Updated Analysis of the Military Situation in Ukraine - January 10, 2025, 17:03 UTC
Strategic Overview
The military situation in Ukraine remains critical, with intense fighting concentrated in the Donetsk, Kursk, and Luhansk regions. Russian forces continue their offensive in Donetsk, achieving significant gains, notably the capture of Kurakhove and a substantial portion of Toretsk. They are advancing towards Pokrovsk and along the Pokrovsk-Konstantinovka highway. In the Kursk region, a major Ukrainian counteroffensive has stalled, suffering heavy casualties. Russian forces have regained territory and are making advances in the Sudzha area. Drone warfare remains a dominant feature, with reports of new Russian drones equipped with fiber-optic control systems, resistant to electronic warfare, and widespread drone activity across multiple regions. Ukrainian forces are actively using drones for reconnaissance and targeted strikes. The Ukrainian General Staff reports a difficult situation along the entire frontline, with 166 combat clashes since the beginning of the day, almost 50 near Pokrovsk. There are also reports of increased Russian air and missile activity, including air raid alerts for Voronezh, Belgorod, and Kursk Oblasts. Ukrainian air defenses reportedly intercepted a Ukrainian missile over Kursk Oblast. Three people were injured as a result of shelling by the Ukrainian Armed Forces in the Belgorod region.
Key Developments
Donetsk Region
Fall of Kurakhove: Russian forces control most of Kurakhove, with Ukrainian forces holding the western part, including a thermal power plant. The city is "factually lost." Russian marauders are filming instructions on how to rob apartments in Kurakhove.
Critical Situation in Toretsk: Less than 15% of Toretsk remains under Ukrainian control. The enemy is attempting to capture a thermal power plant near Toretsk. The situation in Toretsk remains critical, with Ukrainian forces attempting to defend the remaining territory. Russian assault groups infiltrated the combat formations of the Ukrainian troops, the enemy is being detected and destroyed, reports the operational-strategic grouping of troops "Khortytsia." A kilometer of road near Toretsk is reportedly strewn with the corpses of Russian soldiers. Ukrainian forces report destroying a Russian infantry fighting vehicle in the Toretsk direction, using a drone. Video from the "Operatsiya Z" Telegram channel shows the 506th Regiment conducting an offensive near the city, resulting in heavy losses for Ukrainian forces.
Russian Advances Towards Pokrovsk: Russian forces are intensifying attacks near Pokrovsk, with progress in Novovasylivka, Yelyzavetivka, and Baranovka. They are approaching the western and northwestern outskirts of Dzerzhynsk.
Shevchenko and Ivanivka Captured: Russian forces have captured Shevchenko and Ivanivka.
Other Advances: Further Russian gains near Vozdvyzhenka, Baranivka, Solone, Slovyanka, Petropavlivka, Novoelizavetivka, and Kurakhove. Advances in Pisky and the eastern outskirts of Dachne. Russian forces are advancing in the Krasnoarmiisk direction, with progress near Udalny, Kotlyne, Zverevo, Zelene, Lysovka, and Mirolyubovka. Gains are also reported near Chasiv Yar, Belogorovka, Ukrainka, Novyi Trud, Ivan-Daryevka, Slavyanka, Petropavlovka, Myrolyubivka, Vodyane Druhe, Baranivka, Zelene Pole, and Tymofiivka. Russian forces advanced 300 meters west of Orlyanske, along the Kupyansk-Orlyanske highway.
Intense Fighting: The General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports particularly intense fighting in the Pokrovsky and Kurakhiv directions. Ukrainian forces report that in the Kurakhiv direction, the enemy attacked 73 times during the past day. The Ukrainian General Staff reports that in the Donetsk direction, the enemy attacked Ukrainian positions 192 times over the past day, 107 times in the Pokrovsk direction. 37 combat clashes are still ongoing. Ukrainian forces have inflicted the following losses on the enemy: 156 killed and 291 wounded, 3 tanks destroyed, 5 armored combat vehicles, 3 artillery systems, 32 anti-aircraft guns, 5 vehicles, and 1 special vehicle.
Chasiv Yar: Video evidence of a successful Russian "Lancet" drone strike on a Ukrainian BMP in the Chasiv Yar area. Ukrainian forces reported shooting down four Russian reconnaissance drones near Chasiv Yar. Russian forces report they have advanced 500 meters near the South-Eastern mine near Chasiv Yar. Fighting is reported at the "Chasiv Yar Refractory Plant," with Russian forces claiming new positions in the northern part of Chasiv Yar and an advance of up to 1.5 km. The enemy, despite the complexity of the situation, is finding reserves and counterattacking, strengthening their occupied positions, and trying to hold the city. It is not possible to quickly capture the city. 24 OMBR and 18 NGU Brigade are some of the most experienced and motivated brigades on the front. The capture of Chasov Yar depends on a number of factors. The command of the Russian Armed Forces has to create the conditions for this, as well as solve pressing problems. After that, the remaining part of the city will fall. The command of the Russian Armed Forces in this area needs time to pull up reserves and crush the enemy after six months of continuous fighting.
On the Kramatorsk direction, Ukrainian forces repelled six attacks near Vasyukovka, Bondarnoye, Chasov Yar, and Stupochki, with five clashes ongoing.
On the Toretsk direction, three Russian attacks were reported near Toretsk, with one ongoing.
On the Pokrovsk direction, supported by aviation, Russian forces initiated 28 clashes of varying intensity, with Ukrainian forces repelling attacks near Tarasovka, Vodyanoye Vtoroye, Elizavetovka, Promin, Lysovka, Sukhoi Yar, Zelenoye, Novy Trud, and Pokrovsk. Five clashes are ongoing.
On the Kurakhiv direction, fierce battles are ongoing near Sribnoye, Andreevka, Kurakhovo, and Dachnoye, with 14 enemy attacks repelled.
Dnipropetrovsk Direction: Battles are ongoing across the entire direction, with particularly fierce battles occurring near Novovasylivka - Uspenivka.
Ukrainian Resistance: Ukrainian forces are resisting the Russian advance, reporting the repulsion of an assault near Velyka Novosilka and pushing Russian forces out of the southern part of Novoielizavetivka.
Repeated launches of guided aerial bombs by Russian tactical aviation reported in the Donetsk region.
Video footage shows a Ukrainian FPV drone targeting a Russian Ka-52 helicopter, though the attempt was unsuccessful.
Video evidence shows a Russian soldier filming the aftermath of a Ukrainian FPV drone strike on a Russian vehicle in the Donetsk region, indicating casualties among the Russian assault group.
Video shows an assault on Kurakhovo by Russian special forces from the "Grachi" detachment. The video claims that the special forces destroyed a stronghold of the 46th Airmobile Brigade of the Ukrainian Armed Forces, killing dozens of Ukrainian soldiers and capturing six.
Video shows a quad bike driving through a destroyed Russian column on the Pokrovsk direction.
Video evidence of Russian forces destroying Ukrainian infantry with a drone near Dachne.
Video evidence from the 12th "Azov" Brigade shows drones and a tank targeting Russian forces during a mechanized assault in the Toretsk direction. The video claims that the Ukrainian forces repelled the attack, destroying several armored vehicles, including BMPs and an MT-LB.
Video evidence of an aerial battle between two Ukrainian "Mavic" drones and a Russian "Baba Yaga" drone on the Seversk direction. The reconnaissance drone rammed the "Baba Yaga", causing it to crash.
Video evidence shows a Ukrainian drone operator targeting a Russian soldier. The soldier initially attempts to shoot down the drone, then tries to hide before being hit. The soldier is seen moving after the hit, indicating he is wounded but alive.
Video evidence shows Russian troops using an FPV drone to strike a Ukrainian group advancing at night near Makhnovka.
Video evidence shows a Russian artillery strike on a Ukrainian position in Novoselivske, with secondary explosions.
Video from "Операция Z" shows the "String" of the "Brave" destroying enemy defenses while advancing towards Pokrovsk. The footage is from the 35th Brigade of the "Center" group.
Ukrainian drone operators targeted and killed a Russian soldier in the Pokrovsk direction.
Work of FPV drones on enemy manpower and equipment in the Dzerzhinsky direction was carried out by fighters of the 132nd brigade of the 51st Guards Combined Arms Army of the Russian Armed Forces.
The Ukrainian General Staff reported that the Armed Forces of Ukraine had carried out a precision strike on the command post of the 3rd Army Corps of the Russian Armed Forces in the occupied city of Svitlodarsk, Donetsk Oblast. The coordinates are reported as 48.435522,38.213416. The strike reportedly targeted a command post of the 3rd Army Corps of the Russian Armed Forces. This strike is significant as it demonstrates the Ukrainian Armed Forces' ability to conduct precision strikes on high-value targets deep behind enemy lines. The targeting of a command post suggests an attempt to disrupt Russian command and control capabilities in the region.
The Ukrainian General Staff reported that during the week, the Armed Forces of Ukraine had carried out a series of strikes on facilities captured by the Russian occupiers in the Donetsk Oblast.
Video from "Сливочный каприз" details an attack by Russian motorized rifle units in the direction of Petrivka, near Horlivka. Russian forces reportedly advanced more than 500 meters along the left bank of the Kryvyi Torets River.
Artillerymen of the "Dnepr-1" fire support regiment of the "Lute" Joint Assault Brigade of the National Police of Ukraine are firing at the positions of the Russians in the city of Toretsk.
Video evidence shows a Ukrainian unit targeting a Russian position in a building in Toretsk with an explosive device.
Tank crews of the 63rd Brigade reportedly attacked Russian positions in the Serebryansky forest, firing from distances of up to 100 meters.
Ukrainian General Staff reports a successful high-precision strike on a command post of the 8th Guards Combined Arms Army of the Russian Federation in Khartsyzk.
Kursk Region
Stalled Ukrainian Counteroffensive: The Ukrainian counteroffensive has stalled, with reports of heavy losses (estimated up to 48,000 casualties). Ukrainian forces report repelling a Russian assault near Kurdyumivka in the Bakhmut area. Ukrainian forces from the 47th Mechanized Brigade repelled a massive Russian assault in the Viktorivka area near Malaya Loknya, Kursk region. The attack involved about 50 units of equipment. The assault was carried out in six waves. The Ukrainian forces successfully repelled the attack, inflicting significant losses on the enemy. Zelensky stated that the Kursk operation was one of the main victories, not only last year, but throughout the war.
Renewed Russian Offensive: Russian forces have resumed offensive operations near Nikolaevka and Staraya Sorochina, with advances near Novaya Sorochina. Russian forces report that the counterattacking potential of Ukrainian forces has waned and that they are now being pushed back from their positions near Kruglenkoye.
Intense Fighting: Intense fighting is reported in Pogrebki, Orlovka, Staraya Sorochina, and Novaya Sorochina, with Ukrainian forces deploying reserves. Russian forces are making small advances in Pogrebki, pushing towards the local school. Fighting continues near Berdin and Malaya Loknya, with Russian advances in the Sudzha area. Fighting continues near Kotlyno, and Ukrainian forces are struggling to contain the Russian advance. Geolocated footage confirms Ukrainian tactical advances, but simultaneous Russian advances indicate a fluid situation.
Artillery & Drones: Russian artillery and drone operations are proving effective, with the destruction of Ukrainian artillery pieces. Calculation of FPV drones of the Rubikon center destroyed the Ukrainian self-propelled guns in the Kursk direction.
New Russian Advances: Russian forces are making advances in the area between Guyevo and Kurilovka and the forested areas of the Sudzha border region. Russian forces have captured Russkoye Porechnoye and are currently assaulting Cherkasskoye Porechnoye. Approximately 40 Ukrainian soldiers reportedly retreated from Berdin to Cherkasskoye Porechnoye. Russian forces, specifically paratroopers from the 106th Airborne Division, are conducting active assault operations in the forests near Sverdlikovo and Lebedevka. Russian paratroopers are reportedly pushing Ukrainian forces out of Makhnovka and Dmitryukov. They also destroyed Ukrainian firing points with a 2S9 Nona-S self-propelled mortar. Russian forces report that they have cleared Berdin of Ukrainian forces and that Ukrainian forces are retreating to the forests. Russian forces report that they are continuing to storm Pogrebki and that both sides are present in the village. Russian forces also report that they are conducting an offensive west of Novaya Sorochina. Russian forces report that they control most of Russkoye Porechnoye and are concentrating reserves southwest of Kozino. Russian forces are continuing their offensive near Leonidovo, advancing towards Viktorivka and Nikolsky. Russian forces are attempting to reach the outskirts of Sudzha, with fighting ongoing near Zamostye.
Reinforcements: Over 350 enemy personnel, including special operations forces and the 132nd Separate Reconnaissance Battalion, have reportedly arrived in the region.
Enemy Reserves: Intelligence suggests a concentration of enemy forces near Pogrebki and the presence of Ukrainian reserves in the Sumy region. Ukrainian reserves are reportedly being brought into Lebedevka and Sverdlikovo.
Makhnovka: Russian channels report that the situation near Makhnovka is as follows: "Statements about the complete liberation of the settlement are premature. There are heavy oncoming battles." Video evidence of a North Korean soldier evicting two Russian women from their house in the village of Makhnovka.
Sverdlikovo and Lebedevka: In the Kursk region, paratroopers from the 106th Airborne Division are conducting active assault operations in the forests near Sverdlikovo and Lebedevka.
The Russian Ministry of Defense published a new video showing the destruction of Ukrainian military equipment in the Kursk region.
The General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports that in Kurshchyna today, Ukrainian defenders repelled 16 enemy attacks, six combat clashes continue.
A civilian from a village in the Kursk region reported that soldiers from western Ukraine burned houses in his village.
The Russian Ministry of Defense reports that the enemy lost up to 190 fighters, an ammunition depot, an infantry fighting vehicle and an armored personnel carrier in the Kursk region during the day.
The Russian Ministry of Defense reports that since the beginning of hostilities in the Kursk region, the AFU has lost more than 50,310 troops, 294 tanks, 218 infantry fighting vehicles, 161 armored personnel carriers, 1,517 armored fighting vehicles, 1,435 vehicles, 348 artillery guns, 44 MLRS launchers, including 13 HIMARS and 6 MLRS made by the USA, 16 anti-aircraft missile launchers, eight transport-loading vehicles, 90 EW stations, 13 counter-battery warfare radars, four air defense radars, 29 units of engineering and other materiel, including 15 counter-obstacle vehicles, one UR-77 mine clearing vehicle, seven armored recovery vehicles, and one command post vehicle.
The message states that the operation to neutralize the enemy in the Kursk region continues.
A German Leopard 2A6 tank was destroyed in the Kursk region.
Video evidence of Russian forces capturing 13 Ukrainian soldiers from the 82nd Brigade in the Kursk region.
Video from "Colonelcassad" details the ongoing fighting in the Kursk region, with Russian forces advancing in Nikolaevo-Daryino, Makhnovka, and Russkoye Porechnoye. The liberation of these settlements may be announced this week. There is also a battle for Cherkasskoye Porechnoye, with the enemy continuing to send reserves despite heavy losses.
"АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА Z" reports that enemy groups attempted to infiltrate from Cherkasskoye Porechnoye but were repelled by artillery fire. Enemy reserves are reportedly being brought into Lebedevka and Sverdlikovo, and the use of "Baba Yaga" agricultural drones for reconnaissance is mentioned.
Video from "БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС" shows footage of Russian soldiers suffering losses in the Kursk region.
Video from "Colonelcassad" shows the 155th brigade of the Russian marines destroying Ukrainian manpower and equipment in the Kursk direction.
Operators of drones from the 95th Air Assault Brigade repelled an attack by North Koreans.
Special Forces soldiers destroyed a Ukrainian stronghold in the Kursk direction, capturing several Ukrainian soldiers. The captured soldiers are from the 57th and 82nd Brigades.
Video evidence shows Russian FPV drone operators targeting Ukrainian positions and vehicles in various locations.
Ukrainian forces targeted and damaged a Russian T-80 tank with a drone.
Video of a Russian Su-34 bomber destroying a Ukrainian stronghold in the Kursk border area.
Video of an FPV drone of the Russian group of troops "Sever" destroying a US-made Bradley BMP in the border area of the Kursk region.
The Russian Ministry of Defense reports that Ukrainian forces lost more than 280 people and two tanks in the Kursk region during the day.
Video evidence of the Russian Ministry of Defense showcasing the work of the TOS-2 "Tosochka" heavy flamethrower system, which reportedly nullifies enemy attempts to hide from thermobaric munitions. The video features the TOS-2 "Tosochka" in service with the Group of Forces "Vostok," targeting Ukrainian Armed Forces positions near Velyka Novosilka. The soldiers praise the new vehicle for its accuracy, range, and maneuverability.
A video from the Russian Ministry of Defense shows a captured Ukrainian soldier in the Kursk region stating that his unit requested evacuation but was denied by their command. The soldier claims they lost half their personnel and were eventually captured.
The enemy is attempting to reinforce the defense of Kositsa with additional equipment and personnel.
The situation in Cherkasskoye Porechnoye, Martynovka, Agronom, and Pogrebki remains unchanged.
The enemy attempted to attack with two armored personnel carriers near Makhnovka but was destroyed by an FPV drone.
Video evidence of an aerial battle between two Ukrainian "Mavic" drones (one reconnaissance and one bomber) and a Russian "Baba Yaga" drone on the Seversk direction. The reconnaissance drone rammed the "Baba Yaga", causing it to crash. The bomber drone then targeted the crashed drone, destroying it.
Video from the "Syndicate Air Assassins" group shows the use of FPV drones to target Russian infantry and vehicles in various locations. The video includes a counter of destroyed targets and a call for donations to support the group's activities.
In Kurshchyna, Ukrainian defenders repelled 25 enemy attacks.
Active fighting is taking place in the area of Sudzha. An attack by the Russian Armed Forces in the settlement of Russkoye Porechnoye by an infantry unit was reported. The assault group was shelled by the Ukrainian Armed Forces. The Russian Armed Forces advanced more than 2 km and reached the advanced positions near the village of Kositsa.
Video from "Colonelcassad" details the ongoing fighting in the Kursk region, with Russian forces advancing in Nikolaevo-Daryino, Makhnovka, and Russkoye Porechnoye.
Ukrainian forces, specifically the "Birds of Madyar" unit, used drones to record the bodies of North Korean and Russian troops in Kursk Oblast.
Overnight, in the Kursk region, 40 Ukrainian drones were destroyed by air defense forces.
In Kurshchyna, Ukrainian defenders repelled 25 enemy attacks.
Video evidence shows Russian FPV drone operators targeting Ukrainian positions and vehicles in various locations, including Nikolaevka and Goptovka.
Video evidence shows a Ukrainian drone operator targeting a Russian soldier with an FPV drone. The soldier is seen running away from the drone before being hit.
Terrible consequences of enemy aggression in the Kursk region: commissions begin work to assess the destruction in the border area. In the Kursk region, commissions are starting to work on assessing the degree of destruction of residential buildings in the border areas affected by attacks and the invasion of the Ukrainian Armed Forces. This applies to those settlements that were not included in the list of non-commission issuance of certificates to residents. The Ministry of Defense provided the first list of 158 settlements where commissions can go. At least 16 of them (in 4 districts) have houses destroyed or damaged as a result of the actions of the Ukrainian Armed Forces, the governor of the Kursk region reports.
Russian sources claim the enemy has lost at least 35 pieces of equipment and more than 200 personnel in the last two days, with 14 Ukrainian soldiers captured near Berdin.
Dozens of Ukrainian soldiers have been taken prisoner. 26 Ukrainian soldiers surrendered after a failed counterattack, according to Russian sources.
Kharkiv Region
Russian Advances: Russian forces report advances towards Lozova in the Izyum area and in Dvurichna. They have reportedly expanded their bridgehead up to 5 km south of Dvorechnaya, occupied the forest near Zapadnoye, and advanced significantly in the center of Dvurichna. In the Kupyansk area, the RF Armed Forces attacked armored vehicles west of Orlyansky. The assault vehicle hit a minefield. The RF Armed Forces expanded the control zone by more than 300 meters along the Kupyansk-Orlyanskoye highway.
Ukrainian forces have reportedly stabilized the situation near Kruhliakivka and Kolisnykivka, preventing further Russian advances along the Oskil River.
DeepState denies reports of the occupation of Lozova.
The 3rd Assault Brigade of the Ukrainian Armed Forces is reportedly engaging Russian forces on the outskirts of Kharkiv.
Ukrainian forces repelled a Russian attack and destroyed a US-supplied M113 armored personnel carrier near Kupyansk.
Video from "Оперативний ЗСУ" shows a Ukrainian FPV drone targeting Russian infantry in the Kharkiv region. One soldier was killed and another wounded.
On the Kupyansk direction, fighters from the 1st Tank Army disrupted an enemy rotation and hit an American M113 armored personnel carrier with infantry.
Russian forces repelled a Ukrainian attack on the Kupyansk direction, destroying a US-supplied M113 armored personnel carrier.
Ukrainian forces report that they destroyed a Russian ammunition depot near Kupyansk.
FPV drone team of Sever Group of Forces reportedly wipes out AFU buggy in Kharkiv region. Drone operators of the group of troops "Sever" destroyed an enemy pickup truck in the Kharkiv region.
Luhansk Region
Russian Advances: On the Krasnolimansk direction, units of the Russian Army are developing success in Ivanovka (right bank of the Zherebets River). Russian forces are attempting to capture heights beyond Ivanovka near Terny and are storming Zahryzove. Russian forces have captured Ivanivka near Terny, marking a significant advance.
Following the liberation of Ivanovka, Russian troops continued their advance southward along the opposite bank of the Zherebets River from Terny.
Russian forces have successfully repelled over 30 Ukrainian attempts to infiltrate the Luhansk People's Republic in the past week, resulting in significant Ukrainian losses.
Russian forces are advancing near Makeevka, according to pro-Russian sources.
Russian forces report that they have expanded their zone of control on the right bank of the Zherebets River and are advancing towards the western border of the Luhansk People's Republic.
Russian forces report that they have advanced beyond Nadiya and are moving towards the border of the Luhansk People's Republic and the Kharkiv region.
Video evidence shows a Russian artillery strike on a Ukrainian position in Novoselivske, with secondary explosions.
Despite the attacking attempts, the enemy is unable to stabilize the situation on the Kupyansk direction.
Drone Warfare
Extensive Activity: Widespread drone activity is reported across multiple regions, with both sides utilizing drones for reconnaissance, targeting, and attacks. Ukrainian forces report that their drones can strike targets up to 2000 km away. Ukrainian air defense forces are actively engaging hostile drones.
Confirmed Attack in Engels: A Ukrainian drone attack on an industrial facility in Engels, deep inside Russian territory, has been confirmed. The fire at the oil depot is intensifying, with reports of new explosions and a state of emergency declared.
New Drone Technology: Reports indicate that Russian forces are increasingly using drones connected to fiber-optic cables, which are resistant to electronic warfare.
New Drone Activity: Reports of drone movements across multiple oblasts:
Zhytomyr Oblast: Drones are reported in the northern part, moving west. One drone was reported east of Zviahel, moving southwest. Two drones are reported to be heading towards Malyn, and two more towards Narodychi.
Kyiv Oblast: Drones are present in the northern part, moving west. Air raid alerts have been reported for Kyiv. Reports indicate a drone hit a multi-story building in the Solomyanskyi district of Kyiv, damaging windows and 6 cars, but causing no casualties. Three drones are reported to be circling in the north, with one approaching Boryspil and one having flown past Obukhiv towards Kyiv. 1 drone is approaching Boryspil. 2 drones are flying from Poltava region to Cherkasy. 1 drone is flying from Kirovohrad region to Vinnytsia. 3 drones are in Pryluky area, heading southwest. 3 new drones are flying through Shostka area, heading southwest. Three drones are maneuvering near Chernobyl. A drone is reported to be heading towards Boryspil from the east.
Chernihiv Oblast: Drones are observed in the northern and southern parts, moving west. Two drones are reported to be circling north of Chernihiv, and one is reported to be southwest of Chernihiv with a southeast trajectory. One drone is also reported to be circling near Pryluky. Two drones are heading towards Varva. A drone is in the center of Chernihiv Oblast, heading east. 1 drone north of Nizhyn, moving towards Chernihiv. 1 drone is heading via Konotop towards Sumy. 1 drone near Pryluky, moving northwest. A drone is in the center of Chernihiv Oblast, with an eastern course. A drone was detected in the western part of Chernihiv region, moving west. Another drone was detected in the southeastern part of Chernihiv region, moving west. The Ukrainian Air Force reports activity of Russian drones in the Chernihiv region.
Sumy Oblast: Two drones are heading towards Romny, and one towards Lypova Dolyna. A drone is in the west of Zhytomyr Oblast, with a western/southwestern course.
Kirovohrad Oblast: Drones are present in the eastern part, moving southwest.
Kharkiv Oblast: Drones are moving from Kharkiv towards Dnipropetrovsk Oblast. Three drones are also reported to be near Lozova. A drone is in the west of Kharkiv Oblast, with a western course.
Dnipropetrovsk Oblast: One drone is in the Kryvyi Rih district, another is over Dolynska. One drone is reported to be in the Kryvyi Rih district with a trajectory towards the Kherson region, and another is flying over Dolynska in a southerly direction. One drone is also reported to be circling over Samara. A drone is in the north of Dnipropetrovsk Oblast, with a western course. A drone is approaching Kremenchuk. A reconnaissance drone was detected north of Pavlograd.
Poltava Oblast: One drone is reported to be circling south of Poltava. One drone was reported west of Kremenchuk, constantly changing course. A drone is in the northeast of Poltava Oblast, with a southwesterly course. Three drones are heading towards Pyriatyn, and one towards Lubny.
Cherkasy Oblast: One drone was reported in the eastern part, constantly changing course. One drone is reported to be in the western part, moving south. A drone is in the northeastern Cherkasy Oblast, moving west/northwest. One drone north of Cherkasy, moving towards Kyiv Oblast. Two drones west of Poltava, moving northwest. Five drones near Konotop, moving southwest. A drone is reported on the northeast of Cherkasy Oblast, moving west/northwest. City of Pryluky (Chernihiv Oblast) is under threat from enemy drones approaching from the northeast.
Vinnytsia Oblast: One drone is reported to be flying over the region.
Odesa Oblast: Drones on the border of Kirovohrad and Odesa regions, course - west.
Video evidence of Ukrainian forces using drones equipped with shotguns to effectively shoot down Russian drones.
A video shows the elimination of a group of Russian soldiers using FPV drones by the 110th Mechanized Brigade.
Ukrainian forces conducted a successful drone operation, targeting a Russian T-90 tank and an ammunition depot.
Video evidence shows Ukrainian forces targeting Russian positions with drones, resulting in multiple explosions and fires.
Ukrainian forces are continuing their drone attacks, with reports of a drone being shot down over the Bryansk region of Russia and an attack on the village of Rzhevka in the Belgorod region.
Video evidence shows a Ukrainian drone operator targeting a Russian 2S7 Pion self-propelled howitzer with three separate strikes.
A video from the 25th Airborne Brigade shows a Ukrainian soldier placing an explosive charge on the roof of a dugout where enemy soldiers are hiding.
A video shows a night-time drone strike on enemy positions by a Ukrainian "Vampire" drone.
Video evidence shows a Ukrainian drone operator targeting a Russian soldier. The soldier initially attempts to shoot down the drone, then tries to hide before being hit. The soldier is seen moving after the hit, indicating he is wounded but alive.
Drone operators of the group of troops "Sever" destroyed an enemy pickup truck in the Kharkiv region.
Overnight, in the Kursk region, 40 Ukrainian drones were destroyed by air defense forces.
Geopolitical Developments
Potential Meeting Between Scholz and Putin: Reports suggest a possible meeting between German Chancellor Scholz and Russian President Putin before February 23rd.
Shifting Alliances: Potential shifts in US and European support for Ukraine. The closure of the Polish Consulate in St. Petersburg reflects strained relations.
US Aid: A new US military aid package for Ukraine is expected to be announced soon, but the US has indicated that they will not be able to provide all military aid to Ukraine before January 20th. A new substantial package is expected to be announced during the upcoming "Ramstein" meeting. The US Treasury Secretary threatened China with "significant consequences" for aiding Russia in the conflict with Ukraine, highlighting escalating tensions between the US and China. The US Congress is considering a resolution to recognize Russia's actions in Ukraine as genocide.
Trump's Statements: Trump has reiterated his claim that Russia's actions in Ukraine were a result of the perceived incompetence of the Biden administration. He also stated that he "understands Russia's feelings" regarding Ukraine's potential NATO membership and emphasized that the conflict would end under his administration.
The US has imposed sanctions on Antal Rogán, the head of the Hungarian Prime Minister's Office, according to RBC-Ukraine.
President Zelensky has signed a law creating a list of terrorist organizations in Ukraine, aimed at strengthening national security and counter-terrorism efforts, according to RBC-Ukraine.
Zelensky indicates a willingness to limit the scope of potential NATO membership to Ukrainian-controlled territory and expressed openness to attending Trump's inauguration if invited.
The Ukrainian Foreign Ministry has stated that Ukraine is ready to take Hungary's place in the EU and NATO if Hungary decides to leave.
The closure of the Polish Consulate in St. Petersburg has been officially closed.
French Foreign Minister Jean-Noel Barrot has called on the European Commission to take strong measures against Elon Musk.
An EU spokesperson urged respect for the sovereignty of countries after Trump's statements on Greenland. "This is also our diplomatic value and a key principle by which we work. This also applies to Denmark," said EU spokeswoman Anita Hipper. She also stated that the termination of the transit of Russian gas through Ukraine to Europe is unacceptable and contradicts its intentions to join the European Union, said Peter Szijjártó.
The Polish Defense Minister suggests that the current Ramstein format for coordinating military aid to Ukraine may be the last of its kind.
The EU, through French Foreign Minister Jean-Noel Barrot, has stated that it will not tolerate any attacks on its sovereign borders, in response to reports of US ambitions in Greenland. Germany claims that the US cannot simply take and change the borders of one of the EU countries by annexing Greenland to itself.
Amid statements from Trump about a possible takeover of Greenland, the Prime Minister of Greenland is scheduled to meet with the King of Denmark.
A TASS representative from the entourage of the next American leader said that Trump's transition team believes it is possible for Russia and the United States to reach a major security deal after the upcoming change of power in Washington.
