Updated Analysis of the Military Situation in Ukraine - January 16, 2025, 17:53 UTC

Strategic Overview

The military situation in Ukraine remains critical, with intense fighting concentrated in the Donetsk, Kursk, and Luhansk regions. Russian forces maintain the offensive initiative, particularly in Donetsk, where they have made significant gains, capturing key locations such as Shevchenko, Yantarne, Ukrainka, Peschanoye, and most of Kurakhove. The situation in Toretsk is dire, with Ukrainian defenses nearly collapsed, and Russian forces advancing towards Pokrovsk. The highway between Dmytriv (Myrnohrad) and Konstantinovka has been cut. Ukrainian forces have reportedly been pushed out of most of their positions in Dzerzhynsk (Toretsk), further worsening the situation for Ukraine in this area. Russian forces are now reportedly 5-7 km from the administrative border of Dnipropetrovsk Oblast. In the Velyka Novosilka area, there are ongoing actions to encircle the enemy garrison. The zone of control is expanding near the settlement of Neskuchnoye.

In the Kursk region, a major Ukrainian counteroffensive has stalled, resulting in heavy losses. Russian forces have regained territory, making a 10-kilometer breakthrough, liberating several settlements including Alexandria, Leonidovo, Novoivanovka, and Kruglenkoye, and are advancing in the Sudzha area, capturing Russkoye Porechnoye and assaulting Cherkasskoye Porechnoye.

In the Luhansk region, Russian forces have captured Ivanovka near Terny and are advancing towards the western border of the Luhansk People's Republic.

Drone warfare continues to be a dominant feature, with extensive activity across multiple regions, including confirmed Ukrainian drone attacks deep inside Russian territory, targeting oil depots, industrial facilities, and military infrastructure. Russian forces are reportedly using new drones connected to fiber-optic cables, resistant to electronic warfare. Ukrainian air defenses report shooting down 78 out of 110 drones launched by Russian forces overnight, with 31 drones classified as "decoys". NATO plans to deploy a fleet of drones in the Baltic Sea and reinforce its military presence in the region.

President Zelenskyy states that the Ukrainian army consists of 880,000 troops, while the Russian contingent in Ukraine numbers over 600,000. He notes that Ukrainian forces are spread throughout the country's territory, while Russian forces are concentrated on specific axes, giving them a numerical advantage in those areas. He also states that about 34% of the weapons in Ukraine are domestically produced. The Ukrainian Air Force reports activity of Russian tactical aviation in the north-eastern direction, with a threat of the use of air weapons. A missile was reported to be heading towards Konotop from Kursk, and then towards Chernihiv.

Key Developments

Donetsk Region

Fall of Kurakhove: Russian forces control most of Kurakhove, with Ukrainian forces holding only the western part, including a thermal power plant.
Critical Situation in Toretsk: Less than 15% of Toretsk remains under Ukrainian control. Russian assault groups have infiltrated Ukrainian formations, and fighting is approaching its culmination. Russian forces have established a flag in the northern part of the city, confirming their control over the northern part of Dzerzhynsk (Toretsk). Video evidence of a Ukrainian unit targeting a Russian position in a building in Toretsk with an explosive device. A kilometer of road near Toretsk is reportedly strewn with the corpses of Russian soldiers. Ukrainian forces report destroying a Russian infantry fighting vehicle in the Toretsk direction, using a drone.
Russian Advances Towards Pokrovsk: Russian forces are intensifying attacks near Pokrovsk, with progress in Novovasylivka, Yelyzavetivka, and Baranovka. They have advanced to within 2300 meters of Udachne. Russian forces are advancing in the direction of Udachne and in the northern part of the Kryvulya gully towards Kotlyno. Further north, Russian forces have advanced towards Chunyshino and Novopavlivka from Zelene and Dacne. Intense fighting continues for Lysivka and Sukhyi Yar, with Russian forces attempting to cut off access to Pokrovsk and Myrnohrad. Russian forces have advanced to within 6.5 km of the Dnipropetrovsk Oblast border. Video evidence shows Russian forces destroying Ukrainian armored vehicles near Pokrovsk. Russian forces are reportedly approaching the Dnipropetrovsk region, bypassing the expected heavy urban fighting in Pokrovsk. They are currently less than 7 km from a highway leading into the region.
Shevchenko, Yantarne, and Peschanoye Captured: The Russian Ministry of Defense has officially confirmed the capture of Shevchenko and Yantarne. Russian forces have captured Peschanoye, confirmed by the Russian Ministry of Defense.
Ukrainka Liberated: Russian forces liberated Ukrainka.
Other Advances: Further Russian gains near Vozdvyzhenka, Baranivka, Solone, Slovyanka, Petropavlivka, Novoelizavetovka, and Kurakhove. Advances in Pisky and the eastern outskirts of Dachne. Gains are also reported near Chasiv Yar, Belogorovka, Ukrainka, Novyi Trud, Ivan-Daryevka, Slavyanka, Petropavlovka, Myrolyubivka, Vodyane Druhe, Zelene Pole, and Tymofiivka.
Intense Fighting: The General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports particularly intense fighting in the Pokrovsky and Kurakhiv directions. Over the past day, there were 184 combat clashes, 77 of them in the Pokrovsk direction.
Chasiv Yar: A group of Ukrainian soldiers has reportedly become trapped in a "fire pocket" near a refractory plant in Chasiv Yar. Russian forces now control approximately 20% of the territory of the refractory plant. Video evidence shows paratroopers from the 98th Airborne Division of the Russian Armed Forces at a refractory plant in Chasiv Yar. The plant was one of the most fortified defense hubs of the Ukrainian Armed Forces in the city.
Dnipropetrovsk Direction: Battles are ongoing across the entire direction, with particularly fierce battles near Novovasylivka - Uspenivka. Russian forces have cleared Novovasylivka and are engaged in battles to capture Uspenivka. Further south, there are intense battles for Novoandreevka and near Sribne.
Ukrainian Resistance: Ukrainian forces are resisting the Russian advance, reporting the repulsion of an assault near Velyka Novosilka and pushing Russian forces out of the southern part of Novoielizavetivka.
Ukrainian Strike on Russian Command Post: Ukrainian General Staff reports a successful high-precision strike on a command post of the 8th Guards Combined Arms Army of the Russian Federation in Khartsyzk. Ukrainian General Staff reports another successful high-precision strike on a command post of the 2nd Guards Combined Arms Army of the Russian Federation in Novohrodivka, Donetsk Oblast. Ukrainian General Staff reports a successful high-precision strike on a command post of the 3rd Army Corps of the Russian Armed Forces in occupied Svitlodarsk. Ukrainian forces report a successful ambush by snipers of the Main Intelligence Directorate (GUR) near Pokrovsk, eliminating a group of Russian soldiers.
Airspace Closure Near Horlivka-Yasynuvata Highway: Due to continuous attacks by Ukrainian forces, the highway between Horlivka and Yasynuvata has been temporarily closed to traffic.
Ballistic Missile Threat: Ukrainian Air Force reports a ballistic missile threat in the direction of Pavlohrad, Dnipropetrovsk region. A nationwide ballistic missile threat has been declared across Ukraine, but it has since been lifted in most regions except for Chernihiv, Poltava, and Kharkiv. Ukrainian Air Force reports missile threat to Kharkiv and Donetsk regions.
Reports of fighting near Kurakhovo and Andriivka: Ongoing active combat operations in the vicinity of Kurakhovo and Andriivka. Successful strike on a Ukrainian armored vehicle south of Dachne after being targeted by a Russian FPV drone. Detonation of the vehicle's ammunition and destruction of a nearby Ukrainian howitzer confirmed.
Powerful explosion in Kramatorsk: Reports of a powerful explosion in the industrial zone of Kramatorsk, with a large plume of smoke visible. The number of wounded from the attack has risen to 4. The number of casualties from the Kramatorsk strike has increased to eight, including two children.
Zaporizhzhia: The number of wounded from a Russian attack on Zaporizhzhia has risen to two.

Kursk Region

Stalled Ukrainian Counteroffensive: The Ukrainian counteroffensive has stalled, with reports of heavy losses (estimated up to 48,000 casualties). The intensity of the fighting in the Kursk region is being compared to the battles of Bakhmut and Avdiivka. Ukrainian forces reportedly attempted five counterattacks, all of which were repelled. Russian forces have regained territory and are making advances in the Sudzha area. A German Leopard 2A6 tank was destroyed in the Kursk region.
Renewed Russian Offensive: Russian forces have resumed offensive operations, with advances near Novaya Sorochina, between Guyevo and Kurilovka, and in the forested areas of the Sudzha border region.
Intense Fighting: Intense fighting is reported in multiple locations, including Pogrebki, Orlovka, Staraya Sorochina, Novaya Sorochina, and the forests near Sverdlikovo and Lebedevka. Active fighting is taking place in the area of Sudzha.
Artillery & Drones: Russian artillery and drone operations are proving effective. Russian forces are using larger groups (20-30 people) for assaults instead of smaller groups. Video evidence of the Russian Ministry of Defense showcasing the work of the TOS-2 "Tosochka" heavy flamethrower system.
Reinforcements: Over 350 enemy personnel, including special operations forces, have reportedly arrived in the region.
Makhnovka: Heavy fighting continues, with both sides present. There are unconfirmed reports of Russian forces clearing Makhnovka, but full control has not been established.
10-kilometer breakthrough: Russian forces have made a powerful 10-kilometer breakthrough on the Kursk front, liberating Alexandria after previously taking Leonidovo, and Novoivanovka, and Kruglenkoye.
Russian advances on western and northern flanks: Russian forces have advanced on the western and northern flanks in the Kursk region, penetrating up to 4 kilometers deep on a 10-kilometer wide front.
Liberation of Leonidovo, Alexandria, and Novoivanovka: The pro-Ukrainian analytical resource Deep State has acknowledged the liberation of Leonidovo, Alexandria, and Novoivanovka by Russian forces.
Cleanup of Pogrebki and assault on Makhnovka: The cleanup of Pogrebki continues on the southern flank, while paratroopers continue their assault on Makhnovka.
Russian advance in Sudzha area: Russian forces are advancing in the Sudzha area. Russian forces have captured Russkoye Porechnoye and are currently assaulting Cherkasskoye Porechnoye.
Reinforcement of Kositsa: The enemy is attempting to reinforce the defense of Kositsa with additional equipment and personnel.
Capture of two North Korean soldiers: Ukrainian sources report that two North Korean soldiers have been captured in the Kursk region and taken to Kyiv. Video evidence allegedly shows the bodies of approximately 20 North Korean soldiers. Ukrainian forces also report repelling an attack by North Korean soldiers.
Air Raid in Sudzha: A Russian airstrike targeted a boarding school in Sudzha where civilians were sheltering, resulting in one death.
Casualties: Over 350 Ukrainian military personnel were reportedly lost in the Kursk direction during the day, with five Ukrainian counterattacks repulsed. Since the beginning of the assault, the Ukrainian Armed Forces have lost more than 50,000 soldiers.
Alleged presence of Wagner Group: A video promoting recruitment for the Wagner Group has been circulated, offering high salaries and benefits for service in Ukraine and Africa.

Kharkiv Region

Russian Advances: Russian forces report advances towards Lozova in the Izyum area and in Dvurichna.
Capture of Kalinovo: The Russian Ministry of Defense claims that Russian forces have captured Kalinovo near Kupyansk.
Guided Aerial Bomb Attacks: The Ukrainian Air Force reports that Russian forces are using guided aerial bombs (KAB) to attack targets in the Kharkiv region.
Russian Advance: Russian forces have reportedly reduced the distance to Ukrainian positions in Petrovske (Hrekivka) to 2km.

Luhansk Region

Russian Advances: On the Krasnolimansk direction, units of the Russian Army are developing success in Ivanovka (right bank of the Zherebets River). Russian forces are attempting to capture heights beyond Ivanovka near Terny and are storming Zahryzove.
Fighting in Lyman direction: Fighting has commenced in the Lyman direction, according to pro-Russian sources.
Russian forces have captured Ivanovka near Terny, marking a significant advance.
Following the liberation of Ivanovka, Russian troops continued their advance southward along the opposite bank of the Zherebets River from Terny.
Russian forces are advancing near Makeevka, according to pro-Russian sources.

Drone Warfare

Extensive Activity: Widespread drone activity is reported across multiple regions. Ukrainian air defense forces are actively engaging hostile drones. Reports indicate drone activity in Kyiv, Zhytomyr, Sumy, Poltava, Cherkasy, Mykolaiv, and Zaporizhzhia Oblasts. Additionally, reports suggest drone attacks on Voronezh, Kursk, Tambov, Saratov, and Lipetsk in Russia. Reports of alarm at the "Taneko" oil refinery in Nizhnekamsk, Tatarstan, with workers being evacuated. Video evidence of a drone attack on an oil refinery in Almetyevsk, Tatarstan. Ukrainian forces used drones to attack oil refineries in Saratov, Kazan, Engels and military and energy facilities in Bryansk and Rostov. Ukrainian drones attacked an oil refinery in Almetyevsk, causing a fire. Three fuel tanks are reportedly on fire. Russian air defense is reportedly active in Anapa, with the city's alert system activated. There are reports of explosions and fires in several Russian regions, including Novorossiysk, Anapa, and near Yevpatoria in Crimea. These incidents suggest possible Ukrainian drone or missile strikes.
Confirmed Attack in Engels: A Ukrainian drone attack on an industrial facility in Engels, deep inside Russian territory, has been confirmed. The fire at the oil depot is intensifying, with reports of new explosions and a state of emergency declared. The oil depot in Engels has been burning for 5 days. Open burning, which arose after the UAV attack, was eliminated at the enterprise in Engels. Video evidence from "STERNENKO" shows a Ukrainian drone targeting a Russian position in Engels. The video claims that the drone successfully hit the target, causing a fire.
New Drone Technology: Reports indicate that Russian forces are increasingly using drones connected to fiber-optic cables, which are resistant to electronic warfare.
Air Defense Engagements: Ukrainian air defense forces are actively engaging hostile drones, with reports of activity near Kyiv and successful interceptions. Ukrainian air defenses shot down 60 out of 94 drones overnight, with 34 classified as decoys. Ukrainian air defenses report shooting down 78 out of 110 drones launched by Russian forces overnight. 31 drones were classified as "decoys" and did not reach their targets. Ukrainian air defense forces shot down 4 "Shahed" drones over Mykolaiv Oblast overnight. Debris from one of the downed drones damaged several houses in Voznesensk. Ukrainian air defense forces shot down 2 drones over Dnipropetrovsk Oblast overnight. The peak of Ukrainian drone attacks on Russian regions outside the special operation zone in 2024 was in October, with 1,128 drones shot down. Video evidence shows Ukrainian forces using drones equipped with shotguns to effectively shoot down Russian drones.
Drone attack on Tula Oblast: The Tula region is reportedly under a massive attack by Ukrainian drones. Air defenses are active, and preliminary reports indicate that aerial targets have been destroyed. There are no reports of casualties. The new messages detail a battle in Tula Oblast, with the Russian army repelling an enemy attack in Aleksin. 17 drones have been confirmed to have been shot down over Tula Oblast, according to the regional governor. A fire broke out in a military hospital in Tula, Russia, with reports of 57 people evacuated. The cause is unknown, but some sources suggest an electrical fault. There are conflicting reports on whether the building is a hospital or a clinic.
Iran's Drone Capabilities: A video from the "Colonelcassad" Telegram channel showcases a large number of Iranian drones, reportedly with a range of over 2000 km and stealth capabilities.
Drone Attack on Kazan Confirmed: A drone attack on Kazan has been confirmed, with reports of a large fire near the "Kazan Orgsintez" plant. The plant is a major producer of high-strength plastics. The attack reportedly targeted a liquefied gas base.
New Drone Launch System: ZALA has introduced a new compact and lightweight launch system for the "Lancet" series, specifically for the largest type, "Product 51". This system can be carried by a single operator and deployed in under a minute. It has been tested in combat and is in serial production.
Drone Attack on Saratov: Ukrainian drones attacked industrial enterprises in Saratov, causing damage.
Alleged Attempted Poisoning near Yaroslavl: The FSB claims to have prevented an attempt to poison employees of a defense enterprise in the Yaroslavl region.
Drone Attack on Compressor Station: The Russian Ministry of Defense claims that Ukrainian drones attacked the "Russkaya" compressor station, which supplies gas via the "Turkish Stream" pipeline.
Air Raid Alerts: Air raid alerts have been issued in multiple regions, including Kyiv, due to the threat of Russian drones and long-range bombers. Ukrainian air defenses are actively engaging these threats.
Report of Ukrainian drone attack on "Turkish Stream" infrastructure: The "Diary of the Paratrooper" Telegram channel reports that Ukrainian forces are continuing to attack the "Turkish Stream" gas pipeline infrastructure in Anapa and Novorossiysk with drones. This, if confirmed, represents a significant escalation, targeting critical infrastructure that supplies gas to Europe.
Report of Ukrainian ATACMS strike on Russian chemical plant: Open-source information suggests that Ukrainian forces used ATACMS missiles to target the Bryansk chemical plant in Seltso. The plant's primary activity is the production of weapons and ammunition, making it a legitimate military target. The distance of about 120 km from the border is within the range of ATACMS missiles.

Updated Assessment

The military situation in Ukraine remains highly dynamic and unfavorable for Ukrainian forces. Russian forces are making significant gains in the Donetsk region, particularly around Toretsk, Pokrovsk, and Kurakhove, and have now captured Peschanoye, Ukrainka, Shevchenko, and Yantarne. The situation in Toretsk is critical, with the Ukrainian defense reportedly collapsing. Ukrainian forces have been pushed out of most of their positions in Dzerzhynsk (Toretsk), further worsening the situation for Ukraine in this area. The Ukrainian counteroffensive in the Kursk region has stalled, with heavy fighting and significant losses. Russian forces are advancing in the Sudzha area. In Luhansk, Russian forces are advancing near Ivanivka.

Drone warfare is a dominant feature, with extensive activity across multiple regions and confirmed attacks deep inside Russian territory. The reported Ukrainian drone attack on the "Russkaya" compressor station in Russia, if true, marks a significant escalation, targeting critical infrastructure supplying gas to Europe. The fire at the military hospital in Tula adds another layer of complexity, with the potential to impact Russian military medical capacity. The new video allegedly showing captured North Korean soldiers, if confirmed, would be a significant development, indicating a possible expansion of the conflict and direct involvement of North Korean forces on the Russian side. The new reports of Ukrainian drone attacks on the "Turkish Stream" gas pipeline infrastructure further escalate the conflict. The reported use of ATACMS missiles to target the Bryansk chemical plant, if confirmed, marks a significant escalation and demonstrates Ukraine's ability to strike targets deep within Russian territory. The new information about the Ukrainian attacks on the Bryansk chemical plant confirms the target and suggests the use of ATACMS missiles. The new information regarding NATO's plans to deploy a fleet of drones in the Baltic Sea and reinforce its military presence in the region indicates a significant escalation in tensions between NATO and Russia.

Changes from Previous Situation

Ukrainian Forces Pushed Out of Dzerzhynsk (Toretsk): New reports indicate that Ukrainian forces have been pushed out of most of their positions in Dzerzhynsk (Toretsk), further worsening the situation for Ukraine in this area.
New Drone Attacks: Confirmed drone attacks on Kazan and industrial enterprises in Saratov, as well as reports of a fire at the "Orgsintez" plant in Kazan.
New Drone Launch System: Introduction of a new compact and lightweight launch system for the "Lancet" series by ZALA.
Alleged Attempted Poisoning: FSB claims to have prevented an attempted poisoning near Yaroslavl.
Drone Attack on Compressor Station: Reported Ukrainian drone attack on the "Russkaya" compressor station, part of the "Turkish Stream" pipeline.
ATACMS Strike on Chemical Plant: Reported use of ATACMS missiles to target the Bryansk chemical plant in Seltso.
NATO Drone Deployment: NATO plans to deploy a fleet of drones in the Baltic Sea and reinforce its military presence in the region.
Zelenskyy's Statement on Troop Numbers: President Zelenskyy provided updated figures on Ukrainian and Russian troop numbers, highlighting the numerical advantage of Russian forces in concentrated areas.
Increased Drone Activity in Kursk Region: Reports of 40 Ukrainian drones destroyed by air defense forces in the Kursk region overnight.
New Video Evidence: Several new videos have emerged, including footage of Russian forces using FPV drones, a Ukrainian unit targeting a Russian position in Toretsk, and Russian forces making progress in the Dnipropetrovsk direction.
Casualty Reports: Reports of two civilians wounded in a Russian attack on the Vasilyevsky district of the Zaporizhzhia region.
Prisoner Exchange: Russia and Ukraine conducted a prisoner exchange, with 25 soldiers from each side being returned. The exchange was reportedly facilitated by the UAE.
Diplomatic Developments: President Zelenskyy held talks with Polish Prime Minister Donald Tusk, discussing defense, arms production, sanctions against Russia, and Ukraine's EU accession.
Flydubai Resumption of Flights: Flydubai announced the resumption of flights to Mineralnye Vody and Sochi in Russia.
Internet Disruptions in Russia: Damage to a main cable in Tatarstan has led to internet speed reductions for 3.8 million Russians in 21 regions.
New Video of Ukrainian Drone Attacks: A new video from "Воин DV" shows Ukrainian drones targeting Russian positions and personnel in the Kursk region, claiming to have disrupted a rotation and eliminated several soldiers.
New Video of Ukrainian Counterattack: A new video from "БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС" shows Ukrainian forces repelling a Russian attack at night, using drones and artillery to destroy enemy positions and equipment.
New Video of Russian Drone Attack: A new video from "Два майора" shows a Russian drone attack on a Ukrainian target in the Kherson direction.
New Information on Ukrainian Troop Numbers: A new video from "Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны" features Zelenskyy discussing the number of Ukrainian and Russian troops involved in the conflict.
New Information on Russian Arms Production: A new video from TASS features Dmitry Medvedev discussing the production and supply of weapons to the Russian Armed Forces.
Announcement of New "Cities of Labor Valor": Putin awarded the title of "City of Labor Valor" to seven Russian cities.
Report of Ukrainian Soldier Capture and Interrogation: A new video from "Colonelcassad" shows the capture and interrogation of a Ukrainian soldier in the Kursk region.
Report of Ukrainian Drone Attack: A new video from "Colonelcassad" shows a Ukrainian drone attack on a Russian position.
Report of Ukrainian Drone Strike: A new video from "Воин DV" shows a Ukrainian drone strike on a Russian position, with the caption claiming that Russian forces disrupted a rotation and eliminated several Ukrainian soldiers.
Report of Ukrainian Counterattack: A new video from "БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС" shows Ukrainian forces repelling a Russian attack at night, using drones and artillery to destroy enemy positions and equipment.
Report of Russian Drone Attack: A new video from "Два майора" shows a Russian drone attack on a Ukrainian target in the Kherson direction, claiming to have destroyed an EW system and a temporary deployment point.
New Information on Ukrainian Troop Numbers: A new video from "ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS" features Zelenskyy discussing the number of Ukrainian and Russian troops involved in the conflict.
Report of Death of Volunteer in Anapa: A 17-year-old volunteer cleaning beaches from oil in Anapa, Russia, has died. He reportedly suffered from asthma.
New Honorary Titles for Russian Cities: Putin awarded the title of "City of Labor Valor" to seven Russian cities.
Report on Polish Stance on Sending Troops to Ukraine: Polish Prime Minister Donald Tusk indicated that Poland is not currently prepared to send troops to Ukraine.
New Information on Prisoner Exchange: A new video from "Координаційний штаб з питань поводження з військовополоненими" shows the return of 25 Ukrainian prisoners of war.
New Information on Military Aid to Ukraine: A new photo from "Оперативний ЗСУ" details the military aid package from Germany to Ukraine, including RCH 155 self-propelled howitzers, RCT-30 Boxer armored personnel carriers, Marder infantry fighting vehicles, drones, and other equipment.
New Video of RCH 155 Howitzer: A new video from "Оперативний ЗСУ" showcases the capabilities of the RCH 155 self-propelled howitzer.
New Information on Ukrainian Troop Numbers: A new video from "ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS" features Zelenskyy discussing the number of Ukrainian and Russian troops involved in the conflict.
Report on Internet Disruptions in Russia: Damage to a main cable in Tatarstan has led to internet speed reductions for 3.8 million Russians in 21 regions.
New Information on Ukrainian Troop Numbers: A new video from "Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны" features Zelenskyy discussing the number of Ukrainian and Russian troops involved in the conflict, with additional commentary from Arestovych.
Report on Russian Arms Production: A new video from TASS features Dmitry Medvedev discussing the production and supply of weapons to the Russian Armed Forces.
Report on Extension of Martial Law in Ukraine: The Ukrainian Rada has extended martial law and mobilization until May 9th.
Report on Potential Hostage Release Deal in Gaza: The Times of Israel reports on a potential deal to release hostages held in Gaza, with negotiations involving Hamas leader Mohammed Sinwar.
New Photos of Returned Ukrainian Prisoners of War: New photos from "Олег Синєгубов, голова Харківської ОДА" show the return of Ukrainian prisoners of war, including a soldier from the Kharkiv region.
New Video of Russian Drone Attack: A new video from "Воин DV" shows a Russian drone attack on Ukrainian soldiers attempting to rotate, with the caption claiming that the rotation was disrupted and the soldiers were eliminated.
New Video of Ukrainian Counterattack: A new video from "БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС" shows Ukrainian forces repelling a Russian attack at night, using drones and artillery to destroy enemy positions and equipment.
New Video of Russian Drone Attack: A new video from "Два майора" shows a Russian drone attack on a Ukrainian target in the Kherson direction, claiming to have destroyed an EW system and a temporary deployment point.
New Information on Ukrainian Troop Numbers: A new video from "ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS" features Zelenskyy discussing the number of Ukrainian and Russian troops involved in the conflict.
Report of Death of Volunteer in Anapa: A 17-year-old volunteer cleaning beaches from oil in Anapa, Russia, has died. He reportedly suffered from asthma.
New Honorary Titles for Russian Cities: Putin awarded the title of "City of Labor Valor" to seven Russian cities.
Report on Polish Stance on Sending Troops to Ukraine: Polish Prime Minister Donald Tusk indicated that Poland is not currently prepared to send troops to Ukraine.
New Information on Prisoner Exchange: A new video from "Координаційний штаб з питань поводження з військовополоненими" shows the return of 25 Ukrainian prisoners of war.
New Information on Military Aid to Ukraine: A new photo from "Оперативний ЗСУ" details the military aid package from Germany to Ukraine, including RCH 155 self-propelled howitzers, RCT-30 Boxer armored personnel carriers, Marder infantry fighting vehicles, drones, and other equipment.
New Video of RCH 155 Howitzer: A new video from "Оперативний ЗСУ" showcases the capabilities of the RCH 155 self-propelled howitzer.
New Information on Ukrainian Troop Numbers: A new video from "ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS" features Zelenskyy discussing the number of Ukrainian and Russian troops involved in the conflict.
Report of Internet Disruptions in Russia: Damage to a main cable in Tatarstan has led to internet speed reductions for 3.8 million Russians in 21 regions.
New Information on Ukrainian Troop Numbers: A new video from "Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны" features Zelenskyy discussing the number of Ukrainian and Russian troops involved in the conflict, with additional commentary from Arestovych.
Report on Russian Arms Production: A new video from TASS features Dmitry Medvedev discussing the production and supply of weapons to the Russian Armed Forces.
Report on Extension of Martial Law in Ukraine: The Ukrainian Rada has extended martial law and mobilization until May 9th.
Report on Potential Hostage Release Deal in Gaza: The Times of Israel reports on a potential deal to release hostages held in Gaza, with negotiations involving Hamas leader Mohammed Sinwar.
New Photos of Returned Ukrainian Prisoners of War: New photos from "Олексій Білошицький" show the return of Ukrainian prisoners of war, including a soldier from the Kharkiv region.
New Information on Ukrainian Troop Numbers: A new video from "ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS" features Zelenskyy discussing the number of Ukrainian and Russian troops involved in the conflict.
New Video of Russian Drone Attack: A new video from "Colonelcassad" shows a Russian drone attack targeting a building in a rural area.
New Information on Ukrainian Troop Casualties: A new photo from "АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА" shows the bodies of three Ukrainian soldiers, with a caption claiming that they refused to surrender.
New Information on Russian Arms Production: A new video from TASS features Dmitry Medvedev discussing the production and supply of weapons to the Russian Armed Forces, stating that the supply of highly sought-after weapons in 2024 was almost fully completed and that the production schedule for 2025 has been approved with increased volumes.
Report on Ukrainian Counterattack: A new video from "Воин DV" shows Ukrainian forces repelling a Russian attack at night, using drones and artillery to destroy enemy positions and equipment.
Report of Russian Drone Attack: A new video from "Два майора" shows a Russian drone attack on a Ukrainian target in the Kherson direction, claiming to have destroyed an EW system and a temporary deployment point.
New Information on Ukrainian Troop Numbers: A new video from "ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS" features Zelenskyy discussing the number of Ukrainian and Russian troops involved in the conflict.
Report of Death of Volunteer in Anapa: A 17-year-old volunteer cleaning beaches from oil in Anapa, Russia, has died. He reportedly suffered from asthma.
Russian Internet Blocking Exercises: Russian special services conducted large-scale "exercises" to block the internet, which did not go according to plan and were deemed unsatisfactory. The exercises resulted in the blocking of a significant part of the "sovereign Internet" segment and the unblocking of part of the "enemy" segment.
Trump's Pressure on Russian Leadership: US President-elect Donald Trump is reportedly putting pressure on the Russian leadership, using economic threats. Trump's team has stopped discussing concessions on the terms of a possible end to the war in Ukraine and is revising some of the agreements that had already been reached.
Swedish Company Supporting Ukrainian Forces: A Swedish company, Rekyl, is reportedly collecting funds to support Ukrainian forces and selling clothes with fascist symbols.
Video evidence of Russian troops using an FPV drone to strike a Ukrainian group advancing at night near Makhnovka.
Russian paratroopers are reportedly pushing Ukrainian forces out of Makhnovka and Dmitryukov.
Operators of drones from the 95th Air Assault Brigade repelled an attack by North Koreans.
Video evidence shows a Russian drone operator targeting a Ukrainian 2S1 "Carnation" self-propelled howitzer in the Kursk region, but the operator misses the target.
Special Forces soldiers destroyed a Ukrainian stronghold in the Kursk direction, capturing several Ukrainian soldiers.
"Colonelcassad" reports on the situation in the Kursk region as of January 14, 2025.
Ukrainian border guards use drones to destroy a Russian armored vehicle north of Sumy.
Video evidence of a successful Russian "Lancet" drone operator from the "Sever" group targeting a Ukrainian M-113 armored personnel carrier near Yuzhnoye in the Kursk region.
Video evidence of a North Korean soldier evicting two Russian women from their house in the village of Makhnovka.
Report on captured soldiers: The video features captured soldiers from various units, including the 83rd and 810th Brigades, suggesting these units have been heavily engaged in the Kursk region.
Disrupting Evacuation: Russian forces are reportedly disrupting a Ukrainian evacuation in the Kursk region.
Ukrainian forces in the Kursk region: Video evidence shows Russian forces capturing 13 Ukrainian soldiers from the 82nd Brigade.
Russian strikes on Ukrainian positions: Video of an FPV drone of the Russian group of troops "Sever" destroying a US-made Bradley BMP in the border area of the Kursk region.
Russian strikes on Ukrainian positions: Video

Situation Report