Updated Operational Situation Overview – November 21, 2024
Key Developments:
Escalating Missile Threats:
Confirmed missile attacks have targeted Dnipro and Kryvyi Rih. Reports indicate multiple injuries, including a 32-year-old man and a 24-year-old woman hospitalized in serious condition after attacks on administrative buildings and residential areas. The attacks resulted in structural damage to several buildings, intensifying the humanitarian crisis.
Intensifying Combat Operations:
Russian forces have consolidated control in the Dal'nee area, where they have raised the Russian flag following successful engagements. Intelligence indicates ongoing pressure on Ukrainian positions in this contested region.
In Kurakhovo, additional reports suggest Russian forces are advancing approximately 300 meters southward. Ukrainian forces are attempting to conduct counterattacks and maintain a defensive posture despite heavy bombardment.
Humanitarian and Civilian Impact:
Casualty reports have mounted due to missile and artillery strikes, with at least 13 individuals injured, including two children, as the strikes on Dnipro continue to have devastating effects.
The situation remains dire for civilians, with ongoing air alerts and a need for significant humanitarian assistance across the affected regions.
New Tactical Developments:
The Russian military has reportedly launched an intercontinental ballistic missile (ICBM), specifically the RS-26 "Rubezh," targeted at Dnipro. This marks a significant escalation and a potential shift in military strategy, as it is considered the first use of ICBMs against Ukrainian targets.
UAV operations continue to be significant on both sides. Reports indicate Ukrainian forces are expanding drone operations and counter-drone measures have been intensified.
Geopolitical Developments:
Professional military training and operational changes are underway among Ukrainian forces, as indicated by the integration of advanced tactics against drone combat. This includes the recent modification of the Dovbush T10 drone into a mothership capable of deploying multiple kamikaze drones.
Internal unrest and morale issues continue to be reported within the Ukrainian military ranks, alongside legislative moves aimed at reintegrating previously absent personnel back into service.
Operational Readiness and Coordination:
The Ukrainian military remains engaged and adaptive to new threats. Enhanced air defense systems are being deployed as a response to increased missile threats. Joint operations and coordination with NATO allies are ongoing, responding to logistical and operational challenges resulting from the increased intensity of military engagements.
Immediate Actions Recommended:
Enhance Air Defense Capabilities: Urgent actions are required to bolster air defense systems to mitigate the risks from missiles, especially following incidents involving ICBMs.
Humanitarian Response Coordination: Immediate coordination is needed to address the worsening humanitarian crisis, particularly in Dnipro and Kryvyi Rih, as civilian populations face significant harm and displacement.
Intelligence Surveillance Expansion: Enhanced intelligence operations should focus on predicting enemy actions and adjusting to the dynamic battlefield environment.
Crisis Communication Strategy: Effective public communication strategies must be maintained to inform the population about safety measures and operational statuses to preserve morale amidst continuous threats.
Operational Outlook:
The situation remains highly volatile, with the potential for further escalations in combat intensity. The operational landscape is shaped by rapid shifts in territorial control and significant risks to civilian populations. Continued monitoring of geopolitical developments alongside military readiness will be critical in navigating the ongoing challenges of this conflict.
