Updated Analysis of the Military Situation in Ukraine - January 10, 2025, 04:33 UTC

Strategic Overview

The military situation in Ukraine remains critical, with intense fighting concentrated in the Donetsk, Kursk, and Luhansk regions. Russian forces continue their offensive in Donetsk, achieving significant gains, notably the capture of Kurakhove and a substantial portion of Toretsk. They are advancing towards Pokrovsk and along the Pokrovsk-Konstantinovka highway. In the Kursk region, a major Ukrainian counteroffensive has stalled, suffering heavy casualties estimated at up to 48,000. Russian forces have regained territory and are making advances in the Sudzha area, particularly near Makhnovka, Sverdlikovo, and Lebedevka. The situation is particularly tense near Makhnovka, where Russian troops are reportedly striking a Ukrainian group at night using an FPV drone.

Drone warfare remains a dominant feature, with reports of new Russian drones equipped with fiber-optic control systems, resistant to electronic warfare, and widespread drone activity across multiple regions. Ukrainian air defenses are actively engaging hostile drones, with reports of a drone hitting a multi-story building in Kyiv. Overnight, Ukrainian forces successfully shot down 40 enemy drones. The Ukrainian General Staff reports a difficult situation along the entire frontline and forced retreats to new defensive lines in the Dnipropetrovsk region.

A new US military aid package for Ukraine is expected soon, though previous supplies of ATACMS missiles, F-16 fighters, and Abrams tanks have not shifted the balance in favor of Kyiv. Reports indicate a potential meeting between German Chancellor Scholz and Russian President Putin before February 23rd, as well as a potential meeting between Trump and Putin. Zelensky has indicated a willingness to limit the scope of potential NATO membership to Ukrainian-controlled territory.

Key Developments

Donetsk Region

Fall of Kurakhove: Russian forces control most of Kurakhove, with Ukrainian forces holding the western part, including a thermal power plant. Russian forces are targeting Ukrainian infantry with drone attacks in the western part of Kurakhove.
Critical Situation in Toretsk: Less than 15% of Toretsk remains under Ukrainian control. The enemy is attempting to capture a thermal power plant near Toretsk. Video evidence shows a Ukrainian unit targeting a Russian position in a building in Toretsk with an explosive device. Russian forces claim control of 85% of the city.
Russian Advances Towards Pokrovsk: Russian forces are intensifying attacks near Pokrovsk, with progress in Novovasylivka, Yelyzavetivka, and Baranovka. They are approaching the western and northwestern outskirts of Dzerzhynsk. Video evidence shows the destruction of enemy defenses by the 35th Brigade near Pokrovsk. The "Ot ভারতবর্ষে" group is actively engaging Ukrainian forces, destroying enemy equipment and personnel, and advancing towards Pokrovsk.
Shevchenko and Ivanivka Captured: Russian forces have captured Shevchenko and Ivanivka. Russian forces have broken through Ukrainian defenses near Ivanovka and are engaged in battles for the dominant height near Kolodezi.
Other Advances: Further Russian gains near Vozdvyzhenka, Baranivka, Solone, Slovyanka, Petropavlivka, Novoelizavetivka, and Kurakhove. Advances in Pisky and the eastern outskirts of Dachne. Russian forces are advancing in the Krasnoarmiisk direction, with progress near Udalny, Kotlyne, Zverevo, Zelene, Lysovka, and Mirolyubovka. Fighting continues in these areas, with Russian forces reportedly capturing parts of Baranovka and advancing towards Vodyane Druhe. Gains are also reported near Chasiv Yar, Belogorovka, Ukrainka, Novyi Trud, Ivan-Daryevka, Slavyanka, Petropavlovka, Myrolyubivka, Vodyane Druhe, Baranivka, Zelene Pole, and Tymofiivka.
Ukrainian Strike on Russian Command Post: Ukrainian General Staff reports a successful high-precision strike on a command post of the 8th Guards Combined Arms Army of the Russian Federation in Khartsyzk.
Intense Fighting: The General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports 192 combat clashes since the beginning of the day, particularly in the Pokrovsky and Kurakhiv directions.
Aftermath of Attack on Zaporizhzhia: The number of wounded from the Russian attack on Zaporizhzhia has risen to 120, with 32 people injured. 13 people were killed in the attack.
Stepnohirsk: 2 people were killed and 2 injured in a Russian attack on Stepnohirsk.
Chasiv Yar: Video evidence of a successful Russian "Lancet" drone strike on a Ukrainian BMP in the Chasiv Yar area. Russian forces report they have advanced 500 meters near the South-Eastern mine near Chasiv Yar. Fighting is reported at the "Chasiv Yar Refractory Plant," with Russian forces claiming new positions in the northern part of Chasiv Yar and an advance of up to 1.5 km.
Dnipropetrovsk Direction: Battles are ongoing across the entire direction, with particularly fierce battles occurring near Novovasylivka - Uspenivka.
Video evidence shows Russian forces destroying a US-supplied M-113 armored personnel carrier near Dzerzhynsk using a drone.
Ukrainian Resistance: Ukrainian forces are resisting the Russian advance, reporting the repulsion of an assault near Velyka Novosilka and pushing Russian forces out of the southern part of Novoielizavetivka.
Tank Warfare: A video showcases Russian tank crews from the "Southern" group of forces supporting the advance of assault units after the capture of Kurakhove.
New: Repeated launches of guided aerial bombs by Russian tactical aviation reported in the Donetsk region.
New: Video footage shows a Ukrainian FPV drone targeting a Russian Ka-52 helicopter, though the attempt was unsuccessful.
New: Video evidence shows a Russian soldier filming the aftermath of a Ukrainian FPV drone strike on a Russian vehicle in the Donetsk region, indicating casualties among the Russian assault group.

Kursk Region

Stalled Ukrainian Counteroffensive: The Ukrainian counteroffensive has stalled, with reports of heavy losses (estimated up to 48,000 casualties). The Ukrainian 47th Mechanized Brigade "Magura" reports repelling a massive Russian assault near Viktorivka area near Malaya Loknya, Kursk region. Ukrainian forces report repelling a Russian assault near Kurdyumivka in the Bakhmut area.
Renewed Russian Offensive: Russian forces have resumed offensive operations near Nikolaevka and Staraya Sorochina, with advances near Novaya Sorochina. Russian paratroopers are reportedly making progress, pushing Ukrainian forces out of Makhnovka and Dmitryukov. Russian forces report that the counterattacking potential of Ukrainian forces has waned and that they are now being pushed back from their positions near Kruglenkoye.
Intense Fighting: Intense fighting is reported in Pogrebki, Orlovka, Staraya Sorochina, and Novaya Sorochina, with Ukrainian forces deploying reserves. Fighting continues near Kotlyno, and Ukrainian forces are struggling to contain the Russian advance. Russian sources claim the enemy has lost at least 35 pieces of equipment and more than 200 personnel in the last two days. Dozens of Ukrainian soldiers have been taken prisoner. Russian forces are making small advances in Pogrebki, pushing towards the local school. Fighting continues near Berdin and Malaya Loknya, with Russian advances in the Sudzha area. Leonidovo has been taken under Russian control.
Artillery & Drones: Russian artillery and drone operations are proving effective, with the destruction of Ukrainian artillery pieces. Calculation of FPV drones of the Rubikon center destroyed the Ukrainian self-propelled guns in the Kursk direction.
New Russian Advances: Russian forces are making advances in the area between Guyevo and Kurilovka and the forested areas of the Sudzha border region. Russian forces have captured Russkoye Porechnoye and are currently assaulting Cherkasskoye Porechnoye. Approximately 40 Ukrainian soldiers reportedly retreated from Berdin to Cherkasskoye Porechnoye.
Reinforcements: Over 350 enemy personnel, including special operations forces and the 132nd Separate Reconnaissance Battalion, have reportedly arrived in the region.
Enemy Reserves: Intelligence suggests a concentration of enemy forces near Pogrebki and the presence of Ukrainian reserves in the Sumy region.
Makhnovka: Russian channels report that the situation near Makhnovka is as follows: "Statements about the complete liberation of the settlement are premature. There are heavy oncoming battles." Russian forces report they have advanced 500 meters near the South-Eastern mine near Chasiv Yar. Fighting is reported at the "Chasiv Yar Refractory Plant," with Russian forces claiming new positions in the northern part of Chasiv Yar and an advance of up to 1.5 km.
Sverdlikovo and Lebedevka: In the Kursk region, paratroopers from the 106th Airborne Division are conducting active assault operations in the forests near Sverdlikovo and Lebedevka.
New: The Russian Ministry of Defense published a new video showing the destruction of Ukrainian military equipment in the Kursk region.
New: The General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports that in Kurshchyna today, Ukrainian defenders repelled 16 enemy attacks, six combat clashes continue.
New: A civilian from a village in the Kursk region reported that soldiers from western Ukraine burned houses in his village.
New: The Russian Ministry of Defense reports that the enemy lost up to 190 fighters, an ammunition depot, an infantry fighting vehicle and an armored personnel carrier in the Kursk region during the day.
New: The Russian Ministry of Defense reports that since the beginning of hostilities in the Kursk region, the AFU has lost more than 50,310 troops, 294 tanks, 218 infantry fighting vehicles, 161 armored personnel carriers, 1,517 armored fighting vehicles, 1,435 vehicles, 348 artillery guns, 44 MLRS launchers, including 13 HIMARS and 6 MLRS made by the USA, 16 anti-aircraft missile launchers, eight transport-loading vehicles, 90 EW stations, 13 counter-battery warfare radars, four air defense radars, 29 units of engineering and other materiel, including 15 counter-obstacle vehicles, one UR-77 mine clearing vehicle, seven armored recovery vehicles, and one command post vehicle.
New: The message states that the operation to neutralize the enemy in the Kursk region continues.
New: The new message states that statements about the complete liberation of the village of Makhnovka are premature, heavy oncoming battles are taking place.
New: The new message indicates that paratroopers from the 106th Airborne Division are conducting active assault operations in the forests near Sverdlikovo and Lebedevka in the Kursk region.
New: The new message states that the Russian Ministry of Defense published a video showing the destruction of Ukrainian military equipment in the Kursk region.
New: The new message indicates that the Ukrainian Armed Forces repelled 16 enemy attacks in the Kursk region today, and six combat clashes continue.
New: A German Leopard 2A6 tank was destroyed in the Kursk region.
New: Video evidence of Russian forces capturing 13 Ukrainian soldiers from the 82nd Brigade in the Kursk region.
Video evidence shows Russian troops using an FPV drone to strike a Ukrainian group advancing at night near Makhnovka.
Update: Zelensky stated that the Kursk operation was one of the main victories, not only last year, but throughout the war.

Kharkiv Region

Russian Advances: Russian forces report advances towards Lozova in the Izyum area and in Dvurichna. They have reportedly expanded their bridgehead up to 5 km south of Dvorechnaya, occupied the forest near Zapadnoye, and advanced significantly in the center of Dvurichna.
New: Russian forces have reportedly expanded their bridgehead up to 5 km south of Dvorechnaya and penetrated the Ukrainian defense up to 1.5 km in some areas.
New: Ukrainian forces have reportedly stabilized the situation near Kruhliakivka and Kolisnykivka, preventing further Russian advances along the Oskil River.
New: DeepState denies reports of the occupation of Lozova.
New: The 3rd Assault Brigade of the Ukrainian Armed Forces is reportedly engaging Russian forces on the outskirts of Kharkiv.
New: FPV drone team of Sever Group of Forces reportedly wipes out AFU buggy in Kharkiv region.
Ukrainian forces repelled a Russian attack and destroyed a US-supplied M113 armored personnel carrier near Kupyansk.

Luhansk Region

Russian Advances: On the Krasnolimansk direction, units of the Russian Army are developing success in Ivanovka (right bank of the Zherebets River). Russian forces are attempting to capture heights beyond Ivanovka near Terny and are storming Zahryzove. Russian forces have captured Ivanivka near Terny, marking a significant advance.
New: Russian forces are attempting to capture heights beyond Ivanovka near Terny and are storming Zahryzove.
New: Following the liberation of Ivanovka, Russian troops continued their advance southward along the opposite bank of the Zherebets River from Terny.
New: Russian forces have successfully repelled over 30 Ukrainian attempts to infiltrate the Luhansk People's Republic in the past week, resulting in significant Ukrainian losses.

Drone Warfare

Extensive Activity: Widespread drone activity is reported across multiple regions, with both sides utilizing drones for reconnaissance, targeting, and attacks. Ukrainian forces report that their drones can strike targets up to 2000 km away. Ukrainian air defense forces are actively engaging hostile drones.
Confirmed Attack in Engels: A Ukrainian drone attack on an industrial facility in Engels, deep inside Russian territory, has been confirmed. The fire at the oil depot is intensifying, with reports of new explosions and a state of emergency declared.
New Drone Technology: Reports indicate that Russian forces are increasingly using drones connected to fiber-optic cables, which are resistant to electronic warfare.
New Drone Activity: Reports of drone movements across multiple oblasts:
- Zhytomyr Oblast: Drones are reported in the northern part, moving west.
- Kyiv Oblast: Drones are present in the northern part, moving west. Air raid alerts have been reported for Kyiv. Reports indicate a drone hit a multi-story building in the Solomyanskyi district of Kyiv, damaging windows and 6 cars, but causing no casualties.
- Chernihiv Oblast: Drones are observed in the northern and southern parts, moving west.
- Sumy Oblast: Two drones are heading towards Romny, and one towards Lypova Dolyna.
- Kirovohrad Oblast: Drones are present in the eastern part, moving southwest.
- Kharkiv Oblast: Drones are moving from Kharkiv towards Dnipropetrovsk Oblast.
- Dnipropetrovsk Oblast: One drone is in the Kryvyi Rih district, another is over Dolynska.
- Poltava Oblast: One drone is circling south of Poltava.
- Cherkasy Oblast: One drone was reported in the eastern part, constantly changing course.
- Vinnytsia Oblast: One drone is reported to be flying over the region.
New: Reports indicate several drones in flight: one from Kirovohrad Oblast to Vinnytsia Oblast, two along the Dnipro River towards Cherkasy, one from the north towards/through Kryvyi Rih, three north of Kremenchuk with a northwesterly course, and one through Boyarka towards Kyiv. A drone is reported to be heading towards Boryspil from the east.
Air Defense Engagements: 15 Ukrainian drones were shot down overnight over the Belgorod, Bryansk regions, and Krasnodar Territory. Five drones were shot down in the Rostov region of Russia. Ukrainian air defense forces are actively engaging hostile drones, with reports of activity near Kyiv and successful interceptions. Ukrainian air defenses shot down 41 out of 64 drones overnight. The Ukrainian Air Force reports that in the night of January 8, 2025 a large scale attack was launched using 64 attack UAVs of the "Shahed" type, as well as decoy drones from Orel, Kursk, Bryansk, and Primorsko-Akhtarsk. As of 9:00 AM, 41 attack UAVs were confirmed to be destroyed, including "Shahed" and other types of drones, in Poltava, Sumy, Kharkiv, Cherkasy, Chernihiv, Zhytomyr, Dnipropetrovsk, Mykolaiv, and Kirovohrad Oblasts. 22 decoy drones were lost without negative consequences. Three of them headed towards Russia, and one towards Belarus.
New: The threat of enemy attack drones has been deactivated across all regions, providing a temporary reprieve.
New: Ukrainian Air Force reports continued drone threats across multiple regions, with specific warnings for cities like Dnipro, Poltava, Kremenchuk, and Sumy.
New: 340 additional drones have been procured by Ukrainian forces thanks to donations, bringing the total to 134,114 FPV drones. Overnight, Ukrainian air defense forces shot down 10 Russian drones over Cherkasy Oblast.
New: Ukrainian forces report a 19-fold increase in the supply of drones to their units in 2024, compared to the previous year.
New: Ukrainian forces successfully employed a drone to eliminate a single Russian soldier.
New: Ukrainian border guards reportedly struck a Russian drone launch site in Vovchansk using drones.
New: Overnight drone attacks on Russian territory: 11 enemy drones were shot down over Saratov overnight, 4 over Kursk and Rostov, 3 over Belgorod and Bryansk, 2 over Krasnodar, 1 over Volgograd, and 4 over the Azov Sea.
New: In Cherkasy region 5 drones were shot down, debris damaged the windows of a dozen houses, a shop and a car.
New: The Ukrainian Air Force reports activity of Russian drones in the Chernihiv region.
New: Video evidence of Ukrainian forces using drones equipped with shotguns to effectively shoot down Russian drones.
New: A video shows the elimination of a group of Russian soldiers using FPV drones by the 110th Mechanized Brigade.
New: Ukrainian forces conducted a successful drone operation, targeting a Russian T-90 tank and an ammunition depot.
New: Ukrainian forces report destroying 3 Russian BTRs.
New: Russian FPV drone operators from the "Aida" group reportedly hit two Ukrainian armored fighting vehicles.
New: Video evidence shows Ukrainian forces targeting Russian positions with drones, resulting in multiple explosions and fires.
New: Ukrainian forces are continuing their drone attacks, with reports of a drone being shot down over the Bryansk region of Russia and an attack on the village of Rzhevka in the Belgorod region.
New: Ukrainian forces are continuing their drone attacks, with new videos showing the fire at the oil depot in Engels from various perspectives.
New: Ukrainian forces report that they used two kamikaze drones of the Darts type with 3 kg combined munitions and three FPV Babay-Heavy drones with 1.5 kg cumulative rounds to destroy a Russian cannon position in the Zaporizhzhia region.
New: The Ukrainian Air Force, stating that there is a threat of enemy tactical aviation activity in the north-eastern direction.
New: An air raid alert was declared in Kamensk-Shakhtinsky, Rostov region, followed by a column of smoke rising near military-technical property warehouses.
New: Video evidence shows a Ukrainian drone targeting and destroying a Russian logistics convoy in the Luhansk region, consisting of 5 KAMAZ trucks and 2 URAL trucks.
New: Video evidence shows a Ukrainian drone operator targeting a Russian 2S7 Pion self-propelled howitzer with three separate strikes.
New: A video from the 25th Airborne Brigade shows a Ukrainian soldier placing an explosive charge on the roof of a dugout where enemy soldiers are hiding.
New: A video shows a night-time drone strike on enemy positions by a Ukrainian "Vampire" drone.
New: A new drone attack on Kharkiv, hitting a civilian enterprise in the Nemyshlyansky district, has been reported. A 65-year-old man suffered an acute stress reaction due to the attack, but did not require hospitalization.
New: Video evidence shows a Ukrainian drone operator targeting a Russian soldier.
New: A drone threat has been announced for Dnipropetrovsk Oblast.
New: A drone is reported to be heading towards Kryvyi Rih from the north.
New: An air raid alert has been announced for Zaporizhzhia Oblast.
New: One drone from Kirovohrad Oblast has flown into Vinnytsia Oblast.
New: Two drones are flying along the Dnipro River towards Cherkasy.
New: One drone is flying from the north towards/through Kryvyi Rih.
New: Three drones are flying north of Kremenchuk with a northwesterly course.
New: One drone is flying through Boyarka towards Kyiv.
New: Mykolaiv and Zaporizhzhia Oblasts are under threat of enemy drone attacks.
New: A suspected reconnaissance drone is over Zaporizhzhia.
New: Two drones are in the south of Vinnytsia Oblast, heading northwest.
New: One drone is leaving Mykolaiv Oblast in the direction of Vinnytsia Oblast.
New: One drone has flown past Kryvyi Rih in the direction of Bereznehuvate.
New: One drone is flying from Cherkasy Oblast towards Kyiv Oblast.
New: One new drone is approaching Dnipro city and may be audible during anti-drone operations.
New: Electronic warfare has suppressed and destroyed 16 drones in the Rostov region of Russia.
New: A fire broke out in a house in the village of Chaltyr and at an enterprise in the village of Krym in the Rostov region due to a drone attack.
New: Air raid alerts have been announced for Kyiv.
Update: Ukrainian forces report that their drones can strike targets up to 2000 km away.
Update: Ukrainian forces report a 19-fold increase in the supply of drones to their units in 2024, compared to the previous year.
Update: The Ukrainian Air Force reports activity of Russian drones in the Chernihiv region.
New: 40 Ukrainian drones were destroyed overnight, including 16 over the Rostov region.
New: Russian channels report fires at industrial facilities in Rostov region due to drone attacks.
New: The Ukrainian Air Force reports activity of hostile tactical aviation in the eastern direction, with a threat of using air-launched weapons.
New: Russian channels report that a Ukrainian drone attack occurred near a local hospital in Chaltyr, Rostov region, resulting in a fire at a private residence.

Geopolitical Developments

Potential Meeting Between Scholz and Putin: Reports suggest a possible meeting between German Chancellor Scholz and Russian President Putin before February 23rd.
Shifting Alliances: Potential shifts in US and European support for Ukraine. The closure of the Polish Consulate in St. Petersburg reflects strained relations.
US Aid: A new US military aid package for Ukraine is expected to be announced soon, but the US has indicated that they will not be able to provide all military aid to Ukraine before January 20th.
New: The US has imposed sanctions on Antal Rogán, the head of the Hungarian Prime Minister's Office.
New: President Zelensky has signed a law creating a list of terrorist organizations in Ukraine.
New: Zelensky indicates a willingness to limit the scope of potential NATO membership to Ukrainian-controlled territory and expressed openness to attending Trump's inauguration if invited.
New: The Ukrainian Foreign Ministry has stated that Ukraine is ready to take Hungary's place in the EU and NATO if Hungary decides to leave.
New: The closure of the Polish Consulate in St. Petersburg has been officially closed.
New: French Foreign Minister Jean-Noel Barrot has called on the European Commission to take strong measures against Elon Musk.
New: An EU spokesperson urged respect for the sovereignty of countries after Trump's statements on Greenland.
New: The Polish Defense Minister suggests that the current Ramstein format for coordinating military aid to Ukraine may be the last of its kind.
New: The EU, through French Foreign Minister Jean-Noel Barrot, has stated that it will not tolerate any attacks on its sovereign borders, in response to reports of US ambitions in Greenland.
New: Amid statements from Trump about a possible takeover of Greenland, the Prime Minister of Greenland is scheduled to meet with the King of Denmark.
New: A TASS representative from the entourage of the next American leader said that Trump's transition team believes it is possible for Russia and the United States to reach a major security deal after the upcoming change of power in Washington.
New: The Armenian government has approved a draft law to begin the process of joining the EU.
New: Leaders of the "Ramstein" Contact Group on Ukraine's defense are reportedly set to approve "roadmaps" for each of the eight areas of cooperation, outlining strategic goals and key military aid needs until at least the end of 2027.
New: Reports indicate that Dmitry Medvedev, Deputy Chairman of the Security Council of Russia, has commented on Donald Trump's potential actions during a second term, suggesting that Trump is starting his potential presidency "not boringly."
New: Reports that the "Ramstein" format for coordinating military aid to Ukraine may be concluding, with the upcoming meeting potentially being the last.
New: The Ukrainian Parliament has voted in favor of a bill on basic military training.
New: In Georgia, former President Zurabishvili has opened a new office in Tbilisi, claiming to continue presidential functions there.
New: Reports suggest the US has reached an agreement with Egypt to participate in attacks against Yemen.
New: Hungary will block Ukraine's intention to join the EU due to the termination of Russian gas and oil transit.
New: A Polish presidential candidate, supported by the "PiS" party, stated that he does not see Ukraine in the EU and NATO until "civilizational issues" important to Poles are resolved, referring to the Volhyn tragedy.
Update: Zelensky offered to deploy foreign contingents on the territory of Ukraine.
Update: Zelensky on "Rammstein" proposes to place military contingents of partner states on the territory of Ukraine.
Update: NATO Secretary General Stoltenberg stated that Ukraine should be brought to the best possible position when it decides to sit down at the negotiating table.
Update: Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu will not attend Donald Trump's inauguration on January 20.
Update: Slovakia will take tough measures against Ukraine if the issue of gas transit is not resolved, according to Reuters, citing Fico.
Update: The Ukrainian Parliament has voted in favor of a bill on basic military training.
Update: Slovakia will take tough measures against Ukraine if the issue of gas transit is not resolved, according to Reuters, citing Fico.
Update: British Foreign Secretary David Lammy suggested that if Trump wins the election, a resolution to the conflict in Ukraine might be reached by Easter.
Update: The team of the newly elected US President Donald Trump has reportedly stopped pushing for a truce between Russia and Ukraine.
Update: Poland is preparing a new military aid package for Ukraine, according to Defense Minister Wladyslaw Kosiniak-Kamysz.
Update: British Foreign Secretary David Lammy suggested that if Trump wins the election, a resolution to the conflict in Ukraine might be reached by Easter.
New: 🇱🇧President of Lebanon is now the army commander supported by the US.
New: It was reported that the new Prime Minister of Canada will likely be announced in February-March 2025.
New: During the "Ramstein" meeting, UK Defense Minister John Healey and Latvian Defense Minister Andris Spruds announced that the UK will provide Ukraine with 30,000 drones, together with NATO allies.
New: Germany "in the shortest possible time" will transfer additional missiles to Ukraine for Iris-T air defense systems, according to the Minister of Defense Pistorius.
New: Pistorius reported that these missiles were originally intended for the Bundeswehr but are now being redirected directly from production to Ukraine.
New: According to local media, 48 missiles are involved.
New: The Ukrainian Air Force reports that the enemy attacked the city of Kryvyi Rih with three "Iskander-K" ground-based cruise missiles at 2:10 PM on January 9, 2025. All three missiles were shot down by units of the Air Command "East" of the Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine.
New: As part of the "Ramstein" meeting, US Secretary of Defense Lloyd Austin met with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky to discuss support for Ukraine.
Update: Ukraine is grateful to the United States, the entire American people, both parties, and both chambers for their support, which helps preserve independence and protect people's lives in the fight against unprovoked and criminal Russian aggression.
New: There is information that Russia is blackmailing Armenia with energy and food prices, as well as a 70-80% reduction in exports if Armenia withdraws from the CSTO.
New: A bill on joining the European Union puts Yerevan before a choice, the CSTO and the EU are incompatible.

Other Significant Developments

Weather Forecast: A warming trend is forecasted for Ukraine, which could impact military operations.
Casualties in Zaporizhzhia: The number of wounded in the Russian attack on Zaporizhzhia has increased to thirty.
Internal Political Maneuvering in Ukraine: Reported internal political maneuvering within Ukraine, particularly regarding Zelensky and Zaluzhnyi.
Arrest of Mercenaries in Venezuela: Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro announced the arrest of seven foreign "mercenaries," including three Ukrainian citizens.
New: Ukrainian MP Shevchenko will remain under arrest until March 7, 2025, without the right to post bail, following a decision by the Pechersk Court.
New: Rheinmetall IFV to be tested in Ukraine.
New: At least 19 people killed in attack on Chad's presidential palace.
New: A former FBI informant on Biden has been sentenced to six years in prison.
New: During storms, Russia lost almost half of the barriers made of barges near the Crimean Bridge and is not trying to restore them.
New: Russian State Secretary Blinken reported that US intelligence had data that Putin was considering a nuclear strike scenario, but China likely restrained him.
New: Video evidence shows a Russian soldier winning a hand-to-hand fight against a Ukrainian soldier, who subsequently detonated a grenade, killing himself.
New: The Security Service of Ukraine (SBU) reported the prevention of a terrorist attack by Russian special services in the Kyiv region.
New: Soldiers of the Ukrainian Armed Forces, under the threat of automatic weapons, are forcing civilians in Bohuslavka and Borovoy in the Kharkiv region to leave their homes so that the Ukrainian Armed Forces can occupy them and equip their positions, according to TASS.
New: The Russian Ministry of Defense reports that over the course of the night, 40 Ukrainian drones were destroyed or intercepted, including 16 over the Rostov region, 4 each over the Kursk and Voronezh regions, 3 over the Bryansk region, 2 over Krasnodar Krai, 1 over the Belgorod region, and 10 over the Sea of Azov.

New Developments (last 6 hours)

Kupyansk Direction: Ukrainian forces repelled a Russian attack and destroyed a US-supplied M113 armored personnel carrier.
Armenia: Russia is reportedly blackmailing Armenia with increased energy and food prices, as well as a 70-80% reduction in exports, if Armenia withdraws from the CSTO.
Military Aid: The UK, together with NATO allies, will provide Ukraine with 30,000 drones. Germany will transfer additional missiles to Ukraine for Iris-T air defense systems.
Ramstein Meeting: The "Ramstein" Contact Group on Ukraine's defense are reportedly set to approve "roadmaps" for each of the eight areas of cooperation. US Secretary of Defense Lloyd Austin met with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky to discuss support for Ukraine.
Casualties: The number of wounded in the Russian attack on Zaporizhzhia has increased to 120.
Drone Attacks: Russian channels report fires at industrial facilities in the Rostov region due to drone attacks. 40 Ukrainian drones were destroyed overnight, including 16 over the Rostov region.
Tactical Aviation Activity: The Ukrainian Air Force reports activity of hostile tactical aviation in the eastern direction, with a threat of using air-launched weapons.
Chaltyr Attack: Russian channels report that a Ukrainian drone attack occurred near a local hospital in Chaltyr, Rostov region, resulting in a fire at a private residence.
Boguslavka and Borovoy: Russian sources report that Ukrainian soldiers are forcing civilians to leave their homes in these towns in the Kharkiv region so that the Ukrainian Armed Forces can occupy them.
Russian MoD Report: The Russian Ministry of Defense reports that over the course of the night, 40 Ukrainian drones were destroyed or intercepted.

Updated Recommendations

Urgently reinforce Toretsk and Pokrovsk: The situation in Toretsk is critical, and immediate action is needed to prevent its complete capture by Russian forces. Deploy additional troops, anti-tank weapons, and air defense systems to Toretsk and Pokrovsk to counter the Russian advance.
Prioritize Air Defense: Given the increased drone activity and the threat of air-launched weapons, it's crucial to

Situation Report