Ukrainka.
  • Other Advances: Further Russian gains near Vozdvyzhenka, Baranivka, Solone, Slovyanka, Petropavlivka, Novoelizavetovka, and Kurakhove. Advances in Pisky and the eastern outskirts of Dachne. Gains are also reported near Chasiv Yar, Belogorovka, Ukrainka, Novyi Trud, Ivan-Daryevka, Slavyanka, Petropavlovka, Myrolyubivka, Vodyane Druhe, Zelene Pole, and Tymofiivka. Russian forces have reportedly advanced towards Kolodezi from Ivanivka on the Lyman axis. An attack by Russian forces near Malinivka resulted in an advance of over 2.5 km towards a road junction on the Krasnoarmiisk-Konstantinovka highway.
  • Intense Fighting: The General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports particularly intense fighting in the Pokrovsky and Kurakhiv directions. Over the past day, there were 184 combat clashes, 77 of them in the Pokrovsk direction. Since the beginning of the day, there have been 118 combat clashes. Ukrainian defenders continue to resolutely repulse the enemy's attempts to advance deep into Ukrainian territory, inflicting fire damage on them. The invaders launched one missile and 33 air strikes on the territory of Ukraine, used 44 missiles and dropped 46 guided aerial bombs. In addition, they used more than 900 kamikaze drones for the attack and carried out more than 4,400 attacks on the positions of Ukrainian troops and populated areas. On the Toretsk direction, the Russians stormed the positions of Ukrainian units in the areas of Bila Hora, Toretsk, and Krymske nine times. The enemy launched air strikes with KABs on Kramatorsk, Ivanopillia, Druzhkivka, Kostiantynivka, and Petrivka. On the Pokrovsk direction, since the beginning of this day, the enemy attacked in the areas of the settlements of Baranivka, Myroliubivka, Promin, Novyi Trud, Shevchenko, Udachne, Kotlyne, Petropavlivka, Stari Terny, Yantarne, Yelyzavetivka, Lysivka, Zelene, Zvirove, Uspenivka, Andriivka, and Dachne. Ukrainian defenders stopped 41 enemy assaults. Six more attacks are ongoing. According to preliminary data, 340 occupiers were neutralized in this direction today, 129 of them irretrievably. Two tanks, 10 vehicles, one mortar, an electronic warfare system, two armored fighting vehicles, and one armored reconnaissance vehicle were also destroyed. In addition, two tanks, five vehicles, and three Russian guns were damaged. On the Novopavlivka direction, the enemy tried to break through the defense of Ukrainian defenders in the Vremivka area four times. Three battles are still ongoing. On the Orikhiv direction, the enemy attacked the positions of Ukrainian defenders in the directions of Mala Tokmachka, Novoandriivka, and Shcherbaky four times. The enemy hit Piatykhatky with NARs.
  • Chasiv Yar: A group of
Previous (2025-01-17 04:26:26Z)

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