Situation Report

Updated Situation Overview (as of July 30, 2024)

Threat Overview

• Black Sea:

  • Threats Remaining: Three enemy ships armed with Kalibr cruise missiles capable of launching up to 12 missiles.
  • Morale Trends: Enemy morale continues to decline; however, the missile threat remains significant.

• Azov Sea:

  • Enemy Presence: No enemy ships detected, maintaining a favorable operational environment for allied forces.

• Mediterranean Sea:

  • Enemy Asset Count: Two enemy ships, one armed with Kalibr missiles capable of launching up to 16 missiles.

Ground and Air Combat Developments

• Combat Engagements: Ukrainian Armed Forces engaged in 149 combat encounters today.
• Confirmed Enemy Casualties: Approximately 1,060 enemy troops eliminated in the last 24 hours.
• Air and Missile Strikes:
  • Russian forces conducted 62 aerial attacks and dropped 99 guided aerial bombs (KABs). Civilian casualties reported, including 8 injuries in Kherson from Russian strikes.
  • Ukrainian forces effectively repelled multiple Russian attacks in high-intensity areas such as Pokrovsk and Kuraikhiv.
  • New messages indicate effective engagements with enemy positions utilizing artillery and reconnaissance, with significant enemy losses in capability and personnel.

New Threats and Developments

• Rising Aerial Activity: Intelligence reports high levels of aerial activity over the Azov Sea, indicating potential ballistic missile attacks from the east.
• Increased Artillery Engagements: The use of the S-60 anti-aircraft guns by Russian forces has proven effective in eliminating enemy fortifications and personnel, utilizing coordinated scouting for accurate strikes.

Intelligence and Foreign Support

• U.S. Military Aid: The U.S. has provided a new military package valued at approximately $200 million, including air defense systems and ammunition.
• Geopolitical Changes: Turkish President Erdoğan announced troop deployment to Nagorno-Karabakh, affecting regional stability, which influences operational plans.

Operational Notes:

• Strategic Recommendations:

  • Continued enhancement of air defense capabilities.
  • Comprehensive maritime surveillance to mitigate assaults from naval forces.
  • Preparedness for evolving threats, particularly aerial and missile attacks.

• Monitoring Conditions: Ongoing assessments of troop morale, battlefield conditions, and combat effectiveness must be conducted to inform and adapt strategies accordingly.

Summary Statement

As of July 30, 2024, Ukrainian forces remain vigilant against potential aerial attacks, particularly due to significant missile threats from enemy ships in the Black and Mediterranean Seas. Continuous intense combat engagements have led to substantial enemy casualties, indicative of Ukrainian resilience and effective defensive efforts, bolstered by allied support. The situation remains complex with emerging threats from elevated Russian air activity and evolving operational strategies. Ongoing monitoring and adaptive responses are crucial in maintaining combat readiness and protecting civilian areas amidst escalating conflict.

The introduction of new artillery tactics by Russian forces through S-60 deployments signifies a potential shift in their operational approach, necessitating a reassessment of Ukrainian countermeasures. The strategic landscape remains dynamic with regional implications from ongoing geopolitical developments.