Updated Analysis of the Military Situation in Ukraine - January 15, 2025, 17:37 UTC

Strategic Overview

The military situation in Ukraine remains critical, with intense fighting concentrated in the Donetsk, Kursk, and Luhansk regions. Russian forces maintain the offensive initiative, particularly in Donetsk, where they have made significant gains, capturing key locations such as Shevchenko, Yantarne, Ukrainka, Peschanoye, and most of Kurakhove. The situation in Toretsk is dire, with Ukrainian defenses nearly collapsed, and Russian forces advancing towards Pokrovsk. The highway between Dmytriv (Myrnohrad) and Konstantinovka has been cut. Ukrainian forces have reportedly been pushed out of most of their positions in Dzerzhynsk (Toretsk), further worsening the situation for Ukraine in this area. Russian forces are now reportedly 5-7 km from the administrative border of Dnipropetrovsk Oblast.

In the Kursk region, a major Ukrainian counteroffensive has stalled, resulting in heavy losses. Russian forces have regained territory, making a 10-kilometer breakthrough, liberating several settlements including Alexandria, Leonidovo, Novoivanovka, and Kruglenkoye, and are advancing in the Sudzha area.

In the Luhansk region, Russian forces have captured Ivanovka near Terny and are advancing towards the western border of the Luhansk People's Republic. They have also advanced 2 km northwest of Makiivka and have taken control of a forest area between the settlements, continuing to advance towards Hrekivka.

Drone warfare continues to be a dominant feature, with extensive activity across multiple regions, including confirmed Ukrainian drone attacks deep inside Russian territory, targeting oil depots, industrial facilities, and military infrastructure. Russian forces are reportedly using new drones connected to fiber-optic cables, resistant to electronic warfare. Ukrainian air defenses report shooting down 78 out of 110 drones launched by Russian forces overnight, with 31 drones classified as "decoys". NATO plans to deploy a fleet of drones in the Baltic Sea and reinforce its military presence in the region.

President Zelenskyy states that the Ukrainian army consists of 880,000 troops, while the Russian contingent in Ukraine numbers over 600,000. He notes that Ukrainian forces are spread throughout the country's territory, while Russian forces are concentrated on specific axes, giving them a numerical advantage in those areas. He also states that about 34% of the weapons in Ukraine are domestically produced.

Polish Prime Minister Donald Tusk announced that Russia planned terror attacks on aircraft of various airlines around the world. The New York Times reported earlier that US intelligence warned the White House about Russian special services' plans to plant explosives on cargo planes bound for the US and Canada.

The US has imposed sanctions on about 250 individuals and legal entities for their ties to Russia, according to Secretary of State Blinken. The US Treasury also imposed sanctions on "Voentorg" and "Barnaul Transmash," which produces engines for BMPs.

Key Developments

Donetsk Region

Fall of Kurakhove: Russian forces control most of Kurakhove, with Ukrainian forces holding only the western part, including a thermal power plant.
Critical Situation in Toretsk: Less than 15% of Toretsk remains under Ukrainian control. Russian assault groups have infiltrated Ukrainian formations, and fighting is approaching its culmination. Russian forces have established a flag in the northern part of the city. Ukrainian forces have been pushed out of most of their positions in Dzerzhynsk (Toretsk).
Russian Advances Towards Pokrovsk: Russian forces are intensifying attacks near Pokrovsk, with progress in Novovasylivka, Yelyzavetivka, and Baranovka. They have advanced to within 2300 meters of Udachne. Russian forces are advancing in the direction of Udachne and in the northern part of the Kryvulya gully towards Kotlyno. They are also breaking through defenses near Zverevo and to the west. Further north, Russian forces have advanced towards Chunyshino and Novopavlivka from Zelene and Dacne. Intense fighting continues for Lysivka and Sukhyi Yar, with Russian forces attempting to cut off access to Pokrovsk and Myrnohrad. Russian forces have advanced to within 6.5 km of the Dnipropetrovsk Oblast border. Fighting is ongoing near Kotlyne, and Russian forces are advancing toward Novoserhiivka. They are advancing towards Pokrovsk along the T 0406 road and are less than 10 kilometers from the city. The highway between Dmytrov (Myrnohrad) and Konstantinovka has been cut. Video evidence shows Russian forces destroying Ukrainian armored vehicles near Pokrovsk.
Shevchenko, Yantarne, and Peschanoye Captured: The Russian Ministry of Defense has officially confirmed the capture of Shevchenko and Yantarne. Russian forces have captured Peschanoye, confirmed by the Russian Ministry of Defense.
Ukrainka Liberated: Russian forces liberated Ukrainka.
Other Advances: Further Russian gains near Vozdvyzhenka, Baranivka, Solone, Slovyanka, Petropavlivka, Novoelizavetovka, and Kurakhove. Advances in Pisky and the eastern outskirts of Dachne. Gains are also reported near Chasiv Yar, Belogorovka, Ukrainka, Novyi Trud, Ivan-Daryevka, Slavyanka, Petropavlovka, Myrolyubivka, Vodyane Druhe, Zelene Pole, and Tymofiivka.
Intense Fighting: The General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports particularly intense fighting in the Pokrovsky and Kurakhiv directions. Over the past day, there were 184 combat clashes, 77 of them in the Pokrovsk direction.
Chasiv Yar: A group of Ukrainian soldiers has reportedly become trapped in a "fire pocket" near a refractory plant in Chasiv Yar. Russian forces now control approximately 20% of the territory of the refractory plant.
Dnipropetrovsk Direction: Battles are ongoing across the entire direction, with particularly fierce battles near Novovasylivka - Uspenivka. Russian forces have cleared Novovasylivka and are engaged in battles to capture Uspenivka. Further south, there are intense battles for Novoandreevka and near Sribne.
Ukrainian Resistance: Ukrainian forces are resisting the Russian advance, reporting the repulsion of an assault near Velyka Novosilka and pushing Russian forces out of the southern part of Novoielizavetivka.
Ukrainian Strike on Russian Command Post: Ukrainian General Staff reports a successful high-precision strike on a command post of the 8th Guards Combined Arms Army of the Russian Federation in Khartsyzk. Ukrainian General Staff reports another successful high-precision strike on a command post of the 2nd Guards Combined Arms Army of the Russian Federation in Novohrodivka, Donetsk Oblast.
Airspace Closure Near Horlivka-Yasynuvata Highway: Due to continuous attacks by Ukrainian forces, the highway between Horlivka and Yasynuvata has been temporarily closed to traffic.
Ballistic Missile Threat: Ukrainian Air Force reports a ballistic missile threat in the direction of Pavlohrad, Dnipropetrovsk region. A nationwide ballistic missile threat has been declared across Ukraine, but it has since been lifted in most regions except for Chernihiv, Poltava, and Kharkiv. Ukrainian Air Force reports missile threat to Kharkiv and Donetsk regions.
Reports of fighting near Kurakhovo and Andriivka: Ongoing active combat operations in the vicinity of Kurakhovo and Andriivka.
Powerful explosion in Kramatorsk: Reports of a powerful explosion in the industrial zone of Kramatorsk, with a large plume of smoke visible. The number of wounded from the attack has risen to 4. The number of casualties from the Kramatorsk strike has increased to eight, including two children.
Zaporizhzhia: The number of wounded from a Russian attack on Zaporizhzhia has risen to two.

Kursk Region

Stalled Ukrainian Counteroffensive: The Ukrainian counteroffensive has stalled, with reports of heavy losses (estimated up to 48,000 casualties). The intensity of the fighting in the Kursk region is being compared to the battles of Bakhmut and Avdiivka. Ukrainian forces reportedly attempted five counterattacks, all of which were repelled. Russian forces have regained territory and are making advances in the Sudzha area. A German Leopard 2A6 tank was destroyed in the Kursk region.
Renewed Russian Offensive: Russian forces have resumed offensive operations, with advances near Novaya Sorochina, between Guyevo and Kurilovka, and in the forested areas of the Sudzha border region.
Intense Fighting: Intense fighting is reported in multiple locations, including Pogrebki, Orlovka, Staraya Sorochina, Novaya Sorochina, and the forests near Sverdlikovo and Lebedevka. Active fighting is taking place in the area of Sudzha.
Artillery & Drones: Russian artillery and drone operations are proving effective. Russian forces are using larger groups (20-30 people) for assaults instead of smaller groups.
Reinforcements: Over 350 enemy personnel, including special operations forces, have reportedly arrived in the region.
Makhnovka: Heavy fighting continues, with both sides present. There are unconfirmed reports of Russian forces clearing Makhnovka, but full control has not been established.
10-kilometer breakthrough: Russian forces have made a powerful 10-kilometer breakthrough on the Kursk front, liberating Alexandria after previously taking Leonidovo, and Novoivanovka, and Kruglenkoye.
Russian advances on western and northern flanks: Russian forces have advanced on the western and northern flanks in the Kursk region, penetrating up to 4 kilometers deep on a 10-kilometer wide front.
Liberation of Leonidovo, Alexandria, and Novoivanovka: The pro-Ukrainian analytical resource Deep State has acknowledged the liberation of Leonidovo, Alexandria, and Novoivanovka by Russian forces.
Cleanup of Pogrebki and assault on Makhnovka: The cleanup of Pogrebki continues on the southern flank, while paratroopers continue their assault on Makhnovka.
Russian advance in Sudzha area: Russian forces are advancing in the Sudzha area. Russian forces have captured Russkoye Porechnoye and are currently assaulting Cherkasskoye Porechnoye.
Reinforcement of Kositsa: The enemy is attempting to reinforce the defense of Kositsa with additional equipment and personnel.
Capture of two North Korean soldiers: Ukrainian sources report that two North Korean soldiers have been captured in the Kursk region and taken to Kyiv. Video evidence allegedly shows the bodies of approximately 20 North Korean soldiers. Ukrainian forces also report repelling an attack by North Korean soldiers.
Air Raid in Sudzha: A Russian airstrike targeted a boarding school in Sudzha where civilians were sheltering, resulting in one death.
Casualties: Over 350 Ukrainian military personnel were reportedly lost in the Kursk direction during the day, with five Ukrainian counterattacks repulsed. Since the beginning of the assault, the Ukrainian Armed Forces have lost more than 50,000 soldiers.
Alleged presence of Wagner Group: A video promoting recruitment for the Wagner Group has been circulated, offering high salaries and benefits for service in Ukraine and Africa.

Kharkiv Region

Russian Advances: Russian forces report advances towards Lozova in the Izyum area and in Dvurichna.
Capture of Kalinovo: The Russian Ministry of Defense claims that Russian forces have captured Kalinovo near Kupyansk.
Guided Aerial Bomb Attacks: The Ukrainian Air Force reports that Russian forces are using guided aerial bombs (KAB) to attack targets in the Kharkiv region.
Russian Advance: Russian forces have reportedly reduced the distance to Ukrainian positions in Petrovske (Hrekivka) to 2km.

Luhansk Region

Russian Advances: On the Krasnolimansk direction, units of the Russian Army are developing success in Ivanovka (right bank of the Zherebets River). Russian forces are attempting to capture heights beyond Ivanovka near Terny and are storming Zahryzove.
Fighting in Lyman direction: Fighting has commenced in the Lyman direction, according to pro-Russian sources.
Russian forces have captured Ivanovka near Terny, marking a significant advance.
Following the liberation of Ivanovka, Russian troops continued their advance southward along the opposite bank of the Zherebets River from Terny.
Russian forces are advancing near Makeevka, according to pro-Russian sources.
North-West of Makiivka: Russian forces have advanced 2 km northwest of Makiivka and have taken control of a forest area between the settlements. They continue to advance towards Hrekivka.

Drone Warfare

Extensive Activity: Widespread drone activity is reported across multiple regions. Ukrainian air defense forces are actively engaging hostile drones.
Confirmed Attack in Engels: A Ukrainian drone attack on an industrial facility in Engels, deep inside Russian territory, has been confirmed. The fire at the oil depot is intensifying, with reports of new explosions and a state of emergency declared. The oil depot in Engels has been burning for 5 days.
New Drone Technology: Reports indicate that Russian forces are increasingly using drones connected to fiber-optic cables, which are resistant to electronic warfare.
Air Defense Engagements: Ukrainian air defense forces are actively engaging hostile drones, with reports of activity near Kyiv and successful interceptions. Ukrainian air defenses shot down 60 out of 94 drones overnight, with 34 classified as decoys. Ukrainian air defenses report shooting down 78 out of 110 drones launched by Russian forces overnight. 31 drones were classified as "decoys" and did not reach their targets.
Drone attack on Tula Oblast: The Tula region is reportedly under a massive attack by Ukrainian drones. Air defenses are active, and preliminary reports indicate that aerial targets have been destroyed. There are no reports of casualties. The new messages detail a battle in Tula Oblast, with the Russian army repelling an enemy attack in Aleksin. 17 drones have been confirmed to have been shot down over Tula Oblast, according to the regional governor. A fire broke out in a military hospital in Tula, Russia, with reports of 57 people evacuated. The cause is unknown, but some sources suggest an electrical fault. There are conflicting reports on whether the building is a hospital or a clinic.
Iran's Drone Capabilities: A video from the "Colonelcassad" Telegram channel showcases a large number of Iranian drones, reportedly with a range of over 2000 km and stealth capabilities.
Drone Attack on Kazan Confirmed: A drone attack on Kazan has been confirmed, with reports of a large fire near the "Kazan Orgsintez" plant. The plant is a major producer of high-strength plastics. The attack reportedly targeted a liquefied gas base.
New Drone Launch System: ZALA has introduced a new compact and lightweight launch system for the "Lancet" series, specifically for the largest type, "Product 51". This system can be carried by a single operator and deployed in under a minute. It has been tested in combat and is in serial production.
Drone Attack on Saratov: Ukrainian drones attacked industrial enterprises in Saratov, causing damage.
Alleged Attempted Poisoning near Yaroslavl: The FSB claims to have prevented an attempt to poison employees of a defense enterprise in the Yaroslavl region.
Drone Attack on Compressor Station: The Russian Ministry of Defense claims that Ukrainian drones attacked the "Russkaya" compressor station, which supplies gas via the "Turkish Stream" pipeline.
Air Raid Alerts: Air raid alerts have been issued in multiple regions, including Kyiv, due to the threat of Russian drones and long-range bombers. Ukrainian air defenses are actively engaging these threats.
Report of Ukrainian drone attack on "Turkish Stream" infrastructure: The "Diary of the Paratrooper" Telegram channel reports that Ukrainian forces are continuing to attack the "Turkish Stream" gas pipeline infrastructure in Anapa and Novorossiysk with drones. This, if confirmed, represents a significant escalation, targeting critical infrastructure that supplies gas to Europe.
Report of Ukrainian ATACMS strike on Russian chemical plant: Open-source information suggests that Ukrainian forces used ATACMS missiles to target the Bryansk chemical plant in Seltso. The plant's primary activity is the production of weapons and ammunition, making it a legitimate military target. The distance of about 120 km from the border is within the range of ATACMS missiles.
New: Video evidence shows a Ukrainian FPV drone targeting a Russian Ka-52 helicopter, though the attempt was unsuccessful.
New: Video evidence shows a Russian soldier filming the aftermath of a Ukrainian FPV drone strike on a Russian vehicle, indicating casualties among the Russian assault group.
New: Video evidence of Russian forces destroying Ukrainian infantry with a drone near Dachne.
New: Video evidence of an aerial battle between two Ukrainian "Mavic" drones and a Russian "Baba Yaga" drone on the Seversk direction. The reconnaissance drone rammed the "Baba Yaga", causing it to crash.
New: Video evidence shows a Russian artillery strike on a Ukrainian position in Novoselivske, with secondary explosions.
New: Video from "STERNENKO" shows Ukrainian forces from the Flying Skull drone unit targeting Russian positions in the Kursk region. At least 9 Russian soldiers were targeted, and 5 golf carts were hit.
New: In the Kursk region, paratroopers from the 106th Airborne Division are conducting active assault operations in the forests near Sverdlikovo and Lebedevka.
New: Video from "АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА Z" shows a Russian Mi-28NM helicopter destroying a Ukrainian stronghold in the border area of the Kursk region.
New: Video from MoD Russia shows D-30 howitzers in action, supporting an offensive by assault detachments of the Zapad Group of Forces.
New: Video evidence of a successful Russian "Lancet" drone operator from the "Sever" group targeting a Ukrainian M-113 armored personnel carrier.
New: Video from "STERNENKO" shows Ukrainian forces from the Flying Skull drone unit targeting Russian positions. At least 9 Russian soldiers were targeted, and 5 golf carts were hit.
New: Video evidence of a successful Russian strike on a Ukrainian ammunition depot using an FPV drone equipped with fiber optic cable.
New: Ukrainian forces report that they have destroyed 2 enemy electronic warfare systems and damaged a cannon using drones.
New: A video shows the elimination of a group of Russian soldiers using FPV drones by the 110th Mechanized Brigade.
New: Ukrainian forces conducted a successful drone operation, targeting a Russian T-90 tank and an ammunition depot.
New: Ukrainian forces report destroying 3 Russian BTRs.
New: Video evidence shows Ukrainian forces targeting Russian positions with drones, resulting in multiple explosions and fires.
New: Video evidence shows a Ukrainian drone operator targeting a Russian 2S7 Pion self-propelled howitzer with three separate strikes.
New: Video evidence shows Russian FPV drone operators targeting Ukrainian positions and vehicles in various locations, including Nikolaevka and Goptovka.
New: Video evidence shows a Ukrainian drone operator targeting a Russian soldier with an FPV drone. The soldier is seen running away from the drone before being hit.
New: Video evidence of Ukrainian forces using drones equipped with shotguns to effectively shoot down Russian drones.
New: Video evidence shows Ukrainian forces using drones equipped with shotguns. The "Phoenix" unit of the "Revenge" brigade repelled an assault by occupiers near Kurdyumivka in the Bakhmut area.
New: Ukrainian forces used a HIMARS system to successfully target a Russian "Buk" air defense system.
New: Video from "БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС" shows Russian infantry being targeted by Ukrainian artillery and drones in the Kursk region.
New: Video from "Два майора" shows a Russian FPV drone with fiber-optic control destroying a Ukrainian vehicle near the Dnipro River.
New: Video evidence of a successful Russian "Lancet" drone operator from the "Sever" group targeting a Ukrainian M-113 armored personnel carrier near Yuzhnoye in the Kursk region.
New: Video from "Colonelcassad" Telegram channel: This video reportedly shows the destruction of a Ukrainian BMP CV-90. The vehicle was reportedly carrying ammunition and was destroyed by Russian forces, resulting in casualties among the Ukrainian crew.
New: Ukrainian forces report burning a Russian T-80 tank.

Missile Attacks

Massive Combined Attack: A massive, combined missile attack is underway, employing X-101/555, X-22, Kalibr, and ballistic missiles.
Targets: Missiles are targeting numerous regions, including Kharkiv, Pryluki, Kryvyi Rih, Zelenodolsk, Myrhorod, Cherkasy, Bila Tserkva, Chernihiv, Vinnytsia, and Zhytomyr.
Air Defense Activity: Air defense systems are actively engaging targets. Explosions have been reported in Khmelnytskyi and Vinnytsia regions, with air defenses activated in the Lviv region.
Strategic Bombers: TU-22M3 and TU-95ms bombers were used to launch the attack.
Emergency Power Outages: Due to the missile attack, emergency power outages have been implemented in multiple regions, including Kharkiv, Sumy, Poltava, Zaporizhzhia, Dnipropetrovsk, and Kirovohrad.
Targets in Western Ukraine: Reports of explosions in Lviv and Ivano-Frankivsk regions indicate that the western part of Ukraine is now being targeted. The ongoing threat to Stryi further emphasizes the westward expansion of the air attack.
Ukrainian Infrastructure Targeted: Ukrainian officials report that energy infrastructure in multiple regions, including Lviv, has been targeted by Russian missile attacks.
Russian Missile Attack Composition: The Ukrainian military provided a detailed breakdown of the types of missiles used in the recent Russian attack, including cruise missiles (Kh-101/55, 3M14 "Kalibr", Kh-22), ballistic missiles (9M723 "Iskander-M"), and guided missiles (Kh-59/69). The attack was preceded by drone launches.
Continued Attacks on Energy Infrastructure: Russian forces continue to target energy infrastructure across Ukraine, with confirmed strikes in multiple regions. Emergency power outages are reported in Kharkiv, Sumy, Poltava, Zaporizhzhia, Dnipropetrovsk, and Kirovohrad regions.

Other Significant Updates

Ukrainian Air Force Activity: The Ukrainian Air Force reports activity of hostile tactical aircraft in the eastern direction. This indicates potential air operations by Russian forces in the region, necessitating heightened air defense readiness.
Russian Assault Near Velyka Novosilka: The "Colonelcassad" Telegram channel reports that Russian forces from the 39th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade conducted a successful assault on an enemy stronghold near Velyka Novosilka. The operation involved the use of incendiary devices and FPV drones, as well as the destruction of enemy dugouts. This indicates continued Russian offensive operations in the area.
New Video Evidence: Several new videos have emerged, including footage of Russian forces using FPV drones, a Ukrainian unit targeting a Russian position in Toretsk, and Russian forces making progress in the Dnipropetrovsk direction.
Prisoner Exchange: Russia and Ukraine conducted a prisoner exchange, with 25 soldiers from each side being returned. The exchange was reportedly facilitated by the UAE.
Internet Disruptions in Russia: Damage to a main cable in Tatarstan has led to internet speed reductions for 3.8 million Russians in 21 regions.
New Honorary Titles for Russian Cities: Putin awarded the title of "City of Labor Valor" to seven Russian cities.
Report on Polish Stance on Sending Troops to Ukraine: Polish Prime Minister Donald Tusk indicated that Poland is not currently prepared to send troops to Ukraine.
Report on Extension of Martial Law in Ukraine: The Ukrainian Rada has extended martial law and mobilization until May 9th.
Russian Internet Blocking Exercises: Russian special services conducted large-scale "exercises" to block the internet, which did not go according to plan and were deemed unsatisfactory. The exercises resulted in the blocking of a significant part of the "sovereign Internet" segment and the unblocking of part of the "enemy" segment.
Trump's Pressure on Russian Leadership: US President-elect Donald Trump is reportedly putting pressure on the Russian leadership, using economic threats. Trump's team has stopped discussing concessions on the terms of a possible end to the war in Ukraine and is revising some of the agreements that had already been reached.
Swedish Company Supporting Ukrainian Forces: A Swedish company, Rekyl, is reportedly collecting funds to support Ukrainian forces and selling clothes with fascist symbols.
NATO Exercises: NATO is planning large-scale exercises ("Steadfast Dart") on its eastern flank from January 13th to February 26th, involving 10,000 troops from 10 countries.
Report on Potential Trump-Putin Meeting: Reports suggest a potential phone call between Putin and Trump after January 20th and a possible face-to-face meeting in the spring, without Zelensky's participation.
US-China Tensions: The US has threatened China with "significant consequences" for aiding Russia.
Croatian Presidential Election: Pro-Russian incumbent Zoran Milanović reportedly won the Croatian presidential election with 77.70% of the vote.
German Party's Stance: The German party "Union of Sarah Wagenknecht - For Reason and Justice" adopted an election program calling for the resumption of supplies of Russian gas and a truce in Ukraine.
Poland-Slovakia Relations: The Polish Ministry of Foreign Affairs explained that the refusal to allow a special Slovak aircraft to enter Russian airspace was due to incomplete documentation.
Report on Potential Hostage Release Deal in Gaza: The Times of Israel reports on a potential deal to release hostages held in Gaza, with negotiations involving Hamas leader Mohammed Sinwar. Hamas has reportedly presented new demands that Israel finds unacceptable.
Diplomatic: Russian Foreign Minister Lavrov stated Russia is ready to discuss security guarantees for Ukraine.
Personnel: Ukrainian MP Marianna Bezuglaya reported personnel from the Air Force are being transferred to the infantry.
Industrial Sabotage: Ukrainian forces confirmed a strike on a chemical plant in Bryansk, Russia.
Attempted Poisoning: Reports of an attempted poisoning of employees at a defense enterprise in the Yaroslavl region.
Oil Refinery Strike: Ukrainian forces conducted a strike on the Saratov oil refinery, causing a fire. A fire also broke out at a Lukoil oil refinery in the Volgograd region of Russia. While local authorities claim it was caused by internal issues, the incident adds to the list of recent fires at Russian energy facilities.
Air Alarm: An air alarm is active throughout Ukraine.
Poland: Poland raised combat aircraft due to a missile attack on Ukraine.
Fire at Electrical Substation in Kyiv: A fire has broken out at an electrical substation on Khreshchatyk Street in central Kyiv. This incident likely contributes to the ongoing power outages in the city and further strains Kyiv's already burdened energy infrastructure.
North Korean Missile Test: South Korean military reports that North Korea has launched several suspected short-range ballistic missiles.
US Political Developments: Allies of US President-elect Donald Trump have submitted a bill to "buy Greenland," titled "Make Greenland Great Again."
Confirmed Russian Airstrikes in Kursk Region: The new video from the Russian Ministry of Defense confirms that Russian forces are using Ka-52M helicopters to conduct airstrikes in the Kursk region.
Iran's Enhanced Drone Capabilities: The video showcasing Iran's large and diverse drone arsenal, with a reported range of over 2000 km and stealth capabilities, is a significant development.
Video Evidence of Russian Operations in Krasnolimansk Direction: A new video shows Russian forces from the 144th Motorized Rifle Division operating in the Krasnolimansk direction.
Development of Computerized Fire Control System: The "Kalashnikov" concern has reportedly developed a computerized fire control system with a scope for small arms.
Resettlement of Ukrainian Citizens in Russia: The Khabarovsk regional police have issued housing certificates to 22 Ukrainian citizens who have arrived in Russia for permanent residence.
Continued Drone Attacks on Russian Territory: Ukrainian drones continue to target Russian territory, with reports of 14 drones being shot down in the Rostov region and another drone being destroyed over Tula Oblast.
Nighttime "Geranium" Drones over Kharkiv Region: A video shows nighttime "Geranium" drones operating over the Kharkiv region.
Temporary Flight Restrictions in Multiple Russian Airports: Rosaviatsia reports that temporary restrictions on the arrival and departure of aircraft have been introduced at the airports of Kazan, Kaluga, Saratov, and Tambov.
Distance Learning in Saratov Schools: The governor of Saratov has announced that classes in Saratov schools will be held remotely due to the threat of drone attacks.
Arrest of South Korean President: The former president of South Korea, Yoon Suk-yeol, has been arrested. This development could potentially impact the geopolitical situation in East Asia.
Ukrainian Military Aid: Germany has updated its list of military aid provided to Ukraine, including 20 MRAP vehicles, 600 attack drones, and various reconnaissance drones. The list also includes future deliveries of BMP Marder, APCs, MRAPs, and RCH 155 howitzers.
Casualty Reports: The Ukrainian General Staff reports 170 combat clashes over the past day, with significant enemy losses: 1,580 personnel, 13 tanks, 22 armored fighting vehicles, 52 artillery systems, 2 air defense systems, 107 operational-tactical UAVs, and 204 vehicles.
Russian Media Report: The Russian publication "Военкор Котенок" reports on a new missile strike targeting military airfields and energy facilities in multiple regions of Ukraine, including Kyiv, Volyn, Rivne, Lviv, Poltava, Dnipropetrovsk, Vinnytsia, Ivano-Frankivsk, Khmelnytskyi, and Kirovohrad. Successful strikes are claimed, particularly on a military facility in Sambir, Lviv region.
Ukrainian Air Force Report: The Ukrainian Air Force reports activity of Russian tactical aviation in the eastern direction, with a threat of the use of aviation weapons for frontline areas.
Alleged Bribery Attempt by Ukrainian Intelligence: The FSB claims that Ukrainian military intelligence offered $1 million to Russian soldiers to abandon their positions near Horlivka. The FSB claims to have thwarted these plans and used the $100,000 advance payment to purchase equipment for Russian units.
Damage in Kirovohrad Region: Ukrainian authorities report damage to windows of several residential buildings in the Kirovohrad region as a result of a downed drone.
Daily Minute of Silence in Ukraine: Ukraine holds a daily minute of silence at 9:00 AM to honor those killed in the war.
Fundraising Campaign for Ukrainian Forces: A fundraising campaign is underway to purchase field cots for several Ukrainian units, including the 109th Brigade, 143rd Brigade, and the 1st Assault Battalion. The goal is to raise 572,000 hryvnias.
Damage to Ukrainian Energy Infrastructure: Ukrainian authorities confirm that energy infrastructure was targeted in the recent attacks, with emergency power outages implemented in six regions.
Air Raid Alerts Lifted in Most of Ukraine: Air raid alerts have been lifted in most regions of Ukraine, except for Zaporizhzhia.
New: Reports from WarGonzo, FSB, and "Дневник Десантника" confirm the Ukrainian attempt to bribe Russian soldiers near Horlivka. The FSB claims to have thwarted the plan, using the $100,000 advance payment to purchase equipment for Russian units.
New: The Coordination Headquarters for the Treatment of Prisoners of War announced that relatives of those missing in special circumstances can now receive a deferment from mobilization. They need to obtain an extract from the Unified Register of Persons Missing in Special Circumstances.
New: Emergency power outages are being lifted in several regions of Ukraine, including Dnipropetrovsk, Donetsk, Kirovohrad, and Poltava.
New: Video from "Операция Z" shows Ukrainian soldiers abandoning NATO-supplied weapons and retreating near Velyka Novosilka. The weapons include an NLOW anti-tank missile launcher, a Browning M2 machine gun, and other RPGs and ammunition.
New: Video from "Басурин о главном" shows the aftermath of Ukrainian drone attacks in Horlivka, with civilian casualties and damage to civilian infrastructure reported.
New: Video from "Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition" reports on the failed Ukrainian attempt to bribe Russian soldiers near Horlivka.
New: Video from MoD Russia shows D-30 howitzers in action, supporting an offensive by assault detachments of the Zapad Group of Forces.
New: Video from "Colonelcassad" Telegram channel shows a Russian Mi-28 helicopter engaging targets with unguided missiles.
New: Video from "Воин DV" Telegram channel showcases a series of drone strikes by the 63rd Mechanized Brigade on Russian positions in the Lyman direction. The video claims that the strikes destroyed multiple pieces of equipment, including a tank, two infantry fighting vehicles, and an armored personnel carrier.
New: Video from "АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА Z" Telegram channel claims to show the downing of a Ukrainian drone by Russian air defense forces in the Bryansk region.
New: Video from "Colonelcassad" Telegram channel showcases a Russian soldier inspecting the wreckage of a downed Ukrainian drone, allegedly a "Leleka-100" model.
New: Video from "Dambiev" Telegram channel shows the bodies of two Ukrainian soldiers, with a caption claiming that they were killed in a counterattack near Verbove in the Zaporizhzhia region.
New: Video from "BOBR MORS" Telegram channel shows Russian soldiers from the 200th Separate Guards Motorized Rifle Brigade targeting Ukrainian positions with FPV drones near Klishchiivka in the Donetsk region.
New: Video from "BOBR MORS" Telegram channel shows Russian soldiers firing an RPG at a Ukrainian position near Klishchiivka.
New: Video from "Dambiev" Telegram channel shows a Russian soldier displaying a captured Ukrainian flag and a patch with the inscription "Ukraine or Death". The caption claims that the flag and patch were taken from a captured Ukrainian position near Verbove in the Zaporizhzhia region.
New: Video from "Воин DV" Telegram channel shows a Russian soldier inspecting the wreckage of a downed Ukrainian drone.

Situation Report