Updated Analysis of the Military Situation in Ukraine - January 10, 2025, 12:03 UTC

Strategic Overview

The military situation in Ukraine remains critical, with intense fighting concentrated in the Donetsk, Kursk, and Luhansk regions.

Donetsk Region: Russian forces maintain the offensive initiative, particularly in Donetsk, where they have captured Kurakhove and a significant portion of Toretsk, advancing towards Pokrovsk and along the Pokrovsk-Konstantinovka highway. The situation in Toretsk is dire, with Ukrainian control reduced to less than 15%.
Kursk Region: A major Ukrainian counteroffensive has stalled, suffering heavy casualties estimated at up to 48,000. Russian forces are making advances, notably in the Sudzha area, Makhnovka, Sverdlikovo, and Lebedevka. They have also liberated Leonidovo and Alexandria, with a 10-kilometer breakthrough reported on the Kursk front.
Drone Warfare: Drone warfare is a dominant feature, with both sides utilizing drones extensively. Ukrainian forces report that their drones can strike targets up to 2000 km away, and overnight, Ukrainian air defenses engaged a massive Russian drone attack, reportedly destroying 41 out of 64 drones. A new US military aid package for Ukraine is expected soon, but the US has indicated limitations in providing aid before January 20th. The UK, together with NATO allies, will provide Ukraine with 30,000 FPV drones. Germany will transfer additional missiles to Ukraine for Iris-T air defense systems.

Key Developments

Donetsk Region

Fall of Kurakhove: Russian forces control most of Kurakhove, with Ukrainian forces holding the western part, including a thermal power plant. Video evidence shows Russian special forces capturing a stronghold of the 46th Airmobile Brigade, killing dozens of Ukrainian soldiers and capturing six.
Critical Situation in Toretsk: Less than 15% of Toretsk remains under Ukrainian control, with Russian forces claiming 85% of the city. The 12th "Azov" Brigade reported repelling a Russian mechanized assault, destroying several armored vehicles. Assault groups of the Russian Federation infiltrated the combat formations of the Ukrainian Armed Forces near Toretsk, and measures are being taken to eliminate them.
Russian Advances Towards Pokrovsk: Intensified attacks near Pokrovsk, with progress in Novovasylivka, Yelyzavetivka, and Baranovka.
Shevchenko and Ivanivka Captured: Russian forces have captured Shevchenko and Ivanivka.
Other Advances: Further Russian gains near Vozdvyzhenka, Baranivka, Solone, Slovyanka, Petropavlivka, Novoelizavetivka, and Kurakhove. Advances in Pisky and the eastern outskirts of Dachne. Progress near Udalny, Kotlyne, Zverevo, Zelene, Lysovka, and Mirolyubovka. Gains are also reported near Chasiv Yar, Belogorovka, Ukrainka, Novyi Trud, Ivan-Daryevka, Slavyanka, Petropavlovka, Myrolyubivka, Vodyane Druhe, Baranivka, Zelene Pole, and Tymofiivka.
Ukrainian Strike on Russian Command Post: Ukrainian General Staff reports a successful high-precision strike on a command post of the 8th Guards Combined Arms Army of the Russian Federation in Khartsyzk.
Intense Fighting: The General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports 192 combat clashes since the beginning of the day, particularly in the Pokrovsky and Kurakhiv directions.
Zaporizhzhia: The number of wounded from the Russian attack on Zaporizhzhia has risen to 123, with 32 people injured and 13 killed.
Stepnohirsk: 2 people were killed and 2 injured in a Russian attack on Stepnohirsk.
Chasiv Yar: Video evidence of a successful Russian "Lancet" drone strike on a Ukrainian BMP. Ukrainian forces reported shooting down four Russian reconnaissance drones near Chasiv Yar, including a Granat-2, Supercam S450, and two Orlan-30s. Russian forces report they have advanced 500 meters near the South-Eastern mine near Chasiv Yar. Fighting is reported at the "Chasiv Yar Refractory Plant," with Russian forces claiming new positions in the northern part of Chasiv Yar and an advance of up to 1.5 km.
Dnipropetrovsk Direction: Battles are ongoing across the entire direction, with particularly fierce battles occurring near Novovasylivka - Uspenivka.
Ukrainian Resistance: Ukrainian forces are resisting the Russian advance, reporting the repulsion of an assault near Velyka Novosilka and pushing Russian forces out of the southern part of Novoielizavetivka.
New: Video evidence of Russian forces destroying Ukrainian infantry with a drone near Dachne. Russian forces are reportedly advancing near Slovyanka and Petropavlivka.
New: Video evidence of an aerial battle between two Ukrainian "Mavic" drones and a Russian "Baba Yaga" drone on the Seversk direction. The reconnaissance drone rammed the "Baba Yaga", causing it to crash.
New: Video from the "Syndicate Air Assassins" group shows the use of FPV drones to target Russian infantry and vehicles in various locations.
New: Video from "ua_reg" shows a Ukrainian drone targeting and destroying multiple Russian vehicles, including a Humvee.
New: Ukrainian forces report that they have destroyed a Russian BTR-82A, two infantry fighting vehicles, and a T-72 tank using FPV drones.
New: Video evidence of Ukrainian forces using drones equipped with shotguns to effectively shoot down Russian drones.
New: A video shows the elimination of a group of Russian soldiers using FPV drones by the 110th Mechanized Brigade.
New: Russian FPV drone operators from the "Aida" group reportedly hit two Ukrainian armored fighting vehicles.
New: At Kharkiv axis clashes near Starytsa and Vochansk.
New: Russian aviation conducted airstrikes at Oleksandrivka, Vovchanski Khutory, Sadovod, Hryhorivka, Khatnye, Pischane, Kurylivka, Borivsk Andriyivka, Zelenyy Hay, Verkhnokamyanske, Mayske, Druzhba, Scherbynivka, Serhiyivka, Andriyivka, Toretsk, Kostyantynivka, Temyrivka, Velyka Novosilka, Kherson.
New: Russian forces advanced in Petrovka (Novospasskoe), west of Shcherbinovka.
New: Video evidence shows a Russian artillery strike on a Ukrainian position in Novoselivske, with secondary explosions.
New: Video evidence shows Russian troops using an FPV drone to strike a Ukrainian group advancing at night near Makhnovka.

Kursk Region

Stalled Ukrainian Counteroffensive: The Ukrainian counteroffensive has stalled, with reports of heavy losses (estimated up to 48,000 casualties). Zelensky stated that the Kursk operation was one of the main victories, not only last year, but throughout the war.
Renewed Russian Offensive: Russian forces have resumed offensive operations near Nikolaevka and Staraya Sorochina, with advances near Novaya Sorochina. Russian forces report that the counterattacking potential of Ukrainian forces has waned and that they are now being pushed back from their positions near Kruglenkoye.
Intense Fighting: Intense fighting is reported in Pogrebki, Orlovka, Staraya Sorochina, and Novaya Sorochina, with Ukrainian forces deploying reserves. Fighting continues near Kotlyno, and Ukrainian forces are struggling to contain the Russian advance. Russian forces are making small advances in Pogrebki, pushing towards the local school. Fighting continues near Berdin and Malaya Loknya, with Russian advances in the Sudzha area. Leonidovo has been taken under Russian control.
Artillery & Drones: Russian artillery and drone operations are proving effective, with the destruction of Ukrainian artillery pieces. Calculation of FPV drones of the Rubikon center destroyed the Ukrainian self-propelled guns in the Kursk direction.
New Russian Advances: Russian forces are making advances in the area between Guyevo and Kurilovka and the forested areas of the Sudzha border region. Russian forces have captured Russkoye Porechnoye and are currently assaulting Cherkasskoye Porechnoye. Approximately 40 Ukrainian soldiers reportedly retreated from Berdin to Cherkasskoye Porechnoye. Russian forces, specifically paratroopers from the 106th Airborne Division, are conducting active assault operations in the forests near Sverdlikovo and Lebedevka.
Reinforcements: Over 350 enemy personnel, including special operations forces and the 132nd Separate Reconnaissance Battalion, have reportedly arrived in the region.
Enemy Reserves: Intelligence suggests a concentration of enemy forces near Pogrebki and the presence of Ukrainian reserves in the Sumy region. Ukrainian reserves are reportedly being brought into Lebedevka and Sverdlikovo.
Makhnovka: Russian channels report that the situation near Makhnovka is as follows: "Statements about the complete liberation of the settlement are premature. There are heavy oncoming battles."
Sverdlikovo and Lebedevka: In the Kursk region, paratroopers from the 106th Airborne Division are conducting active assault operations in the forests near Sverdlikovo and Lebedevka.
New: The Russian Ministry of Defense published a new video showing the destruction of Ukrainian military equipment in the Kursk region.
New: The General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports that in Kurshchyna today, Ukrainian defenders repelled 16 enemy attacks, six combat clashes continue.
New: A civilian from a village in the Kursk region reported that soldiers from western Ukraine burned houses in his village.
New: The Russian Ministry of Defense reports that the enemy lost up to 190 fighters, an ammunition depot, an infantry fighting vehicle and an armored personnel carrier in the Kursk region during the day.
New: The Russian Ministry of Defense reports that since the beginning of hostilities in the Kursk region, the AFU has lost more than 50,310 troops, 294 tanks, 218 infantry fighting vehicles, 161 armored personnel carriers, 1,517 armored fighting vehicles, 1,435 vehicles, 348 artillery guns, 44 MLRS launchers, including 13 HIMARS and 6 MLRS made by the USA, 16 anti-aircraft missile launchers, eight transport-loading vehicles, 90 EW stations, 13 counter-battery warfare radars, four air defense radars, 29 units of engineering and other materiel, including 15 counter-obstacle vehicles, one UR-77 mine clearing vehicle, seven armored recovery vehicles, and one command post vehicle.
New: The message states that the operation to neutralize the enemy in the Kursk region continues.
New: A German Leopard 2A6 tank was destroyed in the Kursk region.
New: Video evidence of Russian forces capturing 13 Ukrainian soldiers from the 82nd Brigade in the Kursk region.
New: Russian paratroopers are reportedly pushing Ukrainian forces out of Makhnovka and Dmitryukov. They also destroyed Ukrainian firing points with a 2S9 Nona-S self-propelled mortar.
New: In Chasiv Yar, Ivanovo paratroopers repelled a Ukrainian drone attack, suppressing four Baba Yaga drones with small arms fire.
New: In the Kursk region, Primorsky paratroopers destroyed a Ukrainian pickup truck with a drone.
New: Video from "Colonelcassad" details the ongoing fighting in the Kursk region, with Russian forces advancing in Nikolaevo-Daryino, Makhnovka, and Russkoye Porechnoye. The liberation of these settlements may be announced this week. There is also a battle for Cherkasskoye Porechnoye, with the enemy continuing to send reserves despite heavy losses.
New: "АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА Z" reports that enemy groups attempted to infiltrate from Cherkasskoye Porechnoye but were repelled by artillery fire. Enemy reserves are reportedly being brought into Lebedevka and Sverdlikovo, and the use of "Baba Yaga" agricultural drones for reconnaissance is mentioned.
New: Video from "БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС" shows footage of Russian soldiers suffering losses in the Kursk region.
New: Video from "Colonelcassad" shows the 155th brigade of the Russian marines destroying Ukrainian manpower and equipment in the Kursk direction.
New: Overnight, in the Kursk region, 40 Ukrainian drones were destroyed by air defense forces.
New: Video from "Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны" reports that the 114th brigade has liberated Shevchenko, continuing their offensive beyond Kurakhovo. The video and images depict the aftermath of fighting in the area, with Russian forces planting a flag in the center of Shevchenko, claiming control of the settlement.
New: Ukrainian forces from the 47th Mechanized Brigade repelled a massive Russian assault in the Viktorivka area near Malaya Loknya, Kursk region. The attack involved about 50 units of equipment. The assault was carried out in six waves. The Ukrainian forces successfully repelled the attack, inflicting significant losses on the enemy.
New: Video evidence of a North Korean soldier evicting two Russian women from their house in the village of Makhnovka.
New: Operators of drones from the 95th Air Assault Brigade repelled an attack by North Koreans.
New: Russian forces report that they have cleared Berdin of Ukrainian forces and that Ukrainian forces are retreating to the forests.
New: Russian forces report that they are continuing to storm Pogrebki and that both sides are present in the village. Russian forces also report that they are conducting an offensive west of Novaya Sorochina.
New: Russian forces report that they control most of Russkoye Porechnoye and are concentrating reserves southwest of Kozino.
New: Video evidence shows a Ukrainian drone operator targeting a Russian 2S7 Pion self-propelled howitzer with three separate strikes.
New: A video from the 25th Airborne Brigade shows a Ukrainian soldier placing an explosive charge on the roof of a dugout where enemy soldiers are hiding.
New: A video shows a night-time drone strike on enemy positions by a Ukrainian "Vampire" drone.
New: In Kurshchyna, Ukrainian defenders repelled 25 enemy attacks.
New: Video evidence shows a Russian drone operator targeting a Ukrainian 2S1 "Carnation" self-propelled howitzer in the Kursk region, but the operator misses the target.
New: Special Forces soldiers destroyed a Ukrainian stronghold in the Kursk direction, capturing several Ukrainian soldiers. The captured soldiers are from the 57th and 82nd Brigades.
New: Video evidence shows Russian FPV drone operators targeting Ukrainian positions and vehicles in various locations.
New: Ukrainian forces targeted and damaged a Russian T-80 tank with a drone.
New: Russian forces are continuing their offensive near Leonidovo, advancing towards Viktorivka and Nikolsky.
New: Russian forces are attempting to reach the outskirts of Sudzha, with fighting ongoing near Zamostye.
New: Video of a Russian Su-34 bomber destroying a Ukrainian stronghold in the Kursk border area.
New: Video of an FPV drone of the Russian group of troops "Sever" destroying a US-made Bradley BMP in the border area of the Kursk region.
New: The Russian Ministry of Defense reports that Ukrainian forces lost more than 280 people and two tanks in the Kursk region during the day.
Update: The Russian Ministry of Defense reports that Ukrainian forces lost more than 280 people and two tanks in the Kursk region during the day.

Kharkiv Region

Russian Advances: Russian forces report advances towards Lozova in the Izyum area and in Dvurichna. They have reportedly expanded their bridgehead up to 5 km south of Dvorechnaya, occupied the forest near Zapadnoye, and advanced significantly in the center of Dvurichna.
New: Ukrainian forces have reportedly stabilized the situation near Kruhliakivka and Kolisnykivka, preventing further Russian advances along the Oskil River.
New: DeepState denies reports of the occupation of Lozova.
New: The 3rd Assault Brigade of the Ukrainian Armed Forces is reportedly engaging Russian forces on the outskirts of Kharkiv.
New: FPV drone team of Sever Group of Forces reportedly wipes out AFU buggy in Kharkiv region.
New: Ukrainian forces repelled a Russian attack and destroyed a US-supplied M113 armored personnel carrier near Kupyansk.
New: Video from "Оперативний ЗСУ" shows a Ukrainian FPV drone targeting Russian infantry in the Kharkiv region. One soldier was killed and another wounded.
New: On the Kupyansk direction, fighters from the 1st Tank Army disrupted an enemy rotation and hit an American M113 armored personnel carrier with infantry.
New: Russian forces repelled a Ukrainian attack on the Kupyansk direction, destroying a US-supplied M113 armored personnel carrier.
New: Ukrainian forces report that they destroyed a Russian ammunition depot near Kupyansk.

Luhansk Region

Russian Advances: On the Krasnolimansk direction, units of the Russian Army are developing success in Ivanovka (right bank of the Zherebets River). Russian forces are attempting to capture heights beyond Ivanovka near Terny and are storming Zahryzove. Russian forces have captured Ivanivka near Terny, marking a significant advance.
New: Following the liberation of Ivanovka, Russian troops continued their advance southward along the opposite bank of the Zherebets River from Terny.
New: Russian forces have successfully repelled over 30 Ukrainian attempts to infiltrate the Luhansk People's Republic in the past week, resulting in significant Ukrainian losses.
New: Russian forces are advancing near Makeevka, according to pro-Russian sources.
New: Russian forces report that they have expanded their zone of control on the right bank of the Zherebets River and are advancing towards the western border of the Luhansk People's Republic.
New: Russian forces report that they have advanced beyond Nadiya and are moving towards the border of the Luhansk People's Republic and the Kharkiv region.

Drone Warfare

Extensive Activity: Widespread drone activity is reported across multiple regions, with both sides utilizing drones for reconnaissance, targeting, and attacks. Ukrainian forces report that their drones can strike targets up to 2000 km away. Ukrainian air defense forces are actively engaging hostile drones.
Confirmed Attack in Engels: A Ukrainian drone attack on an industrial facility in Engels, deep inside Russian territory, has been confirmed. The fire at the oil depot is intensifying, with reports of new explosions and a state of emergency declared.
New Drone Technology: Reports indicate that Russian forces are increasingly using drones connected to fiber-optic cables, which are resistant to electronic warfare.
New Drone Activity: Reports of drone movements across multiple oblasts:
- Zhytomyr Oblast: Drones are reported in the northern part, moving west.
- Kyiv Oblast: Drones are present in the northern part, moving west. Air raid alerts have been reported for Kyiv. Reports indicate a drone hit a multi-story building in the Solomyanskyi district of Kyiv, damaging windows and 6 cars, but causing no casualties.
- Chernihiv Oblast: Drones are observed in the northern and southern parts, moving west.
- Sumy Oblast: Two drones are heading towards Romny, and one towards Lypova Dolyna.
- Kirovohrad Oblast: Drones are present in the eastern part, moving southwest.
- Kharkiv Oblast: Drones are moving from Kharkiv towards Dnipropetrovsk Oblast.
- Dnipropetrovsk Oblast: One drone is in the Kryvyi Rih district, another is over Dolynska.
- Poltava Oblast: One drone is circling south of Poltava.
- Cherkasy Oblast: One drone was reported in the eastern part, constantly changing course.
- Vinnytsia Oblast: One drone is reported to be flying over the region.
New: Reports indicate several drones in flight: one from Kirovohrad Oblast to Vinnytsia Oblast, two along the Dnipro River towards Cherkasy, one from the north towards/through Kryvyi Rih, three north of Kremenchuk with a northwesterly course, and one through Boyarka towards Kyiv. A drone is reported to be heading towards Boryspil from the east.
Air Defense Engagements: 15 Ukrainian drones were shot down overnight over the Belgorod, Bryansk regions, and Krasnodar Territory. Five drones were shot down in the Rostov region of Russia. Ukrainian air defense forces are actively engaging hostile drones, with reports of activity near Kyiv and successful interceptions. Ukrainian air defenses shot down 41 out of 64 drones overnight.

Geopolitical Developments

Reports suggest a possible meeting between German Chancellor Scholz and Russian President Putin before February 23rd.
Leaders of European countries have expressed misunderstanding towards recent statements by Trump regarding Greenland and the Panama Canal.
The EU, through French Foreign Minister Jean-Noel Barrot, has stated that it will not tolerate any attacks on its sovereign borders, in response to reports of US ambitions in Greenland.
US State Secretary Antony Blinken stated that the idea of annexing Greenland to the US, promoted by Trump, is bad and will not be implemented.
A TASS representative from the entourage of the next American leader said that Trump's transition team believes it is possible for Russia and the United States to reach a major security deal after the upcoming change of power in Washington.
An EU spokesperson urged respect for the sovereignty of countries after Trump's statements on Greenland.
The Ukrainian Foreign Ministry has stated that Ukraine is ready to take Hungary's place in the EU and NATO if Hungary decides to leave.
The Polish Consulate General in St. Petersburg has been officially closed.
The Polish Defense Minister suggests that the current Ramstein format for coordinating military aid to Ukraine may be the last of its kind.
US President-elect Donald Trump has openly stated not only his desire to make Canada the 51st state but also his readiness to use force, albeit economic for now.
Azerbaijan Airlines has suspended flights to Kazan, Russia, for an indefinite period due to safety concerns.
Update: A message from "ТАСС" reports that Trump has acknowledged that the Biden administration made many mistakes in negotiations regarding Ukraine's potential NATO membership, as Russia was against it.
Update: A photo and message from "Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны" reports that Trump intends to seize strategic straits from neighboring countries, including renaming the Gulf of Mexico to the Gulf of America, regaining control of the Panama Canal, and taking Greenland from Denmark.
Update: Russian State Secretary Blinken reported that US intelligence had data that Putin was considering a nuclear strike scenario, but China likely restrained him.
New: US Secretary of State Antony Blinken said that Washington has developed a plan in case of a Russian nuclear strike.

Other Significant Developments

Zaporizhzhia Casualties: One person was killed and six were wounded in a Russian attack on Zaporizhzhia. The number of wounded has risen to thirty. The number of dead has risen to thirteen. A 13-year-old girl is among the wounded.
Internal Political Maneuvering in Ukraine: Reported internal political maneuvering within Ukraine, particularly regarding Zelensky and Zaluzhnyi, could impact the country's leadership and decision-making during the conflict.
South Korean President's Arrest Warrant: The Anti-Corruption Investigation Department for Senior Officials is reportedly transferring an arrest warrant application for South Korean President Yoon Seok-yeol to the police in connection with a mutiny case.
Ukrainian Naval Update: The Ukrainian Navy reports that one enemy warship, a "Kalibr" missile carrier, is present in the Black Sea, but no missile firings are reported. In the Sea of Azov, no enemy warships or missile carriers are present. In the Mediterranean Sea, seven enemy warships, including two "Kalibr" missile carriers, are present, with 22 missile firings reported.
Europe Buys Record Amounts of Russian LNG: Europe is reportedly buying record amounts of liquefied natural gas from Russia, with volumes exceeding what Russia sold through Ukraine before January 1st.
Journalist Casualties: Several journalists were injured or killed in drone attacks, with reports of targeting to silence the press. The head of the DPR, Pushilin, called the killing of Izvestia journalist Alexander Martemyanov during a Ukrainian drone attack a "vile murder". Maria Zakharova, a Russian official, stated that those responsible for the attacks on Russian journalists would be punished. Reports of the death of Izvestia journalist Alexander Martemy.
A family was injured in a drone attack on a car in the Belgorod region.
Environmental Concerns: Oil spills from sunken tankers in the Black Sea have reached the coasts of Crimea, causing the deaths of dolphins.
Syria: There are reports of US military personnel starting the construction of a military base in Kobani (Ayn al-Arab) in northern Syria.
Explosion in Kamensk-Shakhtinsky: An air raid alert was declared in Kamensk-Shakhtinsky, Rostov region, followed by a column of smoke rising near military-technical property warehouses. The warehouses are reportedly combined with the production facility of FKP "Kombinat "Kamensky", which has previously been attacked.
Capture of US Army M577: Russian forces claim to have captured a US Army M577 command post vehicle in the Kursk region, with markings indicating it belonged to the 2nd Battalion, 69th Armor Regiment.
Update: A message from "Дневник Десантника" reports a missile threat in Melitopol and Tokmak.
Update: A message from "АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА Z" includes a prayer to Saint Nicholas the Wonderworker.
Update: Soldiers of the 108th Air Assault Brigade shared footage of their work in the Zaporizhzhia region. The footage shows the defeat of personnel, shelters, equipment, and ammunition depots. The soldiers invite volunteers to join their brigade. The location is indicated as Pology.
Update: The "Nemets" group from the 291st Guards Motorized Rifle Regiment is using FPV drones to destroy enemy targets on the Zaporizhzhia front.
Update: The enemy is attempting to reinforce the defense of Kositsa with additional equipment and personnel.
Update: The situation in Cherkasskoye Porechnoye, Martynovka, Agronom, and Pogrebki remains unchanged.
Update: The enemy attempted to attack with two armored personnel carriers near Makhnovka but was destroyed by an FPV drone.
New: Video evidence of the Russian Ministry of Defense showcasing the work of the TOS-2 "Tosochka" heavy flamethrower system, which reportedly nullifies enemy attempts to hide from thermobaric munitions. The video features the TOS-2 "Tosochka" in service with the Group of Forces "Vostok," targeting Ukrainian Armed Forces positions near Velyka Novosilka. The soldiers praise the new vehicle for its accuracy, range, and maneuverability.
New: A video from the Russian Ministry of Defense shows a captured Ukrainian soldier in the Kursk region stating that his unit requested evacuation but was denied by their command. The soldier claims they lost half their personnel and were eventually captured.
Update: The Ministry of Justice refused to exclude Navalny from the list of "terrorists" and "extremists". This follows from the response to the appeal of his mother Lyudmila, which was published on her Telegram channel by the politician's widow, Yulia Navalnaya.
New: A video interview with captured Ukrainian soldiers.

Conclusion

The situation in Ukraine is rapidly evolving. Russian forces are making significant gains in the Donetsk region, particularly around Toretsk, Pokrovsk, and Kurakhove. The renewed Russian offensive in the Kursk region has stalled the Ukrainian counteroffensive and resulted in heavy losses for Ukrainian forces. The intensification of drone warfare, particularly with the confirmed Ukrainian strike deep inside Russian territory, underscores the changing nature of the conflict. Geopolitical tensions are rising, with uncertainty surrounding future US and European support for Ukraine. The new information regarding the Ukrainian strike on the Russian command post, the ongoing drone attacks, and the geopolitical developments further emphasize the complexity and volatility of the situation. The new messages also highlight a statement from Hungarian Foreign Minister Péter Szijjártó, who claims that Ukraine's termination of Russian gas transit to Europe is unacceptable and contradicts its intentions to join the European Union. This statement further emphasizes the geopolitical tensions surrounding energy supplies and the potential impact on relations between Ukraine, Russia, and the EU. The new messages also highlight that Ukrainian forces are continuing their drone attacks, with reports of a drone being shot down over the Bryansk region of Russia and an attack on the village of Rzhevka in the Belgorod region.

The new messages also highlight a video reportedly showing Ukrainian soldiers distributing food to civilians in Niger. The video, shared by the Rybar Telegram channel, is presented as evidence of the positive role of Ukrainian forces in Africa. However, the report also mentions that local authorities expressed dissatisfaction with the incident, and that the soldiers were reprimanded by their command for their unauthorized actions. This incident underscores the complexities of operating in foreign environments and the importance of coordinating with local authorities. It also highlights the potential for such actions to be misinterpreted or used for propaganda purposes by opposing sides.

The new messages also highlight a video shared by the Russian Ministry of Defense, reportedly showing Russian troops undergoing training in the rear area of the Zaporizhzhia region. The video, which focuses on countering enemy drones, underscores the importance of training and adapting to the evolving nature of warfare. The emphasis on counter-drone measures highlights the growing threat posed by unmanned aerial systems and the need for effective countermeasures.

The new messages also highlight a video shared by the Russian Ministry of Defense, reportedly showing Russian helicopters engaging Ukrainian positions in the Kursk region border area. The video, which features Mi-28nm, Ka-52m, and Mi-8PSG helicopters, demonstrates the continued use of air power by Russian forces in the conflict. The reported rocket strike on Ukrainian manpower and materiel underscores the ongoing fighting in the region and the use of air assets to support ground operations.

The new messages also highlight a video shared by the Colonelcassad Telegram channel, reportedly showing two captured Ukrainian soldiers who were trapped in a bunker near Kurakhove. The video, which features the soldiers thanking Russian forces for their rescue and urging an end to the conflict, is likely intended for propaganda purposes. The release of such videos by Russian sources aims to portray a humane image of their forces and potentially influence public opinion.

The new messages also highlight a video shared by the "Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны" Telegram channel, reportedly showing Russian forces engaging Ukrainian infantry on the Kurakhiv direction. The video, which features drone footage of strikes on Ukrainian positions, underscores the continued fighting in the region and the use of drones for reconnaissance and targeting. The reported involvement of the 255th regiment highlights the specific units involved in the operations.

The new messages also highlight a video shared by the ASTRA Telegram channel, reportedly showing a drone attack on a car in the Belgorod region, resulting in injuries to a civilian couple. This incident further emphasizes the use of drones in the conflict and the potential for civilian casualties.

The new messages also highlight a video shared by the "Повітряні Сили ЗС України" Telegram channel, reporting the movement of enemy attack drones in the eastern part of the Kharkiv region, heading west. This information underscores the continued threat posed by Russian drones and the need for vigilance and air defense measures.

The new messages also highlight a photo shared by the "РБК-Україна" Telegram channel, reporting that the number of deaths resulting from the Russian attack on Zaporizhzhia has risen to 13, with 32 people injured. The report emphasizes that most of the victims were on the street and in public transport at the time of the Russian airstrikes. This incident underscores the devastating impact of the conflict on civilians and the indiscriminate nature of the attacks.

The new messages also highlight a video shared by the "ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS" Telegram channel, reportedly showing a North Korean soldier engaging a Ukrainian drone. The video, which is presented as evidence of North Korean involvement in the conflict, highlights the potential for foreign fighters to participate in the war and the use of drones for reconnaissance and combat.

The new messages also highlight a photo shared by the "РБК-Україна" Telegram channel, reporting on the diary of a killed North Korean special forces soldier, Gyeong Hong Jong, who was reportedly killed in the Kursk region. The report claims that the soldier was a thief and had stolen from Russian soldiers. This information, if confirmed, could shed light on the presence of North Korean forces in the conflict and their relationship with Russian troops.

The new messages also highlight a video shared by the "РБК-Україна" Telegram channel, featuring a statement from the head of the Finnish Ministry of Foreign Affairs, Elina Valtonen. Valtonen asserts that Ukraine's accession to NATO does not pose a threat to other countries and criticizes Trump's recent statement about understanding Russia's reasons for attacking Ukraine. This statement underscores the geopolitical tensions surrounding the conflict and the differing perspectives on NATO's role.

The new messages also highlight a video shared by the "Дневник Десантника" Telegram channel, reportedly showing a Russian aviation strike on an industrial zone in Zaporizhzhia. The report claims that the strike targeted the Motor Sich defense plant, which was allegedly used by Ukrainian forces for military purposes. This incident highlights the ongoing targeting of industrial facilities in the conflict and the potential impact on Ukraine's defense industry.

The new messages also highlight a photo shared by the "Оперативний ЗСУ" Telegram channel, reporting on the deaths of eight pilots during the New Year period. The report claims that three combat vehicles were lost, including two Mi-8s and one Mi-28. This information, if accurate, underscores the risks faced by military personnel and the potential for significant losses in the conflict.

The new messages also highlight a photo shared by the "Дневник Десантника

Situation Report