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Historical Intelligence

Situation Report

Archived operational intelligence briefing

Report Time
2024-12-25 05:17:56Z
1 year ago
Previous (2024-12-25 04:47:35Z)

Operational Situation Report: December 25, 2024, 05:13 UTC

Executive Summary

Russian forces maintain significant advancements, particularly in the Donetsk Oblast, with notable progress in Kurakhove, Pokrovsk, Toretsk, and the Vremivka direction. The capture of Storozheve and the development of a new "pocket" near Velyka Novosilka mark a substantial shift in the Vremivka direction. Drone warfare remains a dominant feature, with both sides utilizing drones for reconnaissance, targeting, and direct attacks. Ukrainian forces report widespread drone activity across multiple regions. Air raid alerts have been issued in multiple Oblasts due to the threat of drone and missile attacks. A missile was intercepted, and several drones were tracked across different regions. There is a new threat of missile attacks, with the take-off of Tu-95MS aircraft from the "Olenya" airfield and reports of missile launches and "Kalibr" missile launches from the Black Sea. The Russian Navy maintains a significant presence in the Black Sea and Mediterranean. The humanitarian situation continues to deteriorate, with civilian casualties and forced evacuations. The situation in the Kremennaya-Terny area and the Kursk region also indicates an intensification of fighting and strategic repositioning of forces. Neskuchne in DPR is under attack. Also, Russian forces liberated Novopustynka.

Changes to the Situation - December 25, 2024, 05:13 UTC

Military Developments

  • Drone Warfare:

    • New groups of drones are entering Chernihiv Oblast from Bryansk, heading south/southwest.
    • Drones are in the southwest of Sumy Oblast, heading south.
    • Drones are in the north of Poltava Oblast, heading south/southeast.
    • Drones are in the east of Zhytomyr Oblast, heading southwest.
    • Drones are in the northwest of Dnipropetrovsk Oblast, heading southwest.
    • Drones are in the northeast of Mykolaiv Oblast, heading southwest.
    • 2 drones in Mykolaiv Oblast, heading towards Bashtanka.
    • 2 drones over Zelenodolsk.
    • 1 drone over Zhytomyr.
    • 4 new drones in Chernihiv Oblast, heading towards Nizhyn.
    • 2 drones in the Lubny area.
    • 3 drones at the intersection of Poltava and Sumy Oblasts, heading southeast.
    • 4 drones on the west of Poltava Oblast, heading south.
    • 5 drones from Poltava Oblast are flying to Kharkiv Oblast.
    • 5 drones in the Nizhyn area are flying to Kyiv Oblast.
    • 1 drone is circling at the intersection of Zhytomyr and Khmelnytskyi Oblasts.
    • 1 drone is approaching Starokonstantinov.
    • 1 drone is in the Smila area, heading towards the Kyiv region.
    • 2 drones from the Dnipropetrovsk region are heading towards Oleksandriia in the Kirovohrad region.
    • 2 new drones are in the Dnipropetrovsk region, heading towards Dnipro.
    • 1 new drone is heading towards Zelenodolsk from the Kherson region.
    • Zhytomyr is under direct threat from enemy drones approaching from the northeast.
    • Kherson and Mykolaiv Oblasts are under threat of enemy drone attacks from the northeast.
    • Air defense systems were active in the Kyiv region, engaging and destroying hostile drones.
    • Extensive drone activity reported across multiple regions, with Ukrainian air defense neutralizing drones near Kyiv.
    • Air raid alerts issued for Sumy, Zaporizhzhia, Pryluky, Myrhorod, Cherkasy, Kyiv, Dnipro, Mykolaiv, Vinnitsa, Zhytomyr, and Khmelnytskyi.
    • Ukrainian forces report destroying a Russian "Baba Yaga" drone near Kupyansk.
    • During the night, 4 more UAVs were destroyed and suppressed by electronic warfare in the Millerovsky and Tarasovsky districts of Rostov Oblast. Russian media sources claim that a total of 12 drones were destroyed in Rostov Oblast, as well as an additional drone in Voronezh Oblast.
    • A new FPV-drone "Hortenzia" with support of management for optical fiber started to be used in the zone of special military operation.
    • Syrian Kurds are reportedly using FPV drones, inspired by their use in the conflict zone. They are targeting pro-Turkish militants and their armored vehicles near the Tishrin Dam.
    • Air raid alerts have been lifted in Kyiv.
    • Drone (likely Shahed drones) movement has been detected:
      • Approaching Vasylkiv from the west and east.
      • Approaching Brovary.
      • 3 drones were reported in the Lubny area of Poltava Oblast.
      • 4 drones from the Bila Tserkva district of Kyiv Oblast were heading towards Vinnytsia Oblast.
      • 4 drones were detected at the intersection of Zhytomyr and Kyiv Oblasts.
      • 1 drone was reported north of Chernihiv, moving westward.
      • 2 drones from the Nizhyn area were heading southwest.
      • 1 drone was reported in the north of Chernihiv Oblast.
      • New groups of drones were entering Sumy Oblast from Kursk, heading south/southeast.
      • A drone was reported heading towards Kyiv from the southwest.
      • A drone was reported heading towards Sumy from the northwest.
      • 2 drones in the central part of Vinnytsia Oblast, heading south of Khmelnytskyi Oblast.
      • 1 drone over Boiarka, approaching Vasylkiv.
      • 1 drone in the central part of Dnipropetrovsk Oblast, heading northwest.
      • 1 drone from Cherkasy Oblast heading into Vinnytsia Oblast.
      • 5 drones in the Lubny area of Poltava Oblast.
      • 3 drones in the Kremenchuk area, heading east.
      • 1 drone in the east of Kharkiv Oblast, heading towards Kupiansk.
      • 3 drones from Sumy Oblast heading into Chernihiv Oblast.
      • 1 drone flew past Nizhyn heading west.
      • 1 drone in Belarus, sometimes flying into Chernihiv Oblast, sometimes into Kyiv Oblast.
      • New drone threat for Dnipro and Kamianske.
      • A drone was reported heading towards Kharkiv from the northeast.
      • Kirovohradska Oblast is under threat of enemy drone attacks from the northeast.
      • 4 drones in Kremenchuk district, heading towards Dnipropetrovsk Oblast.
      • 1 drone from Dnipropetrovsk Oblast heading towards Kirovohrad Oblast.
      • 1 drone in the south of Vinnytsia Oblast.
      • 1 drone from Kharkiv Oblast heading towards Dnipropetrovsk Oblast.
      • 1 drone in the vicinity of Chuhuiv.
      • 1 drone heading towards Dnipro from the northwest.
      • 2 drones near Cherkasy; 1 west of Pryluky heading towards Cherkasy Oblast.
      • 1 drone near Sumy heading west/northwest.
      • A group of drones heading south in Poltava Oblast towards Kremenchuk.
      • 4 drones south of Pavlohrad, heading west/southwest.
      • 2 drones near Poltava, heading towards Kremenchuk.
      • 4 drones flying through Zlatopil heading west.
      • 1 drone flew past Merefa heading west.
      • Zaporizhzhia and Donetsk regions under threat of enemy drone attacks.
      • Enemy drones heading towards Dnipro from the east.
      • UAVs heading towards Kremenchuk from the northeast.
      • 1 drone flew past Dnipro towards Kremenchuk.
      • 3 drones south of Dnipro, heading west.
      • 5 drones moved from Kharkiv Oblast to Poltava Oblast.
      • 4 new drones at the intersection of Donetsk and Kharkiv Oblasts, heading southwest towards Dnipropetrovsk Oblast.
      • A drone is heading towards Kryvyi Rih from the northeast.
      • 4 drones approaching Kremenchuk.
      • 2 drones moving from Dnipropetrovsk Oblast to Kherson Oblast.
      • 1 drone approaching Kryvyi Rih.
      • 1 drone approaching Zhytomyr.
      • 1 drone moving from northern Kyiv Oblast to Zhytomyr Oblast.
      • 3 drones in eastern Chernihiv Oblast, moving south.
      • 1 new drone approaching Kharkiv.
      • 3 drones are heading towards Kryvyi Rih from Kirovohradska Oblast.
      • 1 drone is over Zelenodolsk.
      • 2 drones are flying towards Pokrov.
      • 2 UAVs were detected and destroyed by air defense forces in Bryansk Oblast.

  • Missile Activity:

    • A high-speed target was detected in Kharkiv Oblast heading towards Poltava Oblast. It continues to move in the direction of Kremenchuk.
    • A guided air-launched missile was detected in Kharkiv Oblast heading towards Novyi Merchyk.
    • Take-off of Tu-95MS aircraft from the "Olenya" airfield was reported. Their course is southern.
    • First launching maneuvers were made in the Engels area.
    • Ukrainian resources reported missile launches from Russian Tu-95 aircraft.
    • New: There is a threat of "Kalibr" missile launches from the Black Sea.
    • New: "Kalibr" missiles have been launched from the Myskhako area.
    • New: At the time of the launches, 7 Tu-95MS aircraft were in the air: 4 from Olenya, 3 from Engels.
    • New: The launch of a Soyuz rocket with a new Resurs-P satellite is scheduled for December 25th at the Baikonur Cosmodrome.
    • A guided air-launched missile is moving through the Dnipropetrovsk region towards the Kryvyi Rih area.
    • A missile is moving east of the Kirovohrad region, heading towards Cherkasy region.
    • A missile was intercepted over an unspecified area.
    • Missile threat issued for Kharkiv and Dnipropetrovsk Oblasts.
    • Enemy tactical aviation is active in the east and northeast, with the threat of using aerial weapons.

  • Donetsk Oblast:

    • Velyka Novosilka: Russian forces destroyed a bridge over the Mokri Yaly river, disrupting Ukrainian logistics.
    • Kurakhove: Russian forces are consolidating their control over approximately 80% of the city. Clashes continue in the central part of the city for the remaining high-rise buildings.
    • Storozheve: The Russian Ministry of Defense confirmed the liberation of Storozheve.
    • Vremivka Direction: Russian forces captured Storozheve and advanced towards Velyka Novosilka, forming a new "pocket" and capturing Novyi Komar.
    • Toretsk: Street fighting divides the city. Russian forces continue attacks along Fabrychna, Rynkova, Svitla, Lesi Ukrainky streets and in the direction of the "Toretska" mine.
    • Ukrainian forces have retaken positions at the fire-resistant compound in Chasiv Yar. There are currently about 150 Ukrainian soldiers at the plant.
    • Chasov Yar: Russian forces reportedly control over half of the city.
    • Pokrovsk: Russian forces are advancing south of Pokrovsk towards Ukrainka. Russian forces are developing success from the southwest, attacking from the side of Dachenske.
    • Russian aviation conducted airstrikes at multiple locations in the Donetsk region.
    • Russian forces, having liberated Novopustynka, repelled multiple enemy attempts to retake the village and captured 10 Ukrainian soldiers.
    • Russian FPV-drone struck a Ukrainian forces' deployment point on the right bank of the Dnieper.
    • Neskuchne: Rogov reported the beginning of battles for the liberation of Neskuchne in DPR. He also reported the advance of the Russian Armed Forces "from Storozheve towards the road leading to Huliaipole".
    • New: Russian troops liberated more than 5 square kilometers of the territory of the DPR and advanced from the settlement of Zarya towards Yasenev, Rogov told TASS.

  • Kremennaya-Terny:

    • Active combat operations near Kremennaya.
    • Russian forces advanced in Terny and expanded their control, pushing towards Borova.
    • Kyiv is transferring reserves to Lozova in Kharkiv Oblast.

  • Kursk Region:

    • Airstrikes were conducted by Mi-35M helicopters in the border area, targeting Ukrainian strongholds. The "Sever" group successfully advanced in the forest.
    • Russian forces liberated Novoivanovka and made advances in the northern Sudzha district and near Cherkasskaya Konopelka. Russian forces are advancing in the wooded areas of the Sudzhansky district and up to 1200 meters in the vicinity of Nikolaevo-Daryino, Leonidovo, Russkaya Porechnaya and Kurilovka.
    • Ukrainian reserves transferred to the Kursk region were reportedly destroyed in the Sumy region.
    • Heavy fighting continues in Kursk Oblast. The enemy is carrying out counter-attacks. In the Sudzhansky district, the Ukrainian Armed Forces carried out 5 unsuccessful counterattacks using "Bradley" BMPs and "M-113" APCs.
    • Calculations of the MLRS "Grad" group of troops "North" destroyed strongholds and infantry of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in the Kursk border area.
    • New: The crew of a Ka-52M helicopter destroyed a Ukrainian stronghold in the Kursk border area.

  • Kupyansk Direction:

    • Russian troops, supported by armored vehicles, are fighting near Zahryzove. In the northern part of the village, Russian infantry occupied positions in a forest plantation and in a number of buildings.

  • Air Activity:

    • Russian tactical aviation is active on the south-eastern direction, with a threat of the use of aviation weapons for front-line areas.
    • Launches of guided air bombs by Russian tactical aviation were reported against Konstantinovka and Chasov Yar.
    • A Russian Su-34 fighter-bomber was shown conducting operations in the Kursk region, highlighting ongoing airstrikes.

Axis Clashes

  • Kharkiv Axis: Clashes near Hoptivka, Hlybokoht, Vysoka Yaruhya, Buhruvatka, and Starytsa.
  • Kupyansk Axis: Clashes near Kucherivka, Stepova Novoselivka, Bohuslavka, Zahryzove, and Nova Krystynivka.
  • Lyman Axis: Clashes near Zelenyy Hay, Novoserhiyivka, Novoyehorivka, Hrekivka, Makiyivka, Nadiya, Ivanivka, Terny, Toretsk, Hryhorivka, Druzhelubivka, Dibrovy, and Serebryanka.
  • Sieversk Axis: Clashes near Bilohorivka, Verkhnokamyanske, Ivano-Daryivka, and Vyyimka.
  • Kramatorsk Axis: Clashes near Vasukivka, Chasiv Yar, and Stupochky.
  • Toretsk Axis: Clashes near Toretsk and Druzhba.
  • Pokrovsk Axis: Clashes near Lysivka, Sukha Balka, Promin, Zelene, Ukrayinka, Dachenske, Shevchenko, Novoukrayinka, Pokrovsk, Novovasylivka, Novoyelizavetivka, Novotroitske and Novoolenivka.
  • Kurakhivka Axis: Clashes near Sontsivka, Stari Terny, Kurakhove, Yasenove, Dachne, and towards Andriyivka. Clashes continue in Kurakhove. To the southwest, Russian forces are advancing on Konstantynopil and expanding the zone of control near Zelenivka.
  • Vremivka Axis: Clashes near Velyka Novosilka, Kostyantynopilske, Yantarne, Uspenivka, Rozlyvu, Rozdolne, Novosilka, Blahodatne, and Vremivka.
  • Orikhiv Axis: Clashes near Novoandriyivka.
  • Kherson Axis: Ukrainian forces repelled 4 Russian assaults.
  • Kursk Region: Ukrainian forces repelled 27 Russian assaults.

Non-Military Developments

  • Allegations of War Crimes:

    • Reports of Ukrainian POWs being shot by the 110th Brigade.
    • Video evidence of the execution of four surrendering Ukrainian soldiers.

  • Diplomatic and Political:

    • US State Department advises American citizens to leave Belarus.
    • NATO Secretary General reportedly asked Zelensky to stop criticizing Scholz over Taurus missiles.
    • Discussions between US and Ukrainian officials on ending the war.
    • NATO to coordinate military aid to Ukraine.
    • Discussions on sending European troops to Ukraine.
    • Video discussion on the future of Georgia, its sovereignty, traditional values, and the failed Western attempt to organize a coup in the country. Experts discuss the unacceptability of the EU's condition for Georgia to sharply worsen relations with Russia, up to military actions, to join the EU. They also discuss the role of Salome Zurabishvili as a state criminal trying to keep Georgia in the zone of Western influence through illegitimate actions.
    • The Russian Council of Ulema of the Spiritual Administration of Muslims revoked the fatwa on polygamy.
    • According to Taras Chmut, the head of the "Come Back Alive" foundation, there is chaos in military management of Ukrainian forces.
    • New: Trump promises to seek the death penalty for those who have committed serious crimes.
    • New: Pashinyan said that due to a positive test for covid, he would miss the meeting of the CIS leaders in the Russian Federation, the issue of participation in the EAEU summit has not yet been resolved.
    • New: The Ministry of Industry and Trade of the Russian Federation plans to expand the list of goods with increased duties from unfriendly countries in 2025. The emphasis is planned to be on industrial goods, Anton Alikhanov said in an interview with TASS.

  • Cybersecurity:

    • Cyberattack on the Ukrainian Ministry of Justice's registers reported.

  • Other Incidents:

    • In Khakassia, the head of the workshop of the enterprise where two people died from the explosion was detained, the TASS news agency reported in the Investigative Committee of the Russian Federation for the region.
    • Shooting incident in Kupiansk resulting in casualties.
    • Reports of Russian soldiers being buried at a former landfill in the Stavropol region.
    • Explosion at a former factory in Abakan, resulting in two deaths and four injuries.
    • IMF provides $1.1 billion in financial support to Ukraine.
    • Russian military claims liberation of Storozheve in Donetsk region.
    • The Russian government has banned mining in 10 Russian regions in the North Caucasus, Donbas and Novorossiya. The ban will be in effect until 2031. In a number of districts of the Irkutsk Oblast, Transbaikalia and Buryatia, a ban on mining is introduced during peak energy consumption periods.
    • Almost 4.4 thousand civilians in Russia have been injured since January as a result of attacks by the Ukrainian Armed Forces, and almost 800 people, including 50 children, have died.
    • Another 500-kilogram aerial bomb was dropped by a Russian plane onto the Belgorod region. According to ASTRA, the "emergency release" of the FAB-500 occurred on December 21 near the village of Razumnoye-71 in the Belgorod region. There were no casualties or damage. ASTRA editors are aware of at least 163 cases of FAB aerial bombs falling in Russia and in the territories of Ukraine controlled by Russia in 2024. On November 19, a Russian plane dropped a 250-kilogram aerial bomb on a school in the Belgorod region. The UMPB aerial bomb "accidentally descended" on a school in the village of Bykovka in the Yakovlevsky urban district. According to sources, the bomb pierced the roof. As ASTRA previously reported, to counter Ukrainian air defenses, the Russian army began equipping Soviet FAB aerial bombs with UMPC kits. After this update, the FABs are equipped with wings and satellite guidance, allowing the bombs to be launched directly from the territory of the Russian Federation. The Russian army began actively using UMPCs in the spring of this year. And the problem of the updated FABs immediately became apparent - often the bombs simply do not reach Ukraine. On May 4, a Russian plane dropped a FAB-500 on Belgorod, as a result of which 7 people were injured, 31 households and 10 cars were damaged. The authorities hid the reason for the bomb's fall, as well as the fact that it was Russian.
    • US Senator Rand Paul stated that the US authorities spent millions of dollars to support Ukrainian bloggers. Almost 5 million was allocated by Washington to Ukrainian bloggers. "Someone in the State Department considered it a brilliant idea to allocate an additional 4.8 million dollars for an article entitled 'Kyiv, Ukraine, public relations - influencer employees'", Paul was quoted as saying by Responsible Statecraft. "It's strange to see our government spending taxpayers' money on what can be called a pompous selfie festival," the senator noted.
    • A Moscow court again fined businessman Yevgeny Chichvarkin for violating the rules of activity of a foreign agent.
    • An armored vehicle with commanders of the Israeli army was blown up on the West Bank. Colonel of the Israel Defense Forces Ayub Kayuf was injured.
    • Reports of "raider attacks" on apartments in Moscow.
    • 21 Palestinians killed and 51 wounded in Israeli strikes on Gaza.
    • The editor-in-chief of "Mediazona" Sergey Smirnov became a defendant in a criminal case for non-fulfillment of the duties of a "foreign agent".
    • The trial of MMA fighter Akhyadov, who killed a MADI inspector in Zaryadye Park on December 31, 2022, will be held in open court.
    • The supplier of low-quality bulletproof vests to the Russian Armed Forces owes 271 million rubles in taxes.
    • Islamabad and Moscow are discussing the operation of Mir cards in Pakistan.
    • A woman in the Lazo region fell victim to a fraudulent scheme, losing 2.678 million rubles. She was contacted through a messenger app and falsely informed that loans were being taken out in her name. She was then convinced to take out a loan herself and transfer the funds to a "secure" account. A criminal investigation has been launched.
    • New: Four defendants in the case of supplying low-quality bulletproof vests to the Ministry of Defense in the amount of about 2 billion rubles pleaded guilty, law enforcement officers reported.
    • New: Criminal cases on failure to fulfill the duties of a "foreign agent" were opened against the editor-in-chief of "Mediazona" Sergei Smirnov and the former editor-in-chief of Republic, the founder of the Yekaterinburg publication It's my City Dmitry Kolezev.

  • Propaganda and Information Warfare:

    • Ukrainian 46th Air Assault Brigade releases a propaganda video.
    • Announcement of Long-Range Aviation Day in Russia.
    • Rumors of a planned Russian offensive in Kherson and Zaporizhzhia regions. According to Taras Chmut, the head of the "Come Back Alive" foundation, Zaporizhzhia is not the main direction of a possible Russian offensive.
    • A quiz is being held among the paratroopers to identify an object and a settlement in a photo of a memorial to Russian airborne troops.
    • Specialists of the communication troops of the "West" grouping were awarded state awards in the special operation zone, as reported to TASS by the Ministry of Defense of the Russian Federation.
    • A video was shared showing animated scenes of children drawing Christmas trees and sending letters to their fathers/guardians serving in the military. The video concludes with New Year and Defender of the Fatherland messages of support and hope, with the core message of "return home with victory".
    • A series of images were shared from a graphic novel titled "SVO: Uninvented Stories". The images depict various scenes of military operations, including sniper activity, urban combat, and the treatment of wounded soldiers.
    • A video was shared from the "Trukha Kharkiv" Telegram channel showing a dramatic, "burning" sky over Kharkiv. The accompanying text suggests ongoing events in the city.
    • A video was shared from the ASTRA Telegram channel showing Kharkiv decorated for Christmas and New Year for the first time since 2022, despite ongoing shelling. The accompanying text highlights the resilience of the city's spirit.

  • Humanitarian Efforts:

    • Continued need for humanitarian aid and support for affected populations.
    • From the liberated villages of the Kurakhove direction, Russian soldiers are evacuating the civilian population.

  • Economic Impact:

    • Disruption of gas transit through Ukraine and potential targeting of industrial facilities.
    • New: More than 1.5 million car loans were issued in the Russian Federation for 11 months of 2024, TASS reported in the National Bureau of Credit Histories. For the entire period, the amount amounted to 2.15 trillion rubles, which is 62.5% more compared to the same period last year.

  • Naval Activity:

    • The Russian cargo ship "Ursa Major" sank off the coast of Spain after an explosion. It was initially believed that the ship was sailing to Syria, but analysts found that it was transporting hatches for the nuclear reactor of a nuclear icebreaker and two port mobile cranes with a lifting capacity of up to 120 tons each to Vladivostok.
    • The Russian Navy is not recorded either in the Black Sea or in the Azov Sea. In the Mediterranean Sea there are 8 enemy ships, of which 3 are Kalibr missile carriers, with a total of 25 missiles.
    • The Ukrainian Navy reports 4 Russian warships in the Black Sea, all of which are "Kalibr" cruise missile carriers with a total capacity of up to 28 missiles. No Russian warships were reported in the Azov Sea.
    • Tankers "Volgoneft-212" and "Volgoneft-239" were found to be in the Kerch Strait in violation of seasonal restrictions. An investigation revealed that several tankers belonging to "Volgatransneft" were not included in the license for the transport of dangerous goods by inland water and sea transport. Two Russian tankers carrying fuel oil sank in the Kerch Strait on December 15th. One of them, "Volgoneft-212", broke in half, resulting in the death of one crew member and the spillage of thousands of tons of fuel oil. The captains of the ships have been arrested.

Updated Situation - December 25, 2024, 05:13 UTC

The conflict in Ukraine intensifies with significant Russian advances in the Donetsk region, particularly in Kurakhove, Pokrovsk, Toretsk, and the Vremivka direction. The capture of Storozheve and the advance towards Velyka Novosilka, along with the destruction of a bridge over the Mokri Yaly river, represent a substantial shift in the Vremivka direction. Drone warfare continues to be a defining feature, with widespread drone activity across multiple regions. New drone threats are reported in Kyiv, Mykolaiv, Cherkasy, Kirovohrad, Dnipropetrovsk, Vinnitsa, Zaporizhzhia, Khmelnytskyi, Zhytomyr, Vasylkiv, Brovary, Sumy, Kharkiv, Lubny, Kremenchuk, Kryvyi Rih, Chuhuiv, Pavlohrad, Zlatopil, Smila, Kamenets-Podolsky, and Uman with air raid alerts issued in multiple Oblasts. Mykolaiv, Zhytomyr, Chernihiv, Lubny, Poltava, and Sumy Oblasts are under threat of enemy drone attacks. Kherson and Mykolaiv Oblasts are under threat of enemy drone attacks from the northeast. A missile was intercepted. There is also a new missile threat, with the take-off of Tu-95MS aircraft from the "Olenya" airfield and reports of missile launches, including "Kalibr" missiles. Russian forces conducted airstrikes in the Kursk region, targeting Ukrainian strongholds, with a new report of a Ka-52M helicopter destroying a Ukrainian stronghold. A high-speed target was detected in Kharkiv Oblast heading towards Poltava Oblast, and a guided air-launched missile was detected in Kharkiv Oblast heading towards Novyi Merchyk. There is also a warning regarding drone activity in Krasnodar Krai. The humanitarian situation is worsening, with reports of civilian casualties and forced evacuations. Allegations of war crimes, including the shooting of Ukrainian POWs, further escalate the severity of the conflict. The situation in the Kremennaya-Terny area and the Kursk region indicates an intensification of fighting and strategic repositioning of forces. Also, Russian forces liberated Novopustynka. Diplomatic efforts and discussions are ongoing, with internal tensions within NATO, warnings from the US State Department regarding Belarus, and new statements from Trump and Pashinyan. The cyberattack on the Ukrainian Ministry of Justice and reports of inadequate burial practices for Russian soldiers add to the complexity of the situation. The reported increase in arms shipments from North Korea to Russia and the potential targeting of Ukrainian call centers reflect the evolving tactics and alliances in the conflict. Air raid alerts across multiple regions signify a persistent and widespread threat, particularly from drones and missiles. The explosion in Abakan and the financial support from the IMF to Ukraine highlight the broader impacts of the conflict. The overall situation suggests a significant escalation in multiple areas, with both sides adapting their strategies and tactics in response to the evolving battlefield dynamics. The conflict's impact on civilians, the extensive use of drone warfare, and the allegations of war crimes highlight the severe and multifaceted nature of the ongoing hostilities. The potential for further escalation, particularly in the southern front, and the involvement of international actors underscore the complex and volatile nature of the conflict. The Ukrainian Navy reports a significant Russian naval presence in the Black Sea, with 4 warships carrying "Kalibr" cruise missiles, capable of launching up to 28 missiles in total. This poses a significant threat to Ukrainian territory.

Changes Brought by New Messages:

  • New reports of "raider attacks" on apartments in Moscow, though the connection to the conflict is unclear.
  • New: Cruise missiles were detected in Cherkasy Oblast, heading west/northwest.
  • New: Cruise missiles are heading towards Uman.
  • New: Cruise missiles were detected in the east of Kirovohrad Oblast, heading west.
  • New: Cruise missiles were detected in Cherkasy Oblast, heading towards Vinnytsia Oblast.
  • New: Cruise missiles were detected in the center of Vinnytsia Oblast, heading west.
  • New: Cruise missiles were detected coming from Kharkiv Oblast towards Poltava.
  • New: Cruise missiles were detected in the north of Dnipropetrovsk Oblast, heading west.
  • New: Cruise missiles were detected in the south of Kharkiv Oblast, heading northwest.
  • New: Cruise missiles were detected in the northeast of Dnipropetrovsk Oblast, heading northwest.
  • New: A cruise missile was detected heading towards Kremenchuk.
  • New: A cruise missile was detected in the south of Dnipropetrovsk Oblast, heading north.
  • New: A cruise missile was detected heading towards Kamianske in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast.
  • New: A cruise missile was detected coming from Vinnytsia Oblast towards Dunaivtsi in Khmelnytskyi Oblast.
  • New: Cruise missiles were detected in the south of Khmelnytskyi Oblast, heading west.
  • New: A cruise missile was detected coming from Dnipropetrovsk Oblast towards Kropyvnytskyi.
  • Updated information on drone movements:
    • Drones detected in the east of Chernihiv Oblast, heading west/south/southwest.
    • Drones detected in Sumy Oblast, heading west.
    • Drones detected in the west of Kyiv Oblast, heading northeast towards Kyiv.
    • Drones detected in the northwest of Poltava Oblast, heading south/southeast.
    • Drones detected in the southwest of Dnipropetrovsk Oblast, heading northwest.
    • Drones detected in the center of Vinnytsia Oblast, heading southwest.
    • Drones detected in the west of Cherkasy Oblast, heading west.
    • Drones detected in the east of Kharkiv Oblast, heading east.
    • A drone was reported heading towards Kharkiv from the northeast.
    • Kirovohradska Oblast is under threat of enemy drone attacks from the northeast.
    • 4 drones in Kremenchuk district, heading towards Dnipropetrovsk Oblast.
    • 1 drone from Dnipropetrovsk Oblast heading towards Kirovohrad Oblast.
    • 1 drone in the south of **Vinnytsia
Previous (2024-12-25 04:47:35Z)

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