Updated Analysis of the Military Situation in Ukraine - January 11, 2025, 07:33 UTC
Strategic Overview
The military situation in Ukraine remains critical, with intense fighting concentrated in the Donetsk, Kursk, and Luhansk regions. Russian forces maintain the offensive initiative, particularly in Donetsk, where they have captured Kurakhove and a significant portion of Toretsk. They are advancing towards Pokrovsk and along the Pokrovsk-Konstantinovka highway. The situation in Toretsk is dire, with Ukrainian sources reporting that only a small part of the city remains under Ukrainian control. Russian assault groups are reportedly attacking from multiple directions within the city. A large stronghold of the Armed Forces of Ukraine (AFU) in Dzerzhynsk (Toretsk) has been cleared, with only localized pockets of resistance remaining. The enemy is preparing defensive lines outside the city.
In the Kursk region, a major Ukrainian counteroffensive has stalled, with heavy fighting and significant losses on both sides. Russian forces have regained territory and are making advances in the Sudzha area, particularly around Russkoye Porechnoye and towards Kositsa. Russian forces report they are completing the liberation of Russkoye Porechnoye. Ukrainian military analysts acknowledge Russian advances up to 3.25 km deep in this area.
In Luhansk, Russian forces are advancing near Ivanivka and towards the western border of the Luhansk People's Republic.
Drone warfare remains a dominant feature of the conflict, with widespread activity across multiple regions. Ukrainian air defenses are actively engaging these threats, reportedly destroying 85 Russian drones overnight. Confirmed drone attacks deep inside Russian territory, including Engels, Voronezh, Kursk, Saratov, and Lipetsk Oblasts, demonstrate the reach and increasing sophistication of Ukrainian drone capabilities. Temporary restrictions were placed on airports in Kazan, Nizhnekamsk, and Ulyanovsk for safety reasons, suggesting concerns about potential drone threats in those areas. The airports have now resumed normal operations. Ukrainian forces are also actively utilizing drones for attacks, with reports indicating a significant number of drones being deployed in recent engagements.
The geopolitical landscape remains complex, with continued international support for Ukraine, but also potential diplomatic efforts between Germany and Russia. NATO is planning large-scale exercises on its eastern flank, named "Steadfast Dart," from January 13th to February 26th, involving 10,000 troops from 10 countries. These exercises will take place in Romania, Bulgaria, and Greece. The goal is to test the rapid deployment capabilities of NATO's Response Force (ARF) and enhance interoperability between participating nations. The US has also threatened China with "significant consequences" for aiding Russia in the conflict with Ukraine.
New Developments:
- Drone Attack on Primorsk: A Ukrainian drone attack targeted the village of Primorsk in the Zaporizhzhia region, resulting in the death of a 47-year-old woman and injuries to four other civilians. The drone reportedly struck a civilian vehicle.
- Intensified Drone Activity: Reports of increased drone activity across multiple regions, including attacks on Voronezh, Kursk, and Dzhankoi in occupied Crimea. Explosions were reported in these areas.
- Massive Drone Attack on Russia: Russian air defense forces reportedly intercepted and destroyed 85 Ukrainian drones overnight. The drones were shot down over various regions, including the Black Sea, Voronezh, Krasnodar, Belgorod, Tambov, Crimea, and Kursk.
- Fundraising for Drones: Messages indicate ongoing fundraising efforts to support both Russian and Ukrainian forces with drones, highlighting the continued importance of these platforms in the conflict.
- Capture of Kurakhove: Ukrainian sources have acknowledged the complete capture of Kurakhove by Russian forces, with DeepState reporting a new threat to the Shevchenko area. The loss of Kurakhove is described as critical, with the terrain between two rivers making defense and counterattacks difficult.
- Russian Advances in Donetsk: Russian forces are reportedly advancing on the Kurakhove direction, with reports of them bypassing Shevchenko along the river from the side of Staryi Terny. Fighting continues in the center of Shevchenko.
- Alleged Bulgarian Territorial Claims: The leader of the Bulgarian "Revival" party, Kostadin Kostadinov, has reportedly stated that Bulgaria should claim Southern Bessarabia, which is part of the Odessa region. He also expressed support for Trump's statements regarding the annexation of Canada and the Panama Canal and voiced claims on Macedonia.
- Potential Shift in US Support for Ukraine: Reports suggest that the Biden administration believes there are enough Democrats and Republicans in Congress who support continued aid to Ukraine and will not agree to any attempts by Trump to stop it.
- Airfield Strike in Mykolaiv Region: Russian forces reportedly launched a massive strike on the military airfield Martynivka in the Mykolaiv region.
- Fires in California: Russian cosmonaut Ivan Vagner photographed fires in California from the International Space Station.
- Derelict Tanker in the Baltic Sea: German media reported that the tanker Eventin, carrying around 100,000 tons of oil, is adrift in the Baltic Sea. The ship is reportedly unable to maneuver but does not pose an environmental threat. The tanker departed from the Russian port of Ust-Luga on January 6th and was last seen on January 10th.
- FPV Drone Strike in Kursk Region: A Russian FPV drone reportedly destroyed a Ukrainian vehicle with an electronic warfare system in the Kursk region.
- Casualty Report: A Ukrainian soldier named Captain Kuznetsov Danila Alexandrovich was reportedly killed on January 1st when his Mi-28NM helicopter crashed while flying from Belgorod to the Voronezh region.
- Engels Oil Depot Fire Update: The area of the fire at the industrial facility in Engels has reportedly decreased by 80%, but the burning process continues.
- Ukrainian Drone Warfare Training: Ukrainian forces from the 1st Assault Battalion of the 92nd Separate Assault Brigade are conducting training exercises with FPV drones in the Kursk region.
- Russian Drone Countermeasures Training: Russian forces are conducting training exercises to counter Ukrainian drones, using 12-gauge shotguns.
- Ukrainian Forced Mobilization: A video reportedly shows Ukrainian military recruitment officers forcibly detaining a man in the Volyn region.
- Illegal Border Crossing Crackdown: Ukrainian authorities have conducted 600 searches across the country, resulting in over 60 charges against individuals involved in illegally transporting people across the border.
Key Developments
Donetsk Region
- Fall of Kurakhove: Russian forces control most of Kurakhove, with Ukrainian forces holding the western part, including a thermal power plant. Ukrainian sources indicate the city is "factually lost." Ukrainian forces captured 11 Russian soldiers during mop-up operations in a multi-story building in Kurakhove.
- Critical Situation in Toretsk: Less than 15% of Toretsk remains under Ukrainian control. Russian assault groups have infiltrated Ukrainian formations, and fighting is approaching its culmination. Russian forces have established a flag in the northern part of the city, confirming their control over the northern part of Dzerzhynsk (Toretsk). The enemy is attempting to capture a thermal power plant near Toretsk. A large stronghold of the AFU in Dzerzhynsk (Toretsk) has been cleared, with only localized pockets of resistance remaining. The enemy is preparing defensive lines outside the city. Ukrainian forces report that they destroyed a Russian infantry fighting vehicle in the Toretsk direction, using a drone.
- Russian Advances Towards Pokrovsk: Russian forces are intensifying attacks near Pokrovsk, with progress in Novovasylivka, Yelyzavetivka, and Baranovka. Video evidence shows the destruction of enemy defenses by the 35th Brigade near Pokrovsk. Video from the "Operatsiya Z" Telegram channel shows the 506th Regiment conducting an offensive near the city, resulting in heavy losses for Ukrainian forces.
- Shevchenko and Ivanivka Captured: Russian forces have captured Shevchenko and Ivanivka. Russian forces have broken through Ukrainian defenses near Ivanovka and are engaged in battles for the dominant height near Kolodezi.
- Other Advances: Further Russian gains near Vozdvyzhenka, Baranivka, Solone, Slovyanka, Petropavlivka, Novoelizavetovka, and Kurakhove. Advances in Pisky and the eastern outskirts of Dachne. Gains are also reported near Chasiv Yar, Belogorovka, Ukrainka, Novyi Trud, Ivan-Daryevka, Slavyanka, Petropavlovka, Myrolyubivka, Vodyane Druhe, Baranivka, Zelene Pole, and Tymofiivka. Russian forces advanced 300 meters west of Orlyanske and towards Kolodezi from Ivanivka on the Lyman axis. DeepState reports advances near Andriivka, Solone, and Novosilka.
- Intense Fighting: The General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports particularly intense fighting in the Pokrovsky and Kurakhiv directions, with 192 attacks in the Donetsk direction and 107 in the Pokrovsk direction over the past day. 37 combat clashes are still ongoing. Ukrainian forces report significant losses inflicted on Russian forces. The Ukrainian General Staff reports that in the Donetsk direction, the enemy attacked Ukrainian positions 192 times over the past day, 107 times in the Pokrovsk direction and 73 times in the Kurakhiv direction. 37 combat clashes are still ongoing. Ukrainian forces have inflicted the following losses on the enemy: 156 killed and 291 wounded, 3 tanks destroyed, 5 armored combat vehicles, 3 artillery systems, 32 anti-aircraft guns, 5 vehicles, and 1 special vehicle.
- Chasiv Yar: Video evidence of a successful Russian "Lancet" drone strike on a Ukrainian BMP. Ukrainian forces reported shooting down four Russian reconnaissance drones. Russian forces report they have advanced 500 meters near the South-Eastern mine and claim new positions in the northern part. Video from the "Two Majors" Telegram channel, shows the aftermath of fighting in Chasiv Yar. The video compares the current situation to the winter assault on Grozny in 1994-1995, highlighting the harsh conditions and urban warfare. The narrator mentions the presence of NATO-supplied weaponry, including Javelin anti-tank missile systems.
- On the Kramatorsk direction, Ukrainian forces repelled six attacks, with five clashes ongoing.
- On the Toretsk direction, three Russian attacks were reported, with one ongoing.
- On the Pokrovsk direction, supported by aviation, Russian forces initiated 28 clashes, with five ongoing.
- On the Kurakhiv direction, fierce battles are ongoing, with 14 enemy attacks repelled.
- Dnipropetrovsk Direction: Battles are ongoing across the entire direction, with particularly fierce battles near Novovasylivka - Uspenivka. Russian forces have cleared Novovasylivka and are engaged in battles to capture Uspenivka. Further south, there are intense battles for Novoandreevka and near Sribne. Russian forces control Yasenovoe. Near Slavyanka, Russian units have advanced towards the road to Andreevka.
- Ukrainian Resistance: Ukrainian forces are resisting the Russian advance, reporting the repulsion of an assault near Velyka Novosilka and pushing Russian forces out of the southern part of Novoielizavetivka.
- Russian forces are advancing towards Vodyane Druhe and Tarasovka, with battles ongoing for Baranovka and Yelyzavetivka.
- Russian forces advanced in Petrovka (Novospasskoe), west of Shcherbinovka.
- Russian forces have liberated Ukrainka and are advancing towards Yasenovoye, with a foothold on the outskirts. They also control the Yasenovoye-Konstantinopol intersection.
- Explosions were reported in Samara (Novomoskovsk), Dnipropetrovsk Oblast.
- Russian forces claim to have inflicted up to 550 casualties on Ukrainian forces in the "Center" group's area of responsibility.
- Repeated launches of guided aerial bombs by Russian tactical aviation reported in the Donetsk region.
- Video footage shows a Ukrainian FPV drone targeting a Russian Ka-52 helicopter, though the attempt was unsuccessful.
- Video evidence shows a Russian soldier filming the aftermath of a Ukrainian FPV drone strike on a Russian vehicle, indicating casualties among the Russian assault group.
- Video from "Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны" shows an assault on Kurakhovo by Russian special forces from the "Grachi" detachment. The video claims that the special forces destroyed a stronghold of the 46th Airmobile Brigade of the Ukrainian Armed Forces, killing dozens of Ukrainian soldiers and capturing six.
- Video from "БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС" shows a quad bike driving through a destroyed Russian column on the Pokrovsk direction.
- Video from "Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны" shows the 506th Regiment conducting an offensive near the city, resulting in heavy losses for Ukrainian forces.
- Video evidence shows a Ukrainian unit targeting a Russian position in a building in Toretsk with an explosive device.
- Russian forces launched an attack on the Zaporizhzhia Nuclear Power Plant with 8 drones.
- Ukrainian forces report destroying 3 Russian BTRs.
- Ukrainian forces report repelling a Russian assault near Kurdyumivka in the Bakhmut area.
- Video evidence shows a Ukrainian drone operator targeting a Russian 2S7 Pion self-propelled howitzer with three separate strikes.
- A video from the 25th Airborne Brigade shows a Ukrainian soldier placing an explosive charge on the roof of a dugout where enemy soldiers are hiding.
- A video shows a night-time drone strike on enemy positions by a Ukrainian "Vampire" drone.
- Ukrainian drone operators targeted and killed a Russian soldier in the Pokrovsk direction.
- Video evidence shows a Ukrainian drone operator targeting a Russian soldier.
- The Ukrainian 47th Mechanized Brigade "Magura" reports repelling a massive Russian assault, involving about 50 units of equipment. The attacks were carried out in 6 waves. Ukrainian forces, along with adjacent units, reportedly destroyed a significant amount of enemy equipment and inflicted heavy casualties.
- Video from the "Operatsiya Z" Telegram channel shows the 506th Regiment conducting an offensive near the city, resulting in heavy losses for Ukrainian forces.
- Russian forces are advancing towards Vodyane Druhe and Tarasovka, with battles ongoing for Baranovka and Yelyzavetivka.
- Ukrainian forces repelled six attacks near Vasyukovka, Bondarnoye, Chasov Yar, and Stupochki, with five clashes ongoing in the Kramatorsk direction.
- Three Russian attacks were reported near Toretsk, with one ongoing in the Toretsk direction.
- In the Pokrovsk direction, Russian forces initiated 28 clashes, with Ukrainian forces repelling attacks near Tarasovka, Vodyanoye Vtoroye, Elizavetovka, Promin, Lysovka, Sukhoi Yar, Zelenoye, Novy Trud, and Pokrovsk. Five clashes are ongoing.
- In the Kurakhiv direction, fierce battles are ongoing near Sribnoye, Andreevka, Kurakhovo, and Dachnoye, with 14 enemy attacks repelled.
- Video from "Colonelcassad" shows the "String" of the "Brave" destroying enemy defenses while advancing towards Pokrovsk. The footage is from the 35th Brigade of the "Center" group.
- The "Беркут" group of the 238th Artillery Brigade's reconnaissance battalion successfully destroyed a Ukrainian M777 howitzer using an X-51 "Lancet" loitering munition. This strike was carried out in support of the 5th Brigade's offensive near Ulakly on the Kurakhiv direction.
- Ukrainian forces, specifically the "Birds of Madyar" unit, used drones to record the bodies of North Korean and Russian troops in Kursk Oblast.
- Soldiers of the 108th Air Assault Brigade shared footage of their work in the Zaporizhzhia region. The footage shows the defeat of personnel, shelters, equipment, and ammunition depots. The soldiers invite volunteers to join their brigade. The location is indicated as Pology.
- The "Nemets" group from the 291st Guards Motorized Rifle Regiment is using FPV drones to destroy enemy targets on the Zaporizhzhia front.
Kursk Region
- Stalled Ukrainian Counteroffensive: The Ukrainian counteroffensive has stalled, with reports of heavy losses (estimated up to 48,000 casualties). The Ukrainian 47th Mechanized Brigade "Magura" reports repelling a massive Russian assault, involving about 50 units of equipment. The attacks were carried out in 6 waves. Ukrainian forces, along with adjacent units, reportedly destroyed a significant amount of enemy equipment and inflicted heavy casualties.
- Renewed Russian Offensive: Russian forces have resumed offensive operations, with advances near Novaya Sorochina, between Guyevo and Kurilovka, and in the forested areas of the Sudzha border region. Russian forces report that the counterattacking potential of Ukrainian forces has waned. They have captured Russkoye Porechnoye and are assaulting Cherkasskoye Porechnoye. Russian paratroopers are reportedly making progress, pushing Ukrainian forces out of Makhnovka and Dmitryukov.
- Intense Fighting: Intense fighting is reported in multiple locations, including Pogrebki, Orlovka, Staraya Sorochina, Novaya Sorochina, and the forests near Sverdlikovo and Lebedevka. Russian forces are making small advances in Pogrebki and the Sudzha area. Fighting continues near Kotlyno, Berdin, and Malaya Loknya. Russian forces report that the situation near Makhnovka is as follows: "Statements about the complete liberation of the settlement are premature. There are heavy oncoming battles. Moreover, the enemy understands that the loss of Makhnovka and Zamostya will greatly complicate the defense of Sudzha, therefore it is putting up fierce resistance, actively working with artillery, there are no escapes from positions. Nevertheless, our men are literally gnawing out every meter of land. There will be good news, let's be patient."
- Artillery & Drones: Russian artillery and drone operations are proving effective. FPV-equipped FAB (high-explosive aerial bomb) munitions are reportedly in use by Russian drone operators in the Kursk region.
- Reinforcements: Over 350 enemy personnel, including special operations forces, have reportedly arrived in the region.
- Enemy Reserves: Intelligence suggests a concentration of enemy forces near Pogrebki and the presence of Ukrainian reserves in the Sumy region. Ukrainian reserves are reportedly being brought into Lebedevka and Sverdlikovo.
- Makhnovka: Heavy fighting continues, with both sides present. Video evidence shows Ukrainian forces targeting a Russian position with a drone. Ukrainian forces report destroying a Russian ammunition depot.
- Sverdlikovo and Lebedevka: Paratroopers from the 106th Airborne Division are conducting active assault operations in the forests.
- The General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports that in Kurshchyna today, Ukrainian defenders repelled 16 enemy attacks, six combat clashes continue.
- The Russian Ministry of Defense reports significant Ukrainian losses in the region during the day and since the beginning of hostilities.
- Video evidence of Russian forces capturing 13 Ukrainian soldiers from the 82nd Brigade.
- Special Forces soldiers destroyed a Ukrainian stronghold, capturing several Ukrainian soldiers from the 57th and 82nd Brigades.
- Video of a Russian Su-34 bomber destroying a Ukrainian stronghold.
- The enemy is attempting to reinforce the defense of Kositsa with additional equipment and personnel.
- The situation in Cherkasskoye Porechnoye, Martynovka, Agronom, and Pogrebki remains unchanged.
- The enemy attempted to attack with two armored personnel carriers near Makhnovka but was destroyed by an FPV drone.
- In Kurshchyna, Ukrainian defenders repelled 25 enemy attacks.
- Active fighting is taking place in the area of Sudzha. An attack by the Russian Armed Forces in the settlement of Russkoye Porechnoye by an infantry unit was reported. The assault group was shelled by the Ukrainian Armed Forces. The Russian Armed Forces advanced more than 2 km and reached the advanced positions near the village of Kositsa.
- In Kurshchyna, Ukrainian defenders repelled 25 enemy attacks.
- Russian sources claim the enemy has lost at least 35 pieces of equipment and more than 200 personnel in the last two days, with 14 Ukrainian soldiers captured near Berdin.
- 26 Ukrainian soldiers surrendered after a failed counterattack, according to Russian sources.
- Almost 30 Ukrainian paratroopers were captured after a failed counterattack in Volchansk.
- Dozens of Ukrainian soldiers have been taken prisoner.
- Ukrainian airborne troops from the 95th Air Assault Brigade are using drones to attack Russian forces in Pogrebki.
- Russian forces report that they have cleared Berdin of Ukrainian forces and that Ukrainian forces are retreating to the forests.
- Russian forces report that they are continuing to storm Pogrebki and that both sides are present in the village. Russian forces also report that they are conducting an offensive west of Novaya Sorochina.
- Russian forces report that they control most of Russkoye Porechnoye and are concentrating reserves southwest of Kozino.
- Russian forces are continuing their offensive near Leonidovo, advancing towards Viktorivka and Nikolsky.
- Russian forces are attempting to reach the outskirts of Sudzha, with fighting ongoing near Zamostye.
- Video evidence shows Ukrainian forces successfully employing a "Stugna-P" ATGM system against enemy vehicles in the region.
- A German Leopard 2A6 tank was destroyed in the Kursk region.
- Zelensky stated that the Kursk operation was one of the main victories, not only last year, but throughout the war.
- Russian paratroopers are reportedly pushing Ukrainian forces out of Makhnovka and Dmitryukov. They also destroyed Ukrainian firing points with a 2S9 Nona-S self-propelled mortar.
- In Chasiv Yar, Ivanovo paratroopers repelled a Ukrainian drone attack, suppressing four Baba Yaga drones with small arms fire.
- In the Kursk region, Primorsky paratroopers destroyed a Ukrainian pickup truck with a drone.
- Video from "Colonelcassad" details the ongoing fighting in the Kursk region, with Russian forces advancing in Nikolaevo-Daryino, Makhnovka, and Russkoye Porechnoye. The liberation of these settlements may be announced this week. There is also a battle for Cherkasskoye Porechnoye, with the enemy continuing to send reserves despite heavy losses.
- Video evidence shows a Russian soldier winning a hand-to-hand fight against a Ukrainian soldier, who subsequently detonated a grenade, killing himself.
- "АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА Z" reports that enemy groups attempted to infiltrate from Cherkasskoye Porechnoye but were repelled by artillery fire. Enemy reserves are reportedly being brought into Lebedevka and Sverdlikovo, and the use of "Baba Yaga" agricultural drones for reconnaissance is mentioned.
- Video from "БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС" shows footage of Russian soldiers suffering losses in the Kursk region.
- Video from "Colonelcassad" shows the 155th brigade of the Russian marines destroying Ukrainian manpower and equipment in the Kursk direction.
- Overnight, in the Kursk region, 40 Ukrainian drones were destroyed by air defense forces.
- Video from "Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны" reports that the 114th brigade has liberated Shevchenko, continuing their offensive beyond Kurakhovo. The video and images depict the aftermath of fighting in the area, with Russian forces planting a flag in the center of Shevchenko, claiming control of the settlement.
- Ukrainian forces from the 47th Mechanized Brigade repelled a massive Russian assault in the Viktorivka area near Malaya Loknya, Kursk region. The attack involved about 50 units of equipment. The assault was carried out in six waves. The Ukrainian forces successfully repelled the attack, inflicting significant losses on the enemy.
- Video evidence of a North Korean soldier evicting two Russian women from their house in the village of Makhnovka.
- Operators of drones from the 95th Air Assault Brigade repelled an attack by North Koreans.
- Russian forces have made a powerful 10-kilometer breakthrough on the Kursk front, liberating Alexandria after previously taking Leonidovo, Novoivanovka, and Kruglenkoye.
- Russian forces have advanced on the western and northern flanks in the Kursk region, penetrating up to 4 kilometers deep on a 10-kilometer wide front.
- After liberating Leonidovo, Russian paratroopers took control of Alexandria and are continuing their attacks towards Staraya Sorochina, Viktorovka, and Nikolsky.
- The pro-Ukrainian analytical resource Deep State has acknowledged the liberation of Leonidovo, Alexandria, and Novoivanovka by Russian forces.
- The cleanup of Pogrebki continues on the southern flank, while paratroopers continue their assault on Makhnovka.
- A Russian Mi-28NM helicopter destroyed a Ukrainian stronghold in the border area of the Kursk region, according to the Russian Ministry of Defense.
- Russian forces are advancing in the Sudzha area, with reports of an infantry unit attacking Russkoye Porechnoye and reaching advanced positions near Kositsa.
- "Два майора" reports that in the Kursk region, the enemy, taking advantage of poor weather conditions with limited visibility, launched 11 unsuccessful counterattacks on different sectors of the front in the Sudzhansky border area. Our troops have completed the clearing of enemy strongholds between Guyevo and Kurilovka, advancing with stubborn fighting in the forest belts of the Sudzhansky district. Fierce fighting continues in Makhnovka and Cherkasskaya Porechnaya, where the enemy is transferring new units.
- Analysis of an image showing a map overlay of the Kursk region, with red areas indicating Russian-controlled territory. Thermal drone footage on the right side of the image shows potential troop or vehicle presence. The image suggests an offensive movement from Kositsa towards Russkoye Porechnoye.
- "АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА" reports that the situation on all fronts remains unchanged, with Russian forces consolidating their positions. Fighting continues in Pogrebki and on the western outskirts of Russkoye Porechnoye. The enemy attempted to attack Makhnovka but was destroyed.
Kharkiv Region
- Russian Advances: Russian forces report advances towards Lozova in the Izyum area and in Dvurichna. They have reportedly expanded their bridgehead up to 5 km south of Dvorechnaya, occupied the forest near Zapadnoye, and advanced significantly in the center of Dvurichna. In the Kupyansk area, the RF Armed Forces attacked armored vehicles west of Orlyansky. The RF Armed Forces expanded the control zone by more than 300 meters along the Kupyansk-Orlyanskoye highway.
- Ukrainian forces have reportedly stabilized the situation near Kruhliakivka and Kolisnykivka, preventing further Russian advances along the Oskil River.
- DeepState denies reports of the occupation of Lozova.
- The 3rd Assault Brigade of the Ukrainian Armed Forces is reportedly engaging Russian forces on the outskirts of Kharkiv.
- On the Kupyansk direction, fighters from the 1st Tank Army disrupted an enemy rotation and hit an American M113 armored personnel carrier with infantry.
- The Ukrainian Armed Forces attempted to counterattack in the Staritsa area of the Kharkiv region, but the Russian Armed Forces prevented a breakthrough of the defense line.
- FPV drone team of Sever Group of Forces reportedly wipes out AFU buggy in Kharkiv region.
- Ukrainian forces repelled a Russian attack and destroyed a US-supplied M113 armored personnel carrier near Kupyansk.
- Video from "Оперативний ЗСУ" shows a Ukrainian FPV drone targeting Russian infantry in the Kharkiv region. One soldier was killed and another wounded.
- Russian forces are reportedly advancing in Dvurichna, according to military expert Andrei Marochko.
Luhansk Region
- Russian Advances: On the Krasnolimansk direction, units of the Russian Army are developing success in Ivanovka (right bank of the Zherebets River). Russian forces are attempting to capture heights beyond Ivanovka near Terny and are storming Zahryzove. Russian forces have captured Ivanovka near Terny, marking a significant advance.
- Following the liberation of Ivanovka, Russian troops continued their advance southward along the opposite bank of the Zherebets River from Terny.
- Russian forces have successfully repelled over 30 Ukrainian attempts to infiltrate the Luhansk People's Republic in the past week, resulting in significant Ukrainian losses.
- Russian forces are advancing near Makeevka, according to pro-Russian sources.
- Russian forces report that they have expanded their zone of control on the right bank of the Zherebets River and are advancing towards the western border of the Luhansk People's Republic.
- Russian forces report that they have advanced beyond Nadiya and are moving towards the border of the Luhansk People's Republic and the Kharkiv region.
- The "Z committee + SVO map" reports that Russian forces are advancing near Ivanovka, Novosadovoe, and Terny.
Drone Warfare
- Extensive Activity: Widespread drone activity is reported across multiple regions, with both sides utilizing drones for reconnaissance, targeting, and attacks. Ukrainian forces report that their drones can strike targets up to 2000 km away. Ukrainian air defense forces are actively engaging hostile drones.
- Confirmed Attack in Engels: A Ukrainian drone attack on an industrial facility in Engels, deep inside Russian territory, has been confirmed. The fire at the oil depot is intensifying, with reports of new explosions and a state of emergency declared.
- New Drone Technology: Reports indicate that Russian forces are increasingly using drones connected to fiber-optic cables, which are resistant to electronic warfare.
- New Drone Activity: Reports of drone movements across multiple oblasts:
- Zhytomyr Oblast: Drones are reported in the northern part, moving west. One drone was reported east of Zviahel, moving southwest. Two drones are reported to be heading towards Malyn, and two more towards Narodychi. A drone is reported to be west of Zhytomyr, heading west/southwest.
- Kyiv Oblast: Drones are present in the northern part, moving west. Air raid alerts have been reported for Kyiv. Reports indicate a drone hit a multi-story building in the Solomyanskyi district of Kyiv, damaging windows and 6 cars, but causing no casualties. Three drones are reported to be circling in the north, with one approaching Boryspil and one having flown past Obukhiv towards Kyiv. 1 drone is approaching Boryspil. 2 drones are flying from Poltava region to Cherkasy. 1 drone is flying from Kirovohrad region to Vinnytsia. 3 drones are in Pryluky area, heading southwest. 3 new drones are flying through Shostka area, heading southwest. Three drones are maneuvering near Chernobyl. A drone is reported to be heading towards Boryspil from the east. An additional drone is reported on the north of Kyiv region, with a course towards Zhytomyr region. Another drone is reported on the south of Kyiv region, with a course towards Vinnytsia region. A drone is reported on the north of Kyiv region, with a course towards the southwest. The air raid alert has been called off for Kyiv.
- Chernihiv Oblast: Drones are observed in the northern and southern parts, moving west. Two drones are reported to be circling north of Chernihiv, and one is reported to be southwest of Chernihiv with a southeast trajectory. One drone is also reported to be circling near Pryluky. Two drones are heading towards Varva. A drone is in the center of Chernihiv Oblast, heading east. 1 drone north of Nizhyn, moving towards Chernihiv. 1 drone is heading via Konotop towards Sumy. 1 drone near Pryluky, moving northwest. A drone is in the center of Chernihiv Oblast, with an eastern course. A drone was detected in the western part of Chernihiv region, moving west. Another drone was detected in the southeastern part of Chernihiv region, moving west. The Ukrainian Air Force reports activity of Russian drones in the Chernihiv region.
- Sumy Oblast: Two drones are heading towards Romny, and one towards Lypova Dolyna. A drone is in the west of Zhytomyr Oblast, with a western/southwestern course. A missile was reported near Mykolaiv, and later, flying towards Nova Odesa (Mykolaiv region). Another missile was reported approaching Yelanets. A drone is in the west of Zhytomyr Oblast, with a western/southwestern course. A new drone is heading towards/through Nikopol. A drone is on the left bank of Kherson Oblast. Enemy drones are entering the southwestern part of Dnipropetrovsk Oblast from the temporarily occupied territories of Zaporizhzhia. An enemy drone is approaching Sumy from the south. Enemy drones are observed in Sumy Oblast (moving north through Sumy) and in the center of Dnipropetrovsk Oblast, course - north-east. A new drone is reported moving towards Dnipro from the southwest. One drone is observed in the north of Dnipropetrovsk Oblast with an eastern course. An enemy drone is observed on the border of Dnipropetrovsk and Kharkiv Oblasts, with a western/northwestern course. 🛵 Chernihiv region - the threat of using enemy attack UAVs! A drone is flying in the **Sum