Updated Analysis of the Military Situation in Ukraine

As of January 10, 2025, 03:33 UTC

Strategic Overview

The military situation in Ukraine remains highly volatile and complex, with a marked increase in hostilities across multiple fronts. Russian forces are maintaining offensive momentum, particularly in the Donetsk region, where they have achieved significant gains around Kurakhove, Toretsk, and Pokrovsk. The situation in Toretsk is especially critical, with Ukrainian control dwindling to less than 15%. The renewed Russian offensive in the Kursk region continues, despite initial Ukrainian claims of success, with heavy fighting reported and significant territorial gains by Russian forces near Sudzha, including near Makhnovka where they struck a Ukrainian group at night using an FPV drone. Drone warfare remains a dominant and pervasive feature, with widespread activity across multiple oblasts and reports of new Russian drones resistant to electronic warfare. The confirmed drone activity, including attacks on Kyiv, underscore the persistent threat to urban centers and civilian infrastructure.

The geopolitical landscape is increasingly complex and uncertain. The potential meeting between German Chancellor Scholz and Russian President Putin, coupled with reports of a potential meeting between Trump and Putin, signals a possible shift in the diplomatic approach to the conflict. The expected new U.S. military aid package for Ukraine, although significant, is tempered by the acknowledgment that not all aid can be delivered before January 20th. Internal political maneuvering within Ukraine, coupled with mobilization challenges, adds another layer of complexity to the situation.

Key Developments

Donetsk Region

Fall of Kurakhove: Russian forces control most of Kurakhove, with Ukrainian forces holding only the western part, including a thermal power plant. The city is assessed as "factually lost." This represents a significant strategic loss for Ukraine, impacting the defense of the Pokrovsk-Konstantinovka highway.
Critical Situation in Toretsk: Less than 15% of Toretsk remains under Ukrainian control. Video evidence confirms intense urban warfare, with Ukrainian units targeting Russian positions within the city. Russian forces are conducting clean-up operations and claim control of 85% of the city. The battle for Toretsk is described as crucial for the fate of nearby cities, including Chasiv Yar, Konstantinovka, Kramatorsk, and Sloviansk.
Russian Advances Towards Pokrovsk: Russian forces are intensifying attacks near Pokrovsk, with progress reported in Novovasylivka, Yelyzavetivka, and Baranovka. They are approaching the western and northwestern outskirts of Dzerzhynsk. The "Ot ভারতবর্ষে" group is actively engaging Ukrainian forces, destroying enemy equipment and personnel, and advancing towards Pokrovsk. Russian forces have advanced in the northern part of Dzerzhinsk (Toretsk), expanding their control zone. A new video released by the Russian Ministry of Defense shows an artillery unit operating a 2A65 "Msta-B" howitzer, reportedly using "Krasnopol-M2" precision-guided munitions to destroy a Ukrainian command post in the Krasnoarmiisk area.
Shevchenko and Ivanivka Captured: Russian forces have captured Shevchenko and Ivanivka, further solidifying their gains in the region.
Other Advances: Further Russian gains are reported near Vozdvyzhenka, Baranivka, Solone, Slovyanka, Petropavlivka, Novoelizavetivka, and Kurakhove. Advances in Pisky and the eastern outskirts of Dachne. Russian forces are advancing in the Krasnoarmiisk direction, with fighting continuing in these areas. Gains are also reported near Chasiv Yar, Belogorovka, Ukrainka, Novyi Trud, Ivan-Daryevka, Slavyanka, Petropavlovka, Myrolyubivka, Vodyane Druhe, Baranivka, Zelene Pole, and Tymofiivka.
Chasiv Yar: Video evidence of a successful Russian "Lancet" drone strike on a Ukrainian BMP in the Chasiv Yar area indicates continued pressure on this key location. Russian forces report they have advanced 500 meters near the South-Eastern mine near Chasiv Yar. Fighting is reported at the "Chasiv Yar Refractory Plant," with Russian forces claiming new positions in the northern part of Chasiv Yar and an advance of up to 1.5 km.
Dnipropetrovsk Direction: Battles are ongoing across the entire direction, with particularly fierce battles occurring near Novovasylivka - Uspenivka.
Video evidence shows Russian forces destroying a US-supplied M-113 armored personnel carrier near Dzerzhynsk using a drone.
Ukrainian Resistance: Ukrainian forces are resisting the Russian advance, reporting the repulsion of an assault near Velyka Novosilka and pushing Russian forces out of the southern part of Novoielizavetivka. Ukrainian forces are targeting Russian military equipment and personnel, with a mass drone attack reported in the Pokrovsk direction.
Tank Warfare: A video from the "Colonelcassad" Telegram channel showcases Russian tank crews from the "Southern" group of forces supporting the advance of assault units after the capture of Kurakhove. The video highlights the continued importance of armored warfare in the conflict and the role of tanks in providing fire support to infantry. The gunner's emphasis on training and the challenges of hitting smaller targets, such as trenches and fortified bunkers, provides insights into the tactical realities of tank warfare. The video also underscores the importance of close cooperation between the gunner and the tank commander and the need for accurate coordinate delivery and adjustment. The focus on destroying enemy strongholds and firing points suggests an ongoing effort to weaken Ukrainian defenses and pave the way for further advances.

Kursk Region

Stalled Ukrainian Counteroffensive: The Ukrainian counteroffensive in the Kursk region has stalled, with reports of heavy losses, estimated at up to 48,000 casualties. Despite these setbacks, Zelensky has characterized the Kursk operation as a major victory. The US has acknowledged the strategic importance of the Kursk operation for future negotiations.
Renewed Russian Offensive: Russian forces have resumed offensive operations, with advances near Novaya Sorochina. Russian forces report that the counterattacking potential of Ukrainian forces has waned and that they are now being pushed back from their positions near Kruglenkoye.
Intense Fighting: Intense fighting is reported in several areas, with Ukrainian forces deploying reserves. Russian forces are making small advances in Pogrebki, pushing towards the local school. Fighting continues near Berdin and Malaya Loknya, with Russian advances in the Sudzha area. Leonidovo has been taken under Russian control.
Artillery & Drones: Russian artillery and drone operations are proving effective, with the destruction of Ukrainian artillery pieces reported.
New Russian Advances: Russian forces are making advances in the area between Guyevo and Kurilovka and the forested areas of the Sudzha border region. Russian forces have captured Russkoye Porechnoye and are currently assaulting Cherkasskoye Porechnoye. Approximately 40 Ukrainian soldiers reportedly retreated from Berdin to Cherkasskoye Porechnoye.
Video evidence shows Russian troops using an FPV drone to strike a Ukrainian group advancing at night near Makhnovka.
The Russian Ministry of Defense reports significant losses for Ukrainian forces in the region since the beginning of hostilities, including over 50,310 troops, 294 tanks, and various other military equipment.
Video evidence of Russian forces capturing 13 Ukrainian soldiers from the 82nd Brigade.

Kharkiv Region

Russian Advances: Russian forces report advances towards Lozova in the Izyum area and in Dvurichna. They have reportedly expanded their bridgehead up to 5 km south of Dvorechnaya, occupied the forest near Zapadnoye, and advanced significantly in the center of Dvurichna.
Ukrainian forces have reportedly stabilized the situation near Kruhliakivka and Kolisnykivka.
The 3rd Assault Brigade of the Ukrainian Armed Forces is reportedly engaging Russian forces on the outskirts of Kharkiv.
Ukrainian forces repelled a Russian attack and destroyed a US-supplied M113 armored personnel carrier near Kupyansk.

Luhansk Region

Russian Advances: On the Krasnolimansk direction, units of the Russian Army are developing success in Ivanovka (right bank of the Zherebets River). Russian forces are attempting to capture heights beyond Ivanovka near Terny and are storming Zahryzove. Russian forces have captured Ivanivka near Terny, marking a significant advance.
Russian forces have successfully repelled over 30 Ukrainian attempts to infiltrate the Luhansk People's Republic in the past week.

Drone Warfare

Extensive Activity: Widespread drone activity is reported across multiple regions, with both sides utilizing drones for reconnaissance, targeting, and attacks. Ukrainian forces report that their drones can strike targets up to 2000 km away.
New Drone Technology: Reports indicate that Russian forces are increasingly using drones connected to fiber-optic cables, which are resistant to electronic warfare.
New Drone Activity: Reports of drone movements across multiple oblasts:
- Zhytomyr Oblast: Drones are reported in the northern part, moving west.
- Kyiv Oblast: Drones are present in the northern part, moving west. Air raid alerts have been reported for Kyiv. Reports indicate a drone hit a multi-story building in the Solomyanskyi district of Kyiv, damaging windows and 6 cars, but causing no casualties. Sounds of explosions were heard in Kyiv twice during the night.
- Chernihiv Oblast: Drones are observed in the northern and southern parts, moving west.
- Sumy Oblast: Two drones are heading towards Romny, and one towards Lypova Dolyna.
- Kirovohrad Oblast: Drones are present in the eastern part, moving southwest. Six drones are flying from Dnipropetrovsk Oblast towards Oleksandriia. One drone is at the intersection of Kirovohrad and Mykolaiv Oblasts, with a western course.
- Kharkiv Oblast: Drones are moving from Kharkiv towards Dnipropetrovsk Oblast. Two drones were reported in the Izyum district.
- Dnipropetrovsk Oblast: One drone is in the Kryvyi Rih district, another is over Dolynska. Five new drones were reported at the intersection of Zaporizhzhia and Dnipropetrovsk Oblasts, with a western course. Two new drones were reported over Marhanets with a north-western course. Two drones are flying from Dnipropetrovsk Oblast to Poltava Oblast. A drone is reported to be heading towards Kam'yans'ke from the east.
- Poltava Oblast: One drone is circling south of Poltava. Two drones are circling north of Myrhorod. One drone was reported north of Kremenchuk, with a western course. One drone is in the south of Poltava Oblast, moving north and south. One drone is in the Kremenchuk district, with a southern course. Kremenchuk has been urged to take shelter due to the threat of a drone from the south. A drone is reported to be heading towards Myrhorod from the southeast.
- Cherkasy Oblast: One drone was reported in the eastern part, constantly changing course. One drone is moving through/towards Cherkasy.
- Vinnytsia Oblast: One drone is reported to be flying over the region. A drone threat has been announced for Vinnytsia Oblast.
New: Reports indicate several drones in flight: one from Kirovohrad Oblast to Vinnytsia Oblast, two along the Dnipro River towards Cherkasy, one from the north towards/through Kryvyi Rih, three north of Kremenchuk with a northwesterly course, and one through Boyarka towards Kyiv. A drone is reported to be heading towards Boryspil from the east.
Air Defense Engagements: 15 Ukrainian drones were shot down overnight over the Belgorod, Bryansk regions, and Krasnodar Territory. Five drones were shot down in the Rostov region of Russia. Ukrainian air defense forces are actively engaging hostile drones, with reports of activity near Kyiv and successful interceptions. Ukrainian air defenses shot down 41 out of 64 drones overnight. The Ukrainian Air Force reports that in the night of January 8, 2025 a large scale attack was launched using 64 attack UAVs of the "Shahed" type, as well as decoy drones from Orel, Kursk, Bryansk, and Primorsko-Akhtarsk. As of 9:00 AM, 41 attack UAVs were confirmed to be destroyed, including "Shahed" and other types of drones, in Poltava, Sumy, Kharkiv, Cherkasy, Chernihiv, Zhytomyr, Dnipropetrovsk, Mykolaiv, and Kirovohrad Oblasts. 22 decoy drones were lost without negative consequences. Three of them headed towards Russia, and one towards Belarus.
Ukrainian forces report a 19-fold increase in the supply of drones to their units in 2024, compared to the previous year.
Video evidence shows Ukrainian forces using drones equipped with shotguns to effectively shoot down Russian drones.
Video evidence shows a Ukrainian drone operator targeting a Russian soldier.
Video from "STERNENKO" shows Ukrainian forces from the Flying Skull drone unit targeting Russian positions in the Kursk region.
Video from "Оперативний ЗСУ" shows a Ukrainian FPV drone targeting Russian infantry in the Kharkiv region.
New: A drone threat has been announced for Dnipropetrovsk Oblast.
New: A drone is reported to be heading towards Kryvyi Rih from the north.
New: An air raid alert has been announced for Zaporizhzhia Oblast.
New: One drone from Kirovohrad Oblast has flown into Vinnytsia Oblast.
New: Two drones are flying along the Dnipro River towards Cherkasy.
New: One drone is flying from the north towards/through Kryvyi Rih.
New: Three drones are flying north of Kremenchuk with a northwesterly course.
New: One drone is flying through Boyarka towards Kyiv.
New: Mykolaiv and Zaporizhzhia Oblasts are under threat of enemy drone attacks.
New: A suspected reconnaissance drone is over Zaporizhzhia.
New: Two drones are in the south of Vinnytsia Oblast, heading northwest.
New: One drone is leaving Mykolaiv Oblast in the direction of Vinnytsia Oblast.
New: One drone has flown past Kryvyi Rih in the direction of Bereznehuvate.
New: One drone is flying from Cherkasy Oblast towards Kyiv Oblast.
New: One new drone is approaching Dnipro city and may be audible during anti-drone operations.
New: Electronic warfare has suppressed and destroyed 16 drones in the Rostov region of Russia.
New: A fire broke out in a house in the village of Chaltyr and at an enterprise in the village of Krym in the Rostov region due to a drone attack.
New: Air raid alerts have been announced for Kyiv.

Geopolitical Developments

Potential Meeting Between Scholz and Putin: Reports suggest a possible meeting between German Chancellor Scholz and Russian President Putin before February 23rd.
Potential Meeting Between Trump and Putin: Reports suggest a possible meeting between former U.S. President Donald Trump and Russian President Vladimir Putin. Trump has announced that he is preparing for the meeting, although no specific timeframe has been provided.
US Aid: A new US military aid package for Ukraine is expected to be announced soon, but the US has indicated that they will not be able to provide all military aid to Ukraine before January 20th. A new substantial package is expected to be announced during the upcoming "Ramstein" meeting. The US Congress is considering a resolution to recognize Russia's actions in Ukraine as genocide.
President Zelensky has signed a law creating a list of terrorist organizations in Ukraine.
Zelensky indicates a willingness to limit the scope of potential NATO membership to Ukrainian-controlled territory.
The Ukrainian Foreign Ministry has stated that Ukraine is ready to take Hungary's place in the EU and NATO if Hungary decides to leave.
The Polish Defense Minister suggests that the current Ramstein format for coordinating military aid to Ukraine may be the last of its kind.
The Armenian government has approved a draft law to begin the process of joining the EU.
Leaders of the "Ramstein" Contact Group on Ukraine's defense are reportedly set to approve "roadmaps" for each of the eight areas of cooperation, outlining strategic goals and key military aid needs until at least the end of 2027.
The Ukrainian Parliament has voted in favor of a bill on basic military training.
NATO Secretary General Stoltenberg stated that Ukraine should be brought to the best possible position when it decides to sit down at the negotiating table.
British Foreign Secretary David Lammy suggested that if Trump wins the election, a resolution to the conflict in Ukraine might be reached by Easter.
The team of the newly elected US President Donald Trump has reportedly stopped pushing for a truce between Russia and Ukraine.
Poland is preparing a new military aid package for Ukraine, according to Defense Minister Wladyslaw Kosiniak-Kamysz.
The UK, together with NATO allies, will provide Ukraine with 30,000 drones. Germany will transfer additional missiles to Ukraine for Iris-T air defense systems.
The U.S. House of Representatives passed a bill to impose sanctions on the International Criminal Court (ICC) in response to the ICC's arrest warrant for Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu.
Scholz Blocks Aid Package: German Chancellor Scholz has reportedly blocked a new billion-euro aid package for Ukraine, despite support from Foreign Minister Baerbock and Defense Minister Pistorius. This suggests internal disagreements within the German government regarding the level of support for Ukraine.
US Court Rejects Trump's Appeal: The US Supreme Court has rejected Trump's request to postpone the sentencing in the Trump Organization financial documents forgery case, scheduled for January 10th. This could potentially impact Trump's political standing and future plans.
Armenia: Russia is reportedly blackmailing Armenia with increased energy and food prices, as well as a 70-80% reduction in exports, if Armenia withdraws from the CSTO. A bill on joining the European Union puts Yerevan before a choice, as the CSTO and the EU are deemed incompatible.
Japan Imposes Sanctions on Russia: Japan has imposed sanctions on 11 individuals and 29 legal entities from Russia, as well as 3 banks. This move further isolates Russia economically and demonstrates international condemnation of its actions in Ukraine. Japan has also imposed export restrictions on 31 companies from China, UAE, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Thailand, and Turkey as part of anti-Russian measures.
New: Donald Trump has announced that he is preparing for a meeting with Vladimir Putin. This announcement adds another layer of complexity to the geopolitical landscape, and the potential implications of this meeting should be carefully considered.

Other Significant Developments

Weather Forecast: A warming trend is forecasted for Ukraine, which could impact military operations.
Casualties in Zaporizhzhia: The number of wounded in the Russian attack on Zaporizhzhia has increased to 120 and later to 13, with 32 people injured.
Internal Political Maneuvering in Ukraine: Reported internal political maneuvering within Ukraine, particularly regarding Zelensky and Zaluzhnyi.
Mobilization Discussion: A video featuring a discussion with the ex-Minister of Defense of Britain suggests that Ukraine should mobilize all men from 18 years old to increase personnel strength. There is also a video showing the TCC (Territorial Center for Recruitment and Social Support) forcefully packing a man into a vehicle in Kyiv.
Video evidence shows a Russian soldier winning a hand-to-hand fight against a Ukrainian soldier, who subsequently detonated a grenade, killing himself.
Russian military correspondent reporting: A video from a Russian military correspondent features an interview with a mobilized soldier with the callsign "Bek," who discusses the importance of awareness on the battlefield due to the threat from the air, as well as an engagement with Polish troops. Another video from the same correspondent shows soldiers from various volunteer battalions expressing gratitude for the correspondent's work.
Mass Killings in Selydove: A video from "Colonelcassad" presents evidence of alleged mass killings of civilians in Selydove by Ukrainian forces. The video includes testimonies from residents and aims to support the narrative of Ukrainian war crimes. This could be used as propaganda by Russian forces to justify their actions and undermine international support for Ukraine.
Arrest for Treason: A resident of Yenakiieve in the Donetsk People's Republic has been arrested by the regional FSB on charges of treason. The individual is accused of funding Ukrainian combatants. The video of the arrest serves as both a counter-intelligence operation and a propaganda tool, demonstrating Russia's efforts to suppress internal support for Ukraine and reinforce its narrative of the conflict. The incident highlights Russia's attempts to control the local population, interdict logistical support for Ukrainian forces, and utilize information operations to deter potential supporters of Ukraine.
New: A resident of Yenakiieve in the Donetsk People's Republic has been arrested by the regional FSB on charges of treason for allegedly funding Ukrainian combatants.

Updated Situation

The military situation in Ukraine remains extremely precarious, with Russian forces maintaining offensive momentum, particularly in the Donetsk region. The fall of Kurakhove and the critical situation in Toretsk, where Ukrainian control is dwindling, are major setbacks. Russian forces are making substantial gains, threatening key locations like Pokrovsk and the strategic Pokrovsk-Konstantinovka highway. The Ukrainian counteroffensive in the Kursk region has been repelled, with significant losses. Russian forces have made new advances in the Sudzha area, including striking a Ukrainian group at night with an FPV drone near Makhnovka.

Drone warfare continues to be a dominant feature of the conflict, with widespread activity across multiple oblasts. Ukrainian air defenses are actively engaging Russian drones, but the threat remains significant, as evidenced by the reported drone strike on a multi-story residential building in Kyiv and drone attacks in the Rostov region.

In the Kharkiv region, Russian forces have made significant advances, expanding their bridgehead south of Dvorechnaya and occupying the forest near Zapadnoye and the north-eastern part of Dvurichna.

The geopolitical landscape is increasingly complex. The expected announcement of a substantial final US weapons package for Ukraine during the upcoming "Ramstein" meeting is a positive development, but the US has indicated it will not be able to provide all aid before January 20th. Statements from Zelensky and Macron suggest potential shifts in approach, while Trump's stance on NATO and Ukraine, and his announcement of a meeting with Putin, adds another layer of uncertainty. The resignation of Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau could potentially impact international support for Ukraine.

New developments include the declaration of air raid alerts across Ukraine due to the threat of Russian missile attacks and the activity of tactical aviation, including the detection of a MiG-31K, capable of carrying Kinzhal missiles. Russian forces are actively shelling positions near Kurakhove and have launched guided aerial bombs in Sumy Oblast. The threat of ballistic missile usage from the southeast has also been reported. The new messages add further details on the ongoing drone activity, with multiple drones reported in various regions, including Vinnytsia, Kryvyi Rih, Myrhorod, Kam'yans'ke, Boryspil and areas near the Dnipro River. This indicates a continued and widespread drone threat across Ukraine. The announcement of an air raid alert for Zaporizhzhia Oblast further underscores the heightened state of alert. The announcement by Donald Trump that he is preparing for a meeting with Vladimir Putin adds another layer of complexity to the geopolitical landscape. The video released by the Russian Ministry of Defense, showing the use of a "Msta-B" howitzer and "Krasnopol-M2" precision-guided munitions, highlights the ongoing artillery engagements in the Krasnoarmiisk area. The video showcasing Russian tank crews supporting the advance of assault units after the capture of Kurakhove underscores the continued importance of armored warfare. The arrest of a resident of Yenakiieve in the Donetsk People's Republic on charges of treason for allegedly funding Ukrainian combatants serves as both a counter-intelligence operation and a propaganda tool, demonstrating Russia's efforts to suppress internal support for Ukraine. The imposition of export restrictions by Japan on companies from various countries, including China and the UAE, as part of anti-Russian measures, further isolates Russia economically. The reports of drone attacks in the Rostov region, resulting in fires and the suppression of 16 drones by electronic warfare, highlight the ongoing drone warfare and its impact on Russian territory.

The situation remains fluid and highly volatile. The increasing use of drones, the geographical expansion of the conflict, and the evolving geopolitical landscape contribute to the complexity of the situation. The coming days will be crucial in determining the trajectory of the conflict and the potential for further escalation.

The new messages add further details to the ongoing drone warfare, with reports of multiple drones in various regions and specific warnings for cities like Kharkiv, Poltava and Sumy. The Ukrainian Air Force provides updated information on the movement of enemy drones, indicating a coordinated effort to track and counter these threats. The repeated launches of guided aerial bombs by Russian tactical aviation on Zaporizhzhia Oblast underscore the continued aerial threat faced by Ukrainian forces and civilian populations. The air raid alerts in the Zaporizhzhia Oblast have been lifted. The threat of attack drones has also been lifted across all regions, according to the Ukrainian Air Force.

A video from the "Operativnyi ZSU" channel shows a Ukrainian FPV drone successfully targeting a group of Russian soldiers riding motorcycles, highlighting the continued use of drones to target enemy personnel and vehicles. Reports of homeless residents of occupied Mariupol protesting the lack of housing and unfulfilled promises by the Russian-appointed administration highlight the ongoing humanitarian crisis in occupied territories. The multiple videos of residents expressing their grievances underscore the dire situation and the potential for growing discontent among the civilian population. The announcement of the date for new presidential elections in Romania adds another element to the regional political landscape.

The message from the "Dva Mayora" channel regarding a fundraising effort to support a combat brigade with drones highlights the continued reliance on crowdfunding to supplement military supplies. The specific request for Mavic 3T and Mavic 3Pro drones underscores the importance of these platforms for reconnaissance and combat operations. The mention of increased enemy activity and the lack of standard-issue drones in the unit suggests potential logistical challenges or gaps in the supply chain.

The message from the "Arkhangel Spetsnaza Z" channel regarding a fundraising effort for paratroopers in Kursk highlights the ongoing fighting in the region and the need for additional equipment. The mention of a friendly fire incident resulting in the loss of equipment underscores the risks and challenges faced by troops on the front lines. The request for Mavic 3, Mavic 3T drones, and antennas indicates the continued importance of these platforms for reconnaissance and combat operations.

The video from the "Operativnyi ZSU" channel showing a duel between a Russian soldier (or possibly a North Korean fighter) and a Ukrainian FPV drone highlights the ongoing use of drones to target individual enemy personnel. The soldier's unsuccessful attempt to counter the drone underscores the challenges of defending against these platforms. The video from the "Tsaplienko_Ukraine Fights" channel reporting the destruction of 5 enemy armored vehicles by Ukrainian Special Operations Forces in the Kursk region highlights the continued fighting in the area and the effectiveness of Ukrainian forces in repelling Russian attacks. The mention of two tanks and three armored vehicles being hit by drone crews underscores the importance of drones in targeting enemy equipment.

The report from the "ASTRA" channel about a Russian soldier who attempted suicide after being pardoned by Putin and sent to fight in Ukraine highlights the potential morale issues within the Russian military. The soldier's history of multiple convictions and the brutal nature of his crime against an elderly woman raise questions about the recruitment practices and the types of individuals being sent to the front lines.

The announcement by the Danish Foreign Ministry regarding the possibility of Greenland separating from Denmark adds another layer to the complex geopolitical situation surrounding the Arctic region. This statement, coupled with the earlier reports of US interest in Greenland, underscores the strategic importance of the region and the potential for future territorial disputes. The reported attack on the presidential palace in N'Djamena, Chad, by "Boko Haram" militants, following the withdrawal of French troops, highlights the volatile security situation in the region. This development could potentially impact regional stability and draw in other international actors. The presence of the chief Chinese diplomat in N'Djamena amidst reports of a potential coup attempt, as highlighted by the "Rybar" channel, adds another layer to the complex geopolitical situation in Chad. The French media's focus on the coup attempt suggests a potential information operation aimed at shaping the narrative surrounding the events. The situation in Chad seems to have calmed down for now.

The Ukrainian Air Force's reports of drone threats in Kherson, Kyiv, and Chernihiv Oblasts, along with specific warnings for the cities of Chernihiv, Kryvyi Rih, and Sloviansk, indicate continued aerial threats and the potential for further attacks. The reported destruction of an enemy drone over the Bryansk region by Russian air defenses highlights the ongoing efforts to counter these threats.

The message from the "Starshye Eddy" channel regarding the hasty allocation of new aid packages by the outgoing Biden administration suggests a potential strategy to lock in support for Ukraine and limit the ability of the incoming administration to alter the course of action. The mention of potential legal challenges and the need to prove the illegality of contracts underscores the complex political and legal landscape surrounding US aid to Ukraine. The reference to the potential impact on Trump's voter base, particularly workers in the defense industry, highlights the domestic political considerations at play.

The reported explosion in Pavlohrad, Dnipropetrovsk Oblast, as reported by the Ukrainian publication "Obschestvennoye. Novosti", indicates continued attacks on Ukrainian infrastructure and industrial facilities. The suspension of work at the waste sorting complex in Engels due to the emergency regime, as reported by the Saratov branch of the company "Citymatic", highlights the potential impact of the conflict on civilian infrastructure and services within Russia. The message from the "Rybar" channel regarding the situation in Chad suggests a potential power vacuum following the withdrawal of French troops and highlights the conflicting narratives surrounding the reported unrest. The lack of a clear consensus on the nature of the events underscores the volatile and uncertain situation in the country.

The appointment of a new Ukrainian ambassador to Mozambique, as reported by "RBC-Ukraine", indicates Ukraine's continued diplomatic efforts to maintain and strengthen international relations. The previous ambassador's concurrent for Mozambique and South Africa suggests a potential shift in focus towards the African continent. The reported drone threats in Kherson Oblast, as reported by the Ukrainian Air Force, indicate continued aerial threats in the region. The specific mention of a drone approaching from the northeast of Kherson with a northerly course provides further details on the drone's trajectory.

The image and message from the "Operativnyi ZSU" channel regarding the importance of reporting aerial threats through the ePPO mobile app highlight the role of civilian participation in enhancing air defense capabilities. The call to action underscores the importance of collective efforts in protecting Ukrainian airspace and the potential impact of individual contributions. The video from the "Colonelcassad" channel showing the forced mobilization of a man in Rivne highlights the ongoing challenges of conscription and the potential for resistance among the civilian population. The man's desperate pleas for help and the onlookers' inaction underscore the difficult situation faced by those targeted for mobilization.

The video from President Zelensky's official channel, where he addresses the nation following the attack on Zaporizhzhia, highlights the ongoing human cost of the conflict and the deliberate targeting of civilians by Russian forces. Zelensky's call for increased pressure on Moscow, unity among Ukraine's partners, and a focus on strengthening air defenses underscores the urgency of the situation and the need for continued international support. His mention of specific diplomatic efforts, including meetings with leaders of Moldova, Qatar, and Saudi Arabia, as well as discussions in the Ramstein format, demonstrates Ukraine's active engagement on the international stage.

The latest updates indicate a further intensification of drone warfare, with multiple reports of drone activity and specific warnings for various cities and regions. The Ukrainian Air Force continues to provide updates on the movement of enemy drones, highlighting the ongoing threat and the need for vigilance. The air alert in the Zaporizhzhia Oblast has been canceled. The reports of attacks on civilian infrastructure, including the deadly strike on Zaporizhzhia and the shelling of Kherson, underscore the devastating impact of the conflict on the civilian population. The continued fighting in the Kursk and Donetsk regions, along with the ongoing mobilization efforts and the humanitarian crisis in occupied territories, paint a grim picture of the situation on the ground.

The geopolitical landscape remains complex and fluid, with various actors pursuing their own interests and agendas. The potential for further escalation remains high, particularly in light of the continued drone attacks, the ongoing fighting on multiple fronts, and the uncertain political situation in several countries. The international community's response to these developments will be crucial in shaping the future course of the conflict.

The new information regarding Google's blocking of Russian state-controlled TV channels, the reported Russian advance in Donetsk, the updated drone activity, the situation in Chad, the claims from the Russian Ministry of Defense, the fundraising efforts for both Russian and Ukrainian forces, the incident at the US Capitol, the Ukrainian military report, the artillery strikes in Donetsk, the analysis of the situation in Spain, the drone strikes on Russian infantry, Biden's gaffe, and the fundraising for Ukrainian forces further adds to the complexity of the situation.

The blocking of Russian TV channels by Google represents a significant development in the information war, potentially limiting Russia's ability to spread propaganda within Europe. The reported Russian advance in Donetsk underscores the continued offensive pressure and the deteriorating situation for Ukrainian forces in the region. The widespread drone activity highlights the persistent aerial threat and the importance of air defense capabilities.

The situation in Chad, with the ongoing counter-terrorism operation and the conflicting narratives surrounding the events, adds another layer of uncertainty to the regional security landscape. The claims from the Russian Ministry of Defense regarding Ukrainian losses and the seizing of advantageous lines should be viewed with caution, as they are likely part of Russia's information operations.

The fundraising efforts for both Russian and Ukrainian forces, as evidenced by the videos and messages from various channels, demonstrate the continued reliance on crowdfunding and the importance of external support in sustaining the war effort. The incident at the US Capitol, while not directly related to the conflict, highlights the potential for domestic unrest and security challenges within the US.

The Ukrainian military report provides a detailed overview of the fighting across multiple fronts, emphasizing the intensity of the conflict and the ongoing efforts by Ukrainian forces to resist Russian advances. The reported artillery strikes in Donetsk and the drone strikes on Russian infantry further underscore the active fighting in the region.

The analysis of the situation in Spain offers insights into the country's internal political and economic dynamics, as well as its foreign policy stance. The reported drone strikes on Russian infantry, along with the fundraising for Ukrainian forces, highlight the continued effectiveness of drone warfare and the importance of international support.

Biden's gaffe, while seemingly minor, could potentially be exploited by Russian media to undermine his credibility and portray him as unfit for office. The fundraising for Ukrainian forces, with the acquisition of 270 additional drones, demonstrates the ongoing efforts to enhance Ukraine's drone capabilities.

The new messages about drone movements near Dnipro and Poltava add to the already tense situation, indicating a continued and potentially escalating

Situation Report