Updated Analysis of the Military Situation in Ukraine - January 11, 2025, 09:03 UTC

Strategic Overview

The military situation in Ukraine remains critical, with intense fighting concentrated in the Donetsk, Kursk, and Luhansk regions. Russian forces maintain the offensive initiative, particularly in Donetsk, where they have captured Kurakhove and a significant portion of Toretsk, advancing towards Pokrovsk and along the Pokrovsk-Konstantinovka highway. The situation in Toretsk is dire, with Ukrainian sources reporting that only a small part of the city remains under Ukrainian control and Russian sources claiming the liberation of the city is almost complete. In the Kursk region, a major Ukrainian counteroffensive has stalled, with heavy fighting and significant losses on both sides. Russian forces have regained territory and are making advances in the Sudzha area, particularly around Russkoye Porechnoye and towards Kositsa. Drone warfare remains a dominant feature of the conflict, with widespread activity across multiple regions. Ukrainian air defenses are actively engaging these threats, reportedly destroying 47 Russian drones overnight, with another 27 drones not reaching their targets. Ukrainian forces report that their drones can strike targets up to 2000 km away. A new wave of drone attacks is underway, targeting multiple regions of Ukraine and Russia. Reports indicate drone activity in Kyiv, Zhytomyr, Sumy, Poltava, Cherkasy, Mykolaiv, and Zaporizhzhia Oblasts. Additionally, reports suggest drone attacks on Voronezh and Kursk in Russia. Russian air defense is reportedly active in Anapa, with the city's alert system activated. There are reports of explosions and fires in several Russian regions, including Novorossiysk, Anapa, and near Yevpatoria in Crimea. These incidents suggest possible Ukrainian drone or missile strikes. The Ukrainian Air Force reports activity of Russian tactical aviation in the north-eastern direction, with a threat of the use of air weapons.

Key Developments

Donetsk Region

Fall of Kurakhove: Russian forces control most of Kurakhove, with Ukrainian forces holding the western part, including a thermal power plant. Ukrainian sources indicate the city is "factually lost." Russian forces report they are completing the liberation of Russkoye Porechnoye. Ukrainian military analysts acknowledge Russian advances up to 3.25 km deep in this area. DeepState has officially acknowledged the loss of Kurakhovo for Ukrainian forces.
Critical Situation in Toretsk: Less than 15% of Toretsk remains under Ukrainian control. Russian assault groups have infiltrated Ukrainian formations, and fighting is approaching its culmination. Russian forces have established a flag in the northern part of the city, confirming their control over the northern part of Dzerzhynsk (Toretsk). Russian sources claim that almost the entire city is under their control, with only the outskirts remaining to be captured. Russian forces report that they have advanced 500 meters near the South-Eastern mine and claim new positions in the northern part.
Russian Advances Towards Pokrovsk: Russian forces are intensifying attacks near Pokrovsk, with progress in Novovasylivka, Yelyzavetivka, and Baranovka. Video evidence shows the destruction of enemy defenses by the 35th Brigade near Pokrovsk. A Russian tank, accompanied by two BMPs, engaged two Ukrainian tanks at a close range near Yelyzavetivka, east of Pokrovsk. The Russian tank successfully destroyed one Ukrainian tank, while the second Ukrainian tank retreated. Following this, Russian infantry secured positions in Yelyzavetivka.
Shevchenko and Ivanivka Captured: Russian forces have captured Shevchenko and Ivanivka.
Other Advances: Further Russian gains near Vozdvyzhenka, Baranivka, Solone, Slovyanka, Petropavlivka, Novoelizavetovka, and Kurakhove. Advances in Pisky and the eastern outskirts of Dachne. Gains are also reported near Chasiv Yar, Belogorovka, Ukrainka, Novyi Trud, Ivan-Daryevka, Slavyanka, Petropavlovka, Myrolyubivka, Vodyane Druhe, Baranivka, Zelene Pole, and Tymofiivka. Russian forces report advances near Slovyanka and Petropavlivka.
Intense Fighting: The General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports particularly intense fighting in the Pokrovsky and Kurakhiv directions, with 192 attacks in the Donetsk direction and 107 in the Pokrovsk direction over the past day. 37 combat clashes are still ongoing.
Chasiv Yar: Video evidence of a successful Russian "Lancet" drone strike on a Ukrainian BMP. Ukrainian forces reported shooting down four Russian reconnaissance drones. A group of Ukrainian soldiers has reportedly become trapped in a "fire pocket" near a refractory plant in Chasiv Yar.
On the Kramatorsk direction, Ukrainian forces repelled six attacks, with five clashes ongoing. Ukrainian forces repelled six attacks near Vasyukovka, Bondarnoye, Chasov Yar, and Stupochki, with five clashes ongoing in the Kramatorsk direction.
On the Toretsk direction, three Russian attacks were reported, with one ongoing.
On the Pokrovsk direction, supported by aviation, Russian forces initiated 28 clashes, with five ongoing.
On the Kurakhiv direction, fierce battles are ongoing, with 14 enemy attacks repelled.
Dnipropetrovsk Direction: Battles are ongoing across the entire direction, with particularly fierce battles near Novovasylivka - Uspenivka. Russian forces have cleared Novovasylivka and are engaged in battles to capture Uspenivka. Further south, there are intense battles for Novoandreevka and near Sribne. Russian forces control Yasenovoe.
Ukrainian Resistance: Ukrainian forces are resisting the Russian advance, reporting the repulsion of an assault near Velyka Novosilka and pushing Russian forces out of the southern part of Novoielizavetivka.
Russian forces are advancing towards Vodyane Druhe and Tarasovka, with battles ongoing for Baranovka and Yelyzavetivka.
Russian forces advanced in Petrovka (Novospasskoe), west of Shcherbinovka.
Russian forces have liberated Ukrainka and are advancing towards Yasenovoye, with a foothold on the outskirts. They also control the Yasenovoye-Konstantinopol intersection.
Explosions were reported in Samara (Novomoskovsk), Dnipropetrovsk Oblast.
Ukrainian Strike on Russian Command Post: Ukrainian General Staff reports a successful high-precision strike on a command post of the 8th Guards Combined Arms Army of the Russian Federation in Khartsyzk.
New: Video evidence of Russian forces destroying Ukrainian infantry with a drone near Dachne.

Kursk Region

Stalled Ukrainian Counteroffensive: The Ukrainian counteroffensive has stalled, with reports of heavy losses (estimated up to 48,000 casualties).
Renewed Russian Offensive: Russian forces have resumed offensive operations, with advances near Novaya Sorochina, between Guyevo and Kurilovka, and in the forested areas of the Sudzha border region.
Intense Fighting: Intense fighting is reported in multiple locations, including Pogrebki, Orlovka, Staraya Sorochina, Novaya Sorochina, and the forests near Sverdlikovo and Lebedevka. The enemy attempted to attack with two armored personnel carriers near Makhnovka but was destroyed by an FPV drone.
Artillery & Drones: Russian artillery and drone operations are proving effective. Calculation of FPV drones of the Rubikon center destroyed the Ukrainian self-propelled guns in the Kursk direction.
Reinforcements: Over 350 enemy personnel, including special operations forces, have reportedly arrived in the region.
Enemy Reserves: Intelligence suggests a concentration of enemy forces near Pogrebki and the presence of Ukrainian reserves in the Sumy region. The enemy is attempting to reinforce the defense of Kositsa with additional equipment and personnel.
Makhnovka: Heavy fighting continues, with both sides present. Paratroopers from the 106th Airborne Division are conducting active assault operations in the forests near Sverdlikovo and Lebedevka. Paratroopers are reportedly pushing Ukrainian forces out of Makhnovka and Dmitryukov. They also destroyed Ukrainian firing points with a 2S9 Nona-S self-propelled mortar.
The General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports that in Kurshchyna today, Ukrainian defenders repelled 16 enemy attacks, six combat clashes continue. Ukrainian defenders repelled 25 enemy attacks.
The Russian Ministry of Defense reports significant Ukrainian losses in the region during the day and since the beginning of hostilities. Ukrainian forces lost more than 280 people and two tanks in the Kursk region during the day. Since the beginning of hostilities in the Kursk region, the AFU has lost more than 50,310 troops, 294 tanks, 218 infantry fighting vehicles, 161 armored personnel carriers, 1,517 armored fighting vehicles, 1,435 vehicles, 348 artillery guns, 44 MLRS launchers, including 13 HIMARS and 6 MLRS made by the USA, 16 anti-aircraft missile launchers, eight transport-loading vehicles, 90 EW stations.
Video evidence of Russian forces capturing 13 Ukrainian soldiers from the 82nd Brigade. Special Forces soldiers destroyed a Ukrainian stronghold, capturing several Ukrainian soldiers from the 57th and 82nd Brigades.
Video of a Russian Su-34 bomber destroying a Ukrainian stronghold.
The situation in Cherkasskoye Porechnoye, Martynovka, Agronom, and Pogrebki remains unchanged.
Active fighting is taking place in the area of Sudzha. An attack by the Russian Armed Forces in the settlement of Russkoye Porechnoye by an infantry unit was reported. The assault group was shelled by the Ukrainian Armed Forces. The Russian Armed Forces advanced more than 2 km and reached the advanced positions near the village of Kositsa.
Russian sources claim the enemy has lost at least 35 pieces of equipment and more than 200 personnel in the last two days, with 14 Ukrainian soldiers captured near Berdin.
26 Ukrainian soldiers surrendered after a failed counterattack, according to Russian sources.
Almost 30 Ukrainian paratroopers were captured after a failed counterattack in Volchansk.
Dozens of Ukrainian soldiers have been taken prisoner.
Ukrainian airborne troops from the 95th Air Assault Brigade are using drones to attack Russian forces in Pogrebki.
Russian forces report that they have cleared Berdin of Ukrainian forces and that Ukrainian forces are retreating to the forests.
Russian forces report that they are continuing to storm Pogrebki and that both sides are present in the village. Russian forces also report that they are conducting an offensive west of Novaya Sorochina.
Russian forces report that they control most of Russkoye Porechnoye and are concentrating reserves southwest of Kozino.
Russian forces are continuing their offensive near Leonidovo, advancing towards Viktorivka and Nikolsky.
Russian forces are attempting to reach the outskirts of Sudzha, with fighting ongoing near Zamostye.
Russian forces have made a powerful 10-kilometer breakthrough on the Kursk front, liberating Alexandria after previously taking Leonidovo, Novoivanovka, and Kruglenkoye.
Russian forces have advanced on the western and northern flanks in the Kursk region, penetrating up to 4 kilometers deep on a 10-kilometer wide front.
After liberating Leonidovo, Russian paratroopers took control of Alexandria and are continuing their attacks towards Staraya Sorochina, Viktorovka, and Nikolsky.
The pro-Ukrainian analytical resource Deep State has acknowledged the liberation of Leonidovo, Alexandria, and Novoivanovka by Russian forces.
The cleanup of Pogrebki continues on the southern flank, while paratroopers continue their assault on Makhnovka.
A Russian Mi-28NM helicopter destroyed a Ukrainian stronghold in the border area of the Kursk region, according to the Russian Ministry of Defense.
Russian forces are advancing in the Sudzha area, with reports of an infantry unit attacking Russkoye Porechnoye and reaching advanced positions near Kositsa.
"Два майора" reports that in the Kursk region, the enemy, taking advantage of poor weather conditions with limited visibility, launched 11 unsuccessful counterattacks on different sectors of the front in the Sudzhansky border area. Our troops have completed the clearing of enemy strongholds between Guyevo and Kurilovka, advancing with stubborn fighting in the forest belts of the Sudzhansky district. Fierce fighting continues in Makhnovka and Cherkasskaya Porechnaya, where the enemy is transferring new units.
Analysis of an image showing a map overlay of the Kursk region, with red areas indicating Russian-controlled territory. Thermal drone footage on the right side of the image shows potential troop or vehicle presence. The image suggests an offensive movement from Kositsa towards Russkoye Porechnoye.
"АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА" reports that the situation on all fronts remains unchanged, with Russian forces consolidating their positions. Fighting continues in Pogrebki and on the western outskirts of Russkoye Porechnoye.
Video evidence shows Ukrainian forces successfully employing a "Stugna-P" ATGM system against enemy vehicles in the region.
A German Leopard 2A6 tank was destroyed in the Kursk region.
Zelensky stated that the Kursk operation was one of the main victories, not only last year, but throughout the war.
Video from "Colonelcassad" details the ongoing fighting in the Kursk region, with Russian forces advancing in Nikolaevo-Daryino, Makhnovka, and Russkoye Porechnoye. The liberation of these settlements may be announced this week. There is also a battle for Cherkasskoye Porechnoye, with the enemy continuing to send reserves despite heavy losses.
Video evidence shows a Russian soldier winning a hand-to-hand fight against a Ukrainian soldier, who subsequently detonated a grenade, killing himself.
"АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА Z" reports that enemy groups attempted to infiltrate from Cherkasskoye Porechnoye but were repelled by artillery fire. Enemy reserves are reportedly being brought into Lebedevka and Sverdlikovo, and the use of "Baba Yaga" agricultural drones for reconnaissance is mentioned.
Video from "БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС" shows footage of Russian soldiers suffering losses in the Kursk region.
Video from "Colonelcassad" shows the 155th brigade of the Russian marines destroying Ukrainian manpower and equipment in the Kursk direction.
Overnight, in the Kursk region, 40 Ukrainian drones were destroyed by air defense forces.
Video from "Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны" reports that the 114th brigade has liberated Shevchenko, continuing their offensive beyond Kurakhovo. The video and images depict the aftermath of fighting in the area, with Russian forces planting a flag in the center of Shevchenko, claiming control of the settlement.
Ukrainian forces from the 47th Mechanized Brigade repelled a massive Russian assault in the Viktorivka area near Malaya Loknya, Kursk region. The attack involved about 50 units of equipment. The assault was carried out in six waves. The Ukrainian forces successfully repelled the attack, inflicting significant losses on the enemy.
Video evidence of a North Korean soldier evicting two Russian women from their house in the village of Makhnovka.
Video of a Russian Su-34 bomber destroying a Ukrainian stronghold in the Kursk border area.
The message states that the operation to neutralize the enemy in the Kursk region continues.
A Ukrainian counterattack involving about 50 units of equipment was repelled by Ukrainian forces near Viktorivka. The attack was carried out in six waves. Ukrainian forces reportedly destroyed a significant amount of enemy equipment and inflicted heavy casualties.
New: In Chasiv Yar, Ivanovo paratroopers repelled a Ukrainian drone attack, suppressing four Baba Yaga drones with small arms fire.
New: In the Kursk region, Primorsky paratroopers destroyed a Ukrainian pickup truck with a drone.
New: The Russian Ministry of Defense reports that since the beginning of hostilities in the Kursk region, the AFU has lost 90 EW stations.

Kharkiv Region

Russian Advances: Russian forces report advances towards Lozova in the Izyum area and in Dvurichna. They have reportedly expanded their bridgehead up to 5 km south of Dvorechnaya, occupied the forest near Zapadnoye, and advanced significantly in the center of Dvurichna.
Ukrainian forces have reportedly stabilized the situation near Kruhliakivka and Kolisnykivka, preventing further Russian advances along the Oskil River.
DeepState denies reports of the occupation of Lozova.
The 3rd Assault Brigade of the Ukrainian Armed Forces is reportedly engaging Russian forces on the outskirts of Kharkiv.
On the Kupyansk direction, fighters from the 1st Tank Army disrupted an enemy rotation and hit an American M113 armored personnel carrier with infantry.
The Ukrainian Armed Forces attempted to counterattack in the Staritsa area of the Kharkiv region, but the Russian Armed Forces prevented a breakthrough of the defense line.

Luhansk Region

Russian Advances: On the Krasnolimansk direction, units of the Russian Army are developing success in Ivanovka (right bank of the Zherebets River). Russian forces are attempting to capture heights beyond Ivanovka near Terny and are storming Zahryzove. Russian forces have captured Ivanovka near Terny, marking a significant advance.
Following the liberation of Ivanovka, Russian troops continued their advance southward along the opposite bank of the Zherebets River from Terny.
Russian forces have successfully repelled over 30 Ukrainian attempts to infiltrate the Luhansk People's Republic in the past week, resulting in significant Ukrainian losses.
Russian forces are advancing near Makeevka, according to pro-Russian sources.
Russian forces report that they have expanded their zone of control on the right bank of the Zherebets River and are advancing towards the western border of the Luhansk People's Republic.
Russian forces report that they have advanced beyond Nadiya and are moving towards the border of the Luhansk People's Republic and the Kharkiv region.

Drone Warfare

Extensive Activity: Widespread drone activity is reported across multiple regions, with both sides utilizing drones for reconnaissance, targeting, and attacks. Ukrainian forces report that their drones can strike targets up to 2000 km away. Ukrainian air defense forces are actively engaging hostile drones.
Confirmed Attack in Engels: A Ukrainian drone attack on an industrial facility in Engels, deep inside Russian territory, has been confirmed. The fire at the oil depot is intensifying, with reports of new explosions and a state of emergency declared.
New Drone Technology: Reports indicate that Russian forces are increasingly using drones connected to fiber-optic cables, which are resistant to electronic warfare.
New Drone Activity: Reports of drone movements across multiple oblasts:
- Zhytomyr Oblast: Drones are reported in the northern part, moving west.
- Kyiv Oblast: Drones are present in the northern part, moving west. Air raid alerts have been reported for Kyiv. Reports indicate a drone hit a multi-story building in the Solomyanskyi district of Kyiv, damaging windows and 6 cars, but causing no casualties.
- Chernihiv Oblast: Drones are observed in the northern and southern parts, moving west. The Ukrainian Air Force reports activity of Russian drones in the Chernihiv region.
- Sumy Oblast: Two drones are heading towards Romny, and one towards Lypova Dolyna.
- Kirovohrad Oblast: Drones are present in the eastern part, moving southwest.
- Kharkiv Oblast: Drones are moving from Kharkiv towards Dnipropetrovsk Oblast.
- Dnipropetrovsk Oblast: One drone is in the Kryvyi Rih district, another is over Dolynska.
- Poltava Oblast: One drone is reported to be circling south of Poltava.
- Cherkasy Oblast: One drone was reported in the eastern part, constantly changing course.
- Vinnytsia Oblast: One drone is reported to be flying over the region.
- Odesa Oblast: Drones on the border of Kirovohrad and Odesa regions, course - west.
- Kherson Oblast: A group of attack drones is reported on the north of the Kherson region with a course to the south.
- Overnight, in the Kursk region, 40 Ukrainian drones were destroyed by air defense forces.
- Ukrainian forces, specifically the "Birds of Madyar" unit, used drones to record the bodies of North Korean and Russian troops in Kursk Oblast.
- Air raid alerts have been called off for Zaporizhzhia and Dnipropetrovsk Oblasts.
- 9 drones are now reported to be circling Zaporizhzhia.
- Reports of drones being used to attack targets in Crimea. An explosion was reported in Kerch, potentially due to air defense activity. Reports that unknown drones are attacking Voronezh and Kursk in Russia.
- Video evidence of a successful Russian strike on a Ukrainian ammunition depot using an FPV drone equipped with fiber optic cable.
- Ukrainian forces report that they have destroyed 2 enemy electronic warfare systems and damaged a cannon using drones.
- Reports of a fire near Lake Bam, on the outskirts of Novorossiysk.
- Reports of an explosion in the Vitino area near Yevpatoria, Crimea.
- Reports of drone attacks on Novorossiysk, with Russian air defenses attempting to intercept them.
- Russian Telegram channels report air defense activity and the interception of drones and missiles over Sevastopol, Kerch, Taman, and the "Kavkaz" port.
- Drone attacks are reported in Voronezh, Kursk, Saratov, and Lipetsk Oblasts.
- Local authorities in Anapa report air defense activity.
- A community is requesting information about sightings in local chats in Anapa.
- A video from the Telegram channel "Colonelcassad" shows the destruction of an aerial repeater based on the Matrice 30t UAV in Pokrovsk.
- Video evidence shows Russian drone operators destroying a Ukrainian Grad MLRS in the Kherson region. The video shows the drone identifying the target, followed by a strike from a "Lancet" loitering munition.
- City of Pryluky (Chernihiv Oblast) is under threat from enemy drones approaching from the northeast.
- Drones in the west of Poltava region, course - west / southwest;
- Drones in the north of Sumy region, course - south-west;
- Drones in the center of Chernihiv region, course - south / south-west;
- Drones in the east of Kyiv region, course - west / north-west;
- Drones on the border of Kirovohrad and Odesa regions, course - west.
- Enemy drone is moving in the direction of Cherkasy from the southeast.
- One drone north of Cherkasy, moving towards Kyiv Oblast. Two drones west of Poltava, moving northwest. Five drones near Konotop, moving southwest.
- Explosions were reported in Cherkasy and its outskirts.
- Russian forces launched an attack on the Zaporizhzhia Nuclear Power Plant with 8 drones.
New: Video from "БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС" shows a Ukrainian FPV drone attempting to hit a Russian Ka-52 "Alligator" helicopter. The helicopter evaded the attack. The incident took place in the Zaporizhzhia direction.
New: Ukrainian border guards reportedly struck a Russian drone launch site in Vovchansk using drones. The "Hart" brigade carried out the operation.
New: Video from "Colonelcassad" shows an unsuccessful attempt by a Ukrainian FPV drone to hit a Russian Ka-52 helicopter.
New: Video from "Операция Z" shows the "String" of the "Brave" destroying enemy defenses while advancing towards Pokrovsk. The footage is from the 35th Brigade of the "Center" group.
New: Video from "Colonelcassad" shows the 155th brigade of the Russian marines destroying Ukrainian manpower and equipment in the Kursk direction.
New: Ukrainian drone operators targeted and killed a Russian soldier in the Pokrovsk direction.
New: In the Rostov region, 16 Ukrainian drones were destroyed by air defense forces.
New: Soldiers of the 108th Air Assault Brigade shared footage of their work in the Zaporizhzhia region. The footage shows the defeat of personnel, shelters, equipment, and ammunition depots. The soldiers invite volunteers to join their brigade. The location is indicated as Pology.
New: Video evidence shows a Ukrainian drone operator targeting a Russian soldier.
New: Video from the "Operatsiya Z" Telegram channel shows the 506th Regiment conducting an offensive near the city, resulting in heavy losses for Ukrainian forces.
New: Video evidence shows a Ukrainian drone operator targeting a Russian 2S7 Pion self-propelled howitzer with three separate strikes.
New: A video from the 25th Airborne Brigade shows a Ukrainian soldier placing an explosive charge on the roof of a dugout where enemy soldiers are hiding.
New: A video shows a night-time drone strike on enemy positions by a Ukrainian "Vampire" drone.
New: Ukrainian forces, specifically the "Birds of Madyar" unit, used drones to record the bodies of North Korean and Russian troops in Kursk Oblast.
New: "АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА Z" reports that enemy groups attempted to infiltrate from Cherkasskoye Porechnoye but were repelled by artillery fire. Enemy reserves are reportedly being brought into Lebedevka and Sverdlikovo.
New: Video from "БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС" shows footage of Russian soldiers suffering losses in the Kursk region. The video shows a Russian soldier walking through a field littered with the bodies of fallen comrades. The soldier expresses his frustration and anger at the situation, questioning the purpose of the war and the heavy losses suffered by Russian forces.
New: Video from "Colonelcassad" shows the 155th brigade of the Russian marines destroying Ukrainian manpower and equipment in the Kursk direction. The video shows drone footage of strikes on Ukrainian positions and vehicles, resulting in explosions and fires. The video also shows Russian soldiers advancing and engaging Ukrainian forces.
New: Overnight, in the Kursk region, 40 Ukrainian drones were destroyed by air defense forces. The video shows footage of explosions in the night sky, followed by images of the wreckage of downed drones.
New: Video from "Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны" reports that the 114th brigade has liberated Shevchenko, continuing their offensive beyond Kurakhovo. The video and images depict the aftermath of fighting in the area, with Russian forces planting a flag in the center of Shevchenko, claiming control of the settlement. The video also shows footage of Russian soldiers advancing and engaging Ukrainian forces.
New: Ukrainian forces from the 47th Mechanized Brigade repelled a massive Russian assault in the Viktorivka area near Malaya Loknya, Kursk region. The attack involved about 50 units of equipment. The assault was carried out in six waves. The Ukrainian forces successfully repelled the attack, inflicting significant losses on the enemy. The video shows footage of destroyed Russian tanks and armored vehicles, as well as captured Russian soldiers.
New: Video evidence of a North Korean soldier evicting two Russian women from their house in the village of Makhnovka. The video shows the soldier, speaking in broken Russian, ordering the women to leave the house, claiming that it is now his property. The women protest, but the soldier insists that they must leave.
New: In Kurshchyna, Ukrainian defenders repelled 25 enemy attacks. The video shows footage of intense fighting in the area, with Ukrainian forces engaging Russian troops and vehicles. The video also shows footage of Ukrainian soldiers evacuating wounded comrades.
New: The enemy is attempting to reinforce the defense of Kositsa with additional equipment and personnel. The video shows footage of Ukrainian drones targeting Russian reinforcements near Kositsa, resulting in explosions and fires.
New: The situation in Cherkasskoye Porechnoye, Martynovka, Agronom, and Pogrebki remains unchanged. The video shows footage of ongoing fighting in these areas, with both sides exchanging fire.
New: The enemy attempted to attack with two armored personnel carriers near Makhnovka but was destroyed by an FPV drone. The video shows footage of the drone strike, destroying both APCs.
New: The Russian Ministry of Defense reports that Ukrainian forces lost more than 280 people and two tanks in the Kursk region during the day. The video shows footage of destroyed Ukrainian tanks and other military equipment.
New: Video of a Russian Su-34 bomber destroying a Ukrainian stronghold in the Kursk border area. The video shows footage of the bomber dropping bombs on the stronghold, resulting in a large explosion.
New: Special Forces soldiers destroyed a Ukrainian stronghold in the Kursk direction, capturing several Ukrainian soldiers. The captured soldiers are from the 57th and 82nd Brigades. The video shows footage of the captured soldiers, as well as the destroyed stronghold.
New: Video evidence of Russian forces capturing 13 Ukrainian soldiers from the 82nd Brigade in the Kursk region. The video shows footage of the captured soldiers, who are being interrogated by Russian forces.
New: The message states that the operation to neutralize the enemy in the Kursk region continues. The video shows footage of ongoing fighting in the area, with Russian forces engaging Ukrainian troops and vehicles.
New: The Russian Ministry of Defense reports that since the beginning of hostilities in the Kursk region, the AFU has lost more than 50,310 troops, 294 tanks, 218 infantry fighting vehicles, 161 armored personnel carriers, 1,517 armored fighting vehicles, 1,435 vehicles, 348 artillery guns, 44 MLRS launchers, including 13 HIMARS and 6 MLRS made by the USA, 16 anti-aircraft missile launchers, eight transport-loading vehicles, 90 EW stations.
New: A Ukrainian counterattack involving about 50 units of equipment was repelled by Ukrainian forces near Viktorivka. The attack was carried out in six waves. Ukrainian forces reportedly destroyed a significant amount of enemy equipment and inflicted heavy casualties. The video shows footage of destroyed Russian tanks and armored vehicles, as well as captured Russian soldiers.

Geopolitical Developments

Potential Meeting Between Scholz and Putin: Reports suggest a meeting before February 23.
US Legal Action: A US court has sentenced a Canadian citizen to 3.5 years in prison for allegedly illegally exporting electronic equipment to Russia. Three Russians have been charged in the US with money laundering, accused of involvement in cryptocurrency mixers Blender.io and Sinbad.io.
Migration Crisis: Western countries, particularly English-speaking ones, are facing a significant migration crisis, with potential impacts on labor, housing, and social spending.
Slovak-Russian Relations: Slovak Prime Minister Fico has praised his visit to Russia, citing stable gas supplies as a positive outcome. He also accused Ukraine of harming Slovakia's energy security.
Western Support for Ukraine: A Foreign Policy op-ed by Stephen Walt suggests that supporters of Kyiv in the West may soon face a debate on "Who Lost Ukraine" after the conflict ends.
US-France Meeting: US Secretary of State Blinken and French President Macron discussed unwavering support for Ukraine and concerns about China's support for Russia's defense industry.
BRICS Data: Data on contracts of international organizations, primarily the BRICS New Development Bank, may appear on the public procurement website.
Ukraine-Poland Relations: Ukraine has, for the first time, permitted Poland to conduct exhumations of those who died in Volyn during World War II, according to the Prime Minister of Poland.
Bulgarian Territorial Claims: The leader of the Bulgarian Revival party, Kostadin Kostadinov, has called for the annexation of Southern Bessarabia (part of the Odesa region) to Bulgaria, citing the presence of a Bulgarian population in the area.
Serbia: Serbia has until February 25 to withdraw Russian capital from the NIS company due to the inclusion of Gazprom Neft and Gazprom assets in the US sanctions list, according to the President of Serbia, Aleksandar Vucic.
US-Ukraine: President Biden in a telephone conversation with Zelensky reaffirmed the continued support for Ukraine from the US. Zelensky thanked Biden for his support and discussed the details of new sanctions against Russia, particularly the targeting of Russia's energy sector, which is a critical source of funding for Putin's war.
EU-Venezuela: The EU has expanded sanctions against Venezuela on the day of Maduro's inauguration, targeting 15 individuals accused of undermining democracy, the rule of law, and human rights. Maduro announced that he will meet with Volodin, who represented Russia at the inauguration.
Russia-Spain: Russia has become the second-largest supplier of gas to Spain in 2024, according to data from the energy company Enagás.
US-Russia: In the US, three Russians have been charged with money laundering: Roman Ostapenko, Alexander Oleynik, and Anton Tarasov. They are accused of being involved in the activities of cryptocurrency mixers Blender.io and Sinbad.io, according to the US Department of Justice.
Since 2022, the US has invested $5.5 billion in increasing the production of shells and missiles, according to a Pentagon report.
US-Ukraine: President Biden, in a conversation with Zelensky, stated that the price of participation in the war for Russia is "incredibly high," citing over 600,000

Situation Report