Updated Analysis of the Military Situation in Ukraine - January 11, 2025, 06:33 UTC

Strategic Overview

The military situation in Ukraine remains critical, with intense fighting concentrated in the Donetsk, Kursk, and Luhansk regions. Russian forces maintain the offensive initiative, particularly in Donetsk, where they have captured Kurakhove and a significant portion of Toretsk. They are advancing towards Pokrovsk and along the Pokrovsk-Konstantinovka highway. The situation in Toretsk is dire, with Ukrainian sources reporting that only a small part of the city remains under Ukrainian control. Russian assault groups are reportedly attacking from multiple directions within the city.

In the Kursk region, a major Ukrainian counteroffensive has stalled, with heavy fighting and significant losses on both sides. Russian forces have regained territory and are making advances in the Sudzha area, particularly around Russkoye Porechnoye and towards Kositsa. Russian forces report they are completing the liberation of Russkoye Porechnoye. Ukrainian military analysts acknowledge Russian advances up to 3.25 km deep in this area.

In Luhansk, Russian forces are advancing near Ivanivka and towards the western border of the Luhansk People's Republic.

Drone warfare remains a dominant feature of the conflict, with widespread activity across multiple regions. Ukrainian air defenses are actively engaging these threats, reportedly destroying 85 Russian drones overnight. Confirmed drone attacks deep inside Russian territory, including Engels, Voronezh, Kursk, Saratov, and Lipetsk Oblasts, demonstrate the reach and increasing sophistication of Ukrainian drone capabilities. Temporary restrictions were placed on airports in Kazan, Nizhnekamsk, and Ulyanovsk for safety reasons, suggesting concerns about potential drone threats in those areas. The airports have now resumed normal operations.

The geopolitical landscape remains complex, with continued international support for Ukraine, but also potential diplomatic efforts between Germany and Russia. NATO is planning large-scale exercises on its eastern flank, named "Steadfast Dart," from January 13th to February 26th, involving 10,000 troops from 10 countries. These exercises will take place in Romania, Bulgaria, and Greece. The goal is to test the rapid deployment capabilities of NATO's Response Force (ARF) and enhance interoperability between participating nations.

Key Developments

Donetsk Region

Fall of Kurakhove: Russian forces control most of Kurakhove, with Ukrainian forces holding the western part, including a thermal power plant. Ukrainian sources indicate the city is "factually lost."
Critical Situation in Toretsk: Less than 15% of Toretsk remains under Ukrainian control. Russian assault groups have infiltrated Ukrainian formations, and fighting is approaching its culmination. Russian forces have established a flag in the northern part of the city, confirming their control over the northern part of Dzerzhynsk (Toretsk).
Russian Advances Towards Pokrovsk: Russian forces are intensifying attacks near Pokrovsk, with progress in Novovasylivka, Yelyzavetivka, and Baranovka.
Shevchenko and Ivanivka Captured: Russian forces have captured Shevchenko and Ivanivka.
Other Advances: Further Russian gains near Vozdvyzhenka, Baranivka, Solone, Slovyanka, Petropavlivka, Novoelizavetovka, and Kurakhove. Advances in Pisky and the eastern outskirts of Dachne. Gains are also reported near Chasiv Yar, Belogorovka, Ukrainka, Novyi Trud, Ivan-Daryevka, Slavyanka, Petropavlovka, Myrolyubivka, Vodyane Druhe, Baranivka, Zelene Pole, and Tymofiivka. Russian forces advanced 300 meters west of Orlyanske and towards Kolodezi from Ivanivka on the Lyman axis. DeepState reports advances near Andriivka, Solone, and Novosilka.
Intense Fighting: The General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports particularly intense fighting in the Pokrovsky and Kurakhiv directions, with 192 attacks in the Donetsk direction and 107 in the Pokrovsk direction over the past day. 37 combat clashes are still ongoing. Ukrainian forces report significant losses inflicted on Russian forces.
Chasiv Yar: Video evidence of a successful Russian "Lancet" drone strike on a Ukrainian BMP. Ukrainian forces reported shooting down four Russian reconnaissance drones. Russian forces report they have advanced 500 meters near the South-Eastern mine and claim new positions in the northern part. Video from the "Two Majors" Telegram channel, shows the aftermath of fighting in Chasiv Yar. The video compares the current situation to the winter assault on Grozny in 1994-1995, highlighting the harsh conditions and urban warfare. The narrator mentions the presence of NATO-supplied weaponry, including Javelin anti-tank missile systems.
On the Kramatorsk direction, Ukrainian forces repelled six attacks, with five clashes ongoing.
On the Toretsk direction, three Russian attacks were reported, with one ongoing.
On the Pokrovsk direction, supported by aviation, Russian forces initiated 28 clashes, with five ongoing.
On the Kurakhiv direction, fierce battles are ongoing, with 14 enemy attacks repelled.
Dnipropetrovsk Direction: Battles are ongoing across the entire direction, with particularly fierce battles near Novovasylivka - Uspenivka. Russian forces have cleared Novovasylivka and are engaged in battles to capture Uspenivka. Further south, there are intense battles for Novoandreevka and near Sribne. Russian forces control Yasenovoe. Near Slavyanka, Russian units have advanced towards the road to Andreevka.
Ukrainian Resistance: Ukrainian forces are resisting the Russian advance, reporting the repulsion of an assault near Velyka Novosilka and pushing Russian forces out of the southern part of Novoielizavetivka.
Russian forces are advancing towards Vodyane Druhe and Tarasovka, with battles ongoing for Baranovka and Yelyzavetivka.
Russian forces advanced in Petrovka (Novospasskoe), west of Shcherbinovka.
Russian forces have liberated Ukrainka and are advancing towards Yasenovoye, with a foothold on the outskirts. They also control the Yasenovoye-Konstantinopol intersection.
Explosions were reported in Samara (Novomoskovsk), Dnipropetrovsk Oblast.
Russian forces claim to have inflicted up to 550 casualties on Ukrainian forces in the "Center" group's area of responsibility.
Repeated launches of guided aerial bombs by Russian tactical aviation reported in the Donetsk region.
Video footage shows a Ukrainian FPV drone targeting a Russian Ka-52 helicopter, though the attempt was unsuccessful.
Video evidence shows a Russian soldier filming the aftermath of a Ukrainian FPV drone strike on a Russian vehicle, indicating casualties among the Russian assault group.
Video from "Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны" shows an assault on Kurakhovo by Russian special forces from the "Grachi" detachment. The video claims that the special forces destroyed a stronghold of the 46th Airmobile Brigade of the Ukrainian Armed Forces, killing dozens of Ukrainian soldiers and capturing six.
Video from "БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС" shows a quad bike driving through a destroyed Russian column on the Pokrovsk direction.
Video from "Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны" shows the 506th Regiment conducting an offensive near the city, resulting in heavy losses for Ukrainian forces.
Video evidence shows a Ukrainian unit targeting a Russian position in a building in Toretsk with an explosive device.
Russian forces launched an attack on the Zaporizhzhia Nuclear Power Plant with 8 drones.
Ukrainian forces report destroying 3 Russian BTRs.
Ukrainian forces report repelling a Russian assault near Kurdyumivka in the Bakhmut area.
Video evidence shows a Ukrainian drone operator targeting a Russian 2S7 Pion self-propelled howitzer with three separate strikes.
A video from the 25th Airborne Brigade shows a Ukrainian soldier placing an explosive charge on the roof of a dugout where enemy soldiers are hiding.
A video shows a night-time drone strike on enemy positions by a Ukrainian "Vampire" drone.
Ukrainian drone operators targeted and killed a Russian soldier in the Pokrovsk direction.
Video evidence shows a Ukrainian drone operator targeting a Russian soldier.
The Ukrainian 47th Mechanized Brigade "Magura" reports repelling a massive Russian assault, involving about 50 units of equipment. The attacks were carried out in 6 waves. Ukrainian forces, along with adjacent units, reportedly destroyed a significant amount of enemy equipment and inflicted heavy casualties.
Video from the "Operatsiya Z" Telegram channel shows the 506th Regiment conducting an offensive near the city, resulting in heavy losses for Ukrainian forces.
Russian forces are advancing towards Vodyane Druhe and Tarasovka, with battles ongoing for Baranovka and Yelyzavetivka.
Ukrainian forces repelled six attacks near Vasyukovka, Bondarnoye, Chasov Yar, and Stupochki, with five clashes ongoing in the Kramatorsk direction.
Three Russian attacks were reported near Toretsk, with one ongoing in the Toretsk direction.
In the Pokrovsk direction, Russian forces initiated 28 clashes, with Ukrainian forces repelling attacks near Tarasovka, Vodyanoye Vtoroye, Elizavetovka, Promin, Lysovka, Sukhoi Yar, Zelenoye, Novy Trud, and Pokrovsk. Five clashes are ongoing.
In the Kurakhiv direction, fierce battles are ongoing near Sribnoye, Andreevka, Kurakhovo, and Dachnoye, with 14 enemy attacks repelled.
Video from "Colonelcassad" shows the "String" of the "Brave" destroying enemy defenses while advancing towards Pokrovsk. The footage is from the 35th Brigade of the "Center" group.
The "Беркут" group of the 238th Artillery Brigade's reconnaissance battalion successfully destroyed a Ukrainian M777 howitzer using an X-51 "Lancet" loitering munition. This strike was carried out in support of the 5th Brigade's offensive near Ulakly on the Kurakhiv direction.

Kursk Region

Stalled Ukrainian Counteroffensive: The Ukrainian counteroffensive has stalled, with reports of heavy losses (estimated up to 48,000 casualties).
Renewed Russian Offensive: Russian forces have resumed offensive operations, with advances near Novaya Sorochina, between Guyevo and Kurilovka, and in the forested areas of the Sudzha border region. Russian forces report that the counterattacking potential of Ukrainian forces has waned. They have captured Russkoye Porechnoye and are assaulting Cherkasskoye Porechnoye.
Intense Fighting: Intense fighting is reported in multiple locations, including Pogrebki, Orlovka, Staraya Sorochina, Novaya Sorochina, and the forests near Sverdlikovo and Lebedevka. Russian forces are making small advances in Pogrebki and the Sudzha area. Fighting continues near Kotlyno, Berdin, and Malaya Loknya.
Artillery & Drones: Russian artillery and drone operations are proving effective.
Reinforcements: Over 350 enemy personnel, including special operations forces, have reportedly arrived in the region.
Enemy Reserves: Intelligence suggests a concentration of enemy forces near Pogrebki and the presence of Ukrainian reserves in the Sumy region. Ukrainian reserves are reportedly being brought into Lebedevka and Sverdlikovo.
Makhnovka: Heavy fighting continues, with both sides present. Video evidence shows Ukrainian forces targeting a Russian position with a drone. Ukrainian forces report destroying a Russian ammunition depot.
Sverdlikovo and Lebedevka: Paratroopers from the 106th Airborne Division are conducting active assault operations in the forests.
The General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports that in Kurshchyna today, Ukrainian defenders repelled 16 enemy attacks, six combat clashes continue.
The Russian Ministry of Defense reports significant Ukrainian losses in the region during the day and since the beginning of hostilities.
Video evidence of Russian forces capturing 13 Ukrainian soldiers from the 82nd Brigade.
Special Forces soldiers destroyed a Ukrainian stronghold, capturing several Ukrainian soldiers from the 57th and 82nd Brigades.
Video of a Russian Su-34 bomber destroying a Ukrainian stronghold.
The enemy is attempting to reinforce the defense of Kositsa with additional equipment and personnel.
The situation in Cherkasskoye Porechnoye, Martynovka, Agronom, and Pogrebki remains unchanged.
The enemy attempted to attack with two armored personnel carriers near Makhnovka but was destroyed by an FPV drone.
In Kurshchyna, Ukrainian defenders repelled 25 enemy attacks.
Active fighting is taking place in the area of Sudzha. An attack by the Russian Armed Forces in the settlement of Russkoye Porechnoye by an infantry unit was reported. The assault group was shelled by the Ukrainian Armed Forces. The Russian Armed Forces advanced more than 2 km and reached the advanced positions near the village of Kositsa.
In Kurshchyna, Ukrainian defenders repelled 25 enemy attacks.
Russian sources claim the enemy has lost at least 35 pieces of equipment and more than 200 personnel in the last two days, with 14 Ukrainian soldiers captured near Berdin.
26 Ukrainian soldiers surrendered after a failed counterattack, according to Russian sources.
Almost 30 Ukrainian paratroopers were captured after a failed counterattack in Volchansk.
Dozens of Ukrainian soldiers have been taken prisoner.
Ukrainian airborne troops from the 95th Air Assault Brigade are using drones to attack Russian forces in Pogrebki.
Russian forces report that they have cleared Berdin of Ukrainian forces and that Ukrainian forces are retreating to the forests.
Russian forces report that they are continuing to storm Pogrebki and that both sides are present in the village. Russian forces also report that they are conducting an offensive west of Novaya Sorochina.
Russian forces report that they control most of Russkoye Porechnoye and are concentrating reserves southwest of Kozino.
Russian forces are continuing their offensive near Leonidovo, advancing towards Viktorivka and Nikolsky.
Russian forces are attempting to reach the outskirts of Sudzha, with fighting ongoing near Zamostye.
Video evidence shows Ukrainian forces successfully employing a "Stugna-P" ATGM system against enemy vehicles in the region.
FPV-equipped FAB (high-explosive aerial bomb) munitions are reportedly in use by Russian drone operators in the Kursk region.
A German Leopard 2A6 tank was destroyed in the Kursk region.
Zelensky stated that the Kursk operation was one of the main victories, not only last year, but throughout the war.
Russian paratroopers are reportedly pushing Ukrainian forces out of Makhnovka and Dmitryukov. They also destroyed Ukrainian firing points with a 2S9 Nona-S self-propelled mortar.
In Chasiv Yar, Ivanovo paratroopers repelled a Ukrainian drone attack, suppressing four Baba Yaga drones with small arms fire.
In the Kursk region, Primorsky paratroopers destroyed a Ukrainian pickup truck with a drone.
Video from "Colonelcassad" details the ongoing fighting in the Kursk region, with Russian forces advancing in Nikolaevo-Daryino, Makhnovka, and Russkoye Porechnoye. The liberation of these settlements may be announced this week. There is also a battle for Cherkasskoye Porechnoye, with the enemy continuing to send reserves despite heavy losses.
Video evidence shows a Russian soldier winning a hand-to-hand fight against a Ukrainian soldier, who subsequently detonated a grenade, killing himself.
"АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА Z" reports that enemy groups attempted to infiltrate from Cherkasskoye Porechnoye but were repelled by artillery fire. Enemy reserves are reportedly being brought into Lebedevka and Sverdlikovo, and the use of "Baba Yaga" agricultural drones for reconnaissance is mentioned.
Video from "БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС" shows footage of Russian soldiers suffering losses in the Kursk region.
Video from "Colonelcassad" shows the 155th brigade of the Russian marines destroying Ukrainian manpower and equipment in the Kursk direction.
Overnight, in the Kursk region, 40 Ukrainian drones were destroyed by air defense forces.
Video from "Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны" reports that the 114th brigade has liberated Shevchenko, continuing their offensive beyond Kurakhovo. The video and images depict the aftermath of fighting in the area, with Russian forces planting a flag in the center of Shevchenko, claiming control of the settlement.
Ukrainian forces from the 47th Mechanized Brigade repelled a massive Russian assault in the Viktorivka area near Malaya Loknya, Kursk region. The attack involved about 50 units of equipment. The assault was carried out in six waves. The Ukrainian forces successfully repelled the attack, inflicting significant losses on the enemy.
Video evidence of a North Korean soldier evicting two Russian women from their house in the village of Makhnovka.
Operators of drones from the 95th Air Assault Brigade repelled an attack by North Koreans.
A video from "Alex Parker Returns" discusses the potential renaming of the Gulf of Mexico to the Gulf of America and criticizes Mexico's migration policy.
A video from "Старше Эдды" describes the destruction of an enemy tank by drones.
A video from "Alex Parker Returns" discusses corruption in Russia.
A message from "Рыбарь" discusses information from former Syrian intelligence officials regarding the situation in Syria in late November. It details a meeting between Bashar al-Assad and Vladimir Putin in Moscow, where Assad requested security for Iranian air supplies. The message also mentions the interception of an Iranian military aircraft by Israeli fighters and Assad's refusal to meet with Erdogan.
A video from "Colonelcassad" shows a soldier thanking donors for providing drones.
A message from "Alex Parker Returns" reports that Russian forces have advanced in Makhnovka and entered Zamostye, with Sudzha nearby.
A message from "ТАСС" reports that Trump has acknowledged that the Biden administration made many mistakes in negotiations regarding Ukraine's potential NATO membership, as Russia was against it.
A photo and message from "Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны" reports that Trump intends to seize strategic straits from neighboring countries, including renaming the Gulf of Mexico to the Gulf of America, regaining control of the Panama Canal, and taking Greenland from Denmark.
A video from "Colonelcassad" shows the work of FPV drone crews from the 30th Motorized Rifle Regiment in the Berdin area, Kursk region.
The Russian Ministry of Defense claims that all 8 ATACMS missiles used for strikes on Russia were shot down by S-400 and "Pantsir-SM" air defense systems.
Russian State Secretary Blinken reported that US intelligence had data that Putin was considering a nuclear strike scenario, but China likely restrained him.
A message from "Дневник Десантника" reports a missile threat in Melitopol and Tokmak.
A message from "АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА Z" includes a prayer to Saint Nicholas the Wonderworker.
Ukrainian forces, specifically the "Birds of Madyar" unit, used drones to record the bodies of North Korean and Russian troops in Kursk Oblast.
Soldiers of the 108th Air Assault Brigade shared footage of their work in the Zaporizhzhia region. The footage shows the defeat of personnel, shelters, equipment, and ammunition depots. The soldiers invite volunteers to join their brigade. The location is indicated as Pology.
Video from "STERNENKO" shows Ukrainian forces from the Flying Skull drone unit targeting Russian positions in the Kursk region. At least 9 Russian soldiers were targeted, and 5 golf carts were hit.
Russian forces have made a powerful 10-kilometer breakthrough on the Kursk front, liberating Alexandria after previously taking Leonidovo, Novoivanovka, and Kruglenkoye.
Russian forces have advanced on the western and northern flanks in the Kursk region, penetrating up to 4 kilometers deep on a 10-kilometer wide front.
After liberating Leonidovo, Russian paratroopers took control of Alexandria and are continuing their attacks towards Staraya Sorochina, Viktorovka, and Nikolsky.
The pro-Ukrainian analytical resource Deep State has acknowledged the liberation of Leonidovo, Alexandria, and Novoivanovka by Russian forces.
The cleanup of Pogrebki continues on the southern flank, while paratroopers continue their assault on Makhnovka.
The "Nemets" group from the 291st Guards Motorized Rifle Regiment is using FPV drones to destroy enemy targets on the Zaporizhzhia front.
The enemy is attempting to reinforce the defense of Kositsa with additional equipment and personnel.
The situation in Cherkasskoye Porechnoye, Martynovka, Agronom, and Pogrebki remains unchanged.
The enemy attempted to attack with two armored personnel carriers near Makhnovka but was destroyed by an FPV drone.
In Kurshchyna, Ukrainian defenders repelled 25 enemy attacks.
Almost 30 Ukrainian paratroopers were captured after a failed counterattack in Volchansk.
Video evidence of a Russian drone destroying a Ukrainian BMP "Bradley"
"Два майора" reports that in the Kursk region, the enemy, taking advantage of poor weather conditions with limited visibility, launched 11 unsuccessful counterattacks on different sectors of the front in the Sudzhansky border area. Our troops have completed the clearing of enemy strongholds between Guyevo and Kurilovka, advancing with stubborn fighting in the forest belts of the Sudzhansky district. Fierce fighting continues in Makhnovka and Cherkasskaya Porechnaya, where the enemy is transferring new units.
A Russian Mi-28NM helicopter destroyed a Ukrainian stronghold in the border area of the Kursk region, according to the Russian Ministry of Defense.
Russian forces are advancing in the Sudzha area, with reports of an infantry unit attacking Russkoye Porechnoye and reaching advanced positions near Kositsa.
The Russian Ministry of Defense reports that 85 Ukrainian drones were shot down overnight, including 31 over the Black Sea, 16 over Voronezh Oblast, 16 over Krasnodar Krai, 14 over the Azov Sea, 4 over Belgorod Oblast, 2 over Tambov Oblast, 1 over Crimea, and 1 over Kursk Oblast.
NATO is planning large-scale exercises on its eastern flank, named "Steadfast Dart," from January 13th to February 26th, involving 10,000 troops from 10 countries. These exercises will take place in Romania, Bulgaria, and Greece. The goal is to test the rapid deployment capabilities of NATO's Response Force (ARF) and enhance interoperability between participating nations. The exercises will simulate a conflict with a near-peer adversary.
Analysis of a video from "Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны", showing a damaged five-story building in Kotovsk, Tambov Oblast, reportedly hit by a Ukrainian drone. The video shows a collapsed balcony and debris, with emergency services at the scene.
Analysis of an image showing a map overlay of the Kursk region, with red areas indicating Russian-controlled territory. Thermal drone footage on the right side of the image shows potential troop or vehicle presence. The image suggests an offensive movement from Kositsa towards Russkoye Porechnoye.

Kharkiv Region

Russian Advances: Russian forces report advances towards Lozova in the Izyum area and in Dvurichna. They have reportedly expanded their bridgehead up to 5 km south of Dvorechnaya, occupied the forest near Zapadnoye, and advanced significantly in the center of Dvurichna. In the Kupyansk area, the RF Armed Forces attacked armored vehicles west of Orlyansky. The RF Armed Forces expanded the control zone by more than 300 meters along the Kupyansk-Orlyanskoye highway.
Ukrainian forces have reportedly stabilized the situation near Kruhliakivka and Kolisnykivka, preventing further Russian advances along the Oskil River.
DeepState denies reports of the occupation of Lozova.
The 3rd Assault Brigade of the Ukrainian Armed Forces is reportedly engaging Russian forces on the outskirts of Kharkiv.
On the Kupyansk direction, fighters from the 1st Tank Army disrupted an enemy rotation and hit an American M113 armored personnel carrier with infantry.
The Ukrainian Armed Forces attempted to counterattack in the Staritsa area of the Kharkiv region, but the Russian Armed Forces prevented a breakthrough of the defense line.
FPV drone team of Sever Group of Forces reportedly wipes out AFU buggy in Kharkiv region.
Ukrainian forces repelled a Russian attack and destroyed a US-supplied M113 armored personnel carrier near Kupyansk.
Video from "Оперативний ЗСУ" shows a Ukrainian FPV drone targeting Russian infantry in the Kharkiv region. One soldier was killed and another wounded.
Russian forces are reportedly advancing in Dvurichna, according to military expert Andrei Marochko.

Luhansk Region

Russian Advances: On the Krasnolimansk direction, units of the Russian Army are developing success in Ivanovka (right bank of the Zherebets River). Russian forces are attempting to capture heights beyond Ivanovka near Terny and are storming Zahryzove. Russian forces have captured Ivanovka near Terny, marking a significant advance.
Following the liberation of Ivanovka, Russian troops continued their advance southward along the opposite bank of the Zherebets River from Terny.
Russian forces have successfully repelled over 30 Ukrainian attempts to infiltrate the Luhansk People's Republic in the past week, resulting in significant Ukrainian losses.
Russian forces are advancing near Makeevka, according to pro-Russian sources.
Russian forces report that they have expanded their zone of control on the right bank of the Zherebets River and are advancing towards the western border of the Luhansk People's Republic.
Russian forces report that they have advanced beyond Nadiya and are moving towards the border of the Luhansk People's Republic and the Kharkiv region.
The "Z committee + SVO map" reports that Russian forces are advancing near Ivanovka, Novosadovoe, and Terny.

Drone Warfare

Extensive Activity: Widespread drone activity is reported across multiple regions, with both sides utilizing drones for reconnaissance, targeting, and attacks. Ukrainian forces report that their drones can strike targets up to 2000 km away. Ukrainian air defense forces are actively engaging hostile drones.
Confirmed Attack in Engels: A Ukrainian drone attack on an industrial facility in Engels, deep inside Russian territory, has been confirmed. The fire at the oil depot is intensifying, with reports of new explosions and a state of emergency declared.
New Drone Technology: Reports indicate that Russian forces are increasingly using drones connected to fiber-optic cables, which are resistant to electronic warfare.
New Drone Activity: Reports of drone movements across multiple oblasts:
- Zhytomyr Oblast: Drones are reported in the northern part, moving west. One drone was reported east of Zviahel, moving southwest. Two drones are reported to be heading towards Malyn, and two more towards Narodychi. A drone is reported to be west of Zhytomyr, heading west/southwest.
- Kyiv Oblast: Drones are present in the northern part, moving west. Air raid alerts have been reported for Kyiv. Reports indicate a drone hit a multi-story building in the Solomyanskyi district of Kyiv, damaging windows and 6 cars, but causing no casualties. Three drones are reported to be circling in the north, with one approaching Boryspil and one having flown past Obukhiv towards Kyiv. 1 drone is approaching Boryspil. 2 drones are flying from Poltava region to Cherkasy. 1 drone is flying from Kirovohrad region to Vinnytsia. 3 drones are in Pryluky area, heading southwest. 3 new drones are flying through Shostka area, heading southwest. Three drones are maneuvering near Chernobyl. A drone is reported to be heading towards Boryspil from the east. An additional drone is reported on the north of Kyiv region, with a course towards Zhytomyr region. Another drone is reported on the south of Kyiv region, with a course towards Vinnytsia region. A drone is reported on the north of Kyiv region, with a course towards the southwest. The air raid alert has been called off for Kyiv.
- Chernihiv Oblast: Drones are observed in the northern and southern parts, moving west. Two drones are reported to be circling north of Chernihiv, and one is reported to be southwest of Chernihiv with a southeast trajectory. One drone is also reported to be circling near Pryluky. Two drones are heading towards Varva. A drone is in the center of Chernihiv Oblast, heading east. 1 drone north of Nizhyn, moving towards Chernihiv. 1 drone is heading via Konotop towards Sumy. 1 drone near Pryluky, moving northwest. A drone is in the center of Chernihiv Oblast, with an eastern course. A drone was detected in the western part of Chernihiv region, moving west. Another drone was detected in the southeastern part of Chernihiv region, moving west. The Ukrainian Air Force reports activity of Russian drones in the Chernihiv region.
- Sumy Oblast: Two drones are heading towards Romny, and one towards Lypova Dolyna. A drone is in the west of Zhytomyr Oblast, with a western/southwestern course. A missile was reported near Mykolaiv, and later, flying towards Nova Odesa (Mykolaiv region). Another missile was reported approaching Yelanets. A drone is in the west of Zhytomyr Oblast, with a western/southwestern course. A new drone is heading towards/through Nikopol. A drone is on the left bank of Kherson Oblast. Enemy drones are entering the southwestern part of Dnipropetrovsk Oblast from the temporarily occupied territories of Zaporizhzhia. An enemy drone is approaching Sumy from the south. Enemy drones are observed in Sumy Oblast (moving north through Sumy) and in the center of Dnipropetrovsk Oblast, course - north-east. A new drone is reported moving towards Dnipro from the southwest. One drone is observed in the north of Dnipropetrovsk Oblast with an eastern course. An enemy drone is observed on the border of Dnipropetrovsk and Kharkiv Oblasts, with a western/northwestern course. 🛵 Chernihiv region - the threat of using enemy attack UAVs! A drone is flying in the Sumy region to the north through Sumy! A drone is in the center of the Dnipropetrovsk region with a north-easterly course. 🛵 Chernihiv region - threat of enemy attack UAVs! 🛵 Chernihiv region - the threat of using enemy attack UAVs! A drone is flying in the Sumy region to the north through Sumy! A drone is in the center of the Dnipropetrovsk region with a north-easterly course. 🛵 Chernihiv region - threat of enemy attack UAVs! 1 drone over Cherkasy is heading towards Kyiv region. 5 drones near Konotop, heading southwest. A drone is also reported on the south of Sumy region, with a direction towards Poltava region. One drone is circling at the intersection of Sumy and Chernihiv Oblasts. One drone is approaching Poltava. One drone is in the south of Kharkiv Oblast, with a southern course. One drone is moving from the Okhtyrka area to Poltava Oblast.
- Kirovohrad Oblast: Drones are present in the eastern part, moving southwest. A drone was reported in the east, moving southwest.
- Kharkiv Oblast: Drones are moving from Kharkiv towards Dnipropetrovsk Oblast. Three drones are also reported to be near Lozova. A drone is in the west of Kharkiv Oblast, with a western course.
- Dnipropetrovsk Oblast: One drone is in the Kryvyi Rih district, another is over Dolynska. One drone is reported to be in the Kryvyi Rih district with a trajectory towards the Kherson region, and another is flying over Dolynska in a southerly direction. One drone is also reported to be circling over Samara. A drone is in the north of Dnipropetrovsk Oblast, with a western course. A drone is approaching Kremenchuk. A reconnaissance drone was detected north of Pavlograd.
- Poltava Oblast: One drone is reported to be circling south of Poltava.

Updated Situation

The military situation in Ukraine remains extremely precarious, with Russian forces maintaining offensive momentum, particularly in the Donetsk region. The fall of Kurakhove and the critical situation in Toretsk, where Ukrainian control is dwindling, are major setbacks. Russian forces are making substantial gains, threatening key locations like Pokrovsk and the strategic Pokrovsk-Konstantinovka highway. The Ukrainian counteroffensive in the Kursk region has been repelled, with significant losses. Russian forces have made new advances in the Sudzha area.

Drone warfare continues to be a dominant feature of the conflict, with widespread activity across multiple oblasts. Ukrainian air defenses are actively engaging Russian drones, but the threat remains significant, as evidenced by

Situation Report