Archived operational intelligence briefing
Updated Analysis of the Military Situation in Ukraine - January 2, 2025, 20:47 UTC
Intense fighting continues near Kurakhove, with Russian forces attempting to encircle the city. They have made significant advances, capturing several settlements and reaching the outskirts of Krasne (Sontsovka). The strategic goal appears to be cutting off the highway to Pokrovsk and encircling the city.
Russian forces are making gains near Novovasylivka, 10 km southwest of Pokrovsk, with active assault operations. They are also advancing west and northwest of Uspenovka.
Russian forces have entered Slavyanka and Petropavlovka, and captured some Ukrainian positions north of Shevchenko.
Positional fighting is reported in the Lysychansk-Belohorivka area.
Russian forces launched a powerful attack with "Iskanders" on Dnipropetrovsk.
Russian forces report they have taken new positions in the northern part of Chasiv Yar, advancing up to 1.5 km.
Russian forces report successful advances by the 7th Brigade in Belogorovka.
Positional fighting continues in the Krasnoarmiisk-Novoaleksandrivka direction.
Ukrainian forces, specifically the "RAROG" unit of the 24th Mechanized Brigade, report destroying four T-62 tanks and three BMP-2 infantry fighting vehicles near Chasiv Yar.
Russian assault units surrounded and captured Ukrainka.
Russian forces liberated Novyi Trud.
Russian forces have taken Ivan-Daryevka and are advancing west of the settlement.
Video evidence shows a Russian soldier filming the aftermath of a Ukrainian FPV drone strike on a Russian vehicle in the Donetsk region, indicating casualties among the Russian assault group. This provides further evidence of the effectiveness of Ukrainian drone warfare.
Drone operators from the "Center" group reportedly eliminated a Ukrainian observation post in the Pokrovsk direction.
Drone operators from the "Center" group continue to hunt for Ukrainian forces in the Pokrovsk direction.
Drone operators from the 20th Motorized Rifle Division destroyed a camouflaged communications repeater.
Video shows a drone observation of Russian forces ambushing and engaging enemy personnel.
FPV drones of the "Center" group continue to hunt for the Ukrainian Armed Forces in the Pokrovsk direction.
Remote mining by Ukrainian "Vampir" drone near Zoria.
Drone strikes on assault columns near Kurakhove.
Video evidence of military engagement near Kurakhove.
Russian forces used FPV drones to target Ukrainian positions in the Kurakhove direction.
Ukrainian forces report Russian forces used drones to target positions of the 33rd Mechanized Brigade in the Kurakhovo direction.
Operators of FPV drones from the 20th Motorized Rifle Division destroyed a camouflaged communications repeater.
Ukrainian drone "Vampir" remotely mined Russian logistics routes near Zoria.
Ukrainian forces repelled a Russian assault using drones in the Siversk direction.
Video evidence confirms ongoing engagements, with soldiers from the 68th tank regiment advancing and capturing enemy positions.
Drone strikes remain a significant feature of the fighting near Kurakhove.
The 425 ОШБ "Скала" conducted a drone strike operation on the Pokrovsk direction.
Video footage shows the destruction of a Starlink station by the "Southern Front" group.
Video evidence of a Russian FPV drone attacking a building with a modified munition.
Russian forces launched six Tu-22M3 strategic bombers from Olenya and Engels air bases, deploying X-22 missiles. High-speed targets, including probable ballistic missiles (possibly S-300), were detected.
Russian forces report that operators of drones from the 20th Motorized Rifle Division of the 8th Guards Army discovered and destroyed a disguised Ukrainian communications repeater.
Russian forces report that operators of drones from the 110th Brigade spotted moving Ukrainian soldiers and dropped a munition, killing one.
Operators of drones from the 20th Motorized Rifle Division of the 8th Guards Army detected and destroyed a camouflaged communications repeater of the Ukrainian Armed Forces.
Operators of FPV drones from the 20th Motorized Rifle Division of the 8th Guards Army detected and destroyed a camouflaged communications repeater of the Ukrainian Armed Forces in a forest plantation, ensuring the security of Russian positions from enemy drone strikes.
Operators of drones from the 95th Air Assault Brigade repelled an attack by North Koreans in the Kursk region.
Operators of drones from the 110th Brigade, operating in the Kurakhove direction, spotted moving Ukrainian soldiers and dropped a munition, killing one.
Operators of drones from the "Center" group reportedly eliminated a Ukrainian observation post in the Pokrovsk direction.
Operators of drones from the "Center" group continue to hunt for Ukrainian forces in the Pokrovsk direction.
Operators of FPV drones from the 20th Motorized Rifle Division destroyed a camouflaged communications repeater.
Operators of drones from the BARS-3 "Rodina" unit destroyed a Polish self-propelled gun "Krab" on the Kupyansk front.
Operators of the 80th Airborne Assault Brigade destroyed an enemy along with equipment in the Kursk region.
Attack FPV drone teams of the Yug Group of Forces eliminated a stronghold and a mortar position of the AFU in Kurakhove direction.
Aerial reconnaissance from the "Mad Dogs" brigade detected a night raid by Ukrainian forces from the 32nd Brigade. A Russian FPV drone operator, "Dolgiy," reportedly destroyed four Ukrainian soldiers and wounded two during this raid in the Pokrovsk direction.
Operators of ударных дронов 9 бригады 51 гвардейской общевойсковой армии ВС РФ добили БТР американского производства М-113, перед этим повреждённый бойцами 1 Славянской бригады, что позволило продолжить успешное продвижение в районе Дзержинска.
Video shows drone footage from the 9th Brigade of the 51st Guards Combined Arms Army of the Russian Armed Forces engaging an American-made M-113 armored personnel carrier (APC) near Dzerzhinsk. The APC was previously damaged by the 1st Slavic Brigade, and the drone strike allowed for continued advances in the area.
Drone Attacks on Russia:
Drone Attacks on Ukraine:
Ukrainian air defenses report shooting down numerous drones.
Enemy tactical aviation is active in the east and north-east, with a threat of air strikes in the frontline regions.
New reports indicate a group of Russian Shahed drones are on the border of Dnipropetrovsk and Zaporizhzhia oblasts, moving west. Another group of drones is in the north of Donetsk oblast, heading north. A new group of drones is in Dnipro, heading north. A group of drones is in the north of Dnipropetrovsk oblast, heading toward Poltava oblast. A group of drones is in Kharkiv oblast, heading toward Kharkiv.
Ukrainian Air Force reports drone movements in Chernihiv Oblast to the west and towards Kyiv Oblast.
New groups of drones were entering Sumy Oblast from Kursk.
Ukrainian Air Force reports increased drone activity in Poltava and Myrhorod, as well as in Kyivska and Chernihivska regions.
New reports of drone movements in Poltava, Cherkasy, Kyiv, Mykolaiv, and Zhytomyr Oblasts.
Ukrainian Air Force reports updates on the movement of Russian drones.
Reports of drone movements in various regions, including Chernihiv, Poltava, Cherkasy, Kyiv, Mykolaiv, Zhytomyr, and Kirovohrad.
Reports of drone movements in Kharkiv, Dnipropetrovsk, and Chernihiv Oblasts.
Reports indicate drones approaching from Tendra towards Odesa/Pivdenne.
Air raid alerts have been issued in Mykolaiv Oblast due to the threat of "Shahed" drones.
Enemy drones are moving from the Black Sea towards Chornomorske/Pivdenne (Odesa Oblast).
Drones are reported in Mykolaiv Oblast, approaching from the south.
Two drones are reported near Kobleve, and two more are moving from the Tendra Spit towards Ochakiv.
Enemy drones are reportedly heading towards Mykolaiv Oblast from the south, with a call for residents of Ochakiv to take shelter.
Three drones are moving from Kharkiv Oblast to Poltava Oblast.
Four drones are approaching Chuhuiv/Kharkiv. Anti-aircraft operations may be active.
Two drones are moving from the east of Dnipropetrovsk Oblast to Kharkiv Oblast.
One drone is in the Zlatopil area and has turned towards Lozova in Kharkiv Oblast.
New Shahed drones from the Black Sea are heading towards the south of Odesa Oblast.
Shahed drones are present in the south of Sumy Oblast, the east of Poltava Oblast, and the west of Kharkiv Oblast, moving northwards.
A new group of Shahed drones is heading from the Black Sea towards the south of the Odesa region.
New Shahed drones are heading towards Odesa Oblast, specifically towards the Bilhorod-Dnistrovskyi district.
Three Shahed drones are approaching Bilyaivka either through or near the town. Three new Shahed drones are moving from the Black Sea towards the Bilhorod-Dnistrovskyi district, with one potentially heading towards Ovidiopol.
The Air Force reported:
Three Shahed drones are heading towards Kurortne through Bilyaivka. One Shahed drone is circling at the intersection of the Sumy and Poltava regions. Two Shahed drones are moving from the Kharkiv region to the Poltava region. Three Shahed drones are in the Lozova area of the Kharkiv region, heading north.
3 drones via Rozdilna are heading towards Odesa Oblast.
2 drones via Bilyaivka are heading towards Odesa.
1 new drone from the Black Sea is heading towards Ovidiopol.
1 drone north of Nizhyn, moving towards Chernihiv.
1 drone is heading via Konotop towards Sumy.
1 drone near Pryluky, moving northwest.
1 drone turned towards Odesa, expect loud activity.
One drone from the Odesa region is flying towards the Vinnytsia region. One drone is approaching Rozdilna. One drone is flying towards Odesa. The northern direction is being clarified.
One drone is flying from the Mykolaiv region towards the Odesa region, to the north of the region.
Several Shahed drones detected moving from the Black Sea towards Chornomorske and Pivdenne.
A group of Shahed drones is moving north in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast. Several Shahed drones are in the center, north, south, and east of Kharkiv Oblast, moving northwest.
A new group of drones from Sumy Oblast is moving towards Poltava Oblast.
A high-speed target is reported on the border of Odesa and Mykolaiv oblasts.
The missile is flying west of Voznesensk towards Pervomaisk.
Ukrainian Air Force reports the movement of drones in Kharkiv Oblast towards Poltava Oblast, in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast to the south-west and west, in Chernihiv Oblast to the west, and new groups in the east of Kharkiv Oblast to the west.
Drone movement has been detected in the Khmelnytskyi, Poltava, and Chernihiv regions, specifically near Nizhyn.
Ukrainian Air Force reports updates on the movement of Russian drones:
One drone north of Cherkasy, moving towards Kyiv Oblast. Two drones west of Poltava, moving northwest. Five drones near Konotop, moving southwest.
City of Pryluky (Chernihiv Oblast) is under threat from enemy drones approaching from the northeast.
The Air Force reports the movement of enemy drones:
Enemy drone is moving in the direction of Cherkasy from the southeast.
1 drone is approaching Boryspil. 2 drones are flying from Poltava region to Cherkasy. 1 drone is flying from Kirovohrad region to Vinnytsia. 3 drones are in Pryluky area, heading southwest. 3 new drones are flying through Shostka area, heading southwest.
Several groups of attack drones detected south of Kyiv, suggesting a potential imminent drone attack on the capital or surrounding areas. Ukrainian air defense systems are likely on high alert.
Up to 10 drones and several FPV drones were involved in the recent attack.
Ukrainian air defense systems engaged multiple Russian drones near Nechaiane, Ochakiv, and Velyka Korenykha.
Russian drones were launched from Crimea.
Up to 10 drones were reported over Ochakiv, with some shot down. One drone was reported near Parutino.
New enemy drone attacks reported in Ochakiv from the Black Sea.
Ukrainian air defenses reportedly shot down a Ukrainian missile over Kursk Oblast.
Ukrainian air defense systems are actively engaging Russian drones, with reports of "first drones shot down" in the Mykolaiv region.
Three drones are confirmed to be moving through Kutsurub in a northerly direction.
3 drones via Bilyaivka are heading towards Kurortne. 1 drone is circling around the border of Sumy and Poltava oblasts. 2 drones are moving from Kharkiv to Poltava. 3 drones are in Lozova area, heading north.
Several Shahed drones detected moving from the Black Sea towards Chornomorske and Pivdenne.
A group of Shahed drones is moving north in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast. Several Shahed drones are in the center, north, south, and east of Kharkiv Oblast, moving northwest.
Ukrainian forces report shooting down 15 out of 16 drones, with one drone "lost."
Reports indicate drones approaching from Tendra towards Odesa/Pivdenne, with an estimated arrival time of 10-15 minutes. The number of drones is being clarified.
Mykolaiv Oblast is under threat of enemy drone attacks.
Air raid alerts have been issued in Mykolaiv Oblast due to the threat of "Shahed" drones.
Enemy drones are moving from the Black Sea towards Chornomorske/Pivdenne (Odesa Oblast).
Drones are reported in Mykolaiv Oblast, approaching from the south.
Two drones are reported near Kobleve, and two more are moving from the Tendra Spit towards Ochakiv.
Enemy drones are reportedly heading towards Mykolaiv Oblast from the south, with a call for residents of Ochakiv to take shelter.
Odesa Oblast is under threat of enemy drone attacks.
Ukrainian Air Force reports the movement of drones in Kharkiv Oblast towards Poltava Oblast, in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast to the south-west and west, in Chernihiv Oblast to the west, and new groups in the east of Kharkiv Oblast to the west.
Drone movement has been detected in the Khmelnytskyi, Poltava, and Chernihiv regions, specifically near Nizhyn.
Reports of drone movements in Kharkiv, Dnipropetrovsk, and Chernihiv Oblasts.
Reports indicate drones approaching from Tendra towards Odesa/Pivdenne, with an estimated arrival time of 10-15 minutes. The number of drones is being clarified.
Mykolaiv Oblast is under threat of enemy drone attacks.
Air raid alerts have been issued in Mykolaiv Oblast due to the threat of "Shahed" drones.
Enemy drones are moving from the Black Sea towards Chornomorske/Pivdenne (Odesa Oblast).
Drones are reported in Mykolaiv Oblast, approaching from the south.
Two drones are reported near Kobleve, and two more are moving from the Tendra Spit towards Ochakiv.
Enemy drones are reportedly heading towards Mykolaiv Oblast from the south, with a call for residents of Ochakiv to take shelter.
Several groups of attack drones detected south of Kyiv, suggesting a potential imminent drone attack on the capital or surrounding areas. Ukrainian air defense systems are likely on high alert.
Within an hour, explosions were heard in the occupied part of the Zaporizhzhia Oblast, in the suburbs of Kharkiv and Cherkasy.
Ukrainian forces report that their drones can strike targets up to 2000 km away.
Reports indicate drones approaching from Tendra towards Odesa/Pivdenne, with an estimated arrival time of 10-15 minutes. The number of drones is being clarified.
Mykolaiv Oblast is under threat of enemy drone attacks.
Air raid alerts have been issued in Mykolaiv Oblast due to the threat of "Shahed" drones.
Enemy drones are moving from the Black Sea towards Chornomorske/Pivdenne (Odesa Oblast).
Drones are reported in Mykolaiv Oblast, approaching from the south.
Two drones are reported near Kobleve, and two more are moving from the Tendra Spit towards Ochakiv.
Enemy drones are reportedly heading towards Mykolaiv Oblast from the south, with a call for residents of Ochakiv to take shelter.
Several groups of attack drones detected south of Kyiv, suggesting a potential imminent drone attack on the capital or surrounding areas. Ukrainian air defense systems are likely on high alert.
One drone is reported near the Korabelnyi district of Mykolaiv, with potential for loud noise.
One drone is reported in the Halytsynove area.
Two drones are circling near the Kosa area.
One drone is flying from Velyka Korenykha towards the Zavodskyi/Centralnyi district of Mykolaiv, with active engagement reported.
An enemy drone is confirmed to be heading towards Mykolaiv from the south.
Ukrainian Air Force reports updates on the movement of Russian drones.
The Air Force reports the movement of enemy drones.
Ukrainian forces report updates on the movement of Russian drones.
Drone movement has been detected in the Khmelnytskyi, Poltava, and Chernihiv regions, specifically near Nizhyn.
Ukrainian forces report shooting down 15 out of 16 drones, with one drone "lost."
Ukrainian Air Force reports the movement of drones in Kharkiv Oblast towards Poltava Oblast, in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast to the south-west and west, in Chernihiv Oblast to the west, and new groups in the east of Kharkiv Oblast to the west.
Drone movement has been detected in the Khmelnytskyi, Poltava, and Chernihiv regions, specifically near Nizhyn.
Ukrainian forces report updates on the movement of Russian drones:
Drones are reported in the center of Poltava Oblast, moving northwest, and on the west of Sumy Oblast, moving southwest. A drone is reported on the northeast of Cherkasy Oblast, moving west/northwest.
One drone north of Cherkasy, moving towards Kyiv Oblast. Two drones west of Poltava, moving northwest. Five drones near Konotop, moving southwest.
City of Pryluky (Chernihiv Oblast) is under threat from enemy drones approaching from the northeast.
The Air Force reports the movement of enemy drones:
Enemy drone is moving in the direction of Cherkasy from the southeast.
1 drone is approaching Boryspil. 2 drones are flying from Poltava region to Cherkasy. 1 drone is flying from Kirovohrad region to Vinnytsia. 3 drones are in Pryluky area, heading southwest. 3 new drones are flying through Shostka area, heading southwest.
Several groups of attack drones detected south of Kyiv, suggesting a potential imminent drone attack on the capital or surrounding areas. Ukrainian air defense systems are likely on high alert.
The Ukrainian Air Force reports the movement of drones in Kharkiv Oblast towards Poltava Oblast, in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast to the south-west and west, in Chernihiv Oblast to the west, and new groups in the east of Kharkiv Oblast to the west.
Drone movement has been detected in the Khmelnytskyi, Poltava, and Chernihiv regions, specifically near Nizhyn.
Ukrainian Air Force reports updates on the movement of Russian drones.
The Air Force reports the movement of enemy drones.
Ukrainian forces report updates on the movement of Russian drones.
Drone movement has been detected in the Khmelnytskyi, Poltava, and Chernihiv regions, specifically near Nizhyn.
Ukrainian forces report shooting down 15 out of 16 drones, with one drone "lost."
Ukrainian Air Force reports the movement of drones in Kharkiv Oblast towards Poltava Oblast, in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast to the south-west and west, in Chernihiv Oblast to the west, and new groups in the east of Kharkiv Oblast to the west.
Drone movement has been detected in the Khmelnytskyi, Poltava, and Chernihiv regions, specifically near Nizhyn.
Ukrainian Air Force reports updates on the movement of Russian drones:
One drone north of
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